Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, April 14, 2009
Watch Out For the Second Leg of the Stock Market Downturn / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
This week we will look at two shorter essays for this edition of Outside the Box. The first is some thoughtful words by Tom Au on whether or not we have put in a true bottom for the market. I particularly want you to read his thoughts on what earnings will look like going forward, and whether we can get back to the highs in corporate earnings we saw in 2006.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Resilient Stock Market Continues to Act Well / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
By: Harry_Boxer
This resilient market continues to act well. Despite losses in the morning, it came on in the afternoon in a strong 3-wave rally, took out the rally highs and were at the session highs with about 15 minutes to go, but rolled over into the close to end mixed on the day.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 13, 2009
Stock Market Counter Trend Rally Analysis / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Captain_Hook
Giving Up The Ghost Revisited - In the spirit of previous undertakings similarly focused on measuring the general sentiment of investors today, and in borrowing the title of a timely piece we penned last fall, we revisit the theme investors remain reticent about ‘Giving Up The Ghost’ on being bullish about stocks these days. Therein, and largely, they have not changed in their gambling ways, however time has temporarily eroded the bull’s convictions, or at least their pocket books, such that betting practices have been altered, which is allowing for the present counter-trend rally in stocks. As you know, this sentiment change has recently been detected in a decided turn higher in most of the index related open interest put / call ratios we follow, which has proven to be the only reliable measure capable of predicting price altering mood swings.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Overbought Bear Market Rally Expected to Sell off Strongly / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Guy_Lerner
After five weeks of "straight up" price action, the major indices and their ETF proxies are approaching key resistance levels.
Monday, April 13, 2009
Financial Markets Moving On Thin Volumes / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: PaddyPowerTrader
With today being Easter Monday, many markets across the world are closed. However the US is open, as well as the FX markets. The volume will be very thin… and that could lead to…. wild swings! So watch out.
Hi it’s the Galloping Zebu with the Market Watch today as The Mole is on holidays for the week.
Monday, April 13, 2009
A Good Holy Week for the Global Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Global Stock Markets
By: Regent_Markets
Against all expectations, stock markets around the world managed to extend their winning streak and close up for the 5th week in a row. It was a choppy week until Friday when US markets pushed hard to close at their highs of the week.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Stock Market Sentiment Indicator Looking for a Top / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Guy_Lerner
This is now the fourth week in a row where investor sentiment, as measured by the "Dumb Money" indicator, remains neutral. When we couple this with the fact that prices on the major stock indices remain below their 40 week moving averages, there is a high likelihood that the market will rollover in the next several weeks. I have previously discussed these observations in the article, "Investor Sentiment: Some Context".Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 12, 2009
Global Stock Markets Extend Gains on Encouraging Earnings Pre-announcements / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Prieur_du_Plessis
Five in a row! Notwithstanding sentiment for equities waxing and waning for most of the Easter-shortened week, bourses closed strongly on Friday and capped a five-week winning streak - the first since October 2007 for the major MSCI and US stock market indices.
An encouraging pre-announcement of first-quarter results by Wells Fargo (WFC) provided some confidence for the nascent earnings season and gave a healthy boost to the financial sector and overall market.
Sunday, April 12, 2009
VIX Breakdown Forecasts Stocks Bear Panic / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Steven_Vincent
VIX: Decisive breakdown validates near term buying panic hypothesis. A quick reversal above 40 needed to invalidate this view. Given the duration of the chart formation and the MA squeeze this is not likely to be a false move. Targeting 30 to coincide with SPX 1000.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 11, 2009
Should I Believe in this Stock Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Money_Morning
Answers to Your Most Pressing Questions
Good morning! As you might imagine, I'm getting a lot of questions on the markets lately at various conferences around the world so I thought I'd share a few of the most pressing with you this morning:
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Saturday, April 11, 2009
Stock Market, Where Do We Go From Here? / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Valuations
By: Mike_Stathis
A couple of days ago I made a couple of posts elsewhere about the market direction. Basically, what I said (from memory) was that the rally has topped out. At best, this rally could see 8200, but that's it. From here, the market is likely to sell off hard once the horrendous earnings come in. Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 11, 2009
Green Shoots of Stock Market and Economic Recovery? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: John_Mauldin
Is That Recovery We See?
Those Wild and Crazy Analysts
The Shadow Inventory of Homes
Commercial Real Estate Starts a Long, Slow Slide
P/E Ratios Go Negative!
The Effect of Earnings Surprises
Corporate Earnings and Recovery in Recessions
The Implosion in Social Security
The market, we keep hearing and reading, is telling us that there is recovery around the corner. And pundits point to data that seems to suggest the worst is behind us. The leading economic indicators, while still down significantly, seem to be in the process of bottoming. There is a large amount of stimulus in the pipeline. Mark-to-market has been modified. Housing seems to be finding a bottom, if you look at the rise in sales from January. And so on.
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Friday, April 10, 2009
What ETFs Are Up Intermediate-Term? / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: Richard_Shaw
With all the concern about what's surging up and what's spiraling down in the short-term, what ETFs are showing strong intermediate-term trends (based on 200-day moving average)? Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 10, 2009
Stock Market Investor Sentiment Turns Bullish, Technical Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2009
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Another cover-up? The U.S. Federal Reserve has told Goldman Sachs Group Inc., Citigroup Inc. and other banks to keep mum on the results of “stress tests” that will gauge their ability to weather the recession, people familiar with the matter said. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 10, 2009
Fundamental Reasons Why the Stocks Bear Market Will Return / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Money_and_Markets
Sean Brodrick writes: After four weeks of gains, the market has been on a slippery slope this week. Still, we could see stocks rally though the end of this month or even longer. But the bear is out there, my friends. Here are seven reasons why … Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 10, 2009
Stocks Close the Week with a Bang / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices ended the week with a bang in a huge up-session Thursday ahead of the holiday weekend. The day started out with a big gap up as the indices exploded on a better-than-expected earnings pre-announcement from Wells Fargo (WFC) which sent the financial sector surging 15.5%, and which induced buying in the broader market as all three major indices were able to log their best single session percentage gain in two weeks and close at their session highs.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Wells Fargo Lights a Fire Under Stock Market Rally / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
By: Marty_Chenard
This morning, some pit traders were saying, "Not so fast, slow down ... I don't quite trust this yet".
Trust what?
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Thursday, April 09, 2009
Has the Stocks Bear Market Bottomed? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Hans_Wagner
After a long and brutal bear market, investors naturally wonder with each bear market rally whether we have reached a stock market bottom yet. Many analysts do not believe you can tell when the stock market has bottomed. Yet you still see many predictions that the market has bottomed out. Identifying whether we have reached a bottom in the stock market is important to investors who want to beat the market. It is also important to know whether we have reached a bottom in the stock market, so you can reduce your risk of entering to soon. This article provides two methods that you might find useful in identifying when the stock market has bottomed out. Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 09, 2009
Postive Divergence a NON-Confirmation of Secular Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Dow Theory
By: Submissions
Steven Vincent writes: The DJTA did not confirm the DJIA move below 2002 lows.Much has been written about the Dow Theory confirmation of a continuation of a perceived Secular Bear Market. When the Dow Transports Index violated its November '08 lows it is held to have confirmed the INDU's move to new bear market low and thus validated the hypothesis that the markets had entered a Secular Bear Market and that the existing downtrend would continue.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, April 08, 2009
Stock Market Indices Hold Support and Close Higher / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Harry_Boxer
The indices had 5 distinct sharp swings today, but a last-hour rally brought them back from a severe test of support, particularly on the S&P 500 at 815. When that was successful, for the 5th time in 2 days, they rallied back sharply.Read full article... Read full article...