Category: Crude Oil
The analysis published under this category are as follows.
Tuesday, November 04, 2008
Crude Oil Turns Bullish / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Let's notice the rounded bottom in the U.S. Oil Fund ETF (AMEX: USO), carved out since Oct 21, and though it represents a relatively minor base pattern, it should propel the USO into the 60.00-62.00 area in the upcoming days. Only a sudden downside reversal and plunge beneath 52.00 will wreck the developing pattern.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 29, 2008
Wild Crude Oil Markets Long-term Trend / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: When people ask me if I think crude oil is going to $50 or $150, I nod sagely and say: “Yes, probably.”
I'm not being flip. I'm simply giving both the short-term and the long-term timeframes.
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Monday, October 27, 2008
Crude Oil Truth / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
I am not ready to step up to add the U.S. Oil Fund ETF (AMEX: USO) to our model portfolio just yet, but I am getting much friendlier to the idea technically. Looking at the weekly crude oil chart, it's the time of truth for nearby oil prices, as the price structure pressed against its 7-year support line in the $61.60 area, which was violated marginally this morning ($61.30), but NOT by 1-1/2% ($60.60), which would have triggered another bout of weakness to $55.00-50.00 next. Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, October 21, 2008
Mixing of US Election Politics with Crude Oil / Politics / Crude Oil
By: Gary_Dorsch
With two weeks left before the US presidential election, is Arizona Senator John “Maverick” McCain's sprint for the White House at a dead-end? His challenger, Illinois Democrat Barack Obama raked in $150 million in donor contributions from domestic and possibly foreign sources last month, and is planning an unrelenting brainwashing campaign until Election Day, in order to cement his lead in the opinion polls, and guide the Democrats to complete control of the US-government.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, October 17, 2008
A Great Time to Buy? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Stathis
Buy you ask? Yes. Not stocks, unless you're talking about oil. And unless you're the best of the best of traders you'll probably want to buy the oil trusts, but only if you believe in the peak oil story. Today? Not likely….at least wait until the next market crash, which appears to be coming any day now. And I highly doubt you're anywhere as good of a trader as you think. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, October 16, 2008
China Beating the United States in Global Crude Oil Deals Game / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: recently signed its first oil deal in 35 years with a foreign company.
And – quite surprisingly to many observers – the company wasn't one of ours.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 01, 2008
Crude Oil Rally Fails / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Crude oil prices are down about 7% from the intraday high and point towards a retest of the September lows at 93.36 and 90.50 next. Let's notice that yesterday's rally and today's initial attempt at extending yesterday's rally failed right at the sharply declining 20 DMA, which also represents the mid-point of the (width) of the declining Bollinger Bands. This is classic action: in a bull market, pullbacks find support at the rising 200 DMA, while in a bear market rallies fail and reverse to the downside from the declining 20 Day -- as is the case right now. I expect oil prices to plunge through the September lows on the way $80 next. Lower oil equates to a downside target of 70.00 in the US Oil Fund ETF (AMEX: USO).Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, October 01, 2008
$700 Billion Banking Bailout Will Drive Crude Oil to $250 / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: I've been predicting record oil prices for a number of years now, so when crude oil prices recently plunged from their record highs, I warned investors and consumers that the decline was nothing more than a temporary respite.
But now it's clear that the fallout from the $700 billion banking bailout pact will virtually guarantee that my prediction will come true.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, September 23, 2008
Peak Oil is Here Now / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Submissions
The late A. M. Samsam Bakhtiari was quoted in MoneyWeek in 2006: “The fact of being in 'Post-Peak' will bring about explosive disruptions that we know little about and which are extremely difficult to foresee. And the shock waves from these explosions rippling throughout the financial and industrial infrastructure could have myriad unintended consequences for which we have no precedent and little experience. Thus, in the face of Peak Oil and its multiple consequences, which are bound to impact upon almost all aspects of our human standards of life, it seems imperative to get prepared to face all the inevitable shock waves resulting from that. Preparation should be carried out on individual, familial, societal, and national levels as soon as possible.”Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 22, 2008
Crude Oil Explodes Higher to $130 Illustrating Irrational Markets / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The financial markets being hit by ever larger and more volatile waves of panic today saw crude oil surge from Fridays close of $102 to a high of $130, this is as a direct consequence of last weeks decision by the US governments decision to initially buy up $700 billion of bad bank debt that looks set to eventually run in the many trillions. The proposed plan is highly inflationary and hence scared capital is attempting to seek safe-havens. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 12, 2008
Crude Oil $200 a Barrel, What happened? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: INO
It's true, the rumors were circulating heavily when crude oil was trading at $145 a barrel that it was going to be hitting $200 a barrel in a matter of days or weeks at the very latest. Well, that never happened. Crude oil learned that gravity plays a part in every commodity market's life. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, September 12, 2008
OPEC Died Decades Ago / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are considering an article entitled The Death Of OPEC .Saudi Arabia walked out on OPEC yesterday. It said it would not honor the cartel's production cut. It was tired of rants from Hugo Chavez of Venezuela and the well-dressed oil minister from Iran.
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Sunday, September 07, 2008
Long-term Crude Oil Price Trend Analysis / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Richard_Shaw
Where are oil prices going? We don't know. You don't know. Nobody knows. Short-term events could drive oil higher or lower. The current trend is clearly down, but where it stops is not evident.
What is an investor to do? One reasonable thing to do is nothing, if you don't have particular oil exposure, or if you have good yield from oil companies with well covered dividends.
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Thursday, September 04, 2008
The Real Big Storm About to Hit the United States is Cantarell / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Broderick writes: The oil industry along the Louisiana coast got off lightly from Hurricane Gustav. While 1.3 million barrels of oil and seven billion cubic feet of natural gas per day stopped pumping temporarily, most of the oil infrastructure escaped harm. And oil prices plummeted on that good news.
However, there's a much worse problem threatening oil production around the Gulf of Mexico ...
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Monday, September 01, 2008
Hurricane Storms Impact on Crude Oil Price / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Clif_Droke
Since January we’ve discussed the influence that the 6-year cycle would have over the year 2008. Already we’ve seen many tokens of its impact, primarily in the financial markets. The late banking crisis and subsequent spillover into other areas of the market have been one of the most prominent features of this year.One of the main reasons why financial markets have been so volatile and subject to so many cross currents this year is because the 6-year cycle is bottoming while its double cycles, the Kress 12-year cycle, is peaking. The last time the 12-year cycle bottomed was in late September/early October 2002 and its effects on the stock market are well known. It produced the end to the previous bear market that year and marked the birth of a new bull market.
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Sunday, August 31, 2008
Hurricane Gustav Tracking New Orleans East of Oil and Gas Rigs / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Shedlock
Those interested in Hurricane Gustav should tie into the Oil Drum thread Hurricane Gustav, Energy Infrastructure, and Updated Damage Models - Thread #3 .
Recent track shifts have Gustav consistently hitting near New Orleans, east of the majority of oil and gas rigs; though this could still change in either direction, the models have continued to converge.
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Friday, August 22, 2008
China Beats West to Iraqi Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Money_Morning
Jason Simpkins writes: China and Iraq will sign a deal next week to develop the Ahdab oil field, 100 miles southeast of Baghdad, at time when political gridlock and security concerns have cast doubt over several pending short-term contracts.
The new agreement, valued at $1.2 billion, is a variation of a deal struck with the state-owned China National Petroleum Corp. in 1997, when Iraq was in the clutches of Saddam Hussein.
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Saturday, August 16, 2008
Review: Profit from the Peak Oil / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: David_Shvartsman
Are we nearing the end of the Oil Age? Is the end of a cheap fossil fuel era at hand? How will we make the transition from a world dependent on hydrocarbon energy to one powered by a mix of hydrocarbons and renewable energy, and can we profit from this coming shift?
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Friday, August 15, 2008
Crude Oil Demand Destruction Overdone? / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Andy_Sutton
Much ado has been made of ‘demand destruction', an economic term that refers to declining demand for a good due to high prices. The past month or so the mainstream US press has latched onto demand destruction as a reason for the decline in oil prices much in the same way they blamed speculators for high oil prices just a few weeks earlier.
Also, when talking about demand destruction, they will refer to US numbers only; conveniently forgetting the rest of the world. The mindset here is still that the US is the top dog and the rest of the globe is irrelevant. So let's indulge them in their narrow-mindedness for a minute and look only at US consumption as presented by the Energy Information Administration.
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Thursday, August 14, 2008
DIG Proshares Ultra Long Gas & Oil ETF Carving Out New Trading Range / Commodities / Crude Oil
By: Mike_Paulenoff
The natural gas inventory data did not have much of an impact on the ProShares Ultra Long Oil & Gas ETF (AMEX: DIG), which appears to be carving out a new trading range between 84.00 and 80.50, after emerging yesterday from a lower trading range between 76.00 and 80.00. The higher range represents the next phase of the basing attempt that has been in progress for the past week. A sustained hurdle of 84.50/70 is needed to trigger additional upside potential off of the base into the 89.00-90.00 target zone. Conversely, a breach of 80.50/00 near-term support will begin to compromise the efficacy of the developing base pattern.Read full article... Read full article...