Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Wednesday, December 23, 2009
‘Tis the Season for Gold’s (False) Hope / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
On December 4th, Investophoria wrote '... we have returned to the "olden days" of the bubble era'. This was demonstrated by quantifiable measurements of investor complacency. We also noted that this market is most certainly on less footing than in '07.
That footing has gotten even more slippery, the bullish gas powering this motor reduced to near fumes. Since December 4th, when we last posted an update on our market thoughts, the market has done this:
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Geithner Says There Will be No Second Wave To Financial Crisis 2010 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2010
One sure way we know a second wave to the crisis is likely coming is the preemptive denial of it by those who never saw it coming. Please consider Geithner: There Will Be No 'Second Wave' Crisis.
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Wednesday, December 23, 2009
Stock Market Hanging Tough.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Seasonality probably has something to do with it but no matter how you slice it the bottom line is the market is holding up well with little resistance from the bears. What is most interesting is how many key sectors are breaking out ahead of the S&P 500, due mostly to financials.
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Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Stock Market Starts Week with Solid Gains / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
The indices started the week with solid gains, the majority of which were gotten in the morning, when the indices gapped up and staged a 5-wave advance, taking the Nasdaq 100 to new 2009 highs, reaching 1835. However, at that point the S&P 500, reaching 1118, fell a couple points short of its high, failed to confirm, and they moved back down in a 3-wave decline to test lower levels of support, but held, and in the last hour bounced again.
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Tuesday, December 22, 2009
Nasdaq Takes The Plunge..Dow/S&P 500 Need To Follow.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It's best when the Nasdaq leads as it shows there is a real desire for higher beta or to put it a different way, higher risk. Strong markets are always led by higher beta as lower risk and the like are left alone as it is believed the market will move higher. People basically thirsting for froth. They want those 50 and 60 P/E’s and don't care why they're buying it. They just want to own it.
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Is Dr Perma Doom, Marc Faber Wrong on the Economic Collapse? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Dr Perma Doom, Marc Faber on Indian TV revising his forecast for economic collapse following the his September Doom Report. Now he forecasts economic collapse in either 3 years time, 5 years time, 10 years time or 12 years time, this way he will never be wrong!
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Marc Faber on Economic Armageddon and the Collapse of Capitalism / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Faber Says Run for Your Lives!
"The Future will be a total disaster with a collapse of our capitalistic system as we know it today, wars, massive government debt defaults and the impoverishment of large segments of Western society."
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Silent Night, Silent Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Two very quiet weeks now confront investors, as the Christmas and New Year’s holidays cut the trading for the week to but a whisper. Amid the quiet and solitude however are some rumblings from last year’s financial earthquake. Ratings on Greece debt were cut, Dubai has been backed by Abu Dhabi at least temporarily and concerns are growing about some Eastern European countries’ deficits. So far, the surfiet of cash from the US has allowed both the economy and financial markets to keep their collective heads above water – but for how long?
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Monday, December 21, 2009
Reliving the Stock Market Crash of 1929 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
[First published in Inquiry, November 12, 1979] - A half-century ago, America — and then the world — was rocked by a mighty stock-market crash that soon turned into the steepest and longest-lasting depression of all time.
It was not only the sharpness and depth of the depression that stunned the world and changed the face of modern history: it was the length, the chronic economic morass persisting throughout the 1930s, that caused intellectuals and the general public to despair of the market economy and the capitalist system.
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Monday, December 21, 2009
How to Respond to the Inevitable Stock Market Crash in 2010 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Theo Casey writes: ‘Cautious’ is my watchword for 2010.
The reason for my caution is because the bull market was illegitimate. It wasn’t a response to economic growth or corporate outperformance. The rally happened because central bankers made it happen. Don’t get me wrong, the multi-billion pound stimulus Bernanke, King and the rest of the world’s central bankers heaped upon the market has been a blessing. It’s driven our investments to record levels.
Monday, December 21, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Inflection Point and Dollar Rally Impact on Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The action this week was in the currency markets. Moody’s downgrade of Greece’s sovereign debt put pressure on the euro, while supporting the dollar’s rally.
Hot money flows can sustain or reverse a trend in motion. Currency flows have weighed heavily on the gold market, which moves in line with the euro, and inversely to the dollar, as the chart below shows.
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Sunday, December 20, 2009
Stocks Bear Market Rally Last Thrust Higher? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Down! The very-long-term cycles have taken over and if they make their lows when expected, the bear market which started in October 2007 should continue until 2014. This would imply that lower prices lie ahead. As illustrated by the current market performance, this will not be a straight-down decline, but will consist of a series of intermediate-term rallies and declines until we have reached the low point.
Sunday, December 20, 2009
S&P and Dow: Weekly Stock Market Analysis (Dec 21-Dec 24) / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Overall, it was a fairly uneventful week in terms of price action in the stock markets. We had a lot of nice tradable moves during the week, but ultimately the market did not move into or out of any technical significant areas. Volume was light, except for Friday which was due to index rebalancing and contract expirations. In terms of the overall movement throughout the week, the S&P traded in a smaller range than average, only moving about 21 points all week; the weekly (14) average is just under 36 points and heading into this week was slightly higher.
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Sunday, December 20, 2009
Stock Market Dumb Money Indicator Says Investors are Extremely Bullish / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
The holidays are approaching, and I am lucky enough to be traveling this year with my family. So there won't be any comments attached to this week's sentiment charts. I don't have the time, and I won't waste your time. That's o.k. because as you know nothing has really changed in this market for the last three months anyway. Prices have been range bound, and investors continue to be overly bullish, insiders continue to sell, and the smart money remains indifferent.
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Sunday, December 20, 2009
Key Financial Markets and Economic Forecasts for 2010 and Beyond / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Biggest worldwide stock market bounce - The world stock markets bottomed in the first week of March 2009. Since then they have staged one of the biggest rallies ever in the history of stock markets worldwide in the shortest time frame. The world stock and commodities markets have shot up anywhere between 50% to 100% within a span of nine months. Some of the reasons for this powerful rally are :
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Sunday, December 20, 2009
Stock Market, Commodities and Economic Forecasts 2010 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2010
I think 2010 will be dominated by many of the same themes that shaped 2009, but new forces will come into play as well: Forces including …
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
Stock Market Consolidation Extends...Bears Still Showing Little... / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
There are many things we can talk about when referring to the case that can be made by the bears. We have many leading stocks breaking down below their 50-day exponential moving averages. Goldman Sachs (GS) lost that level nine full points ago but is now starting to show some positive divergence on the Daily. JP Morgan (JPM), another financial stock and unquestionable leader, retested that 50-day exponential moving average and fell right back down with full red candle sticks, leaving little doubt as to the bears intentions on that issue.
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
Stock Market Update / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
The Dow theory bullish trend confirmation that occurred earlier this year remains intact. Cyclically, the higher degree low that began at the March low also still remains intact. Longer-term, I maintain, based on my data, that this is nonetheless a bear market rally. Once this rally has run its course the big surprise will be the Phase II decline and history shows us that Phase II declines are the most destructive. One reason for this is because with everyone believing that the bear market has ended, the Phase II decline takes everyone by surprise and as the realization begins to set in so does the panic.
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
Financial Crisis 2008-2009, The Seeds of the Credit Crunch Part 2 / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Effects on Corporates
The corporates had taken on huge debts during the boom times to expand their capacities to meet the huge quantum of orders they were receiving. They had retained manpower at very high employee costs to meet their targets and offered huge incentives and bonuses to the employees. They were caught unawares with the sudden drop in orders. Their capacity utilization began to drop substantially. They started to go back on or reduce their commitments to purchase the goods being manufactured in Asia.
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Saturday, December 19, 2009
Financial Crisis 2008-2009, The Seeds of the Credit Crunch / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Currently the whole world is in the midst of a financial crises. The crises began with the sub-prime housing problem in the US and over the last two years has spread to the rest of the world. The problem is huge to such an extent that we are currently seeing an unprecedented economic slowdown and talks of a global recession are gathering steam.
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