Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, October 22, 2015
It’s Not Time to Sell the German DAX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
He who trims himself to suit everyone will soon whittle himself away. -
Raymond HullAgain, the talking heads are claiming that there is a pattern that overtly implies that the Dow tends to follow the DAX. When the markets were free or had some elements of freedom in them, one could give some credence to these patterns, but today where fraud and manipulation are the order of the day....... Such patterns have to be taken with a jar of salt. By maintaining an ultra-low interest environment for an unusually lengthy period of time, the Fed has fostered an environment that rewards speculators and destroys savers. Nothing could be more insane, but this is the predicament most people find themselves facing today.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
Notes from the Asylum / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
By Jared Dillian
First, a shameless plug. Please follow me on Twitter.
Now on to today’s topic. You probably heard that Dreamy McDreamerson is the new Canadian prime minister, opening a can of Canadian whoop-ass on Harper. Here is the crux of it.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
SPX is Higher, But May Not Survive the Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket is higher in a minute-retracement at 8:45, but may not survive until the open. Caterpillar shares tumbled as its revenues plunge 19%. There is a blitz of earnings reports today and it is difficult to say how it may close.
Will bad news finally be bad news?
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
Stocks Bullish but Bond Bull Market is Over / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
I generally send out two letters a week. The letter that arrives in your inbox over the weekend is Thoughts from the Frontline and is written by me. The second letter, which is called Outside the Box, generally comes in the middle of the week and is an article or essay written by someone else that I think merits your time. Quite often I disagree with the sentiment or analysis being expressed, but I find the writer makes me think about alternatives to my personally favored presuppositions. It is always good to listen to the other side of the story, especially when we are talking economics and finance and our investment portfolios!
Thursday, October 22, 2015
Stock Market Diagonal Trendline is Broken / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX appears to have not only broken its Ending Diagonal trendline, but also the horizontal supports, as well. Yesterday’s high at 10:45 at 2039.12 appears to be the Primary Cycle high.
We appear to be headed for a high probability low on Oct 30. It may stretch into the following week, but indications are ideal for a low next Friday, with the probability of Congress and the Senate agreeing to kick the can that weekend.
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Thursday, October 22, 2015
4900 Nasdaq...2030 to 2050 S&P 500...Battle Zones For Both Sides / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The battle zone levels have been established. The Nasdaq at 4900 or the midpoint of the double top and 2030 to 2050 on the S&P 500 or the two-hundred day, exponential moving average and downtrend line. Getting over the last moving average is key for without it we cannot test that key, downtrend line. So for the short-term we focus on 2030 on the S&P 500. When markets get close to major breakout or breakdown levels, you see it get a bit more volatile as each side is trying harder to get what they want or need.
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Wednesday, October 21, 2015
Find Out What Doug Casey Is Buying Today / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Casey_Research
By Dan Steinhart
Doug Casey was asked to leave the stage…If you’ve never heard Doug speak, you should. His controversial opinions always rile up the room. This time was no different…
The founder of Casey Research opened our ninth annual Casey Research Summit this weekend in Tucson, Arizona, with a lively talk about “the perversion of words.”
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Tuesday, October 20, 2015
Stock Market Déjà vu 2011- Is the Dow Getting Ready to Soar? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Sol_Palha
The paranoiac is the exact image of the ruler. The only difference is their position in the world. One might even think the paranoiac the more impressive of the two because he is sufficient unto himself and cannot be shaken by failure. -
Elias Canetti
Feels like 2011 all over again. The Dow is tracing a pattern that bears an uncanny resemblance to the one set in 2011. History could be repeated again; the Dow could be ready to rumble instead of being taken down for the count. When the markets were plummeting in 2011, many experts were making the same dire predictions, while others were wondering if the bull had bashed its head into a brick wall. Turns out that the so-called crash was nothing but a hiccup in what turned out to be one of the most massive bull run’s of all time. Faced with the same paradigm again, the talking heads (many who actually have the impudence to call themselves experts) are marching to the same drumbeat and chanting the same hymn of doom.
Tuesday, October 20, 2015
More Bad News From China.... Stock Market Yawns.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
China reported their growth numbers yesterday and they were very poor. They were lower than expected, and showed the slowest growth in six years. Not good news again on the economic front, especially since China is such an important importer and exporter of goods. This news gave our market the excuse to sell today, since we are overbought not only on the sixty-minute chart, but on the daily charts as well when we look at stochastic's.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Stocks Open Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
SPX is down -8.00 as I write and appears to be sinking in the Premarket. For those not yet short, a decline beneath Short-term support/resistance at 2004.59 may be appropriate to start layering in positions. Beneath the 50-day Moving Average is a sell confirmed signal, but subject to probable throw-backs.
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Monday, October 19, 2015
Stock Market Big Drop Still Looms, GDX Pulling Back / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last time I wrote, I was expecting a large drop in the stock market. Early on, in my blog, I stated that I believed I was wrong and that the BIG drop would not occur until late October/early November. I stated that the 7 week low could occur as early as October 13/14. I also stated that there was a TLC low due in that time frame. Also, there was the fact that Jupiter was making a trine aspect to Pluto by October 15 and that was potentially bullish, at least in the short term. Also, I was concerned that GLD and GDX were not confirming the recent move up.
Monday, October 19, 2015
Black Monday 1987 Stock Market Crash Real Secrets for Successful Trading / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Nadeem_Walayat
It's been many years since a Monday has fallen on 19th October, the most notorious occurrence of which was in 1987, Black Monday, which is why October tends to be the month that stock market bulls fear, whilst encouraging the crash is always coming crowd to become their most vocal. In fact regardless of what the stock market has actually done to date, the perma bears can literally be seen jumping up and down like demented rabbits, proclaiming that the stock market end is once more nigh, pointing to 7 harbingers of the apocalypse that will bring about stock market armageddon. So, yes October tends to be an unusually irrational month for where stock market expectations are concerned, this despite the fact that EVERY stock market crash in the general indices such as the Dow, S&P and FTSE have yielded buying opportunities. In fact the Dow recovered about 60% of the 1987 Black Monday Crash in the subsequent 2 trading days!
Sunday, October 18, 2015
Stock Market Approaching The “Extreme” Projection (Negative Divergences) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend – SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses longer market trends.
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Sunday, October 18, 2015
UK Stocks FTSE Poised for Bounce / Stock-Markets / UK Stock Market
By: Richard_Cox
For most of this year, investors have been fixated on the monthly performances seen in the S&P 500. There is good reason for this, as most of the market is still trying to assess whether or not the index can maintain its record levels into the end of 2015. So it is not surprising to see ETFs like the SPDR S&P 500 Trust ETF (NYSE: SPY) getting as much attention as it has. But when we take a step back and look for alternative trends in other areas of the market, some interesting opportunities start to become clear.
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Sunday, October 18, 2015
Stock Market Lots of Downside Ahead, Major Tops and Bottoms Analysis Since 1950 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Submissions
With the recent melt down in global markets, it would be prudent to look back at historical data on the US market to see where we stand. To do this I look at major tops and bottoms in the S & P 500 obtained from weekly historical data from Yahoo Finance since 1950. The first table below shows major tops and bottoms in the S and P 500 relative to the average and standard deviation:
Sunday, October 18, 2015
The Bulls*#* Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Barry_M_Ferguson
Everybody these days is a liar and a thief. We all know about US and China propaganda. Now, look at the Germans. Car maker Volkswagen was caught cheating the emissions standards in their diesel vehicles. Their biggest bank, Deutsche Bank, was again fined for cheating and stealing as they rigged libor rates. Last quarter they were fined some $2.5 billion and now they are facing an additional fine of $6 billion. Seems they were also laundering money for the Russian gangster land. Of course, there is no problem. In today’s world run by the new world order of banksters, if the bank can’t pay the fines the central banksters of Europe will just steal the money from the ignorant sheeple and give it to the bank. How do you say ‘liar’ in German? Is it ‘lugner’?
Saturday, October 17, 2015
Are Stock Markets About to Repeat the 1929 Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Graham_Summers
In the early 2000s, Alan Greenspan was worried about deflation. So he hired Ben Bernanke, the self-proclaimed expert on the Great Depression from Princeton. The idea was that with Bernanke as his right hand man, Greenspan could put off deflation from hitting the US. Indeed, one of Bernanke’s first speeches was titled “Deflation: Making Sure It Doesn’t Happen Here”
The US did briefly experience a bout of deflation from late 2007 to early 2009. To combat this, Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke unleashed an unprecedented amount of Fed money. Remember, Bernanke claims to be an expert on the Great Depression, and his entire focus was to insure that the US didn’t repeat the era of the ‘30s again.
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Saturday, October 17, 2015
Stock Market Primary V Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2015. After a rally to SPX 2022 on Tuesday the market pulled back to 1991 by Wednesday. After that, helped by two gap openings, the market rallied Thursday/Friday to post new uptrend highs at SPX 2034. For the week the SPX/DOW gained 0.85%, the NDX/NAZ gained 1.40%, and the DJ World gained 0.50%. On the economic front reports continue to be mixed to negative. On the uptick: retail sales, consumer sentiment, plus weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: the CPI/PPI, NY/Philly FED, industrial production, capacity utilization, the WLEI and GDPn. Next week lots of Housing reports, Leading indicators, and the ECB meets.
Saturday, October 17, 2015
Stock Market At The Breakout On The S&P 500... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
We need a strong push up next week to clear with force, but here we sit right at the 2030 breakout on the S&P 500. It seemed as if we'd never back test this far up where the two-hundred day exponential moving average lives. Bull market normally don't die easily. I expected this type of move over time, although we haven't cleared yet, thus shouldn't think about testing back up to the old highs. Let's not put the cart in front of the horse. We need to clear powerfully, and then the odds would increase dramatically that we'd pay a visit towards S&P 500 2134 or those old highs. The bulls are trying although some of the daily charts are seeing their stochastic's get overbought, but not the MACD's or RSI's so there's hope.
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Friday, October 16, 2015
Walmart’s Ominous Stock Market Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
Companies like Walmart and McDonalds’s have made their investors rich by squeezing costs and cutting prices. But it turns out that low-cost means low-wage, and as this model spread it contributed to the now-impossible-to-ignore migration of income and wealth from workers to owners of the capital and symbol manipulation skills that such a system demands.
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