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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, July 18, 2011

The Painful Consequences of a U.S. Debt Ceiling Increase / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLarry D. Spears writes: Failure to reach a compromise on a U.S. debt ceiling increase could result in an unmitigated economic disaster - one so unprecedented government and private analysts can't even accurately pinpoint all the potential consequences.

To avert this crisis, U.S. President Barack Obama wants a debt ceiling increase of $2 trillion, which analysts say would carry the country through the end of 2012. The president has moved the deadline for reaching an agreement up to July 22.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 16, 2011

Pushing U.S. Treasury Default Beyond August 2 / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

If the federal debt ceiling were not raised by August 2, there still would be temporary means for the Treasury to keep paying all of its bills for a while. The Treasury could pull an FDR and revalue its gold holdings. Currently, the Treasury is valuing its gold holdings at $42.22 an ounce. By revaluing its gold holdings near the current open-market price, say at $1,575 an ounce, the value of Treasury gold holdings would rise by $400.8 billion. The Fed could write up the Treasury's deposit account by that much and the bills could be paid for a bit longer even without an increase in the debt ceiling.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, July 16, 2011

Pimco's Gross: U.S. Lawmakers "Don't Get" Implicatio‚Äčns of Debt Ceiling Debate / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Bloomberg

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBill Gross of Pimco spoke to Bloomberg Television's Tom Keene this afternoon about the economy, the debt debate in Washington and the European stress tests. Gross said that he doesn't expect QE3, but that he expects the Fed to reiterate language. He also said that lawmakers "don't get" the long-term implications of the debt debate and that they "need to approach it gradually" when it comes to cutting spending.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 15, 2011

Moody's Warning Edges U.S. Credit Rating Closer to Downgrade / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Money_Morning

David Zeiler writes: With time running out on a deal to raise the U.S. debt ceiling, Moody's Investors Service turned up the heat by warning Washington's bickering politicians that any missed debt payments will result in a credit rating downgrade.

Such a downgrade would have economically catastrophic consequences, roiling stock markets worldwide, sharply increasing borrowing costs for the U.S. government as well as businesses, and derailing an already-anemic economic recovery.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 15, 2011

It Ain't Money If I Can't Print It! / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleI have been forecasting with near certainty that QE2 would not be the end of the Fed's money-printing program. My suspicions were confirmed in both the Fed minutes on Tuesday and Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke's semi-annual testimony to Congress yesterday. The former laid out the conditions upon which a new round of inflation would be launched, and the latter re-emphasized - in case anyone still doubted - that Mr. Bernanke has no regard for the principles of a sound currency.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 15, 2011

History of U.S. Debt Defaults / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: MISES

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleJohn S. Chamberlain writes: On July 13th, the president of the United States angrily walked out of ongoing negotiations over the raising of the debt ceiling from its legislated maximum of $14.294 trillion dollars. This prompted a new round of speculation over whether the United States might default on its financial obligations. In these circumstances, it is useful to recall the previous instances in which this has occurred and the effects of those defaults. By studying the defaults of the past, we can gain insights into what future defaults might portend.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, July 15, 2011

Europe's Debt Default Crisis: It's the CDS, Stupid / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Adrian_Ash

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The constraints imposed by market forces [on government deficits inside a single-currency union] might either be too slow and weak, or too sudden and disruptive."   - The Delors Committee report on European monetary union, getting it exactly right in 1989

GREEK BONDS have lost half to three-quarters of their face value. Six national strikes have all ended in violence already this year. In the three months to April, public investment spending fell 42% from the start of 2010, but total spending still rose – and tax revenues sank – forcing the budget deficit still wider as the economy shrank 5.5% year-on-year.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Moody's Puts U.S. AAA Credit Rating at Risk of Downgrade / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAt long last the bond vigilantes have a spotlight on US debt. Please consider Japan Stock Futures Fall as Yen Rises as Moody’s Reviews U.S Credit Rating

Moody’s Investors Service put the U.S., rated Aaa since 1917, under review for a credit-rating downgrade for the first time since 1995 on concern the government’s $14.3 trillion debt limit will not be raised in time to prevent a missed payment of interest or principal on outstanding bonds and notes even though the risk remains low. The rating would likely be reduced to the Aa range and there is no assurance that Moody’s would return its top rating even if a default is quickly cured.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Fed Tells It Like It Is... / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Jack_Steiman

And what it is isn't pretty at all. He said he's disappointed at how things are moving along and expects recent weakness to persist for a while longer than he'd like it to. When the fed makes a statement like that there's only one thing left for him to do. Be more inappropriate, of course. Keep the printing presses rolling day and night. Print those dollar bills as if they are the holy grail. He has hinted that there's a reasonable chance we will actually be seeing a QE3 program even though QE1 and QE2 did absolutely nothing for the economy other than to put it further into debt. He also talked about too big to fail meaning there will be no free markets. He will control what he needs to when he feels he wants to.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Bernanke Willings to Implement QE3, if Necessary / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBernanke's testimony this morning maintains optimism about the second-half of 2011.  He noted that "once temporary shocks that have been holding down economic activity pass, we expect to again see the effects of policy accommodation reflected in stronger economic activity and job creation."  The Fed's projections of economic growth have been published following the June21-22 FOMC meeting.  The Fed expects the economy to grow 2.7% to 2.9% on a Q4/Q4 basis in 2011 after a 1.9% increase in the first quarter and an expected gain of a little over 2.0% in the second quarter.  At the same time, Bernanke's remarks were indicative of the Fed's willingness to provide additional monetary policy support to the economy, if necessary:

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 14, 2011

The Debt Ceiling Reality Show Must Go On / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: James_Quinn

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe Debt Ceiling Reality Show is winding down to its dramatic conclusion on August 2. I think Fox should capitalize on the drama by gathering the American Idol judges to vote on the best performance by a political hack. We can have Ryan Seacrest announce on August 1 at 11:55 pm that the winner is – THE WALL STREET MONIED INTERESTS.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 14, 2011

United States on the Road to Perdition / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: David_Galland

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleDavid Galland interviews Terry Coxon, The Casey Report : Terry Coxon worked side by side with best-selling author Harry Browne for years and is a rare expert in the arcane study of monetary systems. His remarks at this juncture in time, a time that might end up labeled in the history books as “Money Runs Wild,” are especially germane.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, July 14, 2011

Bernanke - Money for Nothing and Dollars For Free / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Axel_Merk

Federal Reserve (Fed) Chairman Bernanke, in a verbal duel with Representative Ron Paul, provided insult to injury to hard money appreciating investors. When asked whether gold should be considered money, Bernanke replied: “no”; when further quizzed why central banks then hold gold reserves, Bernanke brushed the question off, suggesting gold is simply held because of tradition.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

U.S. Debt Ceiling Show Baloney / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe mainstream media are all a-twitter. Speaker of the House John Boehner has given up in the President's offer of a solution to the deficit crisis: a $4 trillion deficit reduction package. Oh, the horror! Oh, the pigheadedness of the Republicans!

Oh, the chicanery of the media. Maybe you have noticed the game that the media manipulators play: they announce a Big Government Deal in the headline, only to add later in the story these words: "over the next decade." This is the baloney factor.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, July 13, 2011

Could There Be QE3? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Paul_L_Kasriel

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe minutes of the June 21-22 FOMC meeting released today hinted at the possibility of another round of QE. To wit, "a few members noted that, depending on how economic conditions evolve, the Committee might have to consider providing additional monetary policy stimulus, especially if economic growth remained too slow to meaningfully reduce the unemployment rate in the medium run." A couple more employment reports of similar tone to the June one might cause the wording to change from a "few members" to "most members." But I do not think there will be a serious discussion of another round of QE until the fourth quarter of this year.

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, July 12, 2011

Will Bernanke Hint At QE3? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Asha_Bangalore

Chairman Bernanke presented his view about the economy last on June 7, 2011. He is scheduled to testify about the U.S. economy on July 13 and 14, 2011. On June 7, Chairman Bernanke, indicated that "U.S. economic growth so far this year looks to have been somewhat slower than expected." Incoming economic reports, in fact, do not present an improvement in business conditions since June 7.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 11, 2011

Defaulting on the Fed's Bonds / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Robert_Murphy

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRon Paul recently made (another) splash among economic pundits with his suggestion that the Treasury simply cancel the $1.6 trillion in its debt held by the Federal Reserve. Many of Paul's longstanding critics seized on the proposal as reckless and said it was further evidence that Paul doesn't understand financial markets. However, Paul received unexpected praise from the progressive economist Dean Baker.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 11, 2011

European Debt Crisis Sees Government Bond Spreads Hit Record Highs / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

10-Year Government Bond Yields and Spreads vs. Germany

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Interest-Rates

Monday, July 11, 2011

The Euro Debt Crisis and You / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Fred_Sheehan

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGreece may seem a long way from Newport Beach, California. Well, it is. But, we live in the global village, or some other dim construction. In his June 16, 2011, edition of The Credit Strategist, Michael Lewitt explained "the interconnected nature of global financial markets render Europe's problems the world's problems.... [T]here is no longer any periphery."

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, July 10, 2011

Why QE2 Failed: The Money All Went Offshore / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Ellen_Brown

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleOn June 30, QE2 ended with a whimper.  The Fed’s second round of “quantitative easing” involved $600 billion created with a computer keystroke for the purchase of long-term government bonds.  But the government never actually got the money, which went straight into the reserve accounts of banks, where it still sits today.  Worse, it went into the reserve accounts of FOREIGN banks, on which the Federal Reserve is now paying 0.25% interest. 

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