Category: Stocks Bear Market
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Global Stock Markets Heading for Lower Lows / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Adam_Brochert
As someone in the USA who tends to read more US-centric commentary, I continue to see analysts look almost exclusively at the US markets. Because US stock markets have been relatively strong recently, a frequently read conclusion is that the US economy is holding up well and terms like "de-coupling" are making their way back into the financial lingo. This is a ridiculous concept in the current global economy, but people want to believe good times are just ahead just like when "green shoots" and "goldilocks" were bandied about in prior cycles.
Tuesday, December 13, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Heading for Critical January 2012 Low / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Donald_W_Dony
The low that is expected in mid-January will be critical in this bear market. It will represent the first test for support since the start of the decline in early August. Bear market bottoms are normally a series of troughs at the same level creating a base. This anticipated low in January could be the beginning of that foundation. It all depends on how deep this coming low will be.
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Monday, December 12, 2011
Currencies Favor Stock Market Bears Longer-Term / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
The correlation between the S&P 500 and the euro has been running extremely high in recent months. Therefore, if the euro can mount a sustained charge higher, stocks could do the same.
As we mentioned on December 9, the 22-week moving average is a good way to get a 30,000 ft view of many markets. When the slope of the 22-week is positive, a market tends to be healthy. When the slope of the 22-week is negative, further weakness may be in the cards.
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Monday, December 12, 2011
The ‘Real’ Stocks Mega-Bears / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short. : It’s time again for the weekend update of our “Real” Mega-Bears, an inflation-adjusted overlay of three secular bear markets. It aligns the current S&P 500 from the top of the Tech Bubble in March 2000, the Dow in of 1929, and the Nikkei 225 from its 1989 bubble high.
Wednesday, December 07, 2011
Bob Prechter is Back... and Shockingly, Still Bearish on Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Trader_Mark
It's been almost a year since I posted a Bob Prechter video, and (sit down for this) ... he is bearish, comparing this current period to the late 1930s. Other than a few short massively oversold periods in 2008 and 2009 I can't recall Prechter really being bullish - but I don't watch him that closely. For the Elliot Wave crowd however, please see below
Tuesday, November 29, 2011
Stocks Bear Market 2012 Report / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
The stock market's 17-month drop into March 2009 erased all the gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average since the late 1990s. That's a full decade's worth of gains.
And the two-week drop that ended August 9 basically wiped out all the gains from 2010 - 2011.
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Saturday, November 26, 2011
How Far Will the Stocks Bear Market Fall During the 2012? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
The stock market's 17-month drop into March 2009 erased all the gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average since the late 1990s. That's a full decade's worth of gains.
And the two-week drop that ended August 9 basically wiped out all the gains from 2010 - 2011.
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Friday, November 25, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Seasonals / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Zeal_LLC
The general stock markets’ day-to-day price action utterly dominates individual stock sectors, including commodities stocks. So anything traders can do to better understand the forces driving the stock markets as a whole leads to better stock entries and exits universally. With this truth in mind, many speculators and investors wonder whether commodities-like seasonality also exists in the general stock markets.
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: The Nasdaq 100 Leaders’ Indices - Weighted Interpretations / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Garry_Abeshouse
Below is just one example of what very basic careful comparative analysis, completely devoid of elaborate indicators and envelopes can tell you. The two charts below are just simple daily charts of the Nasdaq 100 Index. The $NDXE is equal weighted and the $NDX is a modified capitalization-weighted index. What is unique about the Nasdaq 100 Index is that as well as being a leaders’ index of 100 of the largest companies listed on US exchanges, they are also the only US composite indices that contain no finance stocks at all. None. Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, November 23, 2011
Robert Prechter on the importance of Keeping Your Money Safe in a Stocks Bear Market Environment / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
In an interview with the Mind of Money, Robert Prechter stresses the importance of keeping your money safe in this bear market environment. According to the Elliott wave model, we have entered a critical phase in the market. This 3-minute video clip will help you to prepare for what's ahead.
Sunday, November 20, 2011
Has the Stock Market Bear Returned? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
The recent market action has me wondering if the next leg down in the cyclical bear market has begun.
I always expected that we would see a very convincing rally out of the October yearly cycle low. I thought it even possible that we would test the 200 day moving average. Most bear markets do rally out of the initial leg down and test the 200 day moving average.
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Wednesday, November 16, 2011
Stocks Severe Bear Market Forecast 2012? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
The stock market's 17-month drop into March 2009 erased all the gains in the Dow Jones Industrial Average since the late 1990s. That's a full decade's worth of gains.
And the two-week drop that ended August 9 basically wiped out all the gains from 2010 - 2011.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 25, 2011
Stock Market Technical Tipping Point Near at Hand / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Joseph_Russo
In September, following five months of impulsive decline from its May high, the Dow has reversed abruptly, rallying incessantly after a fleeting 20% roller coaster drop from its secondary QE-2 bailout crest. The Dow is currently on path toward violently reclaiming more than 60% of these recent losses within the extremely short span of 14-sessions.
Monday, October 24, 2011
Stocks Bull and Bear Market Relationships / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Based on my long-term studies of both Dow theory and cycles, the evidence continues to suggest that the 2007 top marked the top of a 33 year secular bull market and that we have since been operating within the context of a secular bear market. The March 2009 low has been viewed by most as having marked the bear market bottom and the beginning of a new bull market. But, based on my long-term studies this is not the case. Rather, these longer-term studies suggest that the rally out of the March 2009 low has been a bear market rally. The decline into the August/October lows has certainly shaken the bulls and excited the bears. As an example, Investors Intelligence bearish sentiment readings have exceeded the levels seen during the correction into the June/July 2010 market low and are in fact now at 2008 levels. However, my work suggests that this is all part of a much larger trap that will impact both the bull and the bear.
Sunday, October 23, 2011
Volatile Stock Market May Surprise / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
The US markets had a choppy week, bouncing between SPX 1191/1197 and 1233/1239, but finished near the high for the week at 1238. World markets were mixed to lower. Economics reports for the week were mixed as well. On the improve: the PPI, the NAHB index, housing starts, the Philly FED, the M1 multiplier, the monetary base, and jobless claims declined. On the downtick: the NY FED, the CPI, building permits, existing home sales, leading indicators and the WLEI. Industrial production and capacity utilization came in unchanged. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.25%, and the NDX/NAZ were -1.30%. Asian markets were all lower, European and Commodity equity markets were mixed, and the DJ World index gained 0.3%. Next week will be highlighted by Q3 GDP, Durable goods, PCE prices and Housing. Best to your week!
Friday, October 21, 2011
Stock Market Will Fall, World is Drowning in Debt, much of which is Unpayable / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Bob_Chapman
It could then be that this is the top of the stock market, which is fundamentally very overpriced. The latest rallies are the result of statements by French President Sarkozy and German chancellor Mrs. Merkel that a financial solution is at hand for Europe. This announcement named the end of the month as the date for release of this information.
Friday, October 21, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally Faces Numerous Hurdles / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Ciovacco
As we mentioned yesterday, a fear-induced buying climax may occur in the coming days as shorts cover and managers sitting on cash move to the “I can’t take it anymore” stage. While a sustained break above the 1,266 to 1,276 range on the S&P 500 would increase the odds of stocks continuing to march higher, evidence still suggests the current move is a bear market rally that will be fully retraced.
Sunday, October 16, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Primary B Wave Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another impressive week for the bulls: SPX/DOW +5.45%. We have seen quite a few of these since the bear market began, mixed in with some just as impressive downweeks: w/e July 01st S/D +5.5%, w/e August 26th S/D +4.5%, w/e September 16th S/D +5.05%. Economic reports for the week were light but still trending lower. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories and the M1- multiplier. On the downtick: the trade/budget deficits, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, and jobless claims rose. Remaining unchanged were import/export prices. That’s 3 up and 6 down if you’re counting. Equity markets worldwide had impressive gains, especially the NDX/NAZ in the US +7.65%. Asian markets gained 3.1%, European markets were +3.2%, the Commodity equity group rose 7.6%, and the DJ World index gained 5.4%. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by industrial production, the CPI/PPI, housing and the FED’s beige book.
Saturday, October 08, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Deja Vu? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tony_Caldaro
Another wild week on Wall Street. For the past two weeks the market had made the high for the week on tuesday, and then sold off for the rest of the week. This week, however, the market made a new bear market low on tuesday, and then rallied for the rest of the week. Markets, worldwide, were generally higher with the DJ World index gaining 1.7%. In the US the SPX/DOW were +1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 2.9%. Economic reports for the week continued their downward trend with negatives outpacing positives 6 to 4. On the positive side: ISM manufacturing, construction spending, auto sales and non-farm payrolls. On the negative side: factory orders, ISM services, consumer credit, the monetary base, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims rose. The ADP index and the unemployment rate both came in unchanged. Next week the FOMC minutes, the twin deficits. and Retail sales highlight the economic agenda.
Wednesday, October 05, 2011
Stocks Bear Market Rally, Europe to the Rescue! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Toby_Connor
It appears that the news out of Europe, right before the close, that the EU is looking at further measures to recapitalize the banks, was enough to halt what was likely going to turn into a very nasty drop into the employment report on Friday. Instead what started as potentially very ugly morphed into a key reversal day. Since the market was getting very late in its daily cycle this will likely mark not only a daily cycle low, but a greater degree intermediate cycle low.
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