Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Saturday, March 05, 2011
Inimical Inflation, Why we are Bearish / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
Why are we bearish?
We like to go bearish when the market is testing the top of its channel as there is generally a higher percentage probability that we drop than we pop back over. Secondly, as I mentioned yesterday, it's not just the Federal Reserve that is in denial but the commodity speculators, the equity investors and even the bond investors as the ALL believe they are going to get paid while MATH says that's not even remotely possible.
Saturday, March 05, 2011
Pivotal Events for Gold, Commodities and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: The_Gold_Report
"Any investors willing to bet that the commodities boom is running out of steam may need both courage and patience. Major mining companies have wagered more than US$110B on the opposite view." -Financial Post,
"Consumer Confidence in U.S. Increases to Three-Month High" -Bloomberg,
"U.S. treasury secretary: poor financial regulation in Britain fueled financial crisis." -Telegraph,
Friday, March 04, 2011
Stock and Currency Market Triangle Price Patterns Pending Breakouts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Stock indices in Asia and major currency pairs are closing in on the conclusions of large triangles that have been in formation since around 2008.
Thursday, March 03, 2011
Gold, Silver, Crude Oil, SP500 and Dollar Long Term Trends / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Trading with multiple time frames - Every now and then it’s always a good idea to look at some different time frames to be sure you have a solid understanding for the longer term trends in play. I will admit that it’s easy to get caught up in trading the shorter time frames like the 1, 10, and 60 minute charts especially when there are large intraday movements. But every night you must reset your thinking by looking at the bigger picture.
Wednesday, March 02, 2011
The Math is Different at the Top / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Ashvin_Pandurangi
It's Not Rocket Science.
It's just basic arithmetic. 2+2 = 4 ...
Privately-owned central banks + discretionary monetary policy = systemic corruption/oppression.
If the Food & Drug Administration had 100% of its shares owned by private pharmaceutical companies, and, a few months after implementing some radical new regulatory directives, these companies began making record profits and their executives receiving record bonuses, then it wouldn't be too difficult to understand why.
Monday, February 28, 2011
Gold, Dollar, Stocks & Sentiment at Major Market Pivot Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
So far 2011 has been an interesting to say the least. Stocks and commodities have been jumping around with high volatility generating mixed trading signals. This choppy price action typically indicates trends are in their late stages. The late stages of a trend is very difficult to trade because volatility rises meaning larger day to day price swings, and at any time the price could either drop like a rock or go parabolic surging higher in value. Generally the largest moves take place during the final 10% of trend, but with a sharp rise in price keep in mind the day to day gyrations are much larger than normal, hence the false buy and sell signals back to back on some investment vehicles.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Stocks Test Support, Gold Broadening Top, China Stalls as USD Tests Lows Again / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The FDIC Average Weekly Closures May be Rising.
The FDIC Failed Bank List announced only one new bank closure this week. U.S. regulators said they seized a failed Illinois bank Friday, the second from that state this year. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corp. said it received Valley Community Bank of St. Charles, Ill., and entered a purchase-and-assumption agreement with First State Bank of Mendota, Ill., to take over the failed bank.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
U.S. Treasury Bonds, Yen, Euro and Dollar Chart Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Justin_John
Treasury: Close to entering a long term bear market on US treasury on 10 year duration. We believe the COT captures the true picture of the developing situation in the US as FED moves in with QE3 which will be close to $400-500 billion of asset purchase. COT for week ended Feb 26 indicates that shorts have increased their position with nearly 148k contracts shorted, an increase of 32k new shorts for the week.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Fibonacci and the Pricing Mechanism of Financial Markets, S&P500 and US Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: David_Knox_Barker
Evidence is mounting that the pricing mechanism of global markets creates spontaneous order out of the chaos of billions of people pursuing their self-interested purpose. Arriving at a price for products, services and financial assets is the heart of this process. There are successes and failures in every round of pricing, which are priced into the next cycle of human action in global markets.
Saturday, February 26, 2011
Stock Market Topping, Treasuries Recovering and Gold is on a Tear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Initial Claims Drop 22K To 391K, On Expectations Of 405K, Durable Goods Collapse - (ZeroHedge) Initial Claims, which were obviously revised higher from 410K to 413K, dropped well below expectations, printing at 391K, on expectations of 405K. With claims continuing to hug the 400K line, this means that unfortunately the economy is not creating nearly enough jobs: as a reminder per the CBO, the US needs to create over 100K jobs a month just to stay in line with population growth. Continuing claims dropped from an (upward) revised 3935K to 3790K, as more and more people hit the 6 month continuing benefits cliff. They also are hitting the end of their 99 week extension period: those on extended benefits dropped by -111,087. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 25, 2011
Stocks SPX Index, Crude Oil, Silver Technical and Geopolitical Risks Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
“You can’t lose what you don’t put in the middle.” Mike McDermott, Rounders
While this week was shortened due to the President’s Day holiday, it has been quite a ride for traders and investors. The 24 hour news cycle certainly intensifies current market conditions as any news focusing on oil or the Middle East protests moves markets. Thursday the International Energy Agency came out and indicated that the expected drawdown in crude oil supplies coming from Libya was being exaggerated. Immediately upon the release of this information light sweet crude oil got hammered and stocks rallied from day lows.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 25, 2011
Gain from Chaos Investing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Yes, you.
And Trichet, and the rest of the Central Bank fools.
But especially you, Bernanke.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, February 22, 2011
Stock Rising on "Rivers of Blood" / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
"Libya is at a crossroads. If we do not agree today on reforms....rivers of blood will run through Libya.
We will take up arms...we will fight to the last bullet.
We will destroy seditious elements.
If everybody is armed, it is civil war, we will kill each other.
Libya is not Egypt, it is not Tunisia"- Saif al-Islam Kadhafi, 38 (Moamer's son)
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, February 18, 2011
Investor Wealth Preservation and Enhancement via Reality Checks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Ron Paul has written a book, End the Fed, well known in these circles. We have a better idea: Stiff the Fed.
In case you missed it, the financial cable network CNBC actually produced something informative a little while ago. It listed our 15 biggest creditors, the entities to which the captive citizens of the United Snakes of America owes money…
We owe Japan $877.2 billion. China ranks a measly third: they've been shedding U.S. debt like crazy, converting it to stuff we used to do, like mineral and oil production, but they're still just a hair shy of a trillion, $895.6 billion to be precise.
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Thursday, February 17, 2011
Nature Of The Game Elongation, Not Alteration / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Charlie_Tarango
There has been much debate and dialogue about the actions of the Central Banks and the US Federal Reserve in particular. The basic Opinion falls into two camps: Opposition to these actions; and Support for these actions. The real questions however, are what will be the ultimate affect of these actions, and what is their true purpose.
Wednesday, February 16, 2011
Sell American, Buffett Is / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Brady_Willett
In an October 16, 2008 op-ed entitled ‘Buy American. I Am’, Warren Buffett revealed that he was moving his own wealth into equities, adding that “If prices keep looking attractive, my non-Berkshire net worth will soon be 100 percent in United States equities.” Coming from someone that regularly contends he never tries to time the markets, this was easily Buffett’s most bullish call since October 1974. And while it would take and additional 5-months before stocks would reach a ‘bottom’, it is now safe to conclude that Buffett, once again, was right.
Tuesday, February 15, 2011
Bull Bear Market Report / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Steven_Vincent
US equity markets have continued to make higher weekly closing highs, climbing relentlessly in defiance of calls for a pullback or a resumption of the bear market. Treasuries broke down from a month long consolidation and resumed their downtrend as capital continued to exit the perceived safety of fixed income for risk assets. Gold appears to have completed a correction of its recent decline and may be set to join Treasuries in a downtrend as investors exit safe haven plays.
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Monday, February 14, 2011
Bear Season in Stocks S&P 500 and Crude Oil / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: J_W_Jones
Mr. Market has had an appetite for S&P 500 bears for several months now. In each instance in which the bears think they are going to get away, Mr. Market draws up his high powered rifle and drops the bears just before they can comfortably return to their caves. Just when the bears think they have escaped and are home free, Mr. Market reminds them who is in charge.
Monday, February 14, 2011
US Dollar Currency Expectations and Stock Market Cycle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: readtheticker
The funny thing about cycles is they repeat, as expected, just like clock work. While the bull bear debate rages, eventually price aligns to the dominate cycle. Cycles gain respect when they statistically demand it. A market analyst also must give respect to inter market analysis for the same reason. Inter market analysis is the study of a market (say US Dollar) that has a high correlation or influence over another (say Stock Market). Therefore it is wise to do the same with cycles, one must consider the dominate cycle of each market to see if they concur or conflict with other markets that they correlate with.
Saturday, February 12, 2011
Mubarak Resigns, Bonds Rally / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Consumer Sentiment in U.S. Increases to Eight-Month High
(Bloomberg) Confidence among U.S. consumers increased in February to the highest level in eight months, a sign falling unemployment and rising stock prices may be comforting households.
The Thomson Reuters/University of Michigan preliminary index of consumer sentiment for the month climbed to 75.1 from 74.2 in January. Economists projected the gauge would rise to 75, according to the median forecast in a Bloomberg News survey.