Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, January 20, 2011
Marc Faber Says Own Stocks, Gold & Silver, Farm Land and Short Government Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
2011 has started on an unexpected note. Emerging markets have come down and developed markets, like Europe and the US, have scaled up.
It was not entirely unexpected to me because since March 2009, emerging markets have significantly outperformed developed ones and through easy monetary policies in the US, we created bubbles in the emerging economies, particularly in terms of inflation. So, the emerging economies, having this excessive liquidity and high inflation, have to tighten here, or let inflation go and have problems later on. So some money is flowing out of emerging economies.
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Thursday, January 20, 2011
Panic Selling Hits Stock Market, Silver Is Next! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Today the stock market bled out with a river of red candles. All of the recent gains vanished in one session. Strong selling volume sessions like this are typically a warning sign that distribution selling is starting to enter the market.
Distribution selling is when the big money players start unloading large positions in anticipation of a market top. They do try to hide it by selling into good news or earnings when the average investors are buying into all the hype of better than expected earnings on the news. As average investors jump into the market because of the good news, this extra liquidity helps the big money players (banks, hedge funds, etc..) sell large amounts of their positions to the eager buyers. This is why the “buy on rumor and sell on the news” saying is kicked around wall street….
Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Marc Faber Mature Economies To Beat Emerging Markets, Food Inflation Worrying / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Marc Faber on CNBC-TV18 : Mature economies To Beat Emerging Markets, Food Inflation Worrying
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Wednesday, January 19, 2011
Four Financial Farces… All of Which Will End in Disaster / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
At this point the news out of the financial world is more insane than… well, anything.
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Tuesday, January 18, 2011
Market Turning Points, Here We Go Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Humans, for whatever reason, tend to project the past into the future. It is an emotional flaw in our genetic makeup. It is also the reason why so many otherwise intelligent people miss the big turning points in the economy and stock market.
A classic example occurred in the summer of `07. The sub-prime market was just starting to implode. With the benefit of hindsight we now know that was the beginning of the end for not only the stock market but the global economy.
Monday, January 17, 2011
Bearish Gold Wave Patterns and Stock Market SP 500 Near The Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
My most recent forecasts for the SP 500 and Gold have been calling for interim peaks in both around Mid- January. Gold, I told my subscribers a few weeks ago, was definitely topping and likely to drop now to $1270-$1280 per ounce before resuming the Bull Market advance. The SP 500 I have forecasted a 1285-1315 topping area since the 1175 pivot lows on that index, and we are very close as well in that regard.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
Emerging Markets Are The Future, The U.S. Dollar And Euro Are Doomed! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Over the past several years I’ve repeatedly given you major warnings on several critical issues affecting all of us.
Chief among them have been the ongoing devaluation of the U.S. dollar … the phenomenal rise of China and emerging markets … how the seeds of inflation were being sown … and warnings of imminent rampant price rises in food, energy and consumer staples.
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Monday, January 17, 2011
2011 Investment Commentary, Specific Sectors, When to Sell Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
2011 will likely start a bit bumpy as the market works off its overbought condition setting the stage for a nice rally to begin in February leading up to the end of QE2 sometime in the second quarter. The second half of 2011 should feature a sideways move into 2012.
I think Financial stocks will continue to underperform. Looking back after the tech bubble many companies never saw their stock prices recover (Cisco, Intel, Dell, Yahoo, and Microsoft are examples). There are still a number of questions concerning foreclosures and a black swan in terms of the balance sheet pricing from the FASB/IFRS.
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Saturday, January 15, 2011
Two of 2011's Surest Bets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Porter Stansberry writes: When I talk about "The End of America," I don't mean the end of our political union (although I won't rule that out). I'm talking about the end of the U.S. dollar as the world's reserve currency.
So how will it unfold? That's what people keep asking me.
Saturday, January 15, 2011
Stocks rise as outflows resume, Gold investors are surprised by the decline. / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
New Year Unemployment Claims Surge.
(ZeroHedge) Thursday's initial claims number throws cold water to all those who expected the trend in claims to be improving. At 445K, this was a huge miss to expectations of 410K, and a major deterioration from last week's (upwardly revised of course) 410K (was 409K before). Elsewhere, continuing claims came at 3,879K on expectations of 4,088K (with the previous naturally revised higher as well from 4,103K to 4,127K). And the kicker: in NSA terms initial claims were a mammoth 770,413, a 191,686 increase in just one week, and the highest NSA number in one year!
Thursday, January 13, 2011
2011, Another Year of Living Dangerously / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
If the crisis has a single lesson, it is that the too-big-to-fail problem must be solved” Ben Bernanke. September 2, 1010
“It is unconscionable that the fate of the world economy should be so closely tied to the fortunes of a relatively small number of giant financial firms. If we achieve nothing else in the wake of the crisis, we must ensure that we never again face such a situation.” Ben Bernanke. March 20, 2010
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Wednesday, January 12, 2011
Socrates on Portugals Debt Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
"Portugal will not request financial aid for the simple reason that it’s not necessary" – Socrates
Of course, that was Jose Socrates, Portugal’s Prime Minister, not Σωκρτης the great Philospoher, who was more famous for saying "False words are not only evil in themselves, but they infect the soul with evil" as well as "True knowledge exists in knowing that you know nothing." More apropos for this morning is the more famous Scocrates’ more famous observation that "True wisdom comes to each of us when we realize how little we understand about life, ourselves, and the world around us."
Wednesday, January 12, 2011
10 Forecasts for 2011 – Gold, Dollar, Stocks, Politics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
What’s in store for the economy and world at large in 2011? First let’s admit that short-term predictions are a crapshoot. Still, I have been able to nail about 80% of mine over the past few years and I find the process valuable in determining my overall investment strategy for the year.
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Tuesday, January 11, 2011
Gold and Markets Forecasts 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Welcome to 2011 from GoldOz and we wish you a healthy & prosperous year.
There is an old joke about being kept in the dark and fed manure – about people being treated like mushrooms. The joke refers to how mushrooms are grown, in moist dark conditions however they are not fed manure anymore …yet people still are. The knowledge that corporations and governments have been treating clients and their constituents in this manner is perhaps why the Wikkileaks blog is so popular. Wikkileaks is supported by some high profile people. It is causing embarrassment to people in high places and is of great interest to large numbers of people. It appears education and disclosure are well sought – there is big demand. People need and sometimes want to know the truth and they certainly need to learn financial intelligence.
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Monday, January 10, 2011
Investment Markets Outlook 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
EQUITY MARKETS
After two strong years equity markets are sitting in a slightly overbought status. Technical indicators are flashing 'pause' and sentiment indicators are in areas which usually precede a correction. Looking back over some historical indicators there is reason to be bullish for 2011.
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Monday, January 10, 2011
Stock Market Current Trend and Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
There is nothing complicated or confusing about the current market trend(s). Let's go directly to the SPX Daily Chart, and I'll show you why.
This is a linear chart, with only the closes and not the intra-day highs and lows, making it easier to see the trends. Note that the various trends are all confined to channels which are all labeled according to their time span.
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Sunday, January 09, 2011
Stock Market SPX Repelled by Cycle Top Resistance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The FDIC Starts off a New Year.
The FDIC Failed Bank List announced two new bank closures this week. A subscriber sent me this video on the IndyMac Bank Closure. It appears that the FDIC is doing much more than protecting depositors’ money.
Charting Three Decades Of The Exponential December BLS Seasonal Adjustment
Saturday, January 08, 2011
Are stocks overvalued and overloved? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Employment Situation in December Disappoints.
The unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage point to 9.4 percent in December, and nonfarm payroll employment increased by 103,000, the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics reported today. Employment rose in leisure and hospitality and in health care but was little changed in other major industries.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
The Dismal U.S. Jobs Report Is Not Important! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Another month - another disappointment in the employment picture.
But it doesn’t matter! The economic recovery continues. Employment is a lagging indicator.
Saturday, January 08, 2011
Macro-Trends – Keys to Macro Profits in 2011, Gold and Silver Ultimate Wealth Protection / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“Nothing has changed fundamentally to improve the outlook for the U.S. economy. It remains in a protracted downturn that has started to deepen anew and that shows no signs of sustainable economic recovery in the year ahead…
…the economy in 2011 should remain much weaker than generally is expected, with ongoing negative implications for systemic solvency, for the federal budget deficit and for U.S. Treasury fundings. Such also implies a likely accelerating expansion of the Federal Reserve’s "quantitative easing," reflecting active monetization of U.S. Treasury debt and debasement of the U.S. dollar.