Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, December 31, 2012

Alasdair Macleod's Financial Markets Outlook for 2013 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Alasdair_Macleod

I have not faced the prospect of a new year with so much trepidation as when I contemplate what is in store for 2013. Systemic risks abound, which of themselves are not the main story, only milestones on the road to final currency destruction, unless governments somehow regain their senses.

To help understand the perils of 2013 I shall give them their background context first before listing them individually. No such list can be exhaustive or temporally sequenced, but all on it have the same root: the long-term accumulation of a burden of unsupportable debt.

Monday, December 31, 2012

Themes for 2013 - Fiscal Cliff Follies, Gold Momentum, Economic Muddling Through / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Andy_Sutton

With the hoax of the Mayan ‘End of the World’ fantasy and the week of extreme materialistic consumerism behind us, we can now return our focus to the events of the day and what might come to pass as we enter 2013. Certainly, there are several issues at the forefront right now, but many of the biggest issues are being buried. As we transition from 2012 to 2013, let’s take a look at what are likely to be the main themes of 2013.

Sunday, December 30, 2012

Stocks Bear Market Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Tony_Caldaro

The US market opened lower to start the week, continued lower for much of the holiday shortened week, and ended giving back all of last week’s gains. For the week the SPX/DOW -1.9%, and the NDX/NAZ were -2.1%. Asian markets gained 1.8%, European markets lost 0.7%, and the DJ World index lost 0.7%. On the economic front positive reports continued to outnumber negative reports: 7 to 2. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, new/pending home sales, new home prices, the Chicago PMI, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: consumer confidence, and the monetary base. Next week the monthly Payrolls report, ISM and Auto sales. Best your week!

Saturday, December 29, 2012

Market Asset Class Correlations Imply Swift Selling in Coming Days / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Tony_Pallotta

For the week ending December 28, 2012, the SPX was down 1.9%, the Russell small caps were down 1.7% and the COMP was down 1.8%.

The model triggered short all indices in mid October. The move had not fully exhausted itself when a countertrend rally began the week of Thanksgiving. But the move was being profiled as countertrend based on the stress profile and therefore not the start of a new uptrend. That was confirmed this week when support levels failed to hold. And based on Friday's close a renewed short signal was issued for the Dow, SPX and COMP.

Saturday, December 29, 2012

Stock Market Nervous...Everyone Is.... Falling Off the Fiscal Cliff? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

How can you blame people for feeling anxious about falling off the fiscal cliff? There are so many bad things that come from such an event should it play out. Taxes will rise. Corporate America will stop even the thought of hiring. Jobs will be lost. People will feel insecure, even if they still have a job. Spending by the public will decrease, probably quite dramatically. The economy would be dealing with an instant and devastating shock to the system. Recession would be upon us immediately. It goes on and on.

Saturday, December 29, 2012

2012 - Year Of Living Dangerously In Review / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: James_Quinn

On January 8 of this year I posted my annual prediction article for this year - 2012 – The Year of Living Dangerously. Now it's time to assess my complete and utter cluelessness when it comes to predicting things within a given time frame. Despite the fact that myself and everyone else acting like they know what lays ahead are proven wrong time and time again, we continue to make predictions about the future. It makes us feel like we have some control, when we don't. The world is too complex, too big, too corrupt, too lost in theories and delusions, and too dependent upon too many leaders with too few brains to be able to predict what will happen next. This is the time of year when all the "experts" will be making their 2013 predictions. I haven't seen too many of these experts going back and honestly assessing their 2012 predictions, which didn't happen.

Friday, December 28, 2012

It’s Only a Fiscal Slope Not a Cliff! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2013

By: Sy_Harding

Why are Congress and the White House not panicked about the looming fiscal ‘cliff’? Why has the Dow pulled back only 2% rather than plunging 2,000 points as time to forge an agreement by year-end has foolishly dwindled down to just a couple of days, and odds of it happening have become remote?

Friday, December 28, 2012

Rising Euro, Falling Dollar, Market Correlations Turned / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: P_Radomski_CFA

This week has brought in some calm after recent declines in the precious metals sector. Everybody seems to be waiting for some more decisive moves (both in the markets and on the part of the government, as the “fiscal cliff” issue has not been resolved yet), but these are not very likely before the beginning of the New Year.

Friday, December 28, 2012

Fiscal Cliffs Precede Fiscal Valleys / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

It is not the fall that kills us. It is the collision with the ground. It is not the ‘fiscal cliff’ that we should fear. It is the fiscal valley that lies beyond the fiscal cliff that will kill us. Can a fall from the cliff be prevented?

The answer is ‘no’. The ‘fiscal cliff’ is Fed Chairman Bernanke’s metaphor for the expiration of the Bush-era tax cuts. Congress must act to again extend the lower tax rates as they did previously or taxes rise starting in January of 2013. The fiscal cliff is therefore a tax increase on the American public. Get ready. The ground is approaching quickly.

Friday, December 28, 2012

Stock Market SPX Support Cluster is Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX broke through its cluster of supports this morning, testing Hourly Cycle Bottom at 1400.21. Having completed yet another impulse, it is now retracing back to the 50-day moving average at 1413.17. This level will be attacked, since the loss of the 50-day support is a major breakdown. Once that support is lost for a second time today, selling should resume shortly with a minimum decline to 1344.00. The next model support is the next round number in SPX…1300.00.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Last Ditch Fiscal Cliff Efforts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

This is much more exciting than Christmas. So exciting that President Obama and Congress have cut short their winter vacations to give us hope – right before they snatch it away again. Will it be a bad plan or no plan? I can hardly wait to find out…

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Stock Market Cliff Limbo and Holiday Spending Confusion / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

Courtesy of Doug Short writes: Christmas 2012 is now a memory and presumably congress and the president will be knuckling down to deal with the Cliff deadline, although the winter-weather flight cancellations may slow the process. Meanwhile, the market is biding its time. The S&P 500 opened fractionally higher and hit its intraday high, up 0.19%, in the first fifteen minutes of trading. The index then rolled over to its intraday low, off 0.72%, around 11:30 AM. The index then struggled its the low but buckled in the last hour of trading to a closing loss of 0.48%, the third consecutive finish in the red.

Thursday, December 27, 2012

Stock Market Rally Fading....Nasdaq Leading Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

Nothing good to say if you're a bull. The fact that the fiscal cliff is hanging perilously over the markets head is pushing the bulls away from getting too involved. Who can really blame them? The market has nothing good fundamentally behind it, so the path of least resistance is lower, unless we get a resolution and fast. The market and many stocks within it are getting close to big breakdowns. Apple Inc. (AAPL) cannot bid and is trying to start a breakdown below 505. It's having lower and lower closes, and this is not good. No bid whatsoever. AAPL and its brothers must start behaving better to lead the Nasdaq higher. Stocks, such as Priceline.com Incorporated (PCLN), Google Inc. (GOOG), Amazon.com Inc. (AMZN), and Intuitive Surgical, Inc. (ISRG). There's no way to know just how bad things will get, but the overall action is negative, and will worsen ahead of the 31st, if the market feels nothing is going to get resolved.

Wednesday, December 26, 2012

Stock Market All the "greater fools" are in. No one left to Buy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Last Thursday’s mini-flashcrash in the overnight market was a wake-up call for the longs. The reason is that it took the sale of only 700,000 ES contracts to force a “limit down” in the futures. Of course, there was quite a scurry to get the ES back above support before the open. Nevertheless, the selling in the first hour of the 21st brought the trading volume above any full day’s volume in the past year.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Stock Market Rally Slows / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: PhilStockWorld

For the fifth consecutive week, the average performance of the eight world indexes on my watch list has been positive — this past week by 0.48%, down from the 1.2 plus percent averages of the two previous week. The top performer was Japan’s Nikkei 225, up 2.08%. The S&P 500 was a distant second, up 1.17%, which was surprisingly strong given the political stalemate over the potentially traumatic financial impact of the year end expirations of tax cuts and deductions and the government’s mandated spending cuts.

Monday, December 24, 2012

2012 Calm Before Stock Market Storm 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Gordon_T_Long

Red Sky at Night, Sailors Delight,

Red Sky in the Morning, Sailors take Warning!

We have a new era dawning in Global Monetary policy. It is a new day with the monetary skies already red.

Within 90 days the captains of monetary policy have steered the world into uncharted waters and on a course that history warns us against.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Stock Market Wave C Fiscal Cliff Plunge Risk / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: Andre_Gratian

Current position of the market

SPX: Very Long-term trend – The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over) there will be another steep and prolonged decline into late 2014.  It is probable, however, that the severe correction of 2007-2009 will have curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 120-yr cycle.

SPX: Intermediate trend –  SPX made a top at 1474 and is engaged in an A-B-C intermediate correction.  It is possible that wave “B” was completed at 1448.

Monday, December 24, 2012

Stock Market Fireworks Early 2013 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2013

By: WavePatternTraders

3 Down 2 More to Go! - I have been following a number of markets since late September, and I have been looking for new highs and price to exceed those highs made on September 2012. Early this week 2 of those markets took out and surpassed the prior September highs, the NYSE and XLF making those new highs confirmed my original thoughts that the decline from the September high was a clear 3 wave decline, which I have maintained only to the cries of the bears telling me it is the start of some gigantic market crash.

Sunday, December 23, 2012

Our Leaders Disappoint...As Usual....Market Takes It Mostly In Stride...... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2012

By: Jack_Steiman

You can never be disappointed too much or surprised all that much when our political leaders drop the ball and allow for things to deteriorate due to their enormous, pathetic egos. It's always about them and not the good of the people they serve. They don't have much to worry about financially or politically, thus, it's business as usual, even when there's a fiscal cliff hanging over our heads. It really doesn't mean all that much to them. Their safe, wrapped up in their little shell of protection. When it comes to the big decisions, ones where they have to put power and ego aside, they fail. It's really that simple. They just fail. It's been in going for what seems like our entire lives but we've learned to accept it as politics as usual. There comes a time, every now and then, however, when they have to come through big for the people they serve, and that's when their lack of soul shines through. This time, sadly, is no different.

Saturday, December 22, 2012

Stock Market Crash Fractal Pattern Complete / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

It appears that the first crash fractal is complete.  SPX and the rest of the market should resume the decline into the close.  The next item to be challenged is the trading channel trendline and hourly mid-Cycle support at 1422.58.  It is hard to say how much progress may be made before the close today, but if the SPX is in a minute or minor wave [iii], then we should see a sizeable gap down on Monday morning to move us on our way to the trifecta of supports, the Orthodox Broadening Top, the 200-day moving average and daily mid-Cycle support, all at 1388.00.