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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Interest Rates and the Bond Market

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Interest-Rates

Friday, March 29, 2013

Cyprus and the Unraveling of Fractional-Reserve Banking / Interest-Rates / Central Banks

By: Joseph_T_Salerno

The “Cyprus deal” as it has been widely referred to in the media may mark the next to last act in the the slow motion collapse of fractional-reserve banking that began with the implosion of the savings-and-loan industry in the U.S. in the late 1980s.

This trend continued with the currency crises in Russia, Mexico, East Asia, and Argentina in the 1990s in which fractional-reserve banking played a decisive role. The unraveling of fractional-reserve banking became visible even to the average depositor during the financial meltdown of 2008 that ignited bank runs on some of the largest and most venerable financial institutions in the world. The final collapse was only averted by the multi-trillion dollar bailout of U.S. and foreign banks by the Federal Reserve.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, March 28, 2013

Why We Can't Avoid Ben Bernanke's "Monetary Cliff" / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: Money_Morning

Martin Hutchinson writes: When it comes to the Federal Reserve, an accurate "reading of the tea leaves" means paying attention to all of the fine print.

And while the markets cheered last week's FOMC meeting with yet another rally, a deeper look at Ben Bernanke's press conference left me with a slightly different take.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 09, 2013

The Coming Ponzi U.S. Treasury Bond Market Crash / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Casey_Research

It is my contention that the 70-year debt supercycle has come to an end.

To put the current financial situation in perspective, here's a long-term history of the debt-to-GDP ratio, which reached a record high at the beginning of the current crisis. It was a dramatic change in 2009, unlike anything since the aftermath of the Great Depression.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, March 06, 2013

Gentlemen, Start Your Money Printing Presses / Interest-Rates / Fiat Currency

By: John_Browne

In his Congressional testimony last week in Washington, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke took time to downplay the significance of the few dissenting voices on the Fed's Open Market Committee (FOMC). Those statements, combined with an even more dovish statement by Fed Vice Chairman Janet Yellen earlier this week, clearly reaffirm the Fed's indefinite commitment to $85 billion of monthly quantitative easing. (It is surprising that those figures failed to invoke the attention drawn by the $85 billion in annual cuts detailed in the "sequester"). But the stock markets have gotten the message loud and clear and are setting records on a daily basis. The apparent triumphs of the Federal Reserve in pumping up stock and real estate prices, without triggering a sell-off in the dollar or easily visible inflation, have not been lost by observers around the world.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 02, 2013

What the Bank of Japan, China’s Government and the Fed Have in Common / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Graham_Summers

As we’ve noted in recent articles, the US Federal Reserve has blown another bubble in stocks and facilitating the exact same risk-taking behavior that brought about the 2008.

The Fed realizing that it’s done this, which is why it’s now trying to manage down expectations of future stimulus (see the multiple suggestions from Fed officials that the Fed might reduce QE before hitting its unemployment target).

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, March 02, 2013

U.S. Treasury Bond Market's Last Bull Run / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Investment_U

Steve McDonald writes: When the Italians couldn’t agree on one candidate, and the U.S. faced it’s so called sequester, it may have been the last shot of life support for the bond market, for a long time.

This is very likely the last hurrah for the 30-year bond bull market. It may also be the last chance for the multitudes that have been plowing money into bond funds to take profits and save their retirements.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, March 01, 2013

The U.S. Fed's Tightening Pipe Dream / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Peter_Schiff

Testifying before the US Senate this past Tuesday, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke made an extraordinary claim about its bloated balance sheet: "We could exit without ever selling by letting it run off." What Bernanke means here is that the Fed could simply hold its Treasuries and agency bonds until they mature, at which point the government would then be forced to pay the Fed back the principal amount. Through this process, the Fed's unprecedented and inflationary position will be gradually and placidly unwound.

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Interest-Rates

Thursday, February 28, 2013

US Treasury Bonds The Biggest Bubble In History About to Pop / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Jeff_Berwick

The US Treasury Bond market is the longest unbroken bull market known to the financial world. For more than 30 years it has trended higher in nominal US dollar terms.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 27, 2013

No Easy Escape for the Fed / Interest-Rates / US Federal Reserve Bank

By: Michael_Pento

I've said since the beginning of 2009 that any future "recovery" experienced by the markets and the economy would be derived through massive government spending and Federal Reserve debt monetization. Therefore, the logical conclusion must be that when or if fiscal and monetary austerity is eventually adopted, the economy and markets would crash.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 25, 2013

How the Fed Will Crash the U.S. Bond Market / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Submissions

Richard Moyer writes: When you or I buy bonds, we pay a certain amount of money to buy someone elses debt. In return, they pay us a certain amount of interest for a fixed period of time.

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Interest-Rates

Sunday, February 24, 2013

Europe’s Fine… Just Ask Depositors Who Saw Their Savings Go to ZERO / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Graham_Summers

Anyone who wants to get an inside look at both the European banking system and the politicians in charge of fixing it need to only look at Spain’s Bankia.

Bankia was formed in December 2010 by merging seven totally bankrupt Spanish cajas (regional banks that were unregulated). The bank was heralded as a success story and an indication that European Governments could manage the risks in their banking systems.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, February 23, 2013

Euro-zone Debt Crisis - Whatever It Takes / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: John_Mauldin

Lord Melchett: “Farewell, Blackadder [hands him a parchment]. The foremost cartographers of the land have prepared this for you; it's a map of the area that you'll be traversing. [Blackadder opens it up and sees it is blank] They'll be very grateful if you could just fill it in as you go along. Bye-bye.” – From the English comedy series Blackadder (Part 2, Episode 3)

Was it only a few years ago I visited the Emerald Isle of Ireland? So recently had this fair land come to such a sad state. The collapse of its largest banks foreshadowed the demise of many other European banks that had borrowed money from British, German, and other European banks to lend against homes and property. The Irish government had to guarantee deposits and bond holders in order to prevent a bank run. I think I am correct when I state that the Central Bank of Ireland was the first central bank to avail itself of large-scale use of the Emergency Liquidity Assistance (ELA) provision of the European Central Bank. This was before we became so familiar with the process in Greece.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, February 23, 2013

The ‘End’ of QE – Hype or Tripe? / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Andy_Sutton

I am going to say right up front that there is going to be quite a bit of sarcasm in this essay. I say this simply because of the ludicrous nature of our marionette-esque talking heads in the mainstream financial press in this country. They are truly amazing, taking molehills and making mountains out of them and vice versa. In one segment telling us that there in fact will be no criminal charges against anyone involved in the HSBC drug/terrorism money laundering scandal – if they talk about it a all – while in the next advocating holding the next ten generations hostage by supporting the continued subsidy of said corrupt organization et al with fiat money printed from nothing with the debt placed on the taxpayer’s tab.

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Interest-Rates

Saturday, February 23, 2013

PIMCO's Bill Gross Expect QE To Continue To At Least End Of 2013 / Interest-Rates / Quantitative Easing

By: Bloomberg

PIMCO's Bill Gross told Bloomberg Television's Trish Regan and Adam Johnson on "Street Smart" yesterday that quantitative easing will continue to "at least the end of the year."

Gross said that the Federal Reserve knows that its policy has negatives: "There are ultimately and presently negatives to these policies. The chairman recognizes that." He also spoke about returning to the gold standard, which would be "very difficult."

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 20, 2013

Why U.S. Interest Rates Are Rising / Interest-Rates / US Interest Rates

By: Michael_Pento

The interest rate on the Ten-year Note has risen from 1.58% on December 6th of last year, to as high as 2.03% by mid-February. Most equity market cheerleaders are crediting a rebounding economy for the recent move up in rates. According to my count, this is the 15th time since the Great Recession began that the economy was supposedly on the threshold of a robust recovery.

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Interest-Rates

Monday, February 18, 2013

Spanish Debt Grows by €146 Billion, Largest Ever Recorded / Interest-Rates / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Mike_Shedlock

Proof there is no rebalancing in Europe is easy to find. For example, El Pais reports Spanish Debt Grows by €146 Billion.

What follows is a Mish-modified translation of the above Google-translation.

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Interest-Rates

Friday, February 15, 2013

What About U.S. Bond Market? / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: Robert_M_Williams

All truth passes through three stages. First, it is ridiculed. Second, it is violently opposed. Third, it is accepted as being self-evident. - Arthur Schopenhauer (1788 - 1860)

Interest rates are an integral part of our life since most of us have mortgages, car loans, credit cards, and even student loans. Interest rates are the new plague and they are everywhere. The media continues to remind us that the US Federal Reserve, acting in our best interest, will remain accommodative for many months to come. That means keeping rates at or near zero and the presses rolling. This will supposedly grease the wheels of the economy and facilitate the recovery we’re hearing so much about. Inversely the media never mentions the fact that it’s the market that sets rates, and that very same market has been raising rates for months.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

The Great Lie That Will Bankrupt America / Interest-Rates / US Debt

By: DailyWealth

Porter Stansberry writes: The world's markets are beginning to go haywire.

The world's money system – the scales upon which the world's market functions – is being deliberately destroyed. And so, the monetary signals that guide the markets – which are supposed to represent the supply and demand decisions of billions of people – have become distorted.

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Bond Market Bubble Expectations / Interest-Rates / US Bonds

By: BATR

Bonds are loans that have the expectation of payback with interest. Government bonds are viewed as the safest financial instrument since the primary fiscal obligation of the state is to honor the terms of their own notes. However, in the fevered climate of currency wars among central banksters, the security factor of capital repayment is rapidly coming into question. As interest rates rise, the economic value of the bond diminishes. This inverted normal relationship is the essential dynamic of lending money with the purchase of Treasury Bonds. So what is all the talk about a bond bubble and likelihood that it will destroy your underwriting capital?

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Interest-Rates

Wednesday, February 13, 2013

Dim Sum Bonds: A New Way to Play the Yuan and Chinese Debt / Interest-Rates / International Bond Market

By: Investment_U

Jason Jenkins writes: For about the last four months, investors have been throwing money into funds that focus on a relatively new instrument called “dim-sum” bonds. In fact, EPFR Global reported there were $81 million of inflows in the week ended January 16.

The big question: Is there a solid basis behind this movement, or are people out there just chasing yields?

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