Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, August 13, 2009
The Case for Market Timing / Stock-Markets / Forecasts & Technical Analysis
To those of you who say it's impossible to time or forecast the market; to those of you who keep wasting your time reading and watching the clowns positioned as so-called "experts" by the media; I ask you where have their forecasts been?
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Thursday, August 13, 2009
Just Who’s Buying This Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Roughly 30% of US household wealth was destroyed by the collapse in housing and the 2008 Crash. Currently it stands at about $15 trillion, down % from $22 trillion at the 2007 peak. For simplicity’s sake, we’ll call this “assets.”
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Investors Could Make a Fortune in the Hybrid Electric Car Market / Stock-Markets / US Auto's
It’s the single best way to make a fortune investing.
It works in any market too.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Stock Market Still Positive, but Weakening? / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
It is probably not a bad way to describe the market right now ... still positive, but weakening.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Financial Markets Behaviour of 2009 Tracking that of 2009 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
Ok, now I’m starting to get spooked.
Long-time readers know that I’ve frequently commented on the eerie similarities between how the financial markets behaved in 2008 and 2009. However, at this point, things are beginning to border on “conspiracy theorist.”
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Stock Markets at Another Critical Juncture / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
I use the quotations because the markets are always at another one of those "critical" junctures, and I just laugh to myself as I wonder at how critical can "critical" be. But maybe this juncture is more critical than others because after multiple bubbles and tremendous wealth destruction, analysts are once again pounding the table that the "mother of all bull markets" lies ahead, and investors, who have been burned for 10 years running, are being asked to come to the party. Again!
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Brazil One of the Hottest Economies on the Planet for Investors / Stock-Markets / Brazil
Jason Simpkins writes: Brazilians used to joke that their country was the country of the future - and always would be because a new crisis seemed to crop up every time the economy came close to fulfilling its potential.
But given the economy's strong performance following the financial meltdown that crushed economies the world over, it looks like Brazil's time is now.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Massive Mystery Options Play Hints at a Bearish Stock Market End to 2009 / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: With the Standard & Poor's 500 Index up 47% from the lows it reached in March, many investors are feeling intense relief.
But with one or more institutional traders making bets that suggest a bearish end to 2009, the question becomes: How do you read this information and what do you do about it?
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Have The Stock Market Bulls Gone On Holiday / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The bulls have finally gone on holiday as investors deem it prudent to take some risk off the table ahead of the Fed’s pronouncements tonight post 7pm and the retails sales number due Thursday 13.30. Double the expected drop in wholesale inventories and marked weakness in financials were the main culprit with Citibank down after being sued by seven Norwegian local authorities on the back of some alleged mis-selling of derivatives.
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Wednesday, August 12, 2009
Credit Markets Driven by Fundamentals or Too Much Liquidity? / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2009
Deleted.
Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Nasdaq QQQQ Chart Shows Bearish Set-Up / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
The PowerShares QQQ Trust (Nasdaq: QQQQ) has been trading beneath key near-term support at 39.20 this morning, which suggests that the market is consolidating ahead of more weakness rather than digesting its losses ahead of a recovery bounce. While it may be too premature to make the call for more weakness directly ahead, we need to be aware that so far today’s intraday profile is setting up for a bearish afternoon session – in particular, the final two hours of trading.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Government Bailout's Implications for Future Stock Market Trend / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Inquiring minds are reading Cash for Clunkers Is Just a Broken Windshield by Caroline Baum. It's the best trashing to date of the "cash for clunkers" program.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Annual Survey of Investment Asset Peformance for 2009 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
The One-Year Survey - There is an old saying that in the land of the blind, the one-eyed jack is king. Similarly, in the land of little or no yield and plunging asset values, there is something to be said for that which holds its own, as gold did in USAGOLD's Annual Survey of Investments for 2009.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Betting Against Leveraged Stock Market Traders / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By now you should know that one of my favorite aspects of the Rydex data is the amount of assets in the bullish and leveraged funds versus the amount of assets in the leveraged and bearish funds. Not only do we get to see what direction these market timers think the market will go, but we also get to see how much conviction (i.e., leverage) they have in their beliefs. See figure 1 a daily graph of the S&P500 (symbol: $INX) with the Rydex leveraged bulls (green line) versus the leveraged bears (red line) in the lower panel. Typically, we want to bet against the Rydex market timer even though they only represent a small sample of the overall market.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
The Next Phase of the Credit Contraction and Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Although the waiting is the hardest part. The next phase of the credit contraction and next down leg in the bear market is set to begin. Elliott Wave just announced that on a recent day there were only 3% bulls on a daily sentiment index for the US Dollar. Now I don't care what you think about the Dollar or it's ultimate fate, a trader should be interested in taking the other side of that trade!
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
Economic Recovery and China's Economy Creating a $300 Trillion Investment Profit Opportunity / Stock-Markets / Investing 2009
William Patalon III writes: What's the name of the world's best-selling beer?
Hint: It's not Budweiser. And it's not Bud Light.
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Tuesday, August 11, 2009
U.S. Stock Market Remains Strong / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The US Stock bonds has shown remarkable resiliance during the last few days. One could get the feeling that it just does "not want to go down". During the trading days, it has become visible however that the Nasdaq is now somewhat underperforming the S&P. Traditionally, this tends to be a signal that a reversal might be happening soon, as the Nasdaq usually outperforms the S&P during upmoves.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Rally in SPY SDS Short ETF / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
Purely from a pattern perspective, the ProShares UltraShort SPY (NYSE: SDS) pattern off of Friday’s low at 44.35 to this morning’s high at 45.59 exhibits bullish form, which if accurate warns us to expect more upside in the upcoming hours.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
SPX Post Crash Pattern Same as Nikkei, History Repeating / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Just about everybody has heard the truisms ‘history repeats’, and if this is not true ‘history rhymes’, however it’s been my observation that a far as present day stock market participants are concerned, not many take the validity of these statements as seriously as they should. After all, people are people right, even if they were acting in the context of another era, and in this case, other market bubbles. This is the important understanding that many are missing you see, that people are no different in the way they react to extreme market conditions (stress) today than they were during previous post crash episodes, including those that inspired Charles Mackay to pen the timeless Extraordinary Popular Delusions And The Madness Of Crowds all those years ago now.
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Monday, August 10, 2009
Non Farm Payrolls Add to Stock Market Bullish Tone / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
The positive price action on Friday was very much driven by reaction to the July Non-Farm Payrolls report as it was stronger than market expectations and more even more solid than last month (with positive revisions to previous months data), thus leaving the improving trend intact. With Jeffrey Frankel of the NBER reinforcing positive sentiment (he suggested that the recession may have ended in July), US equities responded positively to the news. The S&P 500 rallied to new cyclical highs, led by consumer cyclicals and transport stocks. An upgrade of American Express by Goldman Sachs also helped sentiment.
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