Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Stock Market Bulls or Bears? Who Is In Control? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
A current update on last week's analysis of Very Strong stocks versus the Very Weak stocks ....
From last week's posting: What if the number of Very Strong stocks in the market was in a "down trend" while the number of Very Weak stocks in an "up trend" ... what would you say?
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Forecasts for Every Major World Market, Stocks, Commodities, Currencies and Bonds / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
There are just days left for you to download Elliott Wave International’s issue of Global Market Perspective, FREE!
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 07, 2011
China SSEC Stock Market Index Could Double / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
China SSEC Stock Market Index Could Double
Back in December, 2010 we posted a special report on China’s SSEC. OEW suggested this market had some additional sideways/down work to do before it completed Primary wave IV. As you are likely aware, while the rest of the world has been in a bull market China’s equity market has been in a bear. This is not that unusual for this index as it often moves to its own beat.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Baltic Dry Goods Index Stock Market Non Confirmation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In a recent article, Richard Russell made the following fascinating observations:“..Barron's Business Index hit its high in June [1929], which was three months BEFORE the Dow recorded its 1929 record high! After June 1929, Barron's Index headed down. But wait -- the Dow continued higher, recording its record high three months later on September 3, 1929. Following the Dow's September high came the famous 1929 crash, which only two months later took the Dow to a temporary bottom of 198.69 on November 13, 1929.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, June 07, 2011
Stock Market Madness – Are We There Yet? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Another day another $453M!
That's right, there are still 335,695 open 1,000-barrel July contracts on the NYMEX with just 2 weeks left to dump them and the pump crew was foolish enough to run oil back to our $100.60 target, where we were able to jump back in and short it in last night's Member Chat (as the Gekko said: "Money never sleeps!"). This morning we took a stop at $99.25 and now we are patiently waiting for them to pretend they want to pay over $100 for oil again so we can short it again...
Monday, June 06, 2011
Stock Market Bears Now In Total Control..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
You need to recognize a real change when it occurs. Hopefully, all of you can now realize that the market characteristics have changed from bullish to more bearish for the short-term. Once the bears were able to take out 1320/1315, or the critical trend line in play, it has been lights out for the bulls. It took three full attempts by the bears to get the job done, but they did it. They defended resistance over and over and kept pounding away at 1315/1320 and finally got the job done. To that you say it's about time, and it's good for this market. The bears have been bowing down to the bulls for quite some time now. Every time the bulls needed to make a move higher through resistance it seems they got the job done without too much trouble. Day after day and week after week this trend remained in place. The bears unable to put up a fight.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 06, 2011
The Stock Market Fly Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
June 3, 2011. The Dow Jones Industrial Average has just lost over 400 points in the last 3 days. A lot of investors are wondering what has happened. The bulls have started to wonder why the bears have started up their grills. Why did the markets suddenly take a dive? I have the answer. Come close so you can read this information accurately. Closer. Please, come on in real close. Use a magnifying glass if you need to. Ready? Hear it is. It’s a scam!
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 06, 2011
Ignore the Headline Economic Data, The Stock Market Gearing Up for a Major Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Jon D. Markman writes: The stock market swirled lower over the past week as a barge full of U.S. economic data sank in stormy seas.
But don't worry: We may actually be able to ride some of these swells to sizeable profits.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 06, 2011
Stock Market Extreme Fear Points to Higher Prices Around the Corner / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Everyone knows people make mistakes when rushed to do something or if they are scared of something bad happening. We also know fear and greed is what moves the market each month, week, day and tick… So when the majority of investors are selling their shares at the same time you must recognize the psychology behind it and prepare for a low risk trading opportunity in the days that follow.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 06, 2011
The 0.6 Quadrillion Dollar Systemic Risk? Global OTC Derivatives Counterparty Risk / Stock-Markets / Derivatives
Remember the 0.6 quadrillion dollar problem* ATCA flagged a few years ago in regard to counterparty risk? Guess what, it is still there! The $600 trillion global Over-The-Counter (OTC) derivatives market is still broadly unregulated although a number of new rules for privately traded swaps -- the biggest part of that $600,000 billion dollars -- have been proposed by the two US derivatives regulators:
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 06, 2011
Financial Stocks XLF ETF Prevented a Potentially Devastating S&P 500 Trade / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
My most recent analysis regarding the S&P 500 has been proven to be inaccurate as a failed breakout has transpired on the S&P 500 this past week. While there is no such thing as a perfect analyst, I will openly admit that my most recent article proved to be wrong. After I watched as the S&P 500 broke out above the upper channel resistance area I was expecting continuation. What transpired the following day was absolute carnage in the marketplace.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 06, 2011
Stock Market Disconnect, 8.6 Year Cycle Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Very Long-term trend - The continuing strength in the indices is causing me to question whether we are in a secular bear market or two consecutive, cyclical bull/bear cycles. In any case, the very-long-term cycles are down and, if they make their lows when expected, there will be another steep and prolonged decline into 2014-16.
Long-term trend - In March 2009, the SPX began a move which evolved into a bull market. Cycles point to a continuation of this trend for several more months.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, June 06, 2011
Credit Markets Diverging From Equities Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
"Don't criticize what you don't understand, son. You never walked in that man's shoes." - Elvis Presley
In prior posts I discussed how the equity market has become far less forward looking. Rather than being a proactive pricing mechanism it has become a reactionary trading one. In 2001 the equity market peaked nine months before the recession. In 2008 they peaked two months before.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Current Stock Market Pullback is Second Longest in Duration Since March 2009 Bear Bottom / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
This data from the blog VIX and More is a day old, but it highlights an interesting situation. Of the 16 pullbacks since the March 2009 "generational bottom", the current episode is the 2nd longest at 23 days, trailing only the 48 days experienced last April-June as QE1 ended and the flash crash hit. But that said, as of yesterday it was only the 11th most severe with a 4.7% loss on the S&P 500 (obviously a bit higher today). Which is why this has not been an easy pullback even for bears who target the indexes - it's been a long slow grind with a lot of spring back rallies, and a rotation into defensive sectors which has offset the brash selloffs in 'beta'.
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stocks Bear Market is Not Over, Interview with a Value Investor / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Inquiring minds are reading a Guru Focus Interview with Investor Arnold Van Den Berg, a value investor.
Read full article... Read full article...Guru Focus: You seem to believe that there will be high inflation risk in the coming years. What is the best strategy in this inflationary environment?
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Robert Prechter's Stock, Commodity and Financial Markets Forecasts / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2011
Dear Investor,
There are just days left for you to download Elliott Wave International’s issue of Global Market Perspective, FREE!
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stock Market Could Fall 70% / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Albert Edwards predicts the S&P will go back to 400 as a result of his "first deflation, then inflation" thesis.
Meet Albert Edwards, an investment strategist for Societe Generale (or "SocGen" for short).
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stock Market S&P 500 Structure and Momentum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
In this post of May 20, I used weekly Momentum Cycle, OEW aggregate trend, and Market Alignment Index indicators to sum up the state of S&P in 4 words
“Structurally positive, but weak!&
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Stock Market Cycles Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2011
Let’s take a step back and examine the intermediate-term outlook for 2011 based on some observations we made earlier this year.
Earlier we discussed the outlook for 2011 based on an “echo analysis” of the Kress cycles. In January, Ned Davis Research produced a chart which combined the stock market’s 1-year, 4-year and 10-year tendencies. This composite chart suggested that most of this year’s gains will occur in the first half of the year. Our own composite work based on the Kress cycle “echo” phenomenon also suggested that the stock market could make a significant peak in the April-May time frame and that most of the market’s gains would be made in the first half of 2011.
Sunday, June 05, 2011
Basis of the Stocks Bear Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Of late, I have been receiving questions asking how I can justify saying that the advance out of the March 2009 low is a bear market rally. After all, doesn't a rally of some 26 months have to be a bull market? No, it does not and I continue to believe that this is a bear market rally that will ultimately separate Phase I from Phase II of a much longer-term and ongoing secular bear market. I have addressed this topic before, but for some reason these questions are being asked again, so I will address them here again. The explanation that this is a bear market rally within a much longer-term secular bear market lies with the historical bull/bear market relationships, Dow theory phasing and values.
Read full article... Read full article...