Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, April 09, 2014
Stock Market Three-Day Selloff Ends / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Today the S&P 500 snapped a three-day losing streak with a modest gain. The bounce was largely driven by a reversal in the recent plunge in Tech stocks, with IYW (the iShares Tech ETF) up 0.99%. The 500 opened fractionally higher and then sold off to its -0.41% intraday low. It then recovered to a relatively narrow trading range from the late morning to its 0.38% advance at the closing bell, which was off its 0.54% mid-day high.
Wednesday, April 09, 2014
Dow Stock Market Double Top - Fib or Fact? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Ed_Carlson
As of last Wednesday, the Dow has printed a double top. The time span between 12/31/13 and Wednesday’s closing high is 92 days. A Fibonacci 38.2% of the distance between those two dates is 35 days and 35 days past 12/31/13 marked the closing low on 2/3/14.
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Tuesday, April 08, 2014
Final Bubble Phase for the Stock Market: Final Capitulation for Gold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Toby_Connor
After two hard days down in the stock market I'm going to take a contrary position and say that this is just a normal profit taking event and that stocks are going to recover and head back up to new highs. I still think this market needs to have a final blow off bubble phase before the bull can die. The final bubble phase for stocks should usher in the final capitulation stage of gold's 2 1/2 year bear market. For those like SMT subscribers that are sitting in cash, this final capitulation is going to represent one of the greatest buying opportunities of this generation.
Tuesday, April 08, 2014
Dow and Nikkei Stock Market Tops / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Dan_Stinson
Nikkei top and relationship with the DOW - UPDATE - DOW wave (5) top and Nikkei wave (2) top
We issued a newsletter on Feb 17th discussing the possible relationship between the Nikkei and the DOW. The newsletter included charts to illustrate this relationship and suggested that we would see a DOW top while the Nikkei completes wave (2) up. This appears to have occurred on Apr 3 2014 for the Nikkei and on Apr 4 2014 for the DOW. Some of the charts below are from the Feb 17th newsletter.
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Monday, April 07, 2014
Flash Boys - Why You Need to Read Michael Lewis’ New Exposé / Stock-Markets / Resources & Reviews
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: No doubt you’ve heard about Michael Lewis’ new book, “Flash Boys.”
And, no doubt you’ve been hearing more than ever before about the subject of Lewis’ book, High Frequency Trading (HFT).
I ran to Barnes & Noble to buy the book the second I heard about it last week. They didn’t have any copies. So, I ordered it online, which was cheaper anyway.
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Monday, April 07, 2014
Stock Market Selloff New Downtrend Or Just A Short-Term Pullback? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is now neutral, following Friday’s move down:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, April 07, 2014
US Stocks Down, JPY Up After NFP / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gregor_Horvat
Morning traders! I hope that you had a great and relaxing weekend as markets can be very interesting in this week after strong sell-off on US stocks on Friday, after the US jobs report. We see markets in risk-off mode, but interesting that, despite a strong move down on stocks USD did not move much to the upside. We have seen a strong upward reaction on US Notes and German Bund market while stocks were falling which was ideal for lower {{3|USD/JPY}} and Yen crosses.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 07, 2014
The Real Reason the Stock Market Is Rigged / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Money_Morning
Everyone's talking about Michael Lewis' latest book Flash Boys and HFT (high-frequency trading) and whether the markets are rigged.
What they're not talking about is how the markets have been set up for institutionalized rigging.
I'm not kidding.
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Monday, April 07, 2014
Current Jakarta Composite Stock Index Index Run Up Sustainable? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sam_Chee_Kong
The recent run-up of the Jakarta Composite Index has nothing to do with improving fundamentals in the Indonesian economy but more towards an election play. For all is known, the Indonesian economy is far from out of the woods. Although recently the Indonesian economy managed to record trade surpluses, it is mainly due to the rise in exports. Exports are brought forward from the mining sector as a result of an anticipated ban on mineral exports after Jan 12, 2014. Moreover the sudden surge in the economic activity for the past few months has mainly due to the increased public spending geared towards the run up of the elections. Whatever it is, the Indonesian economy is still very weak and will have problem maintaining the momentum as soon as the elections ends next week.
Monday, April 07, 2014
Are Leading Stock Market Indexes Turning Bearish? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are in their down phases, and if they make their lows when expected (after this bull market is over), there will be another steep decline into late 2014. However, the Fed policy of keeping interest rates low has severely curtailed the full downward pressure potential of the 40-yr and 120-yr cycles.
Intermediate trend - Failed to overcome resistance at the high.
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Saturday, April 05, 2014
Stocks Bulls vs. Bears: Some Profit Margin Stories Are Better Than Others / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: F_F_Wiley
[M]argins have been rising smartly–faster than Greenspan can ever recall. His only explanation: productivity… Greenspan argues that the U.S. is undergoing a productivity revolution not seen since early this century… In the longer term, he’s betting that as the world moves into the 21st century and the NAlan Greenspan’s Brave New Worldew Economy takes root, more of the old economic rules will fall apart. - From “,” Business Week, July 13, 1997
Saturday, April 05, 2014
Stock Market Record High Precedes a 1.25% Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
Courtesy of Doug Short: Friday morning’s much anticipated March employment report delivered no surprises. The S&P 500 rallied at the opening bell and hit its all-time high a minute later. The index traded sideways for the next hour and then began a steady selloff to its -1.35% mid-afternoon low. At the closing bell the index had trimmed its loss to -1.25%, its fourth worst loss of the year, well off the -2.28% on February 3rd. The selling was most pronounced in tech stocks, with the NASDAQ plunging 2.60%, its second worst session in 2014 (the worst was -2.61% on February 3rd).
Saturday, April 05, 2014
The Stock Market’s Annual Seasonality is a Real Concern This Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Sy_Harding
As we move into April, it’s important to look at the stock market’s long history of making most of its gains each year in a favorable ‘season’ of November to April, while most of its corrections and bear market down-legs take place in an unfavorable season from May to October.
Many academic studies and investment strategies going back to the 1970’s have confirmed the pattern, long referred to as ‘Sell in May and Go Away’.
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Saturday, April 05, 2014
Stock Markets Bubbles and Parabolic Slope Theory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Dan_Stinson
Parabolic Slope Theory
There has been extensive discussion questioning the current rally and if it has reached bubble status. Firstly, what is a bubble from a technical standpoint? A bubble is a parabolic advance in a market or stock where the price appears to move straight up without normal corrections. The corrections or pullbacks are small, sending the stock or index straight up. Greed and euphoria are high and complacency is low. The higher the market or stock moves, the bigger the bubble and the more pain on the way back down.
Friday, April 04, 2014
Time to Ditch Stock Market Swinging Cyclicals? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: InvestmentContrarian
George Leong writes: The stock market appears to be getting somewhat top-heavy. Scanning through my screens, I am quite amazed to find that the majority of S&P 500 stocks are well above their respective 200-day moving averages, which makes opportunities much more difficult to come by for the average investor who might look at their portfolio once a week or month.
But the buying in the stock market has still largely been with the technology, growth, and small-cap stocks, due to the higher potential to make quick money versus investing in blue chips or industrial companies.
Friday, April 04, 2014
I Can’t Believe The Government Wants To Unleash This On The Public / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2014
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Do you know Ally Financial Inc.?
You’ve no doubt seen their commercials. They used to be all over the tube hawking their high-yielding certificates of deposit. Now they’re all over the tube with their “no hidden fees” campaign.
I like the one where the woman is afraid to try new things because she’s had bad experiences before. Her mechanical dog sparks a fire when he drinks water and her trainer hooks her up to electrodes that zap her. I like these commercials; they’re funny. But Ally isn’t funny.
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Friday, April 04, 2014
Truth - The First Casualty of Economics, Banking and the Ukraine / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: David_Hague
Dear Reader, I opened my eyes and stared at the hard packed dirt that substitutes for grass in Paris's famed Tuileries Garden . I struggled to raise my head and peer over the lip of the Grand Bassin Octagonal. My eyes were greeted with the majestic view of the Louvre, basking in the warm early morning glow of the unseasonably hot sunshine that had Parisians reaching for their sunscreen in the middle of March. I struggled to overcome the explosions occurring inside my head, the result of the three bottles of Andezon, Cotes-du-Rhone Syrah [an impertinent, cheeky and inexpensive red wine] I had consumed after last night's International Economic Symposium held at the uber-swank Hotel George V Paris.
Thursday, April 03, 2014
Free Money Thursday – Chinese Stimulus To the Rescue! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: PhilStockWorld
MORE FREE MONEY!!!
China gave the markets a big boost this morning by announcing an immediate $25Bn program for railway construction and another $50Bn a year for "more stuff." That sent the Nikkei flying to 15,150 but then Chinese Non-Manufacturing PMI fell to 54.5 for March and the Nikkei gave back 75 points while the Hang Seng closed just 0.2% over flat and the Shanghai fell 0.75%, back to 2,043, just 5% over the lows they've been testing all year at that critical 2,000 line.
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Thursday, April 03, 2014
Stock Market Waiting On Jobs... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Jack_Steiman
Rotation continues. While many areas unwind we see rotation as usual. The transports hit an all-time high today, while the retail stocks held up very well, with transports allowing the market to hold basically flat lined. The S&P 500 holding the 1883 breakout for now. It appears the market is now in wait mode to see how those jobs numbers come in. In order to continue the breakout over 1883 on the S&P 500 with force, it seems as if it's going to need some further proof all is well with a decent jobs report.
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Thursday, April 03, 2014
Look at the Stock Market 4-year Presidential Cycle / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
By: Clif_Droke
For all the bullish 2014 expectations among Wall Street analysts, few if any consider the impact of the long-term cycles. After all, it’s in late 2014 when several major long-term yearly cycles are scheduled to bottom in unison, from the widely followed 4-year cycle to the well-known 10-year cycle and on to the even bigger 40-year and 60-year cycles. Each of these cycles tends to stamp its unique presence on the stock market when they bottom individually. How much more then can we expect to feel their presence when they’re bottoming contiguously? Read full article... Read full article...