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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Monday, October 03, 2011

If They Have a Gun To Their Heads, Do the Banks Lend? / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Submissions

Sam Houston writes: Here we are three years after the financial crisis of 2008. The banks got bailed out. Their junk mortgages now sit on the balance sheet of the Federal Reserve. In exchange the Fed gave them face value in cash for their junk. Where did they get the cash? They created it out of thin air of course.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2011

Leider Mein Liebste; Its Spelt TALF Not TARP: Next ECB Will Print A Trillion Euros / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis Bailouts

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleHere’s an idea, if the Euro doesn’t exist anymore then the Greeks can pay back their Euro-denominated debts in imaginary money and everyone can live happily ever after?

Meanwhile; trust the Eurocrats to come up with a mind-baffling plan to kick the can down the road. It’s written in Deutchlitz which is what you get when you use a computer to translate a document originally written in German into French and from there you use another computer to translate that into an approximation of English. The words all spell on an English spell-checker but in aggregate anyone who speaks English hasn’t got a clue what they mean. For example, from the ECB Data Warehouse we are provided with:

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2011

Don't Get Suckered by the Bond Market 'Bubbleistas' / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKeith Fitz-Gerald writes: To hear the "bond bubbleistas" tell it, the bond market is poised to collapse the second interest rates start to rise.

But if you're thinking about dumping all of your bonds, you should think again.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 30, 2011

Fed Officials Voice Dissenting Opinions Again / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleChairman Bernanke highlighted the gravity of the unemployment problem in the Q&A session in his speech after markets closed yesterday.

“This unemployment situation we have, the jobs situation, is really a national crisis,” We’ve had close to 10 percent unemployment now for a number of years and, of the people who are unemployed, about 45 percent have been unemployed for six months or more. This is unheard of.”

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Operation Twist, The Fed's Long Shot / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Robert_Murphy

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleLast week the Fed announced "Operation Twist," in which the central bank will buy $400 billion of longer-dated Treasury securities while selling the same amount of shorter-dated Treasuries. This episode epitomizes everything that is wrong with the modern, statist view of money.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 28, 2011

Greece Debt Crisis Keeps Getting Worse, ECB Will Inflate / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Gary_North

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis Article"The politicians giveth, and the free market taketh away." ~ traditional saying that I just made up.

The Greek government is going to default on its interest payments to the bonehead European bankers and investors who thought that getting high interest rates on Greek debt was a great way to avoid suffering the low-interest rates on German government bonds. After all, Greece would pay interest in euros. No problem!

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Top 10 Most Extreme Monetary Policy Moves of 2011 / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: CentralBankNews

Here's a listing of the top ten most extreme monetary policy moves in the year to date of 2011 (as judged by Central Bank News).  To be sure, there's still another quarter of the year to go, and with heightened concerns about global growth and the ongoing European debt crisis the list could yet be expanded.  But for now, let's look over some of the most extreme moves in the year so far in monetary policy:

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Interest-Rates

Tuesday, September 27, 2011

Governor Raskin's Remarks Contain Noteworthy Observations about Credit Markets / Interest-Rates / Credit Crisis 2011

By: Asha_Bangalore

Fed Governor Raskin’s comments today were largely devoted to soft and worrisome labor market conditions and a justification of the Fed’s unconventional policy actions. She also presented her views about credit availability pertaining to households and small businesses.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 26, 2011

Euro-zone Debt Crisis Contagion Has Spread / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Capital3X

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleA chart is worth a thousand words and therefore we focus on charts and analysis. So with a few introductory words, we will present the charts.

The problem for the policy makers is that risk is being repriced faster than they counteract.The EU banking system is under-strain because they are being denied funding and also deposits are moving elsewhere. The speed of the adjustment is difficult for the banks to maintain their solvency. The confidence virus is a self-reinforcing one that requires an entity to backstop it just as the Fed did it during 2008. The under-capitalised EU banks are being required to de-leverage faster than they can re-capitalise.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, September 26, 2011

FED’s Adjusted Monetary Base / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Tony_Caldaro

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleWhen the FED started increasing the monetary base exponentially in 2008 we started tracking its growth in Elliott Wave terms. Our first piece on this topic was published in November 2010: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2010/11/29/feds-adjusted-monetary-base/. Then, we expected the monetary base to bottom just under $2 tln and expand to $2.5 tln in the coming months. We followed that piece with an update in April as the base was reaching the targeted level: http://caldaro.wordpress.com/2011/04/01/feds-adjusted-monetary-base-2/. This weekend, with the current economic situation in mind, we reviewed the FED’s recent chart to determine if it could provide any clues of another Quantitative Easing program in the near future. It did, and more!

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, September 24, 2011

Operation Twist Paves the Way for QE III / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Peter_Schiff

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleEarlier this week the Federal Reserve ignited a firestorm in the global markets by admitting that the U.S. economy is facing downside risks. Although it continues to sugar coat the unpleasant reality, never has such a stunningly obvious statement resulted is so much turmoil.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, September 23, 2011

U.S. Treasury 10-year Note Yield Hits Record Low, Will it Last? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Asha_Bangalore

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe 10-year Treasury note yield was trading at 1.73% today, record low for this security. The Fed’s Operation Twist aims to bring down long rates such that it will spur economic activity by rendering a reduction in cost of home mortgages and new ventures of entrepreneurs and making replacement cost of machines and equipment less expensive. The 10-year Treasury note closed at 1.88% on September 21 after the Fed announced the launching of Operation Twist. Thus, the Fed appears to have succeeded, but the rally in the U.S Treasury market today is largely a flight to safety. The durability of this low reading is tied to the persistence of a weak global economy; incoming data point to slowing economic conditions in several major economies of the world.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Hello Global Economic Recession 2011 / Interest-Rates / Double Dip Recession

By: Mike_Shedlock

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIf you did not know it before, you should know it now: The global economy is in recession.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Federal Reserve Board: Operation Twist, "Significant Downside Risk"' to the Economy / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Jesse

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleNothing unexpected in today's Fed release. It was Operation Twist, with about $400 billion in Treasuries being rolled into the longer end of the curve from 6 to 30 years.

The Fed will be rolling over its Agency debt as it matured.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

Greek Debt Crisis in Perspective / Interest-Rates / Global Debt Crisis

By: Andrew_Butter

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe only solution for the European debt crisis is if the ECB prints a trillion Euros and does a “Fed” by buying up dodgy bonds, and then puts them in cold storage; if it doesn’t do that, soon, then something nasty is going to happen.

The negotiations as we speak are to find a piddling $8 billion to pay the salaries of the Greek public sector in October; it’s that close to the wall. Meanwhile the European political process is paralysed and the ECB does not have the power to do anything; Europe runs on consensus and rules, when the consensus disappears and the rules get broken, what’s left? Don’t expect a TARP or a TALF.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, September 22, 2011

FOMC Engages in Operation Twist, Another Unconventional Step / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Asha_Bangalore

The Fed left the federal funds rate unchanged, as expected, at 0.0-0.25%. The much awaited action called “Operation Twist” was part of the policy announcement. It was not an unanimous vote, three Fed Presidents -- Richard Fisher of Dallas, Narayana Kocherlakota of Minneapolis and Charles Plosser of Philadelphia – who are concerned about inflation dissented. These three Fed officials opposed the FOMC's August 9, 2011, decision that included an assurance of holding short-term interest rates near zero until mid-2013.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Fed's Operation Twist a "Visual" Success, 30-Year Treasury Bond Yield Drops 17 Basis Points / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Mike_Shedlock

Curve Watchers Analysis is following the Operation Twist Story.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

QE3: What are The Implications of Critical Warnings To Bernanke? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: DK_Matai

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleTop Republican lawmakers in both chambers of Congress have warned Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke to refrain from further extraordinary intervention or additional quantitative easing after today's meeting of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC). Questioning the efficacy of the first two rounds of monetary easing:

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Has the FED Lost Control of Long End of the Yield Curve? We think so! / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Capital3X

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThere is nothing more scary for the FED than to look at the 30 year yield sticky and stubborn. The only reason why FED would need to do a QE is to take control of 30 year yield. The short end is near zero and there is very little that can be done at this end. The 20/30 year yield now is where the absolute need if for a QE. The problem now is not whether the QE is of few billions or more. The FED has no option but to do: QE ad infinitum.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, September 21, 2011

Today's FOMC Meeting Will Prove That Team Bernanke is Out of Ideas / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Money_Morning

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleKerri Shannon writes: If you're handicapping the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting that concludes today (Wednesday), you can make the following two predictions - and you'll almost certainly be right:

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