Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Monday, June 06, 2011
Stock Market Disconnect, 8.6 Year Cycle Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Andre_Gratian
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
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Monday, June 06, 2011
Credit Markets Diverging From Equities Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Pallotta
"Don't criticize what you don't understand, son. You never walked in that man's shoes." - Elvis Presley
In prior posts I discussed how the equity market has become far less forward looking. Rather than being a proactive pricing mechanism it has become a reactionary trading one. In 2001 the equity market peaked nine months before the recession. In 2008 they peaked two months before.
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Sunday, June 05, 2011
Current Stock Market Pullback is Second Longest in Duration Since March 2009 Bear Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Trader_Mark
This data from the blog VIX and More is a day old, but it highlights an interesting situation. Of the 16 pullbacks since the March 2009 "generational bottom", the current episode is the 2nd longest at 23 days, trailing only the 48 days experienced last April-June as QE1 ended and the flash crash hit. But that said, as of yesterday it was only the 11th most severe with a 4.7% loss on the S&P 500 (obviously a bit higher today). Which is why this has not been an easy pullback even for bears who target the indexes - it's been a long slow grind with a lot of spring back rallies, and a rotation into defensive sectors which has offset the brash selloffs in 'beta'.
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stocks Bear Market is Not Over, Interview with a Value Investor / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Mike_Shedlock
Inquiring minds are reading a Guru Focus Interview with Investor Arnold Van Den Berg, a value investor.
Read full article... Read full article...Guru Focus: You seem to believe that there will be high inflation risk in the coming years. What is the best strategy in this inflationary environment?
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Robert Prechter's Stock, Commodity and Financial Markets Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
There are just days left for you to download Elliott Wave International’s issue of Global Market Perspective, FREE!
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Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stock Market Could Fall 70% / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Justice_Litle
Albert Edwards predicts the S&P will go back to 400 as a result of his "first deflation, then inflation" thesis.
Meet Albert Edwards, an investment strategist for Societe Generale (or "SocGen" for short).
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Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stock Market S&P 500 Structure and Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Piazzi
In this post of May 20, I used weekly Momentum Cycle, OEW aggregate trend, and Market Alignment Index indicators to sum up the state of S&P in 4 words
“Structurally positive, but weak!&
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Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stock Market Cycles Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Clif_Droke
Let’s take a step back and examine the intermediate-term outlook for 2011 based on some observations we made earlier this year.
Earlier we discussed the outlook for 2011 based on an “echo analysis” of the Kress cycles. In January, Ned Davis Research produced a chart which combined the stock market’s 1-year, 4-year and 10-year tendencies. This composite chart suggested that most of this year’s gains will occur in the first half of the year. Our own composite work based on the Kress cycle “echo” phenomenon also suggested that the stock market could make a significant peak in the April-May time frame and that most of the market’s gains would be made in the first half of 2011.
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Basis of the Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Tim_Wood
Of late, I have been receiving questions asking how I can justify saying that the advance out of the March 2009 low is a bear market rally. After all, doesn't a rally of some 26 months have to be a bull market? No, it does not and I continue to believe that this is a bear market rally that will ultimately separate Phase I from Phase II of a much longer-term and ongoing secular bear market. I have addressed this topic before, but for some reason these questions are being asked again, so I will address them here again. The explanation that this is a bear market rally within a much longer-term secular bear market lies with the historical bull/bear market relationships, Dow theory phasing and values.
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stock Market Close to a Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Tony_Caldaro
A holiday shortened week was no help to the market this week as the SPX/DOW declined 2.3%. This was the biggest weekly decline since the 2.2% decline in November. On the economic front decliners beat advancers two to one. The negatives included declines in Case-Shiller (a new low), the Chicago PMI, Consumer confidence, ISM manufacturing, ADP, monthly Auto sales, Factory orders, the WLEI, and the Payrolls report. The Unemployment rate rose.
Saturday, June 04, 2011
ISM...Jobs...Economy Spiraling Down... Stock Market Simply Correcting.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
There is a lot of bad news out there folks. It wasn't too long ago that we saw good economic reports coming in with regards to expansion. The market was responding with a big move up courtesy of fed Bernanke. The machine turning all day long allowing for massive liquidity to be flooded into the system. This is the reason the market had been doing so well without question. No arguments on this front. Liquidity equals higher stock markets. Just the way it is. Whether it's real or not is not the question here. What matters is what takes place in the market. The market loved the massive amounts of liquidity being thrown around by our fearless fed leader. Now the news is changing despite the influx of massive quantities of cash.
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Saturday, June 04, 2011
Will The Fed Push Its Magic Money Printing Button Again? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: Sy_Harding
It was another week of shockingly negative economic reports, which you might think has Wall Street economists worried that the economy is running into something more than just a brief soft patch (their popular term of recent weeks).
Saturday, June 04, 2011
Gold and Silver Investor Antidote to Fed Cheap Loans to Mega Bankers / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: DeepCaster_LLC
“Credit Suisse Group AG (CS), Goldman Sachs Group Inc. (GS) and Royal Bank of Scotland Group Plc (RBS) each borrowed at least $30 billion in 2008 from a Federal Reserve emergency lending program whose details weren’t revealed to shareholders, members of Congress or the public…
They paid interest rates as low as 0.01 percent that December, when the Fed’s main lending facility charged 0.5 percent…
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Friday, June 03, 2011
The Stock Market Good, the Bad, and the Ugly... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Marty_Chenard
That's what we will look at this morning ...
Three charts, Three conditions ... Good, Bad, and Ugly which describe WHAT is happening in the market today.
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
Insider Trading: “You Can’t Regulate Uncertainty” / Stock-Markets / Market Manipulation
By: Casey_Research
On May 11, hedge fund billionaire Raj Rajaratnam was found guilty by a federal jury of engaging in a seven-year conspiracy to trade on illegal tips from corporate executives, bankers, and consultants. In a Conversations with Casey interview with Senior Analyst Louis James, here are Doug’s no-holds-barred musings on insider trading and the SEC.
Louis James: So, Doug, what’s your take on Raj Rajaratnam’s conviction?
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
Stock Market Sentiment At Extreme Panic Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It was a crazy session as the stock market slid over 2% on heavy volume. This type of price action means fear has taken control of masses and they are unloading (selling their stocks) in anticipation of much lower prices.
Trading off extreme levels of fear can be very rewarding if done right. That’s because fear is the most powerful reaction we as humans have and it’s somewhat predictable. Fear can make people do crazy and or stupid things and it’s these extreme reaction which investors do in the market that lead to great trading opportunities. Buying into fear and selling into greed is what I focus on.
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
ISM...ADP Jobs Blind Side Stock Market.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Jack_Steiman
Manufacturing and jobs. The market has been watching these economic indicators and noticing that they seem to be holding up through the efforts of QE 1 and QE 2 from fed Bernanke. It's not that they have been so good. It's just that they have held up fairly well over the past several months. Today the market got blind sided two times. First, the futures fell from flat to roughly 40 on the Dow when the ADP Jobs Report, the precursor to the big report on Friday, came out and showed a dramatic drop in new job creation. Not good at all. Then the market got slammed.
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Thursday, June 02, 2011
Why U.S. Military Adventures Matter to Investors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
By: David_Galland
David Galland, The Casey Report writes: Recently, I read a book titled The Good Soldiers that also serves as an object lesson in the disconnect between what's going on in Washington D.C. and reality. It was written by David Finkel, a Pulitzer-winning author, and it came to me via a friend who is going through a stage where she feels drawn to books about war, mostly about World War II. Showing flexibility, her interest has expanded to the ongoing conflict in Iraq - the theater of operations that serves as backdrop for The Good Soldiers.
Thursday, June 02, 2011
Corporate Earnings Will Follow The Economy – Down! / Stock-Markets / Corporate Earnings
By: Sy_Harding
There is no credible argument anymore that the U.S. economic recovery is intact and only running into a brief slow patch. And a significantly weaker economy cannot support current earnings forecasts. Those are appalling conditions for an overbought stock market.
Wall Street has yet to begin downgrading its S&P 500 earnings forecasts, and probably won’t begin to any degree until its unavoidable, a couple of weeks before 2nd quarter earnings reports begin coming out.
Tuesday, May 31, 2011
Bullied Stock Markets Make Case for Mid-Cap Growth Stocks / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
By: Money_Morning
Jon D. Markman writes:
The markets may have been bullied a bit recently, but the way things are shaping up makes a solid case for mid-cap growth stocks.
Markets rolled modestly higher on Friday ahead of the Memorial Day weekend as bulls once again shrugged off some bad data points on the economy and focused on some good news. But for the week and month, stocks were down across by the board by as much as 2.5%.
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