Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, June 30, 2011
The Personality of Stock Market Waves / Stock-Markets / Elliott Wave Theory
By: EWI
Elliott waves don't merely reflect prices plotted over time. Each wave has its own "personality." Listen to this video by EWI's Wayne Gorman to learn more about the psychology behind the waves and how it affects your investment decisions.
Thursday, June 30, 2011
Three Ways to Slash Your Risk ... And Still Make a Killing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: With everything from the Greek debt crisis to worries about China's growth roiling the markets these days, the investing outlook seems to get shakier by the minute. And that means the same old tricks won't work any longer.
It's not going to be enough, for example, to simply pick stocks or spread your risk among large-cap, small-cap and a blend of domestic and international stocks and bonds thrown in for good measure.
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Thursday, June 30, 2011
Possible Stock Market Bottom as Key Sectors Breaking Out / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past month we have seen stocks pick up momentum to the down side after an already very weak month prior (May - Sell in May and go away). This second wave of high volume selling in June was enough to spook the masses out of the market shifting the sentiment from bullish to bearish. But just recently we are starting to see big money accumulate stocks down at these oversold prices, which has me thinking we just may be headed higher sooner than later.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, June 30, 2011
How the Stock Market Prices In Recession / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
I'm not going to even begin to try and make sense out of today's market. Watching fires burn and teargas fired in Greece, 100 pip moves in the EUR/USD in minutes and computer algos tripping over each other was surreal beyond words. This market right now is a lottery. Calling equities forward looking or a pricing mechanism is beyond ridiculous.
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Investors Around The World Monitoring Expiration Of QE2 / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Jeb_Handwerger
We are witnessing an important watershed in world history with the unwinding of QE2. Every citizen no matter where, has a ready camera eye on the world, carried in his smart phone case. Even more so does the internet provide the anvil for major nations to forge economic strategies. "Swords are being hammered into cybershares."
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Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Goldman Sucks, Risk Trade Returns / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Adam_Brochert
The "risk on" trade seems to have returned. It may last 2 weeks or it may last 8, potentially even a few more. It may even be good for a new high in "advanced" Western markets like the United States. Everyone knows Greece is going to blow up, along with lots of other countries.
Wednesday, June 29, 2011
Stock Market Volatility Skew Still Shows Complacency / Stock-Markets / Volatility
By: Tony_Pallotta
I continue to "obsess" about the volatility skew. For those new to the skew and what is means please read here first. After the May 2010 correction the skew and vix both converged and continued to correlate for the most part through August 2010. Since that time they have diverged as some investors began buying further out of the money options versus the masses who continue to sell volatility whether as a form of speculation (selling puts) or simply ignoring the need for portfolio insurance.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Near-term Bottom for S&P500? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Mike_Paulenoff
Heading into the final hour of trading, the e-mini S&P 500 is pushing up against critical, final key resistance at 1293.75. If this level is hurdled and sustained, concurrent with a climb in the cash SPX above 1298.61, that would argue strongly that a significant near-term bottom has been established that also coincides with the bottom of my 70-75-day and 20-25 trading day cycles.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
What Will Happen to the Stock Market When QE2 Ends? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: EWI
The second round of the Federal Reserve's quantitative easing program, better known as QE2, will expire this week.
The QE2 policy was officially announced on November 4, 2010, and has been widely credited with subsequent stock market gains. And now, according to rumors, the end of this "experimental" program will kill the stock rally -- with potential impact across all markets.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
The Stock Market Rise Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Donald_W_Dony
Following the June 21 Market Minute titled "The low has arrived", equity indexes continue to show a bullish stance. Models have been indicating since late April that the corrective low in the S&P 500 would occur in the second half of June. As that trough has now developed (June 16-20), upward pressure can be anticipated into July and early August.
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Tuesday, June 28, 2011
Stock Market MACD Rally Off The Lows.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
The market staged a very nice rally today as those MACD's started crossing up positive over negative today. No news over the weekend, along with those crosses, gave the market a lift few expected as things looked very dire after the close on Friday. The one positive has been those oscillators on the daily charts, especially those MACD's. It's really funny how things have reversed for this market. Two months ago we were dealing with market highs on the belief that the economy was recovering thanks to QE1 and QE2. The negatives at that time were the two-headed monsters known as sentiment and those nasty looking weekly divergences. Now we have the opposite situation at hand. We have a falling economy, but we now have a two-headed monster that's positive for this market.
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Monday, June 27, 2011
Greek Stock Market, the Moments Before Drowning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
I sit. I watch. I contemplate. I observe. The stock market appears to have lost all sense of reality and logic. Maybe it never had any. Maybe it is just drowning and the current behavior is the moment before the drowning.
The Dow Jones Greek Index is a good barometer of investor behavior. When a person is perilously close to drowning, they will grab on to anything. There are a few seconds of desperate panic. The same holds true for investors. They will grab on to any story no matter how ridiculous it may be. The former nation of Greece is in the news almost every hour. They have debt obligations that they cannot repay and the ECB is going to throw them another $100 billion in bailout money to keep their debt off the default report. To be accurate, the ECB is going to give the $100 billion to the German, French, and American banks that hold the credit default swaps tied to the Greek debt in question. They just needed to figure out how to steal it from the Greeks.
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Monday, June 27, 2011
Commodities and Market Internals Concerning For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Chris_Ciovacco
Our global economy still faces significant balance sheet problems (assets vs. liabilities) at numerous points in the economic food chain. Consumers are still hurting from the reverse wealth effect created by falling asset prices. Numerous countries, including Greece, Spain, Portugal, and the U.S., are burdened by mismatches between government spending and revenue. Falling asset prices make problems with balance sheets worse and are not good for revenues from ad valorem taxes.
Monday, June 27, 2011
Sign of the Stock Market Bear / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Toby_Connor
Today I am going to teach you a little about cycles.
First a little background information. I'm going to be discussing almost exclusively the intermediate degree cycle. Now to start let me correct some misconceptions. Cycles are virtually worthless for timing tops. Cycles are measured from trough to trough. All we can really do with cycle theory is develop timing bands for bottoms, tops can occur at any time.
Monday, June 27, 2011
The Macro Economic Picture And The Outlook For Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: John_Hampson
Increasing numbers of writers are bearish on the outlook for the markets and the likelihood of recession. Take a look at the deteriorating picture:
1. The Yield Curve is inverted in Brazil and close in India. Other countries are trending towards that situation, and an inverted yield curve has historically led to bear markets.
Monday, June 27, 2011
The Future for U.S. Stocks in Light of the Fed’s Failings / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
Major U.S. stocks were under pressure during most of the past week as new worries about Eurozone sovereign debt and a disastrous press conference by U.S. Federal Reserve Chairman Ben Bernanke corroded confidence.
This time, it was not just Greece that was pushing sellers' hot button, but also Italy, as the Mediterranean nation's banks are believed to have excessive exposure to troubled loans in the region. But at the center of the troubles was Bernanke, who looked helpless as an Econ 101 student in a master's class when asked by the media to explain why the economy was not improving as fast as expected.
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Monday, June 27, 2011
Initial Stages of Global Stock Market Crash In Progress? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Steven_Vincent
Last week SPX appeared to complete an abc sideways correction. By Friday the index was heading back towards its lows and ended the day and the week just above critical support at the confluence of the 200 EMA and the uptrend from March 2009. The setup is for a potential gap below this support zone on Monday, which could then trigger sell stops leading to a cascading decline.
Monday, June 27, 2011
Too Early for Stock Market Bulls to Declare Victory / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which has evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Sunday, June 26, 2011
Hyperinflationary Depression Inevitable, Banking Sector Breaking Down, Gold and Silver Volatility / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Clive_Maund
As Stockcharts no longer see fit to run usable charts for gold and various other commodities - line charts are only suitable for schoolkids or journalists doing projects on the markets, not for serious analysis - we are going to use the chart for SPDR Gold Trust (GLD) as a stand in for gold. It is a very accurate proxy, and should continue to be, unless of course, the markets were suddenly to discover that they don't have the gold in their vaults that they say they have.
Sunday, June 26, 2011
Stock Market Gone Nowhere, Gold and Silver in Synch / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: WavePatternTraders
Last weeks ideas still stand as we essentially went nowhere over the past week, just a bunch of noise that was chopping up traders, but also left the market venerable to more downside, we were actually bullish going into the lows made last week, as I wanted to see a big reaction of the 200DMA test, as the triangle option was a setup we were following, if the market made a low, we could see a big push higher. Well we got the big push off the lows I was expecting, but the lack of follow through was the disappointment and once we broke under our keys support areas on a pullback, we knew once again we needed to get short and start looking for new lows, of course we got some wild swings from the Greece news, and I felt without that news the market was heading lower.