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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 20, 2011

Comparing the S&P in 2008 to Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Mike_Paulenoff

The analog pattern that pops out of my work is not 1998, but Oct 2007 to Jun 2008, which certainly more closely resembles the fundamental world in which we find ourselves now.

Let's notice that in March 2008, the S&P 500 completed a 20% correction off of its Oct 2007 high. The subsequent rally climbed nearly 15%, smacked into and pierced above some key declining weekly EMA's prior to a powerful downside reversal that initiated a period of acute SPX weakness.

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Stock-Markets

Thursday, October 20, 2011

Stock Market Unpunctured Cycle Report “Risk Off” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Submissions

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleRobert M. Williams writes: When I last wrote about the stock market it appeared that we had experienced a major break to the down side as the Dow, the S & P and the Transports all closed at new lows for the year. This took place on October 3rd with the Dow closing at 10,655 and well below the August low of 10,713. This of course was confirmed by the Transports as they closed at a new low of 4,038 on that exact same day. October 3rd was the second of two consecutive 90% down days and was highlighted by 836 stocks reaching a new 52-week low. Then on October 4th we saw even more stocks, 1,202 altogether, closing at new 52-week lows and I don’t remember so many stocks making new lows, at least over the last twenty years. This of course was a sign that sellers had finally exhausted the urge to part with stocks at any priced and I saw it at the time but failed to recognize it for what it was, i.e. an exhaustion of some sort.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Stock Market, Apple Earnings, and Feeding the A.D.D. Monster / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe last hour of trading was intense on Tuesday and then all eyes were focused on Apple’s earnings which were released around 4:30 ET. The initial reaction to the earnings release is negative although as I write this AAPL is bouncing sharply higher in after-market trading on strong volume.

To put the final hour’s volatility into perspective, at 3 P.M. Eastern Time the S&P 500 Index was trading at 1,217. A mere 12 minutes later the S&P 500 Index pushed 15 handles higher to trade up to 1,232. Then sellers stepped in and pushed the S&P 500 lower by nearly 12 handles in the following 20 minutes.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Realpolitik / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: HRA_Advisory

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleGo Angela!

More mayhem, debt downgrades and a bank failure in Europe finally concentrated the minds of EU politicians, something the market has been waiting a year for. German Chancellor Merkel and French President Sarkozy are promising a plan for bank recapitalization. If we get one and it makes sense then we should see further gains.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, October 19, 2011

Fractal Self-similarity and the Stock Market Crash Wave Pattern / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn tracking the 2007-2008 decline, I noticed that there was a certain repetition (self-similarity) in the wave structure that may also be playing out today.  One of the few rules in the wave structure is that third waves are never the smallest.  From there, we can use guidelines (not rules) that suggest general wave behavior. 

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

After SPXU Has its Day - UPRO is Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: George_Maniere

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSeveral weeks ago, for the second time, I called for a buy of SPXU too early. The Pro Shares Ultra Pro Short S&P 500 (SPXU) seeks a triple leverage or 300% return on the inverse performance of the S&P 500. Conversely, Pro Shares Ultra Pro S&P 500 (UPRO) is a triple leveraged fund that seeks a 300% return on the performance of the S&P for a single day.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, October 18, 2011

The Stock Market Will Rally Significantly / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: The_Gold_Report

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSteve Palmer, founder and chief executive of the Toronto-based investment manager AlphaNorth Asset Management, prefers metals that have uses beyond sitting in a basement safe or gift-giving. In this exclusive interview with The Gold Report, Palmer explains why he is looking closely at hardworking base metals that could take off with increasing global demand and a market rally he is forecasting through the end of the year.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011

Deflation and the Secular Stocks Bear Market, The Most Important Decision Bernanke Will Ever Make / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Toby_Connor

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAs many of you know who have read my work in the past, the dollar put in a major three year cycle low back in May. It has been my expectation all along that the rally out of that major bottom would coincide with another deflationary period and the next leg down in the stock secular bear market. So far this has been the case as stocks topped in May at the same time the dollar bottomed.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011

Stock Market Breakouts and Breakdowns / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleVIX has broken out of its downtrend this morning. It's turn date was on Saturday, so there are no surprises here. Its next target is 65.62, the average target for the Orthodox Broadening Bottom formation.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011

Is the Stock Market Being Manipulated By the Fed and its Banks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: LewRockwell

The U.S. economy has continued to falter since the housing bubble burst. Virtually every part of the economy has worsened, and continues to do so. This is also true on a global scale. Whether discussing unemployment, housing, inflation, GDP, retail sales, etc., the picture is clear, we are still in a depression. Even though the economic picture is bleak, the stock markets have continued to go up in value during this period. Why is this happening?

After the market collapse of 2008 and 2009, where losses were generally around 55%, the markets have gone up substantially. During that same period were QE1 and QE2. This is no coincidence. Bernanke took full credit for the rise in the stock markets, and for good reason.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Rally or New Bull Advance? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Donald_W_Dony

Broader global markets have rallied substantially since the start of the new cycle. The NYSE Composite has advanced 14% from October 4th (Chart 1), the EURO 100 has climbed over 11% and many Asian indexes have jumped 12%-17%. But is this the start of a new bull market or just a rebound rally within a longer bear trend?

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011

Technical Analysis of Stocks, Currencies, Bonds and Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article-- When I last discussed the VIX two weeks ago, I had mentioned that the VIX was getting quite a bit of attention in the popular media. I should have suspected that it was the "kiss of death" for the continuation of the rally at that time. Although the formation appeared to be ready for an upside breakout, it was due for a Master Cycle low, first. It now appears that the low may be in, or nearly so. The VIX cycle turn date occurred on Saturday, so I am allowing one more trading day for the turn to happen.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, October 17, 2011

Stock Market Ready for a Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Andre_Gratian

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleCurrent Position of the Market

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline (which appears to have already started) into 2014.

SPX: Intermediate trend - A very strong uptrend typical of bear market rallies has begun. However, the existing pattern suggests that a correction is due.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 16, 2011

How Gold and Stocks are About to Repeat the 2010 Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleIn May of 2010, immediately following the flash crash many investors started to become bearish (nervous) regarding their position in gold and equities. Once the general public became aware that the stock market could fall 10% in a matter of minutes, investors became very cautious. Suddenly protecting their capital and current positions was at the forefront of their investment process.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Stock Market S&P 500 Index Getting Close to a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: J_W_Jones

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleThe past few months have been very difficult to navigate for retail investors and institutional money managers. The huge week to week price swings and increased volatility have made the current market conditions exceptionally difficult to maneuver. Day traders are about the only group of market participants that outperform during periods such as we have seen since the beginning of August.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Stock Market at The Point of No Return / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: WavePatternTraders

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleImpressive is a understated word, but I don't think many would have expected in just 9 days to see a rally of near 150 points in the SPX in such a short space of time.

The bears simply never stood a chance as the market took "risk on" to a new level. In arguably a move that will likely go down in history as one of the quickest 9 days rallies in history, I have not checked on the stats, but in recent times for a 9 day move, that's the quickest move I can recall.

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, October 16, 2011

Stocks Bear Market Primary B Wave Rally Continues / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Tony_Caldaro

Diamond Rated - Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleAnother impressive week for the bulls: SPX/DOW +5.45%. We have seen quite a few of these since the bear market began, mixed in with some just as impressive downweeks: w/e July 01st S/D +5.5%, w/e August 26th S/D +4.5%, w/e September 16th S/D +5.05%. Economic reports for the week were light but still trending lower. On the uptick: retail sales, business inventories and the M1- multiplier. On the downtick: the trade/budget deficits, consumer sentiment, the monetary base, the WLEI, and jobless claims rose. Remaining unchanged were import/export prices. That’s 3 up and 6 down if you’re counting. Equity markets worldwide had impressive gains, especially the NDX/NAZ in the US +7.65%. Asian markets gained 3.1%, European markets were +3.2%, the Commodity equity group rose 7.6%, and the DJ World index gained 5.4%. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by industrial production, the CPI/PPI, housing and the FED’s beige book.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 14, 2011

Silver’s Signals Lean Bearish For Stocks and Commodities / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: Chris_Ciovacco

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleBefore we review current bull/bear signals from silver, Bloomberg had an on the money comment relative to the efforts in Europe:

“Recapitalizing the banks is not the solution,” said Justin Bisseker, who helps manage 205 billion pounds as a European bank analyst in London for Schroders, Britain’s largest independent money manager. “Sovereign risk is the principal concern. Once investors’ confidence in sovereigns returns, then confidence in the banks will follow.&rM.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 14, 2011

Investors Great Opportunities (from Great Mistakes) Season / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011

By: DeepCaster_LLC

Best Financial Markets Analysis Article“… I think this next phase of the crisis — a crisis that started with the credit crunch — has been exacerbated by governments and central banks creating even more debt in the global economy.

 

… The credit crunch was the result of too much leverage (debt) in the global economy. So the private sector starts to deleverage and instead of letting the market take its natural course, authorities add more debt to the global economy. Now the imbalances are worse than before the credit crunch.

 

I couldn’t make this stuff up if I tried.

 

Thus, I believe this story ends badly again; deleveraging globally is the only way to solve the problem if countries wish to see real growth ever again.

 

It won’t be pretty for most asset classes…”

 

The Bank of England falls off the wagon. The pound could be sore in the morning!

Jack Crooks, Money and Markets, 10/8/11

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Stock-Markets

Friday, October 14, 2011

A Rising Stock Market Won't Stop the "Economic Rot" Beneath / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011

By: EWI

Best Financial Markets Analysis ArticleSuppose you see a lovely house -- one with great curb appeal. It has new paint and manicured shrubbery out front.

But also suppose that you look more closely. You press your thumb on the window sill and the wood frame crumbles in. Come to find out, the wood is rotten in too many places to count. The deck joists and supports are fractured. Even the terrain underneath the deck looks unstable. And the closer you look the worse the problems are.

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