Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, August 29, 2017
SPX Futures Challenging Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX futures are down to challenge the Cycle Bottom support at 2430.17 and the Head & Shoulders neckline at 2417.35 with a morning low in the futures at 2421.25. It is currently retesting the Cycle Bottom as resistance and may now have the ability to break the neckline. Since this Cycle has nearly taken 4.3 days (from the 2454.77 high), it is my opinion that this Cycle may take up to 8.6 days.
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Monday, August 28, 2017
The Big Long in World Stock Market Indices / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
Since the decline starting from year 2000, the world has been calling for a huge crash in world indices. The world indices did in fact corrected nicely in the year 2000 and 2009. The correction took the form of a FLAT Elliott wave structure and reached 50%-61.8% of the all-time rally in most of the world indices. This correction is even recorded in a movie titled “The Big Short” telling story about a group of traders shorting the market.
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Monday, August 28, 2017
Stocks Extend Their Fluctuations - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly:
Intraday trade: Our Friday's neutral intraday outlook has proved accurate. The S&P 500 index extended its short-term consolidation. The market may continue to fluctuate today. There have been no confirmed positive signals so far. On the other hand, the S&P 500 index remains above support level marked by last week's Tuesday's daily gap up of 2,430.58-2,433.67, and there is no clear short-term downtrend. Therefore, we prefer to be out of the market today, avoiding low risk/reward ratio trades.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is bearish, as we expect downward correction. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bearish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Monday, August 28, 2017
Stock Market Counter-trend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction.
SPX Intermediate trend: “An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.” The correction has started.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 27, 2017
The Fed Just Admitted It No Longer Has a Clue What’s Going On / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
The Fed July FOMC minutes, that were released last week, were nothing short of extraordinary. However, to fully appreciate just what the Fed admitted, we first need a little background.
From November 2016 until June 2017, the Fed was pushing a hawkish agenda. The running mantra at this time was that the Fed would raise rates 3-4 times in 2017. As the year progressed, the Fed also began talking about shrinking its balance sheet.
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Sunday, August 27, 2017
Buckle Up, Here Comes the REAL Stock Market Price Action We’ve Been Waiting For / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Graham_Summers
As we noted yesterday, every stock market correction follows a particular pattern. That pattern is:
1) The initial decline
2) The bounce
3) The REAL decline
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Sunday, August 27, 2017
Where to Find Value in an Overheated Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Charles_Sizemore
“Private equity” can conjure entertaining mental images. I’ve often asked friends to describe what comes to mind for them when I mention the phrase.Here’s a sampling of what they’ve said: An older man in a fancy suit enjoying a single-malt scotch in a private New England club… who takes perverse pleasure in looting a company of its assets before firing all the employees and selling whatever’s left for spare parts. (It’s the old “buy, strip, and flip” routine.)
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Saturday, August 26, 2017
Could the Total Eclipse Sign a Major Financial Markets Turning Point? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: Harry_Dent
Were you one of the lucky ones able to witness the total eclipse yesterday, as it moved on its west to east path across the middle of the U.S.? Whether you did or not, there’s probably something about this event that you HAVEN’T heard…My friend Andrew Pancholi, cycle whiz from London and creator of the Market Timing Report, recently told me that yesterday’s path of totality across the U.S. looked eerily similar to the one that occurred at the beginning of the Civil War… and that this could signal America as the starting point to broader civil wars and political restructurings around the globe.
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Friday, August 25, 2017
Here’s What Matters And What Doesn’t Matter In The Markets Right Now / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
In this week’s Outside the Box, good friend and at various times business partner Steve Blumenthal reveals a very useful character flaw and follows up our shared experience at Camp Kotok with some perceptive observations about things he heard there that matter.
He also shares his notes on a recent interview of Ray Dalio by Bloomberg’s Tom Keene and Mike McKee. Here, he says, is the stuff that matters most!
I really liked the theme he developed about matters and does not matter. When he writes the line, “As I sift through research, my head clicks doesn’t matter, doesn’t matter… matters!” I find myself nodding in agreement. Exactly!
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Friday, August 25, 2017
What Financial Conditions Tell Us (Two Charts and a Prediction) / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: F_F_Wiley
It seems every bank, including central banks, publishes a financial conditions index these days. And because financial conditions typically lead the economy, it makes sense to track them. In fact, they might contain even more information than they get credit for. They might offer the elusive “crystal ball” that foretells our economic fortunes.
Friday, August 25, 2017
4 Charts Show Why You Should Run Away From The Stock Market S&P 500 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JOHN MAULDIN : My friend James Montier, now at GMO, and his associate Matt Kadnar have written a compelling piece on why passive investors should avoid the S&P 500.
Their essay argues that the forward growth potential of the S&P 500 is significantly lower than that of other opportunities, especially emerging markets.
Let’s look at a few of their charts.
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Thursday, August 24, 2017
The Dow Is Down But Not Yet Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
Mike Golembesky writes: The Dow Jones Industrial Average has moved down close to 600 points off of the high that was struck on August 8th into August 21st lows. Now in percentage terms, this 600 point move is quite a small only representing a move of just 2.6%. In fact, at today’s close, the Dow was only down some 1.2% off of the August 8th high. Furthermore, the move down into the August 21st lows has still not even breached the top of the upper support zone.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Do Not Feed The Stock Market Bears - Until 2018 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Avi_Gilburt
Back on July 15th, the title to my weekend update to members of my market analysis service was “Market Will Likely Top Within The Next Three Weeks.” My initial target region for this top was between 2487-2500SPX. One of the factors I considered in my timing for this potential top was Luke Miller’s Bayesian Timing model, which was looking for a top to our wave (3) on August 9th. And, as we know, the market topped on August 8th at 2491SPX, and we seem to have begun the multi-month pullback/consolidation we have been expecting.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
Stock Market SPX at its 61.8% Fib Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX exceeded its 50-day Moving Average, but is very close to its 61.8% Fibonacci retracement at 2453.08. This is yet another “sell the rally” opportunity.
Tomorrow appears to be our expected turn date, according to the Cycles Model.
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Wednesday, August 23, 2017
... / Stock-Markets / Learn to Trade
By: Submissions
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017
4 Reasons European Stocks Will Make a Big Comeback This Year / Stock-Markets / European Stock Markets
By: John_Mauldin
BY STEPHEN MCBRIDE : Just a year ago, Europe looked like the last place where you’d want to put your money.
The UK had voted to leave the EU, top German and Italian banks were in shambles, and populists reigned on the Continent.
The issues that plagued Europe didn’t fade away, but the turmoil subsided.
While everyone was applauding the uptick in US growth after the election, Europe recorded higher growth in 2016. This reversal of fortunes has now begun to show up in the markets.
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017
3 Lesser-Known Charts Revealing a Massive Stock Market Disconnect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
What’s a fair price for a share of stock?
In theory, it’s easy to define. The fairest price lies at the intersection of the company’s supply and demand curves. The market price at any given moment reveals exactly where that point is.
The averaged prices of all stocks in an index, appropriately weighted, tell us the same for market benchmarks.
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Is the Stock Market Setting itself up for a Spectacular Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Sol_Palha
“Neither a man nor a crowd nor a nation can be trusted to act humanely or to think sanely under the influence of a great fear.” Bertrand Russell, Unpopular Essays
The stock market crash story is getting boring and annoying to a large degree. Since 2009, there has been a constant drumbeat of the market is going to crash stories. In 2009, many experts felt that the market had rallied too strongly and that it needed to pull back strongly before moving higher up. They were calling for 15%-20% correction. Ten years later and most of them are still waiting for this so-called strong correction or crash. A stock market crash is a possibility but the possibility is not the same thing as certainty, and this is what seems to elude most of the naysayers. One day they will get it right as even a broken clock is correct twice a day. In the interim waiting for this stock market crash has cost these experts a fortune, both in lost capital gains and actual booked losses if they shorted this market.
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Sleeper Issues Poised to Rattle Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: MoneyMetals
Investors have been well-trained in complacency. They have spent the past few years watching markets shrug off momentous geopolitical events – each more quickly than the last. Brexit’s impact faded within days. Trump’s election faded within hours.
Stocks traded at all-time highs this summer and volatility made all-time lows. That is the set-up as we head into the fall...
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Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Stock Market Cycle Act II / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
Cycles warn that the sell-off in equites during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not hold much hope for those who hope to trade the bounce as it points an upwards-to-sideways move until mid-September when it drops precipitously into mid-October.
The Decennial pattern warns of a nasty sell-off in equities during years ending in the number 7 (i.e. 2017). Since 1907 each of these years (with the exception of 1947 which suffered a mere 6.2% drop) has seen a double-digit decline beginning somewhere between June and October.
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