Category: Crude Oil
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Wednesday, August 19, 2015
Crude Oil Price Works In Mysterious Ways / Commodities / Crude Oil
But there is one solution to staying ahead of oil's trend changes -- Elliott wave analysis
You know the expression "God works in mysterious ways"?
Well, according to an August 6 CNBC article, the price action of one financial market -- i.e., crude oil -- has out-mystified even God himself. Or, rather, the well-heeled star of the oil world, Andy Hall -- a.k.a. "God Trader."
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Tuesday, August 18, 2015
Energy Demand Collapse Followed by Supply Collapse / Commodities / Crude Oil
As we have noted many times, energy is the master resource, and has been the primary driver of an expansion dating back to the beginning of the industrial revolution. In fossil fuels humanity discovered the ‘holy grail’ of energy sources – highly concentrated, reasonably easy to obtain, transportable and processable into many useful forms. Without this discovery, it is unlikely that any human empire would have exceeded the scale and technological sophistication of Rome at its height, but with it we incrementally developed the capacity to reach for the stars along an exponential growth curve.
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Saturday, August 15, 2015
The World is Awash in Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
...But does that mean that oil prices will only go down from here?
In this new interview with Elliott Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst, Steve Craig, you'll learn where he sees prices going next.
*Editor's note: this interview was recorded on August 12; the price low cited in the video was broken on August 13.
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Friday, August 14, 2015
Crude Oil's Slippery Slope: How Far Will Prices Fall? / Commodities / Crude Oil
One prominent analyst says oil prices will drop much further
Editor's note: You'll find the text version of the story below the video.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Crude Oil Price Reverses - Was that THE Bottom? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): No positions are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
Crude oil declined yesterday, but the session was not without a rebound. In fact, the move higher continues also today as black gold is at almost $44. Have we just seen a major triple bottom in crude oil?
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
Saudi Crude Oil Strategy: Brilliant Or Suicide? / Commodities / Crude Oil
In the last quarter of 2014, in the face of possible oversupply, Saudi Arabia abandoned its traditional role as the global oil market's swing producer and therefore it role as unofficial guarantor of existing ($100+ per barrel) prices.In October, Saudi sources first prepared the market with statements that the country would be comfortable with oil prices as low as $80 per barrel for "a year or two." At the November OPEC meeting, the Saudi oil minister, Ali Al-Naimi, publicly announced Saudi Arabia would allow market forces to set prices. He argued that rapidly growing production outside OPEC made the existing status quo unviable, and that lower prices in the short term would increase prices in the longer term through reduced investment and ultimately benefit all OPEC members.
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Thursday, August 13, 2015
The Saudi Crude Oil Price War Is Backfiring / Commodities / Crude Oil
Saudi Arabia has long enjoyed the status of being the top crude oil exporter in the world. With record production of 10.564 million barrels per day in June 2015, Saudi Arabia has been one of the major driving forces behind the current oil price slump.The Saudis have kept their production levels high since last year in order to drive other players (especially U.S. shale drillers) out of business. Equally clear is the fact that this strategy of maintaining the glut and driving out rivals hasn't worked so far.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2015
What China’s Surprise Announcement Means for Crude Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) just decided to cut the value of the Chinese currency, the yuan, by 2%.
The announcement took analysts by surprise and signaled that Beijing has decided to shore up a weakness in exports. It will now almost certainly usher in similar moves by other Asian countries that are China’s exporting competitors.
And behind that cut U.S. oil and gas producers face another painful period.
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Friday, August 07, 2015
Global Crude Oil Supply More Fragile Than You Think / Commodities / Crude Oil
Many oil companies had trimmed their budgets heading into 2015 to deal with lower oil prices. But the rebound in April and May to $60 per barrel from the mid-$40s suggested that the severe drop was merely temporary.But the collapse of prices in July – owing to the Iran nuclear deal, an ongoing production surplus, and economic and financial concerns in Greece and China – have darkened the mood. Now a prevailing sense that oil prices may stay lower for longer has hit the markets.
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Thursday, August 06, 2015
Could WTI Crude Oil Price Trade At A Premium To Brent By Next Year? / Commodities / Crude Oil
A flood of bearish news has pushed down oil prices to their lowest levels in months, with WTI nearing $45 per barrel and Brent flirting with sub-$50 territory.With a bear market back, there is pessimism throughout the oil markets. Goldman Sachs is even predicting oil stays at $50 through 2020, a profoundly grim view of the state of oil supplies.
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Thursday, August 06, 2015
Crude Oil Price Time for Reversal? / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Tuesday, crude oil moved higher after the market's open supported by hopes for another decline in U.S. stockpiles. Thanks to these circumstances, light crude bounced off the multi-month low and gained 1.48%. Did this increase change anything in the short-term picture of the commodity?
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Wednesday, August 05, 2015
The Four Real Reasons Crude Oil Prices Are Slipping / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Dr. Kent Moors writes: As I write, I am flying from Kansas to Baltimore. I’ll be visiting Money Map Press headquarters to discuss some exciting developments we’ll tell you about shortly.
But today’s Oil & Energy Investor is all about where I have just been…
Years ago, a legendary wildcatter told me you have to smell the crude and get it under your fingernails before anybody should call you a genuine oilman.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Top 6 Myths Driving Oil Prices Down / Commodities / Crude Oil
"Whoever would overthrow the liberty of a nation must begin by subduing the freeness of speech." ~ Benjamin Franklin, Silence Dogood, The Busy-Body, and Early Writings
I start with that quote because once the media, as well as politicians for that matter, have no accountability for actions or words then liberty will dissolve. Over the last few weeks I have witnessed another litany of lies that the media insists on putting forth. They come in the form of statements presented as facts to sway opinion while others are opinions quoted by others. Either way, the bias in talking down oil prices, reinforcing the "glut" that is fueled in part by misleading EIA and IEA data, is readily apparent.
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Tuesday, August 04, 2015
Crude Oil Price at Levels Not Seen Since March / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil declined sharply after news that production among OPEC members in July pushed supply at the oil cartel to its highest level in seven years. In this environment, light crude lost 3.45% and re-tested the Jul low. Where will oil bears take the commodity in the coming days?
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Monday, August 03, 2015
Crude Oil USO ETF Elliott Wave Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil
USO
It’s been 6 weeks since the last post of Oil http://www.wavepatterntraders.com/elliott-wave-analysis-of-uso-oil/ In that time we have a seen a great decline for those that have been short this market, looking at the gyrations I think based on the CL contract, I suspect USO is only ending wave 3, so whilst we should be close to a short term low for wave 3, the likelihood is that any bounce for wave 4 should prove to be a bull trap and then target new lows for wave 5.
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Wednesday, July 29, 2015
Crude Oil Price Is Lower – and You’re Richer / Commodities / Crude Oil
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: On July 16, I gave you the real story on why oil prices are falling – and a trade to make you some easy money.
Since then, West Texas Intermediate (WTI), the U.S. crude oil benchmark, is down 5%. As of midday yesterday, the October $15 puts on the United States Oil Fund LP ETF (NYSE ARCA: USO) that I recommended buying when they were trading at 50 cents each were up 40%, and trading at 70 cents each.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Will Crude Oil Price Decline Continue? -Video / Commodities / Crude Oil
Elliott Wave International's Chief Energy Analyst tells you what he sees next for crude
In this new interview, Steve Craig, editor of Elliott Wave International's Energy Pro Service, shows you what extreme readings in some of his market indicators mean for crude from here.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2015
Saudis Expand Crude Oil Price War Downstream / Commodities / Crude Oil
The undisputed king of oil and gas is making some moves that could change the face of the global refining sector.
In June 2015, Saudi Arabia pumped a record 10.564 million barrels a day, a record level. As if being the world's biggest exporter of oil was not enough, the desert kingdom is now looking to conquer the refining sector as it has quickly become the fourth largest refiner in the world.
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Tuesday, July 28, 2015
The Iran Nuclear Deal is Mostly about Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
The recent nuclear non-proliferation agreement between Iran and the U.S. has created a firestorm debate in the Middle East and both sides of the Atlantic. While the deal is supposedly all about nuclear power and nuclear bombs, its practical implications are all about oil. But the conclusions we should make about its impact on the energy sector are far from clear. A ratification of the deal would allow Iran to make lucrative long term production and distribution contracts with foreign energy firms. However, freely flowing oil from Iran would add significant new oil supply into the world markets, disrupt U.S. plans to become an energy exporter, and could potentially put further downward pressure on prices.
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Monday, July 27, 2015
Crude Oil Price Under $48! / Commodities / Crude Oil
Trading position (short-term; our opinion): Short positions with a stop-loss order at $65.23 are justified from the risk/reward perspective.
On Friday, crude oil extended losses after bearish Baker Hughes report. As a result, light crude lost 1.82% and hit a fresh multi-month low. Where will the commodity head next in the coming days?
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