Category: Financial Markets 2011
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Friday, September 16, 2011
Did US Dollar Injection Alter the Dominent Crisis Market Trends? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
This is part of the premium analysis for Captial3x subscribers. It was a tough trading day across desks as SNB/ECB combine once again caught almost every trader that I know off, napping by “injecting USD liquidity”. This is the second time SNB has found itself leading an operation involving non conventional methods and therefore reflects an increasing ability to preempt crisis. Left to the markets, dollar scarcity would have result the exact of not worse situation seen in 2008. Dollar liquidity was the first step in calming the markets but we need to understand how long will this last as Central banks do not have infinite resources. While there are many who will be increasingly vocal about the ethos of providing such operation instead of letting institutions/countries to fail, we disagree and believe if there is a problem we need to first treat the pain and then go to treat the real problem. If one has headache we do not think of cutting the head off, do we? Therefore CBs are in their right to deploy such measures if they see pain in the markets. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 16, 2011
Investor Prosperity and Protection in this Era of Concatenating Crises / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Let’s face it; many of the world’s ‘developed’ nations are insolvent … Either (they) will default or they will try and inflate their currencies into oblivion. Politicians can lie all they want, but the truth is that the debt obligations of these European nations are simply too large relative to the size of their economies.”
“In Greece, government debt now represents almost 160% of GDP and the average yield on Greek debt is around 15%. Thus, if Greece’s debt is rolled over without restructuring, its interest costs alone will amount to approximately 24% of GDP. In other words, if debt pardoning does not occur, nearly a quarter of Greece’s economic output will be gobbled up by interest repayments!”
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Monday, September 12, 2011
Three Moves Investors Should Make Before the Next FOMC Meeting / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald, , writes: The decisions made at the next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting on Sept. 20-21 could affect market performance for years to come. That's why investors should prepare ahead of time. Of course, there's no way to predict exactly what U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben S. Bernanke will do, but 20 years of experience in global markets suggest he's considering five alternatives drawn from a rapidly diminishing menu of options:
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Monday, September 12, 2011
Stocks and Commodities May Get Hammered If U.S. Dollar Rallies / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Saying an asset class may be “hammered” may seem like a colorful way to express an opinion, but the table below shows stocks and commodities were indeed hammered during a sharp U.S. dollar rally that occurred in the period August 2008 - November 2008.
Sunday, September 11, 2011
Credit Versus Equity The War Is Waged / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
Bull versus bear. Greed versus fear. Smart money versus dumb money. Depression versus transitory soft patch. Credit versus equity.
In one corner is the credit market, a rather mighty opponent where $1 million defines an odd lot. Credit has spoken loudly. They have priced in a severe recession, depression whatever you want to call it.
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Saturday, September 10, 2011
Investor Opportunities Credit Crunch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“In doing what the Swiss National Bank is doing (Ed. Pegging the Swiss Franc to the Euro), it has effectively ended the Swiss Franc as a currency.” Dennis Gartman, The Gartman Letter
Crises are Magnifying and Intensifying but are also providing Substantial Profit Opportunities, providing one knows what to focus on, and what to avoid – our dual focus here.
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Wednesday, September 07, 2011
EURO Volatility and S&P Risk / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
EUR/USD correction from 1.4550 on 29 Aug 2011 has now extended to 1.3960 levels on 6 September 2011, correction of 600 pips. We did forecast for such a move given the weakening fundamentals in EU zone and the pickup in volatility. Refer our EURO volatility charts
Wednesday, September 07, 2011
The Fed's Twisted Plan / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: PhilStockWorld
While world markets sell off, and President Obama and Congress wrangle over some form of job-creating legislation, the Federal Reserve is busy with its own problems as it attempts to deal with stubbornly high and persistent unemployment. Expectations for additional quantitative easing (QE) are running very high, but there is the possibility that the Fed may undertake a different kind of QE program, designed to provide stimulus without actually putting more money into the system.
Wednesday, September 07, 2011
How to Find Investment Opportunities from Blood, Debt and Fears / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: John_Derrick
My long-time friend and mentor Seymour Schulich forwarded an email to me that puts today’s U.S. government debt mountain startlingly into context. By removing several zeros, one can place the debt situation in terms we all can understand—that of a family’s income and expenses.
Monday, September 05, 2011
Charts and Economic Data Point to a Bloody September for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Capital3X
September is known to slay the mighty and yet it may just be the best opportunity of all months to make strong returns if one is able to realign portfolio to ride the momentum.
We will analyze charts from the Treasury market, S&P 500 Index, Volatility indices and AUD/USD to understand the market positioning. The data over the last couple of weeks has been negative the least to say.
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Friday, September 02, 2011
Credibility Crash 2011 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: HRA_Advisory
Things turned hard in the markets since the last issue, and not in a good way. A lot of bad news has been priced into the market. At this point only time will tell whether that has impacted people hard enough to tip the slow growing developed countries into recession. Whichever way things go, it’s going to be close.
Monday, August 29, 2011
Stocks, Gold, Silver and Bonds Market Analysis Video / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
- Gold and silver have had a nice little bounce on Friday but are now trading at resistance. Be cautious of lower prices.
- Crude oil continues to form a base on the daily chart and is showing some strength today with the weak dollar.
- Bonds look as though they are about to top out and sell off meaning a TBT etf could be a great play going forward.
- SP500 is gapped up and should find resistance at the 1200 level today or later this week which will likely be sold into.
Sunday, August 28, 2011
Gold, Stock Market Key Inflection Points / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
Another week, another crazy set of moves, which I am sure are causing issues for some traders, although one thing that is working and working well is our areas, having key support and resistance areas sure does help trading these markets.
Friday, August 26, 2011
Trading Markets, Reversals for Gold, Silver and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Clay Tom writes: Gold.. Covered short positions.. Long.. Dgp and nugt, short dzz and dust. .. See the long tail .. Sperm pattern.. That is a bottom reversal. Indicators still point down, but obv started up.
Thursday, August 25, 2011
German Court Wields Huge Economic Power / Politics / Financial Markets 2011
By: John_Browne
With investors now emerging from a state of panic after the harrowing losses of late July and August, stock markets are now rising and gold is finally falling after a record run that pushed its price north of $1,900 per ounce. The buoyant mood is largely undergirded by the hope that on this Friday, August 26th, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke will announce another round of stimulus to stop the U.S. economy from slipping back into another recession.
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Thursday, August 25, 2011
The Market Risk-On Trades Are Back / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past month investors have been hit hard from the falling stock market. Those who owned gold and bonds have been rewarded. During times of economic fear which leads to selling of stock shares investors and traders find safety in gold and bonds. It was this surge of money coming out of stocks that propelled the price of gold and bonds sharply higher through-out this selloff.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Fear Sets In, Panic Begins, Ruin Perceived, Prepare for Gold $2100 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Jim_Willie_CB
Something big is going on in the United States in a sentiment change, an altered state of psychology, a growing sense of panic. My opinion is that the nation has entered the early stage of comprehension among the population of systemic failure. The most immediate measures are the rash of heavy selling down days in the US Stock market, the strong purchases in Gold, as well as the reactions to constant news of sovereign debt in trouble, and the big banks teetering. Several other softer measures have been noted, made overwhelming by their sheer numbers. A perception wave has taken hold of a toxic USEconomy, a toxic US financial sector, a toxic US housing sector, a toxic economic brain trust in the US towers. A sense of doom is creeping into the nation's living rooms and board rooms, that the nation is in deterioration. Worse, they are realizing how US Federal Reserve is toothless, unable to address or treat the problems.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Financial Macroeconomic Outlook, The Winds of Change / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Submissions
Anthony J. Krcmar submits: The report relies heavily on the conceptual framework of a U.S economy in a balance sheet recession. Our main thesis rests on the belief that until U.S households repair their balance sheets and generate real income growth, they are in no position to drive a self-sustaining economic recovery. Monetary policy (including quantitative easing (QE)) produces limited results in generating real economic growth--- since the demand for credit and the lack of qualified borrowers remain the issue not the supply of funds. Instead, expansive fiscal policy, through increased government budget deficits, exists as the primary lever to raise economic activity, transfer real financial assets to the private sector, and ease the pain of the deleveraging cycle.
Wednesday, August 24, 2011
Get Out of the Way and Let Markets Work / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: The_Energy_Report
Thomson Reuters' Commodity and Energy Specialist Christopher Henwood believes bailouts of too-big-to-fail companies and countries addicted to entitlements have cast an ominous shadow over the global economy. Nevertheless, he finds room for optimism as global economic turmoil puts downward pressure on energy prices, which should give the economy some breathing room. In this exclusive interview with The Energy Report, Chris shares a bit of his market knowledge and economic philosophy.
Tuesday, August 23, 2011
Investing: Bad News, Good News, and What's Next / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Janet_Tavakoli
The manic depressive market wildly swings up and down on each new news story: The Fed is meeting at Jackson Hole on August 27 possibly to discuss QE3 (or not), and that news may pump up the stock market. But China's banks seem to be using Enron's accounting manual, Europe's banks need liquidity and are loaded with bad debt, and U.S. banks only temporarily TARPed over trouble.