Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.Thursday, November 03, 2011
Economic and Investing Insights From a Lord of Finance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
David Galland, The Casey Report writes: Of all the social memes related to the economic and investment landscape, none is more dominant than that there is a small cadre of powerful Wall Street money men who, working behind the scenes, effectively control investment markets, the global economy and the politicians that play such a big role in that economy.
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Thursday, November 03, 2011
Return of Fear for Stock and Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
We said in Sept first week to be prepared for “Bloody September”, then we said in first week of October that be prepared for an October rally and now we update our analysis for November.
So if October was where the bears digested their food from September as they slept through bull run on October, we could see them coming back in November.
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Tuesday, November 01, 2011
What the World Will Look Like if Occupy Wall Street Wins / Politics / Financial Markets 2011
Keith Fitz-Gerald, Chief Investment Strategist writes: There are many reasons why the Occupy Wall Street movement could fail - a lack of cohesion, too many directions, no leadership, not enough money, and no representation, to name a few.
But what if it "succeeds?"
What would our investing landscape look like and what would we do about it?
Sunday, October 30, 2011
Dollar Breakdown Triggers Stock Markets Risk Rally, It's All About the 3's / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Dollar Breakdown Triggers Stock Markets Risk Rally, It's All About the 3's
Last week I wrote about the key support that needed to hold for the DX at 76.50, the rest is history, but it's clearly obvious with the strength that we saw towards the middle of the week in risk markets, you saw a significant breach of that support, which suggests that all we saw is a 3 wave rally.
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Saturday, October 29, 2011
Investors Positioning for Five Impending Investment Critical Events / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“The end crisis will be postponed until the sovereigns go bankrupt.” Marc Faber, 10/27/11
Eurozone issues are critical for many reasons including the fact that they are a harbinger of those facing the World’s largest Economy and Reserve Currency. Issuer, the USA, in the not too distant future.
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Friday, October 28, 2011
European Debt Crisis Contagion Turns Positive, Will it Last? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Shah Gilani writes: Everybody loves a rally.
After European leaders announced a plan to stem Eurozone and global panic over Greece's potential default and shore up capital at beleaguered banks, positive contagion is lifting stock markets from one end of the planet to the other.
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Hugh Hendry Interview at the LSE’s Alternative Investment Conference / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Hugh Hendry spoke at the London School of Economic’s Alternative Investment Conference. This was a really fantastic interview and we highly recommend watching the following videos in full. See below for the videos.
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Thursday, October 27, 2011
Do You Trust The Eurocrats To Deliver? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The financial markets are hanging by a thread as they await the outcome of the 22nd emergency summit of the European Union. A single positive statement by a lone Eurocrat can lift the DOW by 250 points, conversely a denial can send it tumbling down again. The suggestions to remedy the economic woes of the euro zone vary from modifications around the periphery to grandiose schemes borrowed from fairy land.
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Wednesday, October 26, 2011
Do Bullish Investors Have an Ace in the Hole? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Right now, there are planes full of travelers heading to Vegas with dreams of striking it rich. These starry-eyed gamblers would greatly improve their odds by learning how to count cards. Yet, as we learned in the movie 21, where six MIT students team with Micky Rosa to become expert card counters and "bring down the house," this highly illegal technique carries dire consequences.
You may not be able to count cards at the blackjack table, but counting historical trends of the stock market and discovering inflection points are not only legal strategies, they are essential to successful investing.
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Monday, October 24, 2011
Financial Markets Extend Rally Despite Weekend Deadlock / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The big weekend European summit has passed largely without a major agreement on the two potential models to expand the financial firepower of the European Financial Stability Facility. Focus has now shifted to Wednesday's joint EU and Eurozone summit which is supposedly the deadline for tangible plans being produced. What price on this deadline slipping with more hazy plans put out in the interim?
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Investors Essential Portfolio Considerations into 2012 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“…the world is a lot poorer than it was in June. But back then people still thought the Bernanke team was engineering a ‘recovery.’ Now we know, recovery hopes were fantasies. This is not an economy that can recover. It has to die. Then, a new economy will take its place.”
The Developed World Shifts from “More” to “Better”
Bill Bonner, The Daily Reckoning, 10/3/11
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Saturday, October 22, 2011
Ominous Signals for Silver and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
On October 20, we outlined several divergences and hurdles for the stock market to overcome. Since silver has more real world uses than gold, silver tends to be a good economic barometer, similar to copper. As we have mentioned in the past, silver tends to be in greater demand when (a) the economy is expected to grow, and (b) when inflation expectations are high.
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Wednesday, October 19, 2011
Realpolitik / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Go Angela!
More mayhem, debt downgrades and a bank failure in Europe finally concentrated the minds of EU politicians, something the market has been waiting a year for. German Chancellor Merkel and French President Sarkozy are promising a plan for bank recapitalization. If we get one and it makes sense then we should see further gains.
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Monday, October 17, 2011
Deflation and the Secular Stocks Bear Market, The Most Important Decision Bernanke Will Ever Make / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
As many of you know who have read my work in the past, the dollar put in a major three year cycle low back in May. It has been my expectation all along that the rally out of that major bottom would coincide with another deflationary period and the next leg down in the stock secular bear market. So far this has been the case as stocks topped in May at the same time the dollar bottomed.
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Monday, October 17, 2011
Technical Analysis of Stocks, Currencies, Bonds and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
-- When I last discussed the VIX two weeks ago, I had mentioned that the VIX was getting quite a bit of attention in the popular media. I should have suspected that it was the "kiss of death" for the continuation of the rally at that time. Although the formation appeared to be ready for an upside breakout, it was due for a Master Cycle low, first. It now appears that the low may be in, or nearly so. The VIX cycle turn date occurred on Saturday, so I am allowing one more trading day for the turn to happen.
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Friday, October 14, 2011
Silver’s Signals Lean Bearish For Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Before we review current bull/bear signals from silver, Bloomberg had an on the money comment relative to the efforts in Europe:
Read full article... Read full article...“Recapitalizing the banks is not the solution,” said Justin Bisseker, who helps manage 205 billion pounds as a European bank analyst in London for Schroders, Britain’s largest independent money manager. “Sovereign risk is the principal concern. Once investors’ confidence in sovereigns returns, then confidence in the banks will follow.&rM.
Friday, October 14, 2011
Investors Great Opportunities (from Great Mistakes) Season / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“… I think this next phase of the crisis — a crisis that started with the credit crunch — has been exacerbated by governments and central banks creating even more debt in the global economy.
… The credit crunch was the result of too much leverage (debt) in the global economy. So the private sector starts to deleverage and instead of letting the market take its natural course, authorities add more debt to the global economy. Now the imbalances are worse than before the credit crunch.
I couldn’t make this stuff up if I tried.
Thus, I believe this story ends badly again; deleveraging globally is the only way to solve the problem if countries wish to see real growth ever again.
It won’t be pretty for most asset classes…”
“The Bank of England falls off the wagon. The pound could be sore in the morning!”
Jack Crooks, Money and Markets, 10/8/11
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Friday, October 14, 2011
Will US Shoppers Rescue Europe's Economy? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
This morning there is a muted reaction to the downgrade of Spanish debt by ratings agency S&P. It seems that the agency has done little more than confirm what markets have been saying for weeks. Today we have the start of the G20 meeting which runs into the weekend. The talks will be centred around Europe with terms of the rescue plan still being finalized amid news that France and Germany are disagreeing on Lisbon treaty reforms.Markets are in a holding pattern right now, but this could be broken by some strong data from the US today.
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Thursday, October 13, 2011
Major Market Reversals Brewing for Gold, Silver and Stock Prices / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Over the past year we have been learning more about the financial situations across the pond in Europe. With international issues on the rise, investors are panicking trying to find a safest haven for their capital. This money has been bouncing from one investment to another trying to avoid the next major crash in stocks, bonds, currencies and commodities. It seems every 6 months there is a new headline news issue at hand forcing the smart money to withdraw from one investment class too another hoping to avoid the next meltdown.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 12, 2011
Slovakia Rejects EFSF, Financial Markets Yawn / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Overnight the Slovak government voted against expanding the EFSF (European Financial Stability Fund). All Eurozone countries must ratify the changes before they can come to pass, so technically the vote failure could derail the bailout plans. In reality, there appears to have been some political horse play involved in this vote, with a second vote likely to pass as early as Thursday.
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