Analysis Topic: Economic Trends Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, March 20, 2009
Inflation- Central Banks Making Sure It Happens Everywhere / Economics / Inflation
"Gold and the Euro just hooked up together again. But for how long depends on central-bank policy..."
SO BEN BERNANKE SAYS the United States has plunged into a deflationary depression.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 20, 2009
Consumers A Paycheck Away From Ruin / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
New surveys show that Consumers are Just a Paycheck or Two Away From Ruin .
The results of a bevy of surveys found a growing number of consumers are only a couple paychecks away from a household collapse even as many scramble to shore up savings. Rainy-day funds appear to be a distant memory as households burn cash to cover food and energy bills as well as mortgage and car payments.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 19, 2009
U.S. Economy Hits the Toxic Pothole / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
We're riding on the escalator of lifeWe're shopping in the human mall
We're dancing on the escalator of life
Won't be happy 'til we have it all
We want it all
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 17, 2009
Long-Term Economic Forecast: Slow Growth And Deflation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
This week I am really delighted to be able to give you a condensed version of Gary Shilling's latest INSIGHT newsletter for your Outside the Box. Each month I really look forward to getting Gary's latest thoughts on the economy and investing. Last year in his forecast issue he suggested 13 investment ideas, all of which were profitable by the end of the year. It is not unusual for Gary to give us over 75 charts and tables in his monthly letters along with his commentary, which makes his thinking unusually clear and accessible.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
Monetary and Fiscal Failure, Fraud, and Fear of What's Next / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Even the powerful are worried with the IMF on February 7 saying advanced economies are in "depression (and) the worst cannot be ruled out." Forecasting a 2010 recovery is "very uncertain" at this time as further financial turmoil may disrupt it regardless of policies adopted, and trouble is outpacing resources to alleviate it.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 16, 2009
United States Economic Collapse Facing Its Weimar Moment / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Robert Freeman writes: In early 1919, Germany put in place a new government to begin rebuilding the country after its crushing defeat in World War I. But the right-wing forces that had led the country into the War and lost the War conspired even before it was over to destroy the new government, the "Weimar Republic." They succeeded.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
The Deflation Myth / Economics / Deflation
This is another myth I want to clear up. For some strange reason, economists, and those who actually give credence to what they say seem to think that a single period eighty years ago set a precedent cast in stone for what to expect from this depression. As a result, the masters of propaganda continue to insist that you cannot have a depression without deflation. Apparently, these “experts” have never heard of data points. You cannot expect to make credible conclusions based on one period. You need several periods at minimum in order to transpose similar conclusions.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, March 15, 2009
Japan's Economic Depression Deepens, Protectionism Could Trigger Global Depression / Economics / Economic Depression
- Where Have My Earnings Gone?
- The Land of the Setting Sun
- The Swiss Start Their Engines
- My One True Nightmare
This week we look at the Land of the Rising Sun. Japan is going through major upheavals, and they will have consequences all over the world. And what are those wild and crazy Swiss central bankers up to? It's time for another round of competitive devaluation. And of course I have to look at the recent Barron's cover story, about how stocks are cheap. There's a lot to cover.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, March 14, 2009
California's Imploding Economy as Billions Disappear into the Budget Black hole / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
California is imploding faster than expected. Let's take a look starting with a flashback to something I wrote on February 16, 2009: California One Vote Shy On Budget Impasse . Here is the key snip.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Consumer Demand For Everything Crashes: Trade Deficit At 6 Year Low / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Many were of the belief that the trade deficit would widen as the US recession strengthened. The only way that could have happened is if oil prices stayed stubbornly high. While the price of oil may have bottomed, odds of it shooting up towards $100 again in the near future are slim.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Credit Card Cancer Spreading Through the Economy / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
This week, with his pronouncement that "credit is the lifeblood of a healthy economy," President Obama reiterated what has been one of his most common themes in diagnosing our economic problem. The president has relied on this bedrock belief to propose policies that place the restoration of credit as the highest priority. However, despite his seemingly earnest intentions, the president and his economic advisors have misdiagnosed the ailment. Savings, not credit, is the lifeblood of a healthy economy. When not used properly credit can be like a cancer that sickens an otherwise healthy economy.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, March 13, 2009
Don't Bet on Hyperinflation! / Economics / HyperInflation
For several months now, I've heard all of this talk of hyperinflation. I'm sure you have too. I've seen that word so many times over the past year that I might have even used it without realizing it. As I wrote in the original edition of America 's Financial Apocalypse, “inflation is certainly going to be a very big problem.” I stand by this previous forecast first made in 2006. However, hyperinflation isn't going to occur. While I may be wrong about some things in the future, I won't be wrong about this. Quite simply, America would go to war before allowing hyperinflation to set in.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, March 12, 2009
OPEC /GCC Countries Too Are Under The Grip of The Great Depression II of 2009 / Economics / Economic Depression
Dr. Raju M. Mathew wrotes: Strategy For Their Survival And Growth - In spite of their oil wealth and oil reserve funds, GCC Countries are not free from the all pervading financial crisis that turned into a global economic crisis. Starting with the automobile crisis in the USA and aggravated with financial meltdown and credit Crisis, the demand for oil declined and the price has fallen from $148 to around $ 40, shattering the high dreams of everlasting Boom into a mere Bust. How long the GCC Countries carry out their spending and affluent life style and developmental activities by using their oil reserve funds and how long could they inject their money to revive the ailing western economies besides their own economies are the two relevant questions?Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Geithner "Deus ex Machina" Salvation from Debt Deflation / Economics / Credit Crisis 2009
"Deus does not exist."But if he does, He lives above me,
"In the fattest largest cloud up there..."
- The Sugarcubes, Deus
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Financial and Economic Crisis Questions and Answers / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Elliott Wave International, the world's largest market forecasting firm, receives thousands of questions every year from web site visitors and subscribers on their free Message Board .
Here the company shares 6 of the recent critical questions on the financial crisis and 6 answers provided by their professional analysts.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
Printing Money Could Save the UK Economy, But it Will Crush the British Pound / Economics / Quantitative Easing
Eight pence is all that stands between the pound and 1 for 1 parity with the euro.After its short lived recovery, the pound looks to be taking the dreaded “next leg down” and is firmly back in bear market territory. I'd strongly recommend that you defend your wealth against further pound falls, it could be ugly.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, March 11, 2009
U.S. Economic Recovery Goldilocks or More Gloom and Doom? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
William Patalon III writes: When it comes to the U.S. financial crisis, it's tough to know just what to think or who to believe these days. If you want an example, just look at yesterday (Tuesday). Citigroup Inc. ( C ) Chief Executive Officer Vikram S. Pandit revealed that the embattled banking giant was having its best quarter since 2007 , and said that he's confident about Citi's capital strength - statements that unleashed a flood of speculation that the worst of the banking crisis is over.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Economic Depression Investing – Which Currencies to Hide in? / Economics / Investing 2009
The world's a mess and in our eyes policy makers are inadvertently doing their best to worsen a bad situation. Let's assume you've had it and want to hide somewhere safe to ride out the storm. Unfortunately there appears to be no such thing as a safe asset anymore. Therefore you may want to consider taking a diversified approach to something as mundane as cash. Sure, U.S. Treasury Bills are the one “safe” asset – at least by regulation.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, March 10, 2009
Is the Recession Near Bottom? / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
Martin Hutchinson writes: Last week's economic data told us two things. First, this recession is almost certainly going to be the worst since World War II. Second, the pit isn't bottomless; there are faint signs of a landing - although it is still some considerable way further down.
For investors, the prospect of a not-quite-bottomless pit in the United States is unexciting, to say the least, so it's worth looking internationally for areas where the news is rather better.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, March 09, 2009
Debt Relief and Financial System Regulation / Economics / Recession 2008 - 2010
"We've explained the difference between a recession and a depression before. But we'll do it again. A recession is a pause in an otherwise healthy, growing economy. A depression is when the economy drops dead." Bill Bonner, The Daily ReckoningRead full article... Read full article...