Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Sunday, January 13, 2013

Stock Market Uptrend Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market experienced its first noticeable pullback, since the SPX 1398 low, this week, and it was only 16 SPX points. After it completed on tuesday the market started making new uptrends highs on thursday/friday. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.40%, and the NDX/NAZ gained 0.85%. Asian markets lost 0.7%, European market gained 1.1%, and the DJ World index gained 0.7%. Economic reports for the week were sparse and 6 to 3 to the upside. On the downtick: the trade deficit and export/import prices. On the uptick: consumer credit, wholesale inventories, the budget deficit, the monetary base, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved slightly. Next week, options expiration week, we have reports on retail sales, the CPI/PPI, industrial production and the FED’s beige book. Best to your week!

Sunday, January 13, 2013

Stock Market Higher Until Proven Otherwise. At Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Michael_Noonan

We have a price target for the S&P e-Mini: the 1482-1488 area. That area is derived from Point and Figure, [P&F] used to measure market "energy," or the potential target that price can attain in a directional move. The market is already in an area where it can fail. The one caveat to any analysis pertaining to the stock market is an inability to assess market interference, [manipulation] by the central bank/Wall Street firm[s], doing everything possible to defy market gravity, and succeeding.

Saturday, January 12, 2013

Friday’s Flat Finish and Musings on a Stock Market Triple Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short. The S&P 500 slipped at the open and hit its intraday low, off 0.31%, at mid-morning. The index zigzagged through the day along a faint upward slope. A rally in the final hour took the 500 briefly into the green before settling for a flat finish — down seven basis points or, if you like percents, you’ve got to calculate the close to three decimal places: -0.005%. For the week, the index gained 0.38%.

Saturday, January 12, 2013

Markets Awaiting Test of Support in Determining Future Direction / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Tony_Pallotta

For the week ending January 11, 2013, the SPX was up 0.4%, the Russell small caps were up .2% and the COMP was up 0.8%.

We remain waiting for a test of model support in determining future market direction. Support can be tested in one of two ways, through a pullback or sideways price consolidation. Whichever method the market chooses, support will be tested. And it is at that test of support where the market will show whether a long will trigger or resumption of the previous downtrend.

Friday, January 11, 2013

Stock Market Charts the Bears Have Been Waiting For Have Arrived / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Money_Morning

Ben Gersten writes: As the bull market tries to enter its fifth year, many are wondering if it still has legs - but a handful of stock market charts warn there's high risk of a coming sell off.

In fact, a recent report from Credit Suisse Group AG (NYSE ADR: CS) outlined 10 technical factors that show the market is at its most risk-on level since just before the stock market crash that began in 2007's third quarter.

Thursday, January 10, 2013

Stock Market Distribution Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Christopher_Quigley

Ireland Lobbies to Have Europe Share Banking Risk:

Ireland took over the presidency of the European Union on January 2013 for six months. Prime Minister Enda Kenny is thus in a unique position to try to find a solution to the banking crisis that has bedeviled Ireland since 2008. However, the job at hand is not going to be an easy one as reported by Christoph Pauley of Spiegel Online on the 7th. January:

"Ireland's reform policies have been widely praised for helping it emerge from the crisis, but the truth is bleaker. If the government fails to get European taxpayers to assume some of the risk of its ailing banking sector, the country could soon require another bailout.

Thursday, January 10, 2013

Stock Market Lateral....Yawn...Still Nothing Bearish.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

Same old thing, folks. I could stop the newsletter right here, because, in truth, there's not much to say or add to what we already know. The market had a huge two-day move up off the fiscal-cliff settlement, and now it's digesting that move by forming a handle that may last a lot longer than anyone would like it. It normally takes time to digest large moves whether it's up or down so to expect another large move up from here at this moment in time is probably wishing for something that's not coming. There is no way to know how long the handle will last, but a few weeks is usually the minimal amount of time needed.

Wednesday, January 09, 2013

Taking Advantage of Recent Lows in Stock Market Volatility Index / Stock-Markets / Volatility

By: J_W_Jones

One of the newest option products to appear in our universe as an options trader is the option series designed to trade the volatility index (VIX). The VIX is a measurement of the implied volatility of the S&P 500 index.

To review quickly, the implied volatility of an options series is reflective of the aggregate market opinion of the future volatility of a given underlying asset. In terms of the Volatility Index, the price is the current market opinion of the future volatility in the S&P 500 Index over the next 12 months.

Wednesday, January 09, 2013

Stocks Bear Market Focus Point: Equities merely the froth on the financial cappuccino / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Garry_Abeshouse

As the banks continue to take advantage of the free money offered by the US Fed to feed their financial habit, it is important to remember that equity markets have now become merely the froth and bubbles on top of the financial cappuccino, while the currency markets are the bulk of what lies underneath and true indicators of future market movements. To extend this analogy further, you could then possibly consider financial derivatives as the opiates of the markets as a whole, allowing the Bankster traders to maintain their opulent lifestyles in the way to which they have long become accustomed. But as is inevitable, when the froth deflates from this equity market bubble, there will be deflationary consequences.

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Where Are We In the Stocks Secular Bear Market 2013? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Sy_Harding

It seems to only be when the market is in a cyclical bear market that the financial media remembers that a secular bear market began in 2000.

That is completely forgotten once a cyclical bull market, like the one we’re currently enjoying, comes along within the secular bear.

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Last week's Stock Market Rally Ready to Unravel / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

CAF continues to pull back from what appears to be its Minor Wave 3 of Intermediate (5) high.  We are approaching the point where this analysis is wrong.  Should CAF decline beneath 24.01, there is a rising probability that the top is in. 

I just thought you should know…

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Federal Reserve Shocks the Market; How to Protect Your Wealth 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: InvestmentContrarian

Sasha Cekerevac writes: According to the minutes from the Federal Reserve meeting on December 11–12, it now appears highly likely that the aggressive quantitative easing policy might end sooner than most people had expected. This is a shock to many market participants who had expected an extended period of time under the current quantitative easing policy by the Federal Reserve.

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Gold, Dollar Forecasts 2013, Leaping Over the Fiscal Cliff Towards the Debt Mountain / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Axel_Merk

Sidetracked by the discussion over the “fiscal cliff” and possibly a New Year’s hangover, it’s time to face 2013 in earnest. Is the yen doomed? Will the euro shine? What about Asian and emerging market currencies? Will gold continue its ascent? And the greenback, will it be in the red?

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Stock Market Staying Lateral Off The Big Move Up.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Jack_Steiman

The market had a huge move a few days back when the fiscal cliff news was settled positively, the Republicans giving in to the news due to the fear of market conditions. They took a right cross as they swallowed the tax headaches in which they wanted no part. It was good news for the market, and we saw that with the huge move higher. We have spent the past three days moving laterally or consolidating that move. Good action technically as we are not seeing big volume come back in and take this down with any force. No head fake on the bull on the side of the move.

Tuesday, January 08, 2013

Investors Must Resolve to Follow the Money In 2013 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2013

By: Frank_Holmes

During these first days of January, many adopt an "out with the old, in with the new," approach to shed bad habits or extra pounds. Washington opted for its same ol' strategy when averting the "fiscal cliff," as the addictive nature of "can-kicking is a transatlantic sport," according to The Economist. The magazine suggests that the deal made in the 11th hour is "disturbingly similar to the eurozone's." The short-term fix did "nothing to control the unsustainable path of 'entitlement' spending on pensions and health care ... nothing to rationalize America's hideously complex and distorted tax code... and virtually nothing to close America's big structural budget deficit."

Monday, January 07, 2013

Death Knell of the Economic Recovery, the Future of Inflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Clif_Droke

Call it the "shot heard round the world." Its aim was ostensibly to reduce the U.S. budget deficit, its effect was tantamount to a bullet in the chest of the consumer recovery.

Last week the U.S. working class was hit with a significant payroll tax increase, a blow which couldn't have occurred at a worse time. Just as the economic recovery was starting to gain some traction, our elected officials took the proverbial wind out of its sails by raising taxes. A tax increase is the last thing needed when the economic undercurrents are deflationary, as they are now. This measure will eventually beget even more deflation as consumers reign in spending once they see their paychecks diminished courtesy of the U.S. Congress.

Monday, January 07, 2013

The Stock Markets Final Hours? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX pulled back from its Friday high, but appears to have an incomplete fractal/wave pattern. In order to confirm the top is in, we must see SPX decline beneath 1449.00. On the other hand, should SPX rise above 1464.00, the probability of another spike higher rises dramatically.

Monday, January 07, 2013

U.S. Fed Showing Financial Fear / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: EWI

Have you heard about the Fed's 180 degree turn?

Think about one of those movie scenes when the leading man does all he can to defeat the big, bad enemy -- punches, kicks, slams, stabs, shoots -- but the bad guy just won't go down. In fact he doesn't even look fazed.

That's when the protagonist really starts to worry.

Monday, January 07, 2013

Ten Steps to Financial Safety 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: DeviantInvestor

1. The best time to start preparing was about a decade ago. The second best time is today. Make a plan and act. Start by reducing living expenses and eliminating credit card debt.
2. Expect sweeping changes! I hope the inevitable currency collapse is slow and gentle, not rapid and destructive, but history suggests rapid and painful are more likely.
3. Phase out of paper assets and into something real. Gold, silver, diamonds, farm land, rental property, and buildings come to mind.

Monday, January 07, 2013

Stock Market Looks Set to Correct into February / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014. It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend - SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction. The structure has been altered by the fiscal cliff resolution rally.