Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, June 29, 2018
Where the U.S. Dollar Will Go Next / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Troy_Bombardia
For a long time I said that “Money Flow” determines a currency pair’s direction. But I’ve never been able to quantify that concept using an indicator. I’ve tried various things over the years: inflation differentials, interest rate differentials, etc. All of these were commonly accepted theories but were disproven in the light of historical data.
From Ed Yardeni’s book “Predicting the Markets”, we can now quantify the idea behind Money Flow:
On a 12 month basis, the United States has been running widening trade deficits for decades. The trade deficit of the U.S. must equal the trade surplus of the rest of the world. So the 12 month change of non-gold international reserves held by all central banks (excluding the Federal Reserve) minus the trade surplus of the rest of the world should be a proxy for capital inflows (and outflows) to the rest of the world from the U.S.
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Tuesday, June 26, 2018
Sound Money Needed Now More Than Ever / Currencies / Fiat Currency
By: MoneyMetals
The sound money movement reemerged on the national political scene a decade ago. In 2008, the financial crisis brought in a fresh wave of U.S. gold and silver investors.
Ron Paul and the Tea Party advocated for limiting government and ending the Federal Reserve system. Sound money advocates made real inroads in recruiting Americans to their cause based on evidence that the nation is headed for bankruptcy.
The implications of the most recent financial crisis went way beyond budget and finance.
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Saturday, June 23, 2018
A Trade War Won’t Be Good for the US Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Peter_Schiff
On Wall Street, it's best not to think too hard or to look too closely into the mouths of gift horses. Since making predictions based on actual economic understanding is rare, analysts typically look to provide explanations after the fact. Within the financial services industry, currency traders are perhaps the greatest practitioners of this craft. While they often get the fundamentals completely wrong, it never seems to stop them from offering bizarre theories to explain currency movements.
Friday, June 22, 2018
US Dollar Index Technical Analysis / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Austin_Galt
Previous analysis updated – price has continued rallying right up to the previous swing high and I believe the 2018 top was made today at 95.22. The expectation of a mini crash in the second half of the year remains unchanged.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 21, 2018
Things You Need To Know If You Want To Invest In Bitcoin Now / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
2017 was a wonderful year for Bitcoin but 2018 did not yet live up to initially set expectations. Basically, people that are specialized in Bitcoin and crytpocurrency investments are now divided. Investing in Bitcoin is something so many are interested in but before you do this, there are some things that you absolutely have to know.
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Wednesday, June 20, 2018
EURUSD: Why the "Next Day or Two" are Critical / Currencies / Euro
By: EWI
An Open House insight from our Currency Pro Service editor
Every week, our Currency Pro Service editor, Jim Martens, records a new video focusing on EURUSD, USDJPY and other markets. Learn why "the next day or two" should determine the next move in the euro in this clip from Jim's June 17 video.
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Tuesday, June 19, 2018
Short-term Turnaround in Bitcoin Might Not Be What You Think / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
The last couple of weeks have been disheartening for Bitcoin bulls. The currency has been on a move down. Is this about to end? The answer to this question determines whether the profits on our hypothetical positions are about to grow.
News has come out that the recent move down might be over. In an article on the Forbes website, we read:
The plunge began Sunday, with several factors possibly feeding into it, including a cyber-heist that hit South Korea’s Coinrail cryptocurrency exchange—even though no bitcoins were stolen—and a U.S. regulatory probe into Bitcoin price manipulation.
Monday, June 18, 2018
Ethereum & Bitcoin: First Sign of Unravelling Cryptos / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Ryan_Wilday
In articles starting in April I discussed the bullish impulse we had seen off the April lows for nearly every coin I track. And, I discussed how the lows on May 28 were testing levels that, if broken, threatened the continuation of that impulse.
Unfortunately, as of writing, those levels have broken. These levels were $7075 in bitcoin (BTC-USD) and $505 in ethereum (ETH-USD). And, while we have a few outliers in the cryptocurrency, most coins are following suit.
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Saturday, June 16, 2018
Respite for Bitcoin Traders Might Be Deceptive / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
Bitcoin has been denying the bullish ideas of some of the investors for some time now. At the moment, the currency is in a particularly important zone. One specific move out from this area could result in extreme moves, boosting profits on our hypothetical positions.
Bitcoin is still going down. As always, there is an explanation for every move. In an article on CNBC, we read:
The digital currency fell to a low of $6,133.31 as of 1 p.m. ET, according to data from CoinDesk. Bitcoin has lost half its value this year after skyrocketing to almost $20,000 in December.
Saturday, June 16, 2018
Bitcoin Price To $0 Or $1 Million In One Year? Video / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: GoldCore
– Bitcoin price in one year (June 2019)?
– Bitcoin at $10,000 is the call of majority of MoneyConf poll participants
– Bears see bitcoin at $0 while uber bulls see $100k/$1m (incl. Max Keiser)
– Is binary and “bitcoin will likely go to zero or go much higher”
– “Which cryptocurrency are you betting on in 2019?” – MoneyConf poll asks
Friday, June 15, 2018
The Euro Crashed Yesterday. Bearish for Euro and Bullish for USD / Currencies / Euro
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Euro crashed yesterday on the ECB’s meeting. This is the worst 1 day crash since June 2016 (Brexit).
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Wednesday, June 06, 2018
USD IS POINTING HIGHER IN THE SHORT TERM / Currencies / US Dollar
By: Enda_Glynn
UPCOMING RISK EVENTS:
USD: Crude Oil Inventories.
EUR: N/A.
GBP: N/A.
JPY: N/A.
Wednesday, June 06, 2018
Respite for Bitcoin Traders Might Be Deceptive / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
There seems to be some respite for Bitcoin traders. It might be tempting to take this breather as a sign of the tide turning. We highlight the reasons why you probably shouldn’t.
In the last couple of days, Bitcoin has gone up a bit. This has brought questions if the current move is only a correction within a decline or already an important sign of a shift in the market. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Bitcoin looks primed for a move to $8,000, but low trading volumes point to the risk of a bull trap.
The cryptocurrency broke through a key descending trendline (drawn through the May 6 high to the May 21 high) on Sunday, adding credence to last Tuesday's bullish outside-day candle and signaling a short-term bearish-to-bullish trend change.
Wednesday, June 06, 2018
Bottom Holds in Bitcoin, Ethereum: Price Must Prove Sentiments / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Ryan_Wilday
Last week in my article, "A bottom in the crypto market, or more blood-letting?" I suggested that a bottom could be imminent, or that we had bottomed. I often look to our bellwethers, Bitcoin(BTC-USD) and Ethereum (ETH-USD), as signals for the larger crypto market.
I wanted to see $7085 hold in bitcoin and $495 in Ethereum. On May 28, bitcoin hit $7075, a nominal break and ethereum $505. So far, those levels have held, and we appear to have set up bullishly. As long as they do, we have a very bullish setup - the five-wave pattern off the April lows, which suggests this wave ii we believe bottomed that proceeds a larger third wave rally.
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Monday, June 04, 2018
The Next Phase Of The Blockchain Revolution / Currencies / BlockChain
By: OilPrice_Com
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Sunday, June 03, 2018
Zimbabwe High Court Overturns Reserve Bank’s Decision To Ban Cryptocurrency / Currencies / BlockChain
By: Jeff_Berwick
In a stunning display of cryptocurrency’s potential to liberate humanity, Zimbabwe just lifted its ban on the digital money after its own Reserve Bank failed to appear in court to defend themselves.
It all began on May 12 when the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) arrogantly “issued a directive to all financial institutions to stop all forms of transactions related to cryptocurrencies and to wind down all accounts tied to cryptocurrencies within 60 days.”
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Thursday, May 31, 2018
What Happens Next When the Euro Falls 6 Weeks in a Row / Currencies / Euro
By: Troy_Bombardia
The Euro has been going down recently.
- The EURUSD is already down 6 weeks in a row.
- If it closes lower this Friday than it did last Friday, the EURUSD will be down 7 weeks on a row.
Thursday, May 31, 2018
If Bitcoin Is A Fraud, So Too Is The Dow Jones Industrial Average / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Below is a chart of the ETF that tracks the value of bitcoin, GBTC, and the Dow Jones Industrial average for one year ending 4/29/18. One can easily see the correlation. They are the same chart. Maybe GBTC leads the Dow in direction. If so, GBTC is going lower while the last Federal Reserve instigated rally only turned ugly today with a near 400-point selloff. Let’s review.
As I have been writing, America has been stripped of everything including a ‘market’ of stocks and the ability of investors to realize price discovery. The Fed is in charge of that. Forget Elliot Wave or fundamentals or anything else. That stuff only applies to real market behavior. Technical patterns only matter because the Fed manipulates them to keep us playing along.
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Wednesday, May 30, 2018
Beginning of the end for the EURO Project / Currencies / Euro
By: Enda_Glynn
Fundamental analysts are all scratching their heads these days!
How can USDJPY be declining rapidly,
All the while EURUSD and GBPUSD are accelerating lower also.
So the USD is both weakening and strengthening at the same time!!
This does not compute in fundamental analysis.
However,
It is perfectly acceptable, and even predictable, with Elliott wave analysis!
And the reason is simple;
The USD is correcting lower against the YEN,
While;
The EURO and Cable are both declining against the USD in a trend move.
Wednesday, May 30, 2018
Outlook Shifting in Predictable Ways for Bitcoin / Currencies / Bitcoin
By: Mike_McAra
As Bitcoin is going down, we’re seeing more and more information on how the currency is in a precarious position or how the prospects of the currency is bleak. But what interests traders the most is if the recent developments have changed anything in the current outlook. And we provide you with our answer to this question. One our readers have known for some time now.
The media seem to have noticed that Bitcoin has depreciated. More Bitcoin-oriented outlets might even focus on market-specific events such as technical developments. In an article on CoinDesk, we read:
Bitcoin risks closing below the 50-week moving average (MA) – an important long-term support not breached for over two-and-a-half years.