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Market Oracle FREE Newsletter

Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Stock-Markets

Monday, November 25, 2019

The Death Of Hedge Funds At A Time We Will Need Them / Stock-Markets / Hedge Funds

By: Avi_Gilburt

With the latest news of Louis Bacon’s closing down his hedge funds, we are seeing further evidence of the difficulties hedge funds have been having during recent years.

But, if you think about the counter-intuitive nature of this trend, it is actually quite interesting. Let me take a step back and walk you through what I am thinking.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 25, 2019

Stock Market Topping Behavior / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely building an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 24, 2019

Consumer Discretionary Sector and Corporate Bonds On Verge of Sell-off / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

I have been warning of a peak in the markets and a continued capital shift in the global economy that continued to push the NASDAQ and DOW towards new all-time highs while the foundations of the global markets continued to weaken. 

I authored dozens of research posts regarding this phenomenon over the past 90+ days.  Yet the clearest signs of this event may already be present in these Consumer Discretionary Sector and Corporate Bonds charts.

Consumers drive economic activity and corporate debt is often a measure of sustainable debt function within a functioning economy.  When consumers tighten their belts and exit the economy in some form and Corporate debt is viewed as “more toxic” than “opportunistic” – something has changed in the global economy where a portion of the active consumer engagement of that economy is waning or has already left the building.

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Stock-Markets

Friday, November 22, 2019

Adaptive Predictive Modeling Suggests Stock Market Weakness Into 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Our Adaptive Dynamic Learning (ADL) predictive modeling system is suggesting the Transportation Index will fall to levels near $10,000 over the next 2 to 3 weeks which would indicate moderate price weakness in the US stock market and the global stock market. 

Our ADL predictive modeling system attempts to model future price activity by finding and mapping critical price and technical elements within the historical price action.  In a way, this is like mapping the future by attempting to learn from the past. You can get all of my trade ideas by opting into my free market trend signals newsletter.

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Why Record-High Stock Prices Mean You Should Buy More / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Stephen_McBride

Nobody wants to be the schmuck who bought stocks at the tippy-top.

Did you check your 401(k) this week? If so, you surely noticed US stocks hit new all-time highs. And the S&P 500 is now on track for its best year since 1996.

How does this make you feel in your gut? Are you happy stocks are achieving new highs? Or does it scare you... tempt you to sell all your stocks… and run for cover?

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Plethora of Potential Financial Crisis Triggers / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019

By: Jim_Willie_CB

The US-based bond market is in tragic condition. All the bonds in US financial markets reek of rigged prices and inflated values. It is not a single bond sector, but rather all bond sectors that are in deep trouble, against a background of multi-year economic recession. The USTreasury Bonds, given the over $1.0 trillion in supply and widespread absence of buyers, deserves a 10% yield. The stolen missing $21 trillion amplifies the vacant value, from a grand crime scene. It is a wonder that investigator Professor Skidmore of Michigan State Univ has not been charged with financial terrorism. The USTBond market is teetering, kept afloat by overnight enormous slugs of fake money, which in early November was over $250 billion on a daily basis. If it was put onto the USFed balance sheet, on an increasingly frequent basis, then it is called QE. Better get real, and call it what it actually is – INFINITE Q.E. FOREVER. The Gold price is preparing the next launch platform.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 19, 2019

Trade News Still Relevant? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely building an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

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Stock-Markets

Sunday, November 17, 2019

Dow Jones Stock Market Cycle Update and are we there yet? / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis

By: readtheticker

Today the Dow and the SP500 are making new all time highs. However all long and strong bull markets end on a new all time high. Today no one knows how many new all time highs are to go, maybe 1 or 100+ more to go, who knows! So are we there yet? readtheticker.com combine market tools from Richard Wyckoff, Jim Hurst and William Gann to understand and forecast price action. In concept terms (in order), demand and supply, market cycles, and time to price analysis.  Cycle are excellent to understand the wider picture, after all markets do not move in a straight line and bear markets do follow bull markets. 

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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 13, 2019

How to Use Price Cycles and Profit as a Swing Trader – SPX, Bonds, Gold, Nat Gas / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

News does drive certain market events and we understand how certain traders rely on news or interest rates to bias their positions and trades.  As technical analysis purists, so to say, we believe the price operates within pure constructs of price rotation theory, trend theory, technical indicator theory, and price cycles.  We’ve found that technical analysis distills many news items into pure technical trading signals that we can use to profit from market swings.

Price is the ultimate indicator in our view.  Price determines current trends, support/resistance levels/channels, past price peaks and troughs and much more.  When we apply our proprietary price modeling and price cycle tools, we can gain a very clear picture of what price may attempt to do in the near future and even as far as a few months into the future.  Price, as the ultimate indicator, truly is the mathematical core element of all future price activity, trends, and reversions. Before you continue reading make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

New Evidence Futures Markets Are Built for Manipulation / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation

By: MoneyMetals

The recent price smash in precious metals is frustrating for goldbugs. It is even more infuriating for those who look at the fundamental reasons to own gold and silver and see prices falling anyway.

That’s why it’s worth explaining once again the real purpose of the futures markets, where prices are set. Some recent revelations about Bitcoin futures will help.

The CME launched a Bitcoin futures contract in December of 2017, and many cryptocurrency fans cheered. Those who cheered expected “institutional” money to pour into Bitcoin. Their mistakes were in assuming the institutions would be making long bets on Bitcoin and the futures market would be free and fair.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 11, 2019

If You Want Trump Out, You Need To Sell Your Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Avi_Gilburt

While reading of the title of this article may cause you to make certain assumptions about what you are about to read, I can assure you that this is not a politically motivated article. In fact, politics has absolutely nothing to do with the analysis and conclusions presented herein.

I want to start with the assumption that we have spoken about so often, and that it is social mood which directs our actions in life, including our willingness to buy stocks. As Robert Prechter noted in a study he published in 2012 on this topic, “[s]ocionomic theory proposes that unconscious social mood regulates social actions.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 11, 2019

Welcome to the Zombie-land Of Stock Market Investing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

This current market environment is very reminiscent of the 2006-08 market environment where price rotated into weakness on technicals and continued to establish new all-time price highs in the process – creating what we are calling a “zombie-land melt-up”.  This very dangerous price action is indicative of money chasing a falling trend.  Where technicals and fundamentals are suggesting that price is actually weakening quite substantial, yet the process of price exploration is continually biased towards the upside as investors continue to pile onto the back of the beast expecting a further melt-up.

Let’s take a look at what happened to the ES and Gold in 2006 and 2007. But, wait before you continue reading make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 11, 2019

Stock Market Cycles Peaking / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely building an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Read full article... Read full article...

 


Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 06, 2019

Is There a Stock Market Breakout Ahead? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Harry_Dent

Somehow the stock market is expecting growth to re-accelerate after a disappointing 2.0% GDP growth in Q2. The only sign of such growth in the stock market is central banks lowering rates and expanding their balance sheets again.

Q3 just came in at 1.9%, just below the 2.0% last quarter. And that covers over the bigger decline in consumer spending down from 3.03% in Q2 to 1.93% in Q3. Business investment continues to trickle down as did last quarter.
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Stock-Markets

Wednesday, November 06, 2019

Stock Market Ongoing Acceleration Phase / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Ricky_Wen

After Sunday night's grind up, Monday’s regular trading hours session was just a very tight consolidation overall range of 3083-3072.5 on the S&P 500, trapping and baiting traders as it gets ready for the next move. Price action could not gather enough strength yet to break above the 3085 key level and force a mini squeeze towards the 3100 major short-term level.

The main takeaway from this session is that the market is still showcasing the ongoing acceleration phase from last week’s breakout above 3029.5 (prior ATHs). However, the market is battling against the 3085/3100 resistance zone, and based on the current odds showcasing another temporary top setup before ramping higher. If it does not, then it opens up a rare scenario where 3193.75 target could be reached directly with a vertical squeeze to erase all doubts/odds. Know your timeframes because ultimately a temporary top/consolidation setup allows the market to backtest significant trending supports in order to reset the internals and ramp higher at a later date.

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Stock-Markets

Tuesday, November 05, 2019

Time for Investors to Reset Their Portfolios for Inflation / Stock-Markets / Inflation

By: MoneyMetals

As investors reset their clocks to accord with the end of Daylight Savings Time, they may also need to reset their expectations for future returns. 

A strong body of research suggests that artificially changing the time twice a year – forward, then backward an hour – does more harm than good.  It leads to sleep disruptions, heightened stress, missed appointments, wasted time (ironically), and a diminishment of productivity around these biannual time changes. 

As reported in HeadlineHealth, “Circadian biologists believe ill health effects from daylight saving time result from a mismatch among the sun ‘clock,’ our social clock – work and school schedules – and the body’s internal 24-hour body clock.”

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market Chartology vs Fundamentals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Rambus_Chartology

I’ve been holding off on writing this Weekend Report for the US stock markets until I got just a little more confirmation that the next impulse move higher is underway. Last weeks price action is strongly suggesting that the nearly 2 year consolidation phase is drawing to a close. Lets say I’m seeing some green shoots sprouting up in many different areas of the markets.

Most investors rely on the fundamentals in which to make their trading decisions because that is how its been since the beginning of trading the markets. Fundamentals do have a place in investing in the long term trend but they usually lag at the beginning of a major turn in the markets. Normally when the fundamentals turn up at the bottom of a bear market the price action has already turned up many months in advance. The same thing is also true at tops. Before the fundamentals turn down the smart money has already gotten out while those looking at the fundamentals are left holding the bag.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market Warning: US Credit Delinquencies To Skyrocket In Q4 / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2019

By: Chris_Vermeulen

Farm delinquencies skyrocket +24% year over year as global trade issues and the ability to service credit continues to be a problem.  This is a tell-tale sign that the US Fed decreased the Prime Rate recently as a result of broader credit issues related to higher interest rates for corporate and other borrowers.  The last thing the Fed wants is another collapse on the lending markets similar to 2008-09.

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market Intermediate Topping Process Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend – There are no clear signs that the bull market is over.

Intermediate trend –  Most likely building an intermediate top.

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts.  It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends

Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers.  If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at ajg@cybertrails.com

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Stock-Markets

Monday, November 04, 2019

Stock Market $SPY Expanded Flat, Déjà Vu All Over Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2019

By: ElliottWaveForecast

A Flat is one of the corrective structures in the Elliott Wave Theory. It is in our opinion the most dangerous and also less reliable structure. The reason is because a Flat allow analysts and traders to force a bias against the trend. Many times the market fails to reach traders’ correction target. When the market reacts different to the expectation and breaks into new highs or lows, analysts like to call an expanded flat as a way out. This is the last resource to prove they are not wrong in their original forecast. The structure of expanded flat looks like the following chart below:

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