Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Saturday, February 12, 2011
A Regime Changer / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Yes, we all know what has been happening in Egypt over the past couple of weeks. Well, maybe most Americans don’t. The TV show ‘American Idol’ is back in season and some nitwit on some other reality show is thinking about changing her eye shadow or something. But for the rest of the world, we are witness to a profound change in the politics of Egypt and that change was brought about by determined and massive citizen dissent.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 10, 2011
Financial Crisis, How Soon the World Forgets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
It is the week of February 07, 2011 and the Dow rests above 12,000 for the first time in three years. The markets have rebounded impressively since March of 2009, when the financial markets struck their lowest lows before a quick surge and near double to today.It is extremely interesting to watch the return to the financial markets and watch as each investment, regardless of its type, surge in price as money flows back into every financial vehicle on the market. AOL just purchased the Huffington Post for several multiples over its revenue in another large scale purchase of online media. The deal, done in all cash, only goes to show how cheap cash actually is. When was the last time any company, especially AOL, pumped out cash in return for 100% ownership?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, February 07, 2011
Stock and Commodity Markets Heading for Summer Break / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
It has been my contention all along that the Fed would print until something breaks. Once that break occurs we will enter the next leg down in the secular bear market. This time I don't expect it to be the credit markets, although we will almost certainly have trouble in the municipal and state bond markets. Some may even default.
I actually think the greater risk is from massive layoffs by state and local governments in an effort to cut expenses and avoid default. When that begins we will see unemployment levels start to spike again.
Sunday, February 06, 2011
Financial Markets Train Smash 2011... / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
For those who have the eyes to see, conditions for a train smash in the financial markets continue to build. This conclusion does not flow from a predisposition on the part of this analyst to be pessimistic. It flows from the facts – some of which have been highlighted in the three previous editorials of this name, and some of which are presented below.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, February 06, 2011
Value of Gold? (vs. currency, oil and stocks) / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Let’s look at the possible value of gold from three angles:
- real money — replacing all paper currency in the world
- energy equivalent value — how much oil can gold buy?
- stock market value — how many S&P 500 index shares can gold buy?
Friday, February 04, 2011
U.S. Citizens Go Global With Your Wealth, Before It’s Too Late / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
David Galland, Managing Director, Casey Research writes: It has been years since I last watched The Matrix, a lapse I corrected last night. As the movie makers intended, the film serves as stark metaphor of the world as we know it.
Or, more appropriately, as we think we know it. If asked, the average citizen of these United States would describe their life in entirely ordinary terms. They work at such-and-such a company, they live in this or that place, they enjoy one activity or another, and so on.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, February 03, 2011
Capital Leaving Middle East Looking For Safe Havens In Hard Assets and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Last week I warned of a flare-up in Egypt and a reversal in oil and gold. The media are transmitting pictures of street scenes in Egypt that for the most part appear benign. However, riptides of anti-Americanism are squirreling ominously beneath the surface. There are reports that El Baredei is to form a unity government with the Muslim Brotherhood. Business leaders, Westerners, and major shipping companies have rerouted their ships away from Egypt. Egypt has been an ally of the United States for more than 30 years but the new leadership may move the country more extreme. President Hosni Mubarek has been "America's Man" at the cost of over a billion dollars a year. During Mubarek's rule Egypt has been at peace with Israel and the US, yet there is now growing anti-Western sentiment. It is a complex situation loaded with large "Black Swans."
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 31, 2011
Why I'm buying US stock index and commodities dips; Gold final move is close / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
January saw US stock indices advance in the face of persistently overbought indicators and some negative divergences.
Investors Intelligence sentiment readings, bullish percent index, ISEE equities only index, distance from 200 day moving average and the VIX volatility ratio all hit readings that historically have meant overbought and a likely market pullback.
Monday, January 31, 2011
Fed Stays the Course as Egypt Unrest Rattles Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: Stocks swaggered through the first four days of the past week with their usual devil-may-care attitude, then tripped into the final three hours on Friday amid scenes of civil unrest in Egypt. At the final count, the Dow Jones Industrials closed down Friday by 1.4%, the S&P 500 fell 1.8%, the Nasdaq fell 2.5% and the Russell 2000 small-caps sank 2.5%.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 31, 2011
Between Monetary Policies, Where are Markets Heading to 2011? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Jaroslaw Suplacz writes: Mutual relations, which characterize markets (to others these may be economic aggregates) allow us to define likely tendencies in specific areas. Firms use these to make strategic decisions regarding the scale and place of production/provision of services, way of financing, the way settlements with clients are done, the costs of introducing new products to the market etc. Investment banks and funds by the following defined steps and by making their own assessments allocate both their own investments and those entrusted to them.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Stock Market SPX Reverses from Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The FDIC Expands the Problem Bank List. - The FDIC Failed Bank List announced four new bank closures this week. Before BankUnited FSB collapsed in May 2009, employees lit candles and prayed that Florida's biggest bank would survive the bad loans it made before the housing bubble burst. The miracle came in the form of Uncle Sam, or more precisely, the Federal Deposit Insurance Corp., which sold the failed BankUnited to a group of Wall Street financiers led by a longtime New York banker. The FDIC agreed to reimburse as much as $10.5 billion in future loan losses—and gave the new owners $2.2 billion in cash. The buyers paid $945 million.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 30, 2011
Friday’s Panic in the Stock Market S&P 500 and Gold Futures / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Mr. Market has thrown traders a few curve balls lately as precious metals and crude oil have been selling off while the U.S. Dollar Index futures were consolidating. Additionally, the volatility index has been very choppy and was indicating that we could be seeing a potential change in the underlying trend with regards to future price action. In previous articles that I have proffered, I was warning about a likely correction in gold and equities as prices were extremely overbought and both asset classes were due for pullbacks.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 29, 2011
Smart Money is Still Leaving Stock Market as Retail Money is Coming Back / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
U.S. Consumer Sentiment Falls Less Than Forecast - (Bloomberg) Confidence among U.S. consumers fell less than expected in January, a signal the biggest part of the economy may extend gains from late 2010. The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan final index of consumer sentiment decreased to 74.2 from 74.5 in December. The median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey called for a reading of 73.3, up from a preliminary figure of 72.7 issued earlier this month.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 28, 2011
The Fed Effect, Full Spectrum Dominance of Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Dual mandates of Maximum Employment and Price Stability are noble headline goals of the Federal Reserve.
Unfortunately, over a long period of time, the perceptibly infinite concentrations of power in concert with the short comings of human nature has inflated the Federal Reserve System into an all-powerful godlike entity to both fear, and worship.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 27, 2011
Inflation to cool soon, Metal & Commodities to correct further / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
No. This is mere healthy pullback. This correction will drive out weak holders from the market, presenting fresh buying opportunity at lower levels.
I have not changed my long term outlook about Gold by one iota.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 25, 2011
BubbleOmics Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts for the Year of the Rabbit / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
On 4th February 2011 the Year of The Tiger transforms to The Year of The Rabbit. If you believe in Chinese horoscopes the “Rabbit” is going to be a walk-in-the-park compared to all the excitement of the past two years.
http://www.theholidayspot.com/chinese_new_year/more_zodiacs/rabbit.htm
Of course, when you consult with soothsayers it’s a good idea to read around a bit and get a second opinion. I saw that I Ching says, “In the year of the Rabbit without concentration you will fail”. So the secret to success presumably, is “laid-back-concentration”?
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, January 24, 2011
Current State of the Stock and Commodity Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
I’ve been forecasting a Mid January top in the SP 500 (Us Markets) for multiple weeks now well in advance. My work had looked for 1285 as a minimal upside rally from the 1173 4th wave lows. The range was 1285-1315, we have been to 1296 but that pretty much should have capped off the rally. Here are some further thoughts:
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, January 23, 2011
Shanghai Interbank Offered Rate Soars to 7.5%, Could Trigger Stock Market Flash Crash / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The FDIC Expands the Problem Bank List.
The FDIC Failed Bank List announced four new bank closures this week. The FDIC said in November that its list of “problem” banks -- those at heightened risk of failure -- grew by 3.7 percent to 860 in the third quarter, the most in 17 years. Banks on the confidential list had $379.2 billion in assets as of Sept. 30, down from $403 billion three months earlier.
Saturday, January 22, 2011
Gold Moves Lower as Stocks Reach Their Key Resistance Level - What's Next? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
In our previous free essay we’ve mentioned that mining stocks are at a particularly important crossroad, and whichever they decide to move is likely to determine the way for the underlying metals as well. In the following article we will put another factor into the equation – the general stock market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 21, 2011
Despite The Awakening Beast, Profit & Protect with a Portfolio Essential / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“The U.S. Dollar is being devalued by the Federal Reserve…
QE2 is nothing more than devaluation of the dollar for the benefit of only Wall Street Money Center Banks. This is a fraud on the American people who will get nothing from QE2, not jobs, no reduction of their debts, no increase in the values of their homes, no reduction of taxes, no cash, nothing.” Robert McHugh, McHugh’s Weekend Market Newsletter, 1/14/11
Read full article... Read full article...