Analysis Topic: Currency Market Analysis
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, April 23, 2009
U.S. Dollar Setting up for a Decline Into End of Month / Currencies / US Dollar
The USD suffered a violent whipsaw today first rising to highs during early New York trade before reversing to make lows against some pairs and end mixed. Rising to highs against the GBP, low prints were hit early as stops and aggressive selling dropped the rate to a low print 0f 1.4395 before short-covering and aggressive buying lifted the pair back to the 1.4500 handle to hold around 1.4510/20 area most of the day.
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Wednesday, April 22, 2009
U.S. Dollar to Weaken Due to Underlying Fundemental Weakness / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USD ends mixed today after reaching critical S/R numbers after the open and ahead of the London fix. The BOC announced a 25 BP cut in interest rates lifting the USD/CAD sharply higher as stops over the 1.2400 area fired off topping the rate at 1.2509 before cooler heads prevailed. The rate fell back as late buyers were disappointed finding sell-stops in-range bringing the rate back under the 1.2400 handle eventually making a new low on the day at 1.2324; traders now feel the rate has completed a retracement against the recent weakness and with an inverted hammer formation on the daily charts more losses are likely.
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Tuesday, April 21, 2009
U.S. Dollar Immediate Term Rally Setting Scene for Sell off Into End of the Week / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USD ends the first day of the week on a high note making gains against the majors with the exception of the Yen; analysts note that the USD/JPY is holding below the monthly opening range suggesting a technical correction is finally in play.
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Sunday, April 19, 2009
Global Deflation and Currency Manipulation Boosts the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Bryan Rich writes: This week there was plenty of data to digest from the financial markets and the overwhelming theme was — more of the same.
If you missed it, here’s a run-down …
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Friday, April 17, 2009
Fed Using Currency Swaps to Boost the U.S. Dollar / Currencies / US Dollar
Currency swaps are of reciprocal currency agreements (swap facilities) between central banks. The officially purpose of such agreements are explicitly of short term and are intended to finance short-term capital flows believed to be seasonal or temporary in nature. Swap agreements are also misused to facilitate large interventions in foreign exchange markets, which is what is occurring with the dollar today.
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Thursday, April 16, 2009
U.S. Dollar Continues to Top / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USD held minor gains against some pairs today but ended the day mixed as cross-spreaders took gains off the table and put the majors into near-term S/R; traders note that stops in range and US data today contributed to intraday volatility but by the end of the day the majors held key S/R putting the Greenback back on the defense through the end of the week.
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Wednesday, April 15, 2009
U.S. Dollar Doomed as Global Demand for Dollars Slows / Currencies / US Dollar
Happy Tax Day! As you fork over money to the IRS, you might want to take a closer look at the U.S. dollar. It could very well be turning into a ticking time bomb inside your wallet.
Wednesday, April 15, 2009
Risk Aversion Returns as Stock Markets Fail at Resistance / Currencies / Forex Trading
Global risk aversion gradually returns as equity indices struggle in passing the earnings test. Our oft-mentioned 860-865 target in the S&P500 denoting the +30% rally mark from the March low was tested without success, further highlighting the significance of the implications for the latest equity rally. Although the S&P500 breached above the 50 and 100-day moving averages, these moving averages stand halfway between the 200-day MA (989) and the March low (666).Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
U.S. Dollar Continues to Weaken / Currencies / Forex Trading
The major pairs continued to advance during New York trade as technical traders pressed thin conditions to find reported resting stops in most pairs. Initially firming up at the start of Asia the Greenback gave back early gains as the day wore on with most traders complaining of thin conditions and patchy volumes.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 13, 2009
Fundamentals Still Point to U.S. Dollar Weakness / Currencies / Forex Trading
The Easter holiday weekend continues for one more day as some Asian markets were closed overnight leaving the USD unchanged-to-lower from Thursday as traders focused mainly on the crosses into the start of New York this morning. Volumes were understandable light and traders note two-way action dominated by tech factors continued. Equities were higher overnight to start this week adding a bit to risk-acceptance putting the Greenback under slight pressure but the main focus remained the crosses with Yen rising against most of the major pairs;Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 13, 2009
China's Proposal for a Super-sovereign Global Reserve Currency System / Currencies / Global Financial System
Proposal of the Governor of the People's Bank of China presented to the G20 Meetings - The outbreak of the current crisis and its spillover in the world have confronted us with a long-existing but still unanswered question,i.e., what kind of international reserve currency do we need to secure global financial stability and facilitate world economic growth, which was one of the purposes for establishing the IMF? There were various institutional arrangements in an attempt to find a solution, including the Silver Standard, the Gold Standard, the Gold Exchange Standard and the Bretton Woods system. The above question, however, as the ongoing financial crisis demonstrates, is far from being solved, and has become even more severe due to the inherent weaknesses of the current international monetary system.
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Are the U.S. Dollar's Safehaven Days Numbered / Currencies / US Dollar
Bryan Rich writes: It’s not hard to understand the relationship of the dollar with human emotions like greed and fear. And that relationship is rarely more visible than it is today …When investors are willing to take on more risk, stocks, emerging market currencies and commodities all bounce. On the other hand, when fear is prevalent, the dollar soars, Treasuries take off, and gold starts sniffing towards $1,000 an ounce.
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
U.S. Dollar Rally Lacks Conviction / Currencies / US Dollar
The USD held gains today as risk-aversion in equities prompted dollar-buying pushing the majors into key S/R at the start of the day. Although the Greenback is higher across the board today volumes were lighter and traders noted quality buying of the majors into the lows. Confirmed sovereign and semi-official names were seen buying EURO and GBP on the dips holding those pairs off their early New York lows.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 07, 2009
Money Printing Ensures Australian and Canadian Currencies Set to Rise / Currencies / Forex Trading
Listen, can you hear it?
Yes, it is the sound of printing presses going 24/7 around the world.
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Tuesday, April 07, 2009
U.S. Dollar Correction Higher Significant Selling Opportunity / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USD continued to correct higher trough today’s New York trade reaching the best levels of the day against the majors shortly after the London fix; despite the rise in the Greenback the majors held important S/R levels during the day and remains in two-way action into the close. Technical trade was the rule for the most part as the lack of economic news kept traders focused on near-time price levels with stops helping to drive most of the intraday action.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
U.S. Dollar Yen Secret Relationship Revealed / Currencies / Forex Trading
I have to admit, I love trading Forex. It's one of the most exciting and most profitable markets in the world. In today's short educational trading video on the dollar/yen (usd/jpy), I explain step-by-step how to analyze the dollar and its relationship to the Yen. I will also show you exactly what I think is happening right now in this relationship. Watch the video and see specific target zones where I think this cross is headed in the future.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
U.S. Dollar More Downside Action Expected This Week / Currencies / Forex Trading
The USD is two-way to start New York after opening mixed in Asia overnight; follow-on selling of the Greenback pushed the majors to their best levels of the day in early Europe with the exception of the USD/JPY. USD/JPY continued to advance reaching a high print at 101.46, its best levels since October of last year. Traders note that the weekend launch of a ballistic missile by the North Koreans created light FTQ buying of the USD against someRead full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 06, 2009
The New Real Global Reserve Currency / Currencies / Global Financial System
Well! Well! Well! China is proposing getting rid of the US dollar to be replaced by a new global currency that would become the new international reserve currency. China wants to see stability in the currency mark ets and the US dollar is not providing this. Actually, China is very concerned about the new dollars being printed and their future impact on inflation.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 05, 2009
Carry Trade Over, But the Yen Still Goes Lower / Currencies / Yen Carry Trade
Bryan Rich writes: For the past eight years, the carry trade — where investors borrow money from a country with low interest rates and invest it in places that provide higher returns — became extremely popular. And since Japan kept interest rates below one percent, the yen became the funding currency of choice for carry trade investors.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 03, 2009
U.S. Dollar Devaluation is Inevitable, Just Like 1934 / Currencies / US Dollar
Vronsky writes: It is evident to all the US economic environment is an unmitigated disaster. In fact we seem to be hell bent for leather falling into another Great Depression (the recent Bear Market Rally in Wall Street notwithstanding). This begs the question: What can President Obama do to avert the excruciatingly sad events of the 1930s?
Here are the economic problems causing havoc today in the USA:
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