Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Sunday, January 24, 2021
Stock Market: Why You Should Prepare for a Jump in Volatility / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
This volatility indicator "has made a series of higher lows" -- and it's not a good sign
Stock market volatility is like a roller-coaster ride -- extreme ups and downs.
However, unlike thrill-seeking roller-coaster riders who often rise from their seats after the ride with a smile, investors often exit with a frown.
That's because extreme volatility after a stock rally often ends with prices much lower.
Having said that, many investors -- even professionals -- do not anticipate a jump in volatility right now.
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Tuesday, January 19, 2021
How To Find Market Momentum Trades for Explosive Gains / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Every morning before the markets open I share my video chart analysis of the day’s price action in the indexes, metals, bonds, and more for members of the BAN Trader Pro service. Today we look at the futures of the major indexes, bonds, gold, silver, and miners. I review our open trades and I go through my BAN Hotlist in detail, showing members how to take advantage of the hottest sectors. Learn how we manage risk and implement our BAN (Best Asset Now) strategy to consistently beat the market.
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Monday, January 18, 2021
More Stock Market Speculative Signs, Energy Rebound, Commodities Breakout / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Troy_Bombardia
More speculative signs
Speculative signs keep piling up. Contrarian investors and traders have focused on surging penny stocks and micro-cap stocks in recent days. The smallest of small cap stocks are now more than 40% above their 200 day moving average! The last time this happened was in February – March 2000, near the peak of the dot-com bubble.
*This is the Dow Jones Micro-Cap Index, which is the smallest 50% of the Wilshire 5000 index:
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Saturday, January 16, 2021
Three Financial Markets Price Drivers in a Globalized World / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Do you want to know how gold will be doing soon? Or the USDX? You have to look at the German and French economies. You may ask “What? How can they be tied together?” Well, the globalization of markets is one of the core foundations of the modern world. With everything interrelated, nothing in economics can be examined in a vacuum state. That includes the three precious metals price drivers: stocks, yields and currencies.
The EUR/USD currency pair is a perfect example of this interconnectivity. Being the most popular and most traded currency pair in the world, the EUR/USD is influenced by many factors, including the price action in the USD Index as well as the strength of the European and American economies at any given time. The same level of interconnectedness can be applied to the other price drivers.
Let’s take a fundamental look at stocks, yields and currencies.
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Thursday, January 14, 2021
Here's Why Blind Contrarianism Investing Failed in 2020 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020
By: EWI
There is only one instance when the investing crowd is right
Yes, there are many times when the market's Elliott wave structure suggests that an investor should take a position "against the crowd," or put another way, be a contrarian.
Prime examples are at market bottoms and tops.
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Thursday, January 14, 2021
US Yield Curve Relentlessly Steepens, Whilst Gold Price Builds a Handle / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Gary_Tanashian
Another week, another yield curve steepener and continuation of the trend that began in August, 2019.
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Thursday, January 14, 2021
Finetero Review – Accurate and Efficient Stock Trading Services? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Submissions
Stocks are among the most attractive trading instruments when fiat currencies lose their purchasing power. That is exactly what’s happening right now and the surge in retail interest for stocks shouldn’t be a surprise. Also, when volatility in the market is elevated, long-term uncertainty follows, which makes short-term trading more suitable. Finetero is one of the brands that cover stock instruments, and it would be worthwhile to mention their main benefits.
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Wednesday, January 13, 2021
Are Covid Lockdowns Bullish or Bearish for Stocks? FTSE 100 in Focus / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
"The market has a law of its own. It is not propelled by the external causality..."
Elliott Wave International has long held -- and proven -- that events outside of the market do not determine the long-term trend of prices. In the short term, news and events can, and often do, contribute to market volatility -- although, not always, and not always "logically." But then the long-term trend resumes.
We've shown countless examples of that on these pages -- and here's one of the latest: the lockdowns related to covid. One might conclude that investors would view the business interruptions resulting from a lockdown as a sign that stock prices would decline. Hence, a selloff would occur with each lockdown announcement.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2021
Stocks, Bitcoin, Gold – How Much Are They Worth? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Kelsey_Williams
Stock prices, according to the S&P 500, are up seventy percent from their lows last April. The Nasdaq Composite at its most recent high point was up even more, sporting a ninety-five percent increase from its nadir. A number of individual stocks have done even better.
For the entire year 2020, however, stocks were up a more modest sixteen percent (S&P 500) and only seven percent for the Dow Jones Industrial Average.
However, the outsized performance of the Nasdaq was even more apparent on a full calendar year basis. For 2020 the Nasdaq was up forty-three percent. Relative to its peers, the average Nasdaq stock was up more than three to four times as much as non-Nasdaq stocks.
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Tuesday, January 12, 2021
SPX Short-term Top Imminent / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: May continue until SPX recaches 4150 in February.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Sunday, January 10, 2021
Financial Market Forecasts 2021: Navigation in Uncharted Waters / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: The_Gold_Report
Sector expert Michael Ballanger lays out the foundation for his investment strategy in the new year, with uranium and copper augmenting his focus on the precious metals.
As I sat down in mid-December to formulate the draft outline for my 2021 Forecast Issue, I was immediately engulfed with a feeling of impending dread, not by way of dissatisfaction with the investments currently being held in my portfolio and trading accounts, but by being confronted with such a vast array of possible outcomes in the upcoming year 2021. Adding insult to injury, it is also the uncertainty of outcomes that places forecasts directly in the crosshairs of failure and embarrassment, resulting in fewer and less happy subscribers.
In contrast, during the same period one year ago, I knew that the single greatest issue facing us was managing the rapidly approaching debt monster, which allowed me to assume that markets would not look kindly upon the U.S. Fed chairman Jerome Powell and his sudden about-face in monetary policy. When the REPO fiasco began in Q3/2019, it was as plain as the nose on his face that Powell looked into the crystal ball and was horrified with what he saw. His vain (and lame) attempt to "normalize" the Fed balance sheet earlier that year had laid to bare a pitifully fragile debt structure teetering on the brink of implosion. He and his global central bank brethren sprang to action, flooding the world with wave after wave of counterfeit cash otherwise known as "liquidity."
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Saturday, January 09, 2021
Cheers for the 2021 Stock Market and These "Great Expectations" / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: EWI
Insights into "the most speculative of strategies ... among the most speculative of traders"
We're reminded during this time of year of the wonderful classic by Charles Dickens, "A Christmas Carol."
As you probably know, the Victorian-era British novelist also wrote several other books, including "Great Expectations."
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Friday, January 08, 2021
Who is Buying and Selling Stocks in 2021 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Troy_Bombardia
I wish you a happy and prosperous New Year. May 2021 bring you and your family good health and success.
Looking back, 2020 was a year that few will forget. From a markets point of view, it was a year in which “dumb money” (traders who chase trends) was the smart money. Global central bank intervention caused a “wall of money” to flow from one asset to another, resulting in a year when “everything went up”.
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Thursday, January 07, 2021
Inflation the bug-bear looking forward through 2021 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Christopher_Quigley
Since the Covid 19 crisis began in March 2020 just over 10 trillion dollars have been pumped into the World's economies. This is the reason why the stock markets are breaking into new highs despite the fact that most countries are in recession.
"Given the broad global impact of the COVID-19 crisis, few populations, businesses, sectors, or regions have been able to avoid the knock-on economic effects. That means government measures have had to support large parts of the economy in a very short time to maintain financial stability, maintain household economic welfare, and help companies survive the crisis. In addition, countries have tended to escalate their interventions as the crisis increases in severity and lockdowns persist. Nine of ten countries in our data set have already announced at least one additional financial-relief or -stimulus package. Two-thirds of countries have announced three or more packages, while a few countries have announced as many as six or seven packages".
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Thursday, January 07, 2021
5 Financial Market Surprises in 2021 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2021
By: Jared_Dillian
Plenty of people made predictions for 2020, with hilarious results.
So for 2021, I am going to give you my list of surprises instead.
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Tuesday, January 05, 2021
Stock Market Approaching an Important Target / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: There is some good evidence that we are still in the bull market which started in 2009 and which could continue into the first quarter of 2021 before coming to an end.
SPX Intermediate trend: New intermediate uptrend ending?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done daily with the help of hourly charts. They are important adjuncts to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which determine longer market trends.
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Monday, January 04, 2021
The Year the World Fell Down the Rabbit Hole / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Gary_Tanashian
Conspiracies and bias hurt investors
It’s no wonder so many people have been unable to attain proper market positioning in 2020. You invest with your heart, soul, fears or even sometimes your intellect and you risk blowing yourself up at worst, or missing out at best. For much of 2020 Twitter has been a forum for ‘influencers’ with tens of thousands of followers spewing dogma and influencing their herds alright. I watched it happen all year, in the Twitter machine and at other venues.
You know the perma-bearish or ‘got gold?’ types, issuing dire warnings and authoritative discussion of just how bad off the world is (well, it ain’t good, I grant them that). But it’s the practical reaction or lack thereof, not the news itself that matters.
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Monday, January 04, 2021
The Stocks Bull Market is Only Half Completed / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Donald_W_Dony
After over 11 years of continuous advancement, the bull market is finally starting to show signs of its age.
Historically, secular bull markets tend to last about 18 years. This was the case for the prior three bull markets.
From 1919 to 1930 and from 1949 to 1970 and again from 1982 to 2000, the U.S. stock market unrelentingly rose despite fundamental and economical challenges.
The current bull market has also faced a number obstacles over the past 11 years. But similar to past secular bulls, shows no signs of altering its upward path.
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Sunday, January 03, 2021
Stock Market Major Peak in Early April 2021 / Stock-Markets / Stock Market 2021
By: Chris_Vermeulen
In the first part of this research article, we highlighted some of W.D. Gann’s research, particularly the theory of price vibrations, angles, slopes, and how they relate to future price projections/targets. We also showed how important it was to understand what price does when it reaches these critical inflection points. In this second part of our research, we are going to explore Gann time/price cycles and how they relate to our Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs.
Our research will show you exactly why we believe an early April 2021 peak may be setting up in the US/global markets and why you need to prepare for this now. We believe the remainder of the bullish price trend may continue to push higher, scaling very close to the CYAN trendline on the chart below over the next 60+ days before starting to break lower as we near the end of March 2021. Let’s explore why we believe this is likely to happen.
We highlighted the importance of the CYAN trend line and the multiple Fibonacci Price Amplitude Arcs that are arcing through the recent price range in Part I. It is our belief that these critical levels represent a major inflection point in the advance of price and that price may continue to attempt to push higher – but may align itself below the CYAN trendline as it inches closer to the early April Gann price/time arc that we believe will set up a major top in the markets.
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Friday, January 01, 2021
Covid-19, SARS. Swine Flu. All 3 Were a Stock Market Screaming "Buy!" / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Let's take a moment to update you on the relationship between COVID-19 and emerging market stocks. Earlier this year, our publications at Elliott Wave International showed that infectious disease epidemics tend to occur toward the end of bear markets. We cited such examples as SARS, swine flu, and COVID-19, which spread toward the end of major declines in the MSEI Emerging Markets Index.
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