Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Wednesday, October 21, 2015

Find Out What Doug Casey Is Buying Today / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Dan Steinhart

Doug Casey was asked to leave the stage…If you’ve never heard Doug speak, you should. His controversial opinions always rile up the room. This time was no different…

The founder of Casey Research opened our ninth annual Casey Research Summit this weekend in Tucson, Arizona, with a lively talk about “the perversion of words.”

Tuesday, October 20, 2015

Stock Market Déjà vu 2011- Is the Dow Getting Ready to Soar? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Sol_Palha

The paranoiac is the exact image of the ruler. The only difference is their position in the world. One might even think the paranoiac the more impressive of the two because he is sufficient unto himself and cannot be shaken by failure. - Elias Canetti

Feels like 2011 all over again. The Dow is tracing a pattern that bears an uncanny resemblance to the one set in 2011. History could be repeated again; the Dow could be ready to rumble instead of being taken down for the count.  When the markets were plummeting in 2011, many experts were making the same dire predictions, while others were wondering if the bull had bashed its head into a brick wall.  Turns out that the so-called crash was nothing but a hiccup in what turned out to be one of the most massive bull run’s of all time.  Faced with the same paradigm again, the talking heads (many who actually have the impudence to call themselves experts) are marching to the same drumbeat and chanting the same hymn of doom. 

Tuesday, October 20, 2015

More Bad News From China.... Stock Market Yawns.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

China reported their growth numbers yesterday and they were very poor. They were lower than expected, and showed the slowest growth in six years. Not good news again on the economic front, especially since China is such an important importer and exporter of goods. This news gave our market the excuse to sell today, since we are overbought not only on the sixty-minute chart, but on the daily charts as well when we look at stochastic's.

Monday, October 19, 2015

Stocks Open Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX is down -8.00 as I write and appears to be sinking in the Premarket. For those not yet short, a decline beneath Short-term support/resistance at 2004.59 may be appropriate to start layering in positions. Beneath the 50-day Moving Average is a sell confirmed signal, but subject to probable throw-backs.

Monday, October 19, 2015

Stock Market Big Drop Still Looms, GDX Pulling Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last time I wrote, I was expecting a large drop in the stock market. Early on, in my blog, I stated that I believed I was wrong and that the BIG drop would not occur until late October/early November. I stated that the 7 week low could occur as early as October 13/14. I also stated that there was a TLC low due in that time frame. Also, there was the fact that Jupiter was making a trine aspect to Pluto by October 15 and that was potentially bullish, at least in the short term. Also, I was concerned that GLD and GDX were not confirming the recent move up.

Monday, October 19, 2015

Black Monday 1987 Stock Market Crash Real Secrets for Successful Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Nadeem_Walayat

It's been many years since a Monday has fallen on 19th October, the most notorious occurrence of which was in 1987, Black Monday, which is why October tends to be the month that stock market bulls fear, whilst encouraging the crash is always coming crowd to become their most vocal. In fact regardless of what the stock market has actually done to date, the perma bears can literally be seen jumping up and down like demented rabbits, proclaiming that the stock market end is once more nigh, pointing to 7 harbingers of the apocalypse that will bring about stock market armageddon. So, yes October tends to be an unusually irrational month for where stock market expectations are concerned, this despite the fact that EVERY stock market crash in the general indices such as the Dow, S&P and FTSE have yielded buying opportunities. In fact the Dow recovered about 60% of the 1987 Black Monday Crash in the subsequent 2 trading days!

Sunday, October 18, 2015

Stock Market Approaching The “Extreme” Projection (Negative Divergences) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?

Intermediate trend – SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses longer market trends.

Sunday, October 18, 2015

UK Stocks FTSE Poised for Bounce / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market

By: Richard_Cox

For most of this year, investors have been fixated on the monthly performances seen in the S&P 500.  There is good reason for this, as most of the market is still trying to assess whether or not the index can maintain its record levels into the end of 2015.  So it is not surprising to see ETFs like the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSE: SPY) getting as much attention as it has.  But when we take a step back and look for alternative trends in other areas of the market, some interesting opportunities start to become clear. 

Sunday, October 18, 2015

Stock Market Lots of Downside Ahead, Major Tops and Bottoms Analysis Since 1950 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Submissions

With the recent melt down in global markets, it would be prudent to look back at historical data on the US market to see where we stand. To do this I look at major tops and bottoms in the S & P 500 obtained from weekly historical data from Yahoo Finance since 1950. The first table below shows major tops and bottoms in the S and P 500 relative to the average and standard deviation:

Sunday, October 18, 2015

The Bulls*#* Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

Everybody these days is a liar and a thief. We all know about US and China propaganda. Now, look at the Germans. Car maker Volkswagen was caught cheating the emissions standards in their diesel vehicles. Their biggest bank, Deutsche Bank, was again fined for cheating and stealing as they rigged libor rates. Last quarter they were fined some $2.5 billion and now they are facing an additional fine of $6 billion. Seems they were also laundering money for the Russian gangster land. Of course, there is no problem. In today’s world run by the new world order of banksters, if the bank can’t pay the fines the central banksters of Europe will just steal the money from the ignorant sheeple and give it to the bank. How do you say ‘liar’ in German? Is it ‘lugner’? 

Saturday, October 17, 2015

Are Stock Markets About to Repeat the 1929 Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Graham_Summers

In the early 2000s, Alan Greenspan was worried about deflation. So he hired Ben Bernanke, the self-proclaimed expert on the Great Depression from Princeton. The idea was that with Bernanke as his right hand man, Greenspan could put off deflation from hitting the US. Indeed, one of Bernanke’s first speeches was titled “Deflation: Making Sure It Doesn’t Happen Here”

The US did briefly experience a bout of deflation from late 2007 to early 2009. To combat this, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke unleashed an unprecedented amount of Fed money. Remember, Bernanke claims to be an expert on the Great Depression, and his entire focus was to insure that the US didn’t repeat the era of the ‘30s again.

Saturday, October 17, 2015

Stock Market Primary V Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The market started the week at SPX 2015. After a rally to SPX 2022 on Tuesday the market pulled back to 1991 by Wednesday. After that, helped by two gap openings, the market rallied Thursday/Friday to post new uptrend highs at SPX 2034. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.85%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%, and the DJ World gained 0.50%. On the economic front reports continue to be mixed to negative. On the uptick: retail sales, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the CPI/PPI, NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the WLEI and GDPn. Next week lots of Housing reports, Leading indicators, and the ECB meets.

Saturday, October 17, 2015

Stock Market At The Breakout On The S&P 500... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

We need a strong push up next week to clear with force, but here we sit right at the 2030 breakout on the S&P 500. It seemed as if we'd never back test this far up where the two-hundred day exponential moving average lives. Bull market normally don't die easily. I expected this type of move over time, although we haven't cleared yet, thus shouldn't think about testing back up to the old highs. Let's not put the cart in front of the horse. We need to clear powerfully, and then the odds would increase dramatically that we'd pay a visit towards S&P 500 2134 or those old highs. The bulls are trying although some of the daily charts are seeing their stochastic's get overbought, but not the MACD's or RSI's so there's hope.

Friday, October 16, 2015

Walmart’s Ominous Stock Market Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

Companies like Walmart and McDonalds’s have made their investors rich by squeezing costs and cutting prices. But it turns out that low-cost means low-wage, and as this model spread it contributed to the now-impossible-to-ignore migration of income and wealth from workers to owners of the capital and symbol manipulation skills that such a system demands.

Friday, October 16, 2015

Stock Markets Rolling Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX appears to have turned precisely at 9:34 am, 86 market hours after it reversed from its low on September 29. There was a combined PC/TC low due on October 1, so the bottom was 2 days early. It is possible that the perception that SPX could not make a new low that drove the buyers back into the market at the end of September. Once it took hold, the market took off.

Sunday is scheduled as a Primary Cycle high, so the turn is expected. Despite the aggressive nature of the call, you may wish to go 50% to as much as 100% short at this juncture. The market may linger her for the rest of this morning, but I don’t think that the retail options will do as well as the Index option fared this morning.

Friday, October 16, 2015

The Most Important Thing in the World / Stock-Markets / Taxes

By: John_Mauldin

By Jared Dillian

As I write this, I am watching the Mets play the Dodgers and not watching the Democratic debate. I can catch the highlights on Twitter. I am half expecting someone to propose a tax rate of over 100%.

Something I’m sure will be suggested at some point is a financial transactions tax, a tiny tax placed on every single financial transaction: stocks, bonds, and derivatives.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

Stock Market Bearish Topping Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Another Orthodox Broadening Top appears to be forming. Whether it makes a new high or not, it appears to be valid and has a potential target of 1532.00.

A reversal here that has not formed a new high has a 65% probability of follow through to the downside as it reverses from the top. Those are fair odds for a short position, although I would still call it an aggressive one. The odds of failure of this formation drop to 4% beneath the lower trendline at 1985.32. That corresponds to the 50-day Moving Average, where the sell signal in SPX would be confirmed.

Thursday, October 15, 2015

The Third Wave of the Global Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015

By: Michael_J_Kosares

Massive artificial stock, bond wealth will be looking for a place to go. By the time Goldman Sachs published its widely referenced warning of a third wave in the global financial crisis (mid October), the physical precious metals' markets were already feeling the strain of very strong demand against a rapidly dwindling supply. China, the country seemingly at the epicenter of the developing emerging market crisis, by itself had taken 911 tonnes of gold off the market in the first half of 2015 – a number when annualized that represents nearly two-thirds of the world's mine production. India, another of the so-called BRICS nations (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) was a strong second at 400-500 tonnes. In the Occident, gold demand was strong, but silver demand was even stronger. Global mints were reporting off-the-charts demand for silver bullion coins. Coin premiums were on the rise in extremis at one point reaching almost $6 per ounce on the popular silver American Eagle.

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

Stock Market Aggressive Sell Signals in Place / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

SPX has finally reversed beneath its trendline. This morning was a false break, due to a small Megaphone formation that resulted in a new high. It is now on an aggressive sell signal.

I re-calibrated the Primary Cycle Pivot dates and, although there was a PC Pivot on 10-6, the turn was made today, 4.3 market days later. In fact, the Cycle Top happened on a PI Hour (67.5, which is divisible by 3.1416 and 4.3). This would be expected from a rally that has a Megaphone ending and a Wave (B). Wave B of any degree may be a rogue wave in outliving its expectations. Investors are still bullish, despite only exceeding Wave (A) by only 1.52 points. In Elliott Wave parlance, this is a flat correction, due to the flat top.

Wednesday, October 14, 2015

1987 Stock Market Crash - The Day the Dow Puked / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Ed_Carlson

Readers who have received a copy of this month's Lindsay Report are aware of the Hybrid Lindsay forecast for a high on Oct 19 (a high, not the next high). The "high" on that date may be the end of a short uptrend or it may be the end of a consolidation that precedes a sharp drop in equities.