Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, August 22, 2017
Stock Market Cycle Act II / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
Cycles warn that the sell-off in equites during the last two weeks should find a bottom this week – temporarily. The Bradley model does not hold much hope for those who hope to trade the bounce as it points an upwards-to-sideways move until mid-September when it drops precipitously into mid-October.
The Decennial pattern warns of a nasty sell-off in equities during years ending in the number 7 (i.e. 2017). Since 1907 each of these years (with the exception of 1947 which suffered a mere 6.2% drop) has seen a double-digit decline beginning somewhere between June and October.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
The Stock Market No Longer Cares About Trump / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: John_Mauldin
BY JARED DILLIAN : I typically stay away from politics. Besides, you probably get enough of it on Facebook!
But I don’t stare at politics every day. I stare at markets every day, and I am pretty comfortable saying that my knowledge of markets is smarter and more incisive than most people’s.
And you know what I have noticed about markets lately?
They don’t care about Trump.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
Buffett Sees Stock Market Crash Coming? His Cash Speaks Louder Than Words / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: GoldCore
The Sage of Omaha’s adage is “it’s far better to buy a wonderful company at a fair price than a fair company at a wonderful price.”
Editor: Mark O’Byrne
But for Warren Buffett the current environment doesn’t appear to be offering up any wonderful companies at fair valuations. The situation is so bad that the cash stockpile of Berkshire Hathaway has more than doubled in the last four years, from under $40 billion to $100bn.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
Stock Market Correction in Full Swing / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction.
SPX Intermediate trend: “An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.” The correction has started.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Monday, August 21, 2017
Seeking Confirmations – US Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
We have several inputs forecasting change (market pivots) ranging from seasonal tendencies to an expected US dollar rally, Fed monetary tightening (such as it is), the 30 month S&P 500 cycle, not to mention a presidential administration in utter disarray and not having done much, if anything, to further the fiscal stimulation (which, the story goes, would replace the Fed’s monetary stimulation under the previous administration) view that much of the stock market’s post-election euphoria was built upon.
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Saturday, August 19, 2017
4 Insights for Adjusting Your Portfolio in a Rate-hike Environment / Stock-Markets / US Interest Rates
By: Boris_Dzhingarov
The U.S. Federal Reserve has raised interest rates twice this year already and it plans to increase interest rates five or six more times next year. An environment in which interest rates are rising steadily could be a double-edged sword for different classes of investors. For older investors, a rate hike could provide another chance to book decent returns from conservative assets such as money-market funds and CDs. For 'younger' investors the rate hike could slice through retirement accounts like hot knife through butter.
Wednesday, August 16, 2017
The Stock Market Guns of August, Trade Set-Up & Removing your Rose Tinted Glasses / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Plunger
Today I am going to lay out the case of a major market top and how it fits into the geopolitical backdrop of today. We then profile the trade set-up to look for and finally I will forcefully remove your Rose Colored Glasses you have been wearing since January 2017.
In Barbara Tuchman’s “The Guns of August” she argues that August 1914 was when the Gilded Age died and the modern era actually began. The book opens with the famous depiction of Edward VII’s funeral in 1910 attended peacefully by all the kings of Europe. Never again would the body of world leaders be unified and cut from a similar cloth. The war ushered in a new world, not recognizable from the past. Not since that time have we witnessed such diplomatic folly as in the month of August 1914. Today we wonder are we witnessing a similar conflict between a super power and the client state of China which is an emerging super power? Could it unfold in a similar fashion?
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Wednesday, August 16, 2017
Stocks, Bonds, Interest Rates, and Serbia, Camp Kotok 2017 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: John_Mauldin
I went to Camp Kotok, an invitation-only gathering of economists, market analysts, fund managers, and a few journalists. I go every year, and I always learn more than I can manage to remember.
It’s a three-day economic thought-fest (and more rich food and wine than is good for me or anyone else at the camp). For me, that’s about as good as life gets.
Come along with me as I share some of my main takeaways and consensus forecasts from this year’s camp.
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Wednesday, August 16, 2017
U.S. Stock Market: Sunrise ... Sunset / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: EWI
See what happens when speculative fever cools down
The market itself provides its own clues about its future price action. One such clue is found in higher-beta small cap stocks vs. lower-beta blue chips. Get our take.
[Editor's Note: The text version of the story is below.]
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
Stock Market Intermission / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Ed_Carlson
Last week’s Market Update – Showtime! – announced that the time had come for a sell-off in equities and we were not disappointed as the Dow lost over 234 points (worst week since March). Internal indicators now point to a pause in the decline. It’s now time for a short Intermission.
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
The Next Tech Crash Could Delay Your Retirement by a Decade / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: HAA
The S&P 500 Information Technology Index recently surpassed its previous peak of 988.49 set in March 2000. It took a whopping 17 years to recoup the massive losses from the implosion of the dot-com bubble.
Not even the Federal Reserve chairman at the time, Alan Greenspan, could rein in the enthusiasm of the tech disciples with his oft-quoted 1998 “Irrational Exuberance” speech about market valuation. Valuations stretched to epic proportions as companies with little revenue and no chance to make a profit rushed to join the IPO party.
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Tuesday, August 15, 2017
Will North Korea Situation Create a Nifty Stock Market Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: ElliottWave-Forecast
The situation in North Korea went to another level last week when President Trump made some “Fire and Fury” comment. His response to the provocation by North Korea resulted in risk off with sell off across the market, higher VIX, Yen strength. Precious metals such as Gold and Silver also saw bids and started to rally in the back of the news. But did Indices really sell off because of President’s Trump remark as the business news and social media make it to be?
Tuesday, August 15, 2017
North Korea Showdown: Pivotal Market Turning Point / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2017
By: The_Gold_Report
The next two weeks could be a make-or-break period for President Trump, says Lior Gantz, founder of Wealth Research Group.
We're witnessing a classic political attention diverting operation.
Like many before him, President Trump is provoking a foreign affair crisis in order to take our minds off of the problematic U.S. domestic economic and political tensions and focus on matters the government can blame on others instead of themselves.
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Monday, August 14, 2017
Tech Stocks DOT COM Bubble Do-Over? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our recent analysis suggests we may be setting up to repeat history in an odd and dangerous manner. As market technicians, part of our job is to work with numbers, find patterns and attempt to predict future price moves in US and Global markets. As you can imagine, it is not always easy to accurately predict the future. Still, we take on the challenge and truly enjoy being able to find and share trading strategy concepts with our ActiveTradingPartners newsletter. As such, we are sharing this recent technical research data with your today.
Monday, August 14, 2017
Stock Market Intermediate Correction Underway / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The uptrend should continue after pausing for a correction.
SPX Intermediate trend: “An ending pattern appears to be in its last stages of completion. This should be followed by an intermediate term correction into October.” The correction has started.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, August 13, 2017
Potential Pivots Upcoming for Stocks and Gold / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Gary_Tanashian
Prologue: This is a bearish article written by someone who covered his short (bearish) positions today (except for the euro) and has only long positions now, in precious metals and stocks, along with a heaping helping of cash. In other words, per yesterday’s snapshot, the market had dropped to levels that could see a bounce, especially since the spark to this week’s reaction was not legitimate as a substantial market input. This article is not concerned with short-term ups and downs; it is concerned with what comes in September or in Q4, after da boyz is back from da Hampins and settled in.
The war of words between the TiC (Tweeter-in-Chief) and the LiC (Lunatic-in-Chief) has little to do with the financial market’s intermediate-term fate. In the very short-term? Sure, man, machine, casino patron and Mom & Pop will fly in and out of stocks as the wind (and sentiment backdrop) blows. But before this standoff of the belligerent, the markets had set a course for changes come September or Q4 2017.
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Sunday, August 13, 2017
Stock Market VIX Explodes and XIV Puts In A Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Submissions
Mike Golembesky writes: The XIV fell over 13% on Thursday, August 10th and is now down over 23% from the high that was struck on July 26th. Additionally, the XIV has firmly broken through all of shorter term price support levels that I have been mentioning now for several weeks. The break of these support levels is, therefore, making it highly probable that a larger degree top has been struck in the XIV.
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Saturday, August 12, 2017
The Top of the Wealth Effect / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Doug_Wakefield
Week two of August. Schools start back soon. Last chance for summer vacations. Football and fall return. The Dow reaches 22,000 this month, proving the “wealth effect” has worked…right?
Yet, cognitive dissonance abounds as we watch global markets and world news.
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Thursday, August 10, 2017
SPX Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX is trying to make another test of the Short-term resistance at 2474.94. From there it should go down hard. Be Time to add shorts. Normally I wouldn’t recommend going 100% short until a trendline is crossed. But there’s enough confidence in the signals to go at least 50%.
Wednesday, August 09, 2017
SPX Bounces Off Brexit Trendline / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2017
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced off its trendline possibly completing a Wave (i) decline. The bounce may take it back to Short-term resistance at 2474.92. A failure here may have some profound implications, so we use the bounce to add short positions.
Alternatively, this morning’s gap may not be filled. If so, the trendline at 2462.00 gives us another chance to add short positions.
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