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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 04, 2015

Stocks Bear Market Resolving Towards New All Time High Before End of 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

Back track barely a month ago and the overwhelming consensus view FOLLOWING the August plunge into September was firmly become fixated on the expectations that after 6 years of a raging stocks bull market (that most had missed hence why I coined the phrase from the start of a stocks STEALTH bull market). Nevertheless the 'End Time' was apparently (again) NOW as apocalyptic doom and gloom once more prevailed following, and this not just voiced by the usual suspects i.e. the crash is always coming perma bear crowd, but even included those who may have been mostly bullish with statements such as there was now a 99.7% probability that stocks were in a bear market.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 04, 2015

The Stocks Bear Market Meter is Running / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: EWI

Taxicab medallions and margin debt: A similar reversal in the making

As a native New Yorker, I can say with complete confidence: It's true; there's no place on earth like The Big Apple. It's also true that, until recently, most New Yorkers would trip a nun if it meant hailing a Yellow cab first.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

Stock Market Three Peaks and a Domed House / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

Point 27
     A six-month cycle pointed to an important low in Sept/Oct this year.  A low then matches seasonal expectations for equities. If that low was point 26 on Lindsay’s template, then the rally into point 27 will be short as the right shoulder after the cupola (point 27) usually occurs at about five months or less after the cupola (point 23). From 1901 through 2011 there have been only three instances of a longer time frame between points 23 and 27.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

The Stock Market Big Picture / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is down, but around 8:30 a rally has been launched to attempt to take SPX higher. How far the central banks and primary dealer banks can push it is yet to be determined. I recalculated the targets for the three formations and was surprised at how closely they all agree.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 03, 2015

Stock Market Pushing Up...How High Can We Go?...ISM Nearing Recession... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market futures were quite a bit lower last night ahead of today's very important ISM Manufacturing Report due out thirty minutes into the trading day. As the night wore on, the European markets started to bid, and, thus, our futures bid up as well. We were green by the time the day started, and as the day wore on the market rose further and further leaving the bears scratching their heads in wonder.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 02, 2015

Dow Death Cross is Not a Bearish Signal for the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

People who cannot recognize a palpable absurdity are very much in the way of civilization.- Agnes Repplier

 One of the common themes we have spotted it that many of the readily available tools don’t provide their users with any meaningful edge. If the indicator is easy to use and easy to master, that means a plethora of individuals will be relying on it to give them some edge over the masses. What they fail to understand is that they are the part of the mass, they are trying to outwit.   A lot of chatter has sprung about lately regarding the death cross.  First it was the Dow, and now there is talk about the U.S dollar.  This indicator like the “Hindenburg Omen” is far from perfect and could lead to more harm than good if utilized consistently, other than the cool names they carry, they offer little in terms of value: they are both easy to master and understand and this, in essence, renders them useless.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 02, 2015

US Stocks Rebound May Be Hollow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX closed just beneath its Diagonal trendline. Over the weekend, SPX futures were down as many as 10 points before recovering to breakeven this morning. The Premarket is mildly positive (+1.00), but does not appear to have thrown back into the Diagonal at this time. Odds seem to be in favor of a further decline this morning. If so, there is a probability of testing Short-term support at 2039.18. However, should a further bounce occur, SPX overhead resistance appears to be between 2086.20 and 2089.00.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 01, 2015

Stock Market Minor Correction Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - SPX has resumed its uptrend in order to complete the last phase of the bull market.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses longer market trends.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 01, 2015

You Will Hear the Roar of the Printing Presses from Mars / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: Michael_J_Kosares

“We are exiting the eye of the giant financial hurricane that we entered in 2007, and we’re going into its trailing edge. It’s going to be much more severe, different and longer lasting than what we saw in 2008 and 2009… The U.S. created trillions of dollars to fight the financial crisis of 2008 and 2009. Most of those dollars are still sitting in the banking system and aren’t in the economy. Some have found their way into the stock markets and the bond markets, creating a stock bubble and a bond super-bubble. The higher stocks and bonds go, the harder they’re going to fall.” – Doug Casey, Casey Research

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 31, 2015

Stock Market Nearing New Highs / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2075. After drifting lower on Monday the market declined, aided by a gap down opening, to SPX 2059 on Tuesday. Then the market rallied to SPX 2085 on Wednesday ahead of the FOMC statement. After the statement the market declined to SPX 2063, then rallied to a new uptrend high at SPX 2090 by the close. On Thursday and Friday the rally continued as the SPX hit 2094. Then a late afternoon pullback ended the week at SPX 2079. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.15%, the NDX/NAZ gained 0.45%, and the DJ World index lost 0.2%. On the economic front reports continue to be lackluster. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, personal income/spending, the PCE, the Chicago PMI, and GDPn. On the downtick: new/pending home sales, durable goods, consumer confidence/sentiment, Q3 GDP, the WLEI, plus weekly jobless claims rose. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the monthly Payrolls report, the ISM’s and Auto sales.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 31, 2015

Stock Market Overbought...Action Positive....Pessimism Unwinding / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market has hung in there very well. It has been at or near overbought for quite some time. Thankfully, it's not severely overbought, but it is overbought nonetheless. It's staying overbought as the market awaits the big report out on Tuesday morning. The ISM Manufacturing Report. The market is in a hopeful mood it seems. It's hanging on to hope that the number is over 50.0, or the number that separates recession from growth. If the number comes in below 50 then look out below. If it's above 50 the market should hang in well, instead of pulling back from 70 RSI readings. The bulls are also decently happy over some of the earnings reports that have come out lately. Some nice, upward surprises have taken place in various areas of the market, allowing for some buying across the board, although there are some real lagging sectors to be sure.

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Stock-Markets

Saturday, October 31, 2015

SPX Stock Market Breakdown? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX is at the breakdown point again. It appears that the breakdown may appear at 2080 and it has bounced twice at 2082.00. This raises the probability of a trendline break before the close.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 30, 2015

One of America’s Largest Companies is Stockpiling Food and Gold for the Next Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

One of America’s largest companies is taking a controversial stance on employee benefits.

In a move that is sure to draw criticism from the mainstream press, Jonathan Johnson, chairman of online retail giant Overstock.com (OSTK), publicly stated that the company has stockpiled gold and food in preparation of a U.S. financial crisis.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 30, 2015

Stock Market Pivot Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The SPX Premarket is up 2 points as I write. It is no surprise to read that bullish fund flows are back. ZeroHedge writes, “The bullish fund flows are back. This is how Bank of America summarizes the latest EPFR capital flow sentiment: "Loving Wall Street: $15bn equity inflows + $5bn HY/IG inflows + 6 straight weeks of commodity inflows = investors are "risk-on."

Bank of America may be “talking” its book.” The information may be correct, but the conclusion may be flawed.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 30, 2015

Is Britain Preparing a Run for European Union Exit? / Stock-Markets / UK EU Referendum

By: Investment_U

Anthony Summers writes: To remain or not to remain? That is the question British voters have to answer.

A referendum was promised as part of the Conservative Party’s victory earlier this year. And the vote will decide whether England leaves the European Union (EU).

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 29, 2015

Financial Markets are a Game / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: EconMatters

Forget about Market Multiples: Totally Meaningless Sell-Side Crap

Anyone thinking about investing in financial markets should realize that most of the professionals who are on the inside, i.e., have power and access to information and capital to move markets, do not view financial markets as investment vehicles, decisions about P/E ratios, equity multiples, etc. but rather see financial markets as a giant game of making money.
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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 29, 2015

US Regulators Mandate Next Stage Of Textbook Financial Repression / Stock-Markets / Government Intervention

By: Dan_Amerman

With comparatively little fanfare, Fidelity Investments has announced that 100% of their $115 billion Cash Reserves fund, the world's largest money fund, will be invested in US government debt by December 1st of 2015. It is expected that many other money fund companies will also change their policies and invest only in US government and agency securities, because of a change in regulations that will occur in 2016.

Since 2010 the US government has been implementing a textbook example of Financial Repression, when it comes to using private savings to control and even effectively pay down the size of the national debt. Far from slowing down or ending this process, these new policies will expand by many millions the number of people who will effectively be forced to fund the purchase of government debt at artificially low interest rates. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

“Ignore The Noise” & Focus On The Fact That Central Banks “Remain Extremely Accommodative / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: GoldCore

The primary focus this week is again on the “all powerful” Fed. If the Fed leans toward a rate hike in December, gold could come under pressure again in the short term. However, if it leans toward raising rates next year, then gold would be expected to eke out further gains.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 28, 2015

Stock Market Flat Until the Fed Announcement? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is marginally higher this morning. It doesn’t Appear that much is going to happen until the 2 pm Fed Announcement. A year ago the market would have been tracking higher going into the Fed Announcement.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 27, 2015

Stocks Inflation Bull Run / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

Equity markets continue to defy our call for no end-of-year rally as equity investors rush to invest idle cash and not miss out on the positive feedback loop of higher prices. SPX has broken the mid-Sept high at 2,020 leaving behind a series of higher highs and higher lows; the definition of an uptrend. Price is the ultimate arbiter but we cannot ignore other signals if we want to be successful in forecasting price.

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