Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, June 21, 2010
British Pound GBP/USD Testing Long Term 76.4% Support / Currencies / British Pound
The downtrend in GBP/USD tested a long term 76.4% retracement level, where the initial reaction has been positive, though muted so far. There are certain levels on the Daily chart that must be negotiated before we are able to look for a better recovery phase.
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Monday, June 21, 2010
Chinese Yuan Bent But Not Bowed, Trade War Still On / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
The currency issue has been a constant tension in relations between the United States and China. Many analysts had expected the Chinese central bank to announce a one-off revaluation in the yuan to appease critics of the exchange rate policy.
However, on Sunday, the People's Bank of China (PBOC) has ruled out the one-off revaluation that US politicians had sought. This was seen as a largely political move to deflect criticism of its fixed exchange rate ahead of the G20 meeting next week.
Sunday, June 20, 2010
China Announces Yuan Exchange Rate Flexibility / Currencies / China Currency Yuan
So China has just announced that it will "Further Reform the RMB Exchange Rate Regime and Enhance the RMB Exchange Rate Flexibility". See the full statement here.
Friday, June 18, 2010
Euro Declines on a Sea of Bankruptcy and Paper Promises / Currencies / Euro
Richard Daughty writes: Do you ever get the feeling that you are in some kind of weird dream, where someone is holding a pillow over your face so that you can’t breathe, and you can dimly hear your children asking, “Is he dead yet, mom?” and I am thrashing around and yelling out, “No, I’m not dead, you morons!” but nobody is paying attention? Me, too!
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Euro Stabilized as Worst Credit Fears Subside / Currencies / Euro
The Euro appears to be relatively stable this week, with a current rate of $1.2304. It actually reached a Wednesday morning (June 16) high of $1.2355 before receding a bit in the mid morning trade.
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Thursday, June 17, 2010
Mr. Denninger and Gold, A Rebuttal to All Fiat Money Apologists / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The last post saw almost a holy war break out between the opposing camps of paper-bugs and the gold bugs (truth-bugs, really) resulting in a record number of comments (1) (645 at last count) the highest for any post on ZH – ever (pending Marla’s confirmation of course. Where are you, Marla?). I wish to thank everybody who participated in the discussion for their insightful comments and feedback.
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Saturday, June 12, 2010
The U.S. Dollar’s Bull Market Is Just Getting Started! / Currencies / US Dollar
The dollar index has surged 20 percent since last November. And this week, it was sniffing around its 2009 high!
That’s pretty impressive, especially given that the 2009 high was driven by an across the board, global flight to the dollar … underpinned by one of the worst combinations of financial crisis and global economic recession on record.
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Friday, June 11, 2010
Attacking Eurozone Core, USD Index and Swiss Knife / Currencies / Forex Trading
The 1.2% decline in US April retail sales deals a rude awakening to the low-volume rally in equities as well as the recent bounce in the euro. Just when EURUSD was attempting to make its 4th daily increase (EUR hasnt had more than 3 straight daily gains since December), the risk aversion stands in the way. EURUSD would have had to close Friday above $1.21 in order to overcome its inability to post 4 consecutive daily gains this year.
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Friday, June 11, 2010
It's Time to Close Out Your Short Euro Trade / Currencies / Euro
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: Six months ago, in my newsletter True Wealth, I told readers it was time to bet against the euro:
This type of opportunity doesn't come along very often. It's time to bet against the euro. It's overpriced. A mountain of factors is against it. And a downtrend has been established – so it's time to make the trade.
Friday, June 11, 2010
ECB Inflexibly Flexible, A Turning Point for the Euro? / Currencies / Euro
Following the European Central Bank's (ECB) press conference following its monthly meeting, President Trichet's main task was to boost credibility. As Trichet makes abundantly clear, the ECB is"inflexibly attached to price stability." To achieve its goal, however, he could have added the ECB needs to be inflexibly flexible. When quizzed on the ECB bond purchase program, a program that may take the ECB down a slippery road of money printing should it not be properly neutralized, Trichet discussed three elements: the purpose, the design and observation of the program.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
Russia Clings onto Euro Currency Reserves Despite Plunge / Currencies / Euro
Russia still trusts the European currency, Prime Minister Vladimir Putin told Agence France-Presse and France 2 TV channel prior to his visit to Paris.
“We trust and believe in the euro. We wouldn’t keep so much of our reserves, gold and foreign currency reserves in the European currency otherwise,” Putin said.
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Thursday, June 10, 2010
U.S. Dollar's Days are Numbered / Currencies / US Dollar
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: The U.S. dollar has been one of the world's strongest currencies in the first part of 2010, posting double-digit gains through the end of May.
And little wonder. The Greek debt crisis continues to threaten Europe's overall health, and could unleash an entirely new contagion on the rest of the global economy. Then there's China, - the engine of world growth during much of the financial crisis - which now appears to face the near-term triple threat of slowing growth, accelerating inflation and workplace unrest. Add in concerns about commodity prices and global debt levels and it's easy to see why currency investors have sought the safe haven of the U.S. dollar.
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Wednesday, June 09, 2010
New Financial world 2012 and the End of Days Prophecy / Currencies / US Dollar
We talked several months ago about how our estimate of when the USD really hits the fan came to be around 2012. That was an accident, not intentional. We mentioned then that we found that very intriguing. That is because the USD is so central to our present financial world that, if it fell apart, the outcomes would be so severe that the financial world, and even just how money works, would be turned upside down.
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Tuesday, June 08, 2010
Weaker Euro May Kill Russian Ruble and Industry / Currencies / Fiat Currency
The dollar rate may drop from the current level of 31 to 28 rubles per dollar by the end of 2012, whereas the Russian ruble may grow against major currencies of the world by 20 percent, a report from the Ministry for the Economic Development of the Russian Federation said. The growth of the Russian currency may occur even faster due to the weakening of the euro, the ministry’s moderately optimistic forecast for 2011-2013 said.
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Monday, June 07, 2010
Why a Rising U.S. Dollar Is Horrible News for China / Currencies / US Dollar
Tom Dyson writes: Hugh Hendry is the famous British hedge-fund manager who predicted the banking crisis and made 40% in 2008. Every few months, Hendry writes a letter to his investors, called the Eclectica Monthly Letter. It's among the best financial commentary you'll find anywhere on the Internet.
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Saturday, June 05, 2010
Stock Market Trend Important Signals for Currency Investors / Currencies / Forex Trading
Currencies represent the truest reflection of economic fundamentals and market sentiment. Therefore, they continue to be an important segment of the financial markets to watch.
Since the “flash crash” in the U.S. stock market on May 6, most market pundits and financial media have had their eyes glued to the euro for explanations on stock market activity.
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Saturday, June 05, 2010
U.S. Dollar Soars Against Crumbling Euro as Hungary Next for Debt Default Bailout / Currencies / US Dollar
The situation in Europe is taking a turn for the worse as the Prime Minister of Hungary says Hungarian economy is in a "very grave situation and talk of a default is not an exaggeration".
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Saturday, June 05, 2010
Prechter Bearish on Euro and Gold / Currencies / Euro
The euro's recent loss has been the dollar's gain, which means that it's not the best time to buy the U.S. dollar. Meanwhile, the most popular alternative to currencies, gold, isn't such a good buy either. Watch the second excerpt from Robert Prechter's May 20 interview with Yahoo! Finance Tech Ticker host Aaron Task to hear what Prechter thinks is in store for the U.S. currency and gold.
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Friday, June 04, 2010
The Dollar Euro Bears Should Relax –It’s Coming Their Way / Currencies / US Dollar
The Macro Trader’s view: The Dollar has benefited greatly from the Sovereign debt crisis in the Euro zone, as traders sold the Euro amid fears the single currency might actually break up. Initially, traders were concerned the debt mountain built up by mainly by Greece, but also Spain and Portugal posed a serious risk, and the authorities acted to address that.
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Friday, June 04, 2010
GBP/CHF Starting to Recover Again / Currencies / Forex Trading
In 2009 the GBP/CHF cross rate began a recovery following a major low point at the end of the previous year. After a deep pullback some positive signs are re-emerging now.
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