Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Monday, September 26, 2011
Buy SPXU, and Watch AGQ, SLV and PSLV for Once in a Lifetime Chance / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day. Conversely, The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. If you believe as I do that we are setting up for a leg down on the S&P then SPXU is the best way to profit from this trade.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Economic Collapse, Financial Manipulation and the Dollar Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
The question plays out on three fronts. England quietly is immersed in its own financial problems, churning out their version of quantitative easing, as the US FOMC meeting rises in the distance for two days this time.
Will we get the twist? Of course we will. If we do not the bottom will fall out. That will signify the issuance of more funds plus what is needed to purchase some 80% of Treasury securities, or about another $850 billion.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Year-To-Date Performance of Various Financial Assets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Check out the Treasuries in the second chart, particularly the 30 Year Bond.
If the Fed had not been targeting assets to create some of these price moves it would be the best case for deflation which I have seen thus far.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Bull and Bear Market Cases for Gold, Silver and Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
After gold and silver got hit hard last week, some of you probably wonder if that was the end of the 10 year+ bull market for precious metals.
In this article, we will describe both the Bull & Bear Cases for Gold, Silver and Stocks and we will also make some interesting comparisons.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Changing Markets Risk Perception Across Multiple Asset Classes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
This week saw a lot of technical damage across multiple asset classes as demonstrated by the charts below. The biggest shift though appears to be that of perceived risk. In the past bad news was good news as it would bring further accommodative monetary policy such as QE1 and QE2. Market participants always believed the Bernanke put was alive and well and equity values would be defended. In other words the perception of risk was less severe.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Stock Market Crash or Buying Opportunity Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
"Lost decade."
The phrase originally applied to Japan's stock market. Yet in terms of depth and scale, it more accurately describes today's markets and economy in the United States.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Stocks Are Not Supposed to Fall in the 3rd Year of a Presidential Term / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
While I dont take much stock in things such as Super Bowl indicators or hem line indicators in terms of giving us a tell on where the economy or market is heading, one quite prescient indicator has been a simple one - the third year of a presidential term indicator. Generally, as a president heads to a re-election year he tries to push through some beneficial packages to help stoke the economy - which often leads to artificial bumps in GDP and profits - hence stocks follow. But in this case, we've been on massive stimulants for years in a row.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Stocks, Silver, Gold and Bonds, Recession / Depression Until 2016? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Let’s start with an update of an article I wrote on July 20th 2011. If the pattern isn’t broken soon, this could mean we are about to see 2008 all over again, and silver could drop another 50% from here:
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Bull Bear Market Phases, Dow Theory Update / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
According to Dow theory, both bull and bear markets have three phases. Between each of these phases there are important counter-trend moves. Our Dow theory founding fathers explained that these counter-trend moves are misleading and tend to be taken as a continuation of the previous long-term secular trend. Based on the longer-term phasing and value aspects of Dow theory, the evidence continues to suggest that the last great bull market began at the December 1974 low and peaked in October 2007. This data also continues to suggest that the decline into the March 2009 low was merely the Phase I decline and that the rally out of the March 2009 low serves to separate Phase I from Phase II of a much longer-term secular bear market.
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Sunday, September 25, 2011
Choppy Stock Market May Bottom Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
After some big gains last week and a SPX 1216 close, the market gave it all back this week with a SPX 1136 close. Economic reports were light, but still mostly to the downside. On the positive were building permits, existing home sales, the monetary base and a downtick in weekly jobless claims. On the negative were declining housing starts, FHFA/NAHB housing prices, leading indicators, excess reserves and the WLEI. The big news for the week was the ‘sterilized’ Operation Twist. A $400 bln program to purchase long term debt with short term debt. The market apparently wanted more liquidity in the form of outright purchases. For the week the SPX/DOW were -6.45%, and the NDX/NAZ were -4.85%. Asian markets lost 5.0%, Europeans markets lost 5.2%, the Commodity equity group lost 10.3%, and the DJ World index dropped 7.7%. Next week will be highlighted by Q2 GDP, the Chicago PMI and Case-Shiller.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
No Shots Left in the Locker The Big Plunge / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
While the Fed’s Open Market Committee (FOMC) promised more monetary easing on Wednesday, the announcement was overshadowed by an exceedingly gloomy report on the state of the economy. The official statement warned of “significant downside risks to the economic outlook, including strains in global financial markets.” That’s all it took to send shares tumbling as jittery investors jettisoned stocks and fled to the safety of risk-free US Treasuries. The Dow finished down 283 points on the day while the bloodbath spread overseas to Asian and European markets.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
Stock Market Rough Week...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
And that's putting it mildly if you ask me. The market spent little time printing up ticks, and lots of time moving lower. It was a near crash on Thursday with the Nasdaq down nearly 90 points, and the Dow down nearly 400 points. Intraday it was down 525. Lots of bad news from overseas, especially from Greece, along with bad economic reports right here in the United States, really sparked the selling. It appears more and more as if we're headed for a global recession if we're not there already. Many of the reports coming in suggest were likely there right now with the markets action saying that is the case.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
The Perfect Storm in a Kondratieff Long Wave Winter / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Crashing global stock markets, debt defaults, overproduction, falling prices, tumbling interest rates, global debt deleveraging, and the clear necessity for austerity, they are all classic long wave forces now in full tilt, producing the perfect storm in a Kondratieff long wave winter. Only long wave theory explains the economic and financial events now unfolding daily in the global economy and financial markets.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
What If You Don’t Have A Five Year Investment Horizon! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
I am so tired of hearing money managers and Wall Street spokesmen promoting stocks, talking on and on about the wonderful prospects of this or that corporation or sector, enticing easily led investors to buy them, hardly ever revealing they don’t mean investors should necessarily buy them immediately.That qualification, “if one has a five-year investment horizon”, is usually revealed in an unobtrusive phrase somewhere near the end of the interview, if at all.
Saturday, September 24, 2011
Markets Panic, What's Happening? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Another horrible weak for investors right across the board. What's going on…?
WE HAVE SEEN another tumultuous week for global markets. Gold prices have been hit hard – with silver prices getting it even worse.
Stocks and commodities have also suffered – while US Treasury bonds have had to put up with Ben Bernanke 'Twisting' them.
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Saturday, September 24, 2011
Explosive Moves in Gold, Silver, Oil, Dollar and Stocks, How to Catch The Next Move / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver 2011
Technical video analysis for Gold, Silver, Oil, Dollar and the Stock market.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Investors Prepare for More Big Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
“The debt markets have been warned…
‘The incremental parts of our foreign reserve holdings should be invested in physical assets… we will liquidate (U.S. Treasuries)…when…’
To my knowledge, this is the first time that a top adviser to China's central bank has uttered the word "liquidate."…
The Chinese are clearly vexed with Washington, viewing the Fed's QE as a stealth default on US debt. Mr Li came close to calling America a basket case, saying the picture is far worse than when Ronald Reagan and Margaret Thatcher took over in the early 1980s.”
“China to 'liquidate' U.S. Treasuries, not dollars”
Ambrose Evans-Pritchard, The Telegraph, London, 9/16/11
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Stock Market Urgent Report, Buying Opportunity Or Another Free Fall? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
"Lost decade."
The phrase originally applied to Japan's stock market. Yet in terms of depth and scale, it more accurately describes today's markets and economy in the United States.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Eve Of Financial Collapse 2011, Like 1932? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Is history about to repeat itself or rhyme? They will say, nobody saw it coming. Who could have predicted it...? It is worth noting that the 1932 stock market crash is deemed to be the worst in the 20th century and not the one in 1929. It occurred three years after the first crash. In September 2011, we are now approximately three years after the financial crash of 2008-09, which was triggered by the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers on September 15th, 2008.
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Friday, September 23, 2011
Marc Faber Warns Stock Market Plunge is Discounting a Financial Catastrophe / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Faber, publisher of the Gloom Boom & Doom Report, warns of a huge financial catastrophe on the way, which will make the 2008 financial crisis pale in comparison.
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