Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Leading U.S. Economic Indicators Point to Improvement / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Clif_Droke
Since the start of the new millennium and new century, many of the old truisms that applied to economic forecasting are no longer relevant. So many things have changed in the last nine years that a new set of economic “rules” is in order.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Fed Monetization of Debt as U.S. Dollar Flows to Central Banks Collapses / Economics / Quantitative Easing
By: Ned_W_Schmidt
Grand and glorious global housing bubble came to an end not because it had caused so much money to be borrowed. It came to an end because no more money could be borrowed. Debt bubbles come to traumatic conclusions not because so much credit had been created. Debt bubbles implode when no more credit is available. Lack of credit, the fuel for a mania, is what comes to be the problem.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
World Bank Calls China an Economic Bright Spot / Economics / China Economy
By: Money_and_Markets
The Dow has been on a mini-roll. Therefore, most investors are thrilled to see battered stock portfolios recover even a smidgen of their massive losses. The problem is that these investors aren’t paying attention to what’s happening elsewhere around the globe. And they may be missing out on the opportunity of the decade! Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 13, 2009
America Fast Approaching Debt and Economic Crisis Day of Reckoning / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: We are fast approaching the ultimate day of reckoning for everyone — Washington, me, you, your family, and the entire country.
The great dilemma: The government’s TARP funds to bail out the nation’s banks are nearly exhausted. But, at the same time, bank losses from this debt crisis have doubled from $2 trillion to $4 trillion, according to the IMF.
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Further Evidence of the Onset of Great Depression II / Economics / Great Depression II
By: Professor_Emeritus
A Critique Of The Quantity Theory Of Money - In my previous paper The Revisionist Theory and History of Depressions I argued that persistently falling interest rates cause an erosion of capital, unseen but nonetheless lethal. Producers are squeezed and try to survive by cutting prices. Lower prices add to pressures lowering interest rates, and a vicious spiral is set in motion. Thus money-creation by the Fed has a little-noticed deflationary side-effect to it, that may ultimately overwhelm the inflationary effect, in spite of predictions by the Quantity Theory of Money.
Saturday, April 11, 2009
The Economic Crisis: No, this will not be a Normal Cyclical Recovery / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Global_Research
Prof. John Kozy writes: The Congress, at the behest of corporate lobbyists, wrote into legislation the rules that permitted companies to offshore jobs, reduce real wages, and permit risky financial practices. Therein lies the root cause of this crisis. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 11, 2009
Global Economic Crisis to Last 3 More Years / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Pravda
The Russian authorities have been lost in their own forecasts. First Vice Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov once said that Russia had already overcome the peak of the crisis. Hardly had the Russians rejoiced over the news when Finance Minister Aleksei Kudrin showed everyone from heaven to earth when he said that Russia was expecting a second wave of the crisis.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 10, 2009
Economic Meltdown 2009 is Worse than the Great Depression / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Whitney
It's been 21 months since two Bear Stearns hedge funds defaulted setting off a series of events which have led to the gravest economic crisis since the Great Depression. No one expected the financial meltdown to hit this hard or spread this fast. The failure at Bear triggered a freeze in the secondary market where mortgage loans are repackaged into securities and sold to investors. That market is now completely paralyzed cutting off 40 percent of funding for consumer and business loans and thrusting the broader economy into a deep recession. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 10, 2009
The Global Synchronized Recession / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Even Walt Disney Couldn't Have Imagined This …
Tony Sagami writes: My son, Kenji, was only three years old when I took him to Disneyland. And his favorite two rides were Dumbo the Flying Elephant and It's a Small World . I swear, I had to listen to my son sing It's a Small, Small World a couple hundred times over the next week.
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Friday, April 10, 2009
Government Unemployment Data is Fatally Flawed! Real Jobless Rate is 19.8%! / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_and_Markets
Martin Weiss writes: Many years ago, when Dad and I used to look at official data and analysis, we knew they were flawed. So we developed our own. That's how we figured out that the capital of savings and loans was grossly overstated and that thousands of S&Ls were headed for a massive bust. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Keynesian Economic Nonsense, Be Careful What You Wish For / Economics / Economic Stimulus
By: Peter_Schiff
Apart from the obvious financial distress that the current economic crisis has inflicted on most Americans, perhaps one of the more irksome byproducts of the meltdown has been the inescapability of clueless economic blather. It's bad enough when so-called economists serve up the same Keynesian nonsense that has led us down the current cul-de-sac in the first place. At least those people have some incidental knowledge, however deeply flawed, of basic economic concepts. It's far worse when political pundits, whose understanding of economics typically comes from Treasury Department talking points, hold forth as if they really know what is going on.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Consumer Demand Destruction Continues as U.S. Trade Gap Narrows to 9 Year Low / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Demand destruction continues unabated, and with it the US Trade Gap Narrows to Nine-Year Low . The U.S. trade deficit tumbled in February to the lowest level in nine years as collapsing demand from consumers and companies reverberated around the globe.
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Thursday, April 09, 2009
Great Depression or Hyperinflation? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Money_Morning
Is it 1932 – or 1923?
Martin Hutchinson writes: reports in the media have pointed out that this global recession is “worse than anything since the Great Depression.”
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Thursday, April 09, 2009
Rampant Signs of Economic Deflation as Consumer Spending Contracts / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Signs of deflation continue to mount in numerous areas. Let's take a look at some headlines starting with a consumer spending survey: Consumer Spending to Drop Again.
U.S. consumer spending will falter after a first-quarter spurt and recover only gradually toward the end of the year, a monthly Bloomberg News survey showed. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Close Look at the Accelerating Rate of U.S. Unemployment / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
The trend in unemployment is unmistakably up and accelerating. Let's start with a discussion of widely followed data followed by many additional charts that you may not have seen before.
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Bernanke Making Sure Deflation Does Not Happen Scorecard / Economics / Deflation
By: Mike_Shedlock
In case no one is keeping track, Bernanke has now fired every bullet from his 2002 “ helicopter drop ” speech Deflation: Making Sure "It" Doesn't Happen Here .Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 07, 2009
Neither Krugman Nor Bernanke Can Distinguish Excessive Money Printing From Excessive Savings / Economics / Quantitative Easing
By: Mike_Shedlock
Earlier today Calculated Risk posted a video and links to Krugman's Talk In Spain on March 17. Here is the video. A partial transcript by me follows. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
Bailouts Insolvency vs. Liquidity, or Austrian vs. Keynesian Economics / Economics / Economic Theory
By: LewRockwell
Michael S. Rozeff writes: An economics debate of very great importance is surfacing. Is the government's economic rationale for bailing out the banks valid? If it is not, then the entire case for the bank bailouts fails. On one side of the debate are Austrians using Austrian economics, on the other side are Keynesians using Keynesian economics. Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
Bankruptcy Time Bomb in U.S. and UK Explodes / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Mike_Shedlock
Bankruptcies are soaring in the US and UK. With jobs increasing hard to find, the Downturn Pushes More Toward Bankruptcy . The ailing economy continues to pull more Americans into bankruptcy court, where the number of troubled consumers filing for protection soared in March to its highest level since October 2005, when a new law made it more arduous and expensive to file.
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Saturday, April 04, 2009
Economic Depression, Another 663,000 U.S. Jobs Lost in March / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
By: Submissions
Peter Morici writes:
The Labor Department reported the economy lost 663,000 payroll jobs in March. The economy is shifting to permanently lower levels of production and employment, as the recession nears turns into a depression. Unemployment reached 8.5 percent, and adding in discouraged adults who have left the labor force and part-time workers who would prefer to work full time, the real unemployment rate is closer to 17 percent.
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