Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, October 09, 2015
Contrarian Investing - Being the 10th Man / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: John_Mauldin
By Jared Dillian
I was going to give you this big macro rundown of what happened since the payroll number, but I changed my mind. Anybody can give you the play-by-play. Let’s talk about it in the context of true contrarian investing.
Being contrarian doesn’t just mean doing the opposite of what everyone else is doing. It means doing what is really unpopular and may make you subject to ridicule.
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Global Players at the Financial Poker Table / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
From the movie “Rounders” regarding poker:
“If you can’t spot the sucker in the first half hour at the table, then you are the sucker.”
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Stock Market Waiting for the Turn / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The SPX Premarket is higher this morning. This appears to be the final phase of the rally, which may be gunning for the hourly Cycle Top at 2022.41.
ZeroHedge comments, “Several days ago, we pointed out a startling fact: short interest in the NYSE had risen to match the record level seen just before the collapse of Lehman!
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Financial Markets Calm Before the Storm? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Puru_Saxena
BIG PICTURE - Global business activity is slowing down and the majority of the developing nations are experiencing severe economic problems. Over in the developed world, Japan is contracting again, Euro zone is barely growing and even America's leading economic indicators are suggesting trouble ahead. Elsewhere, the CRB Index is trading at a 13-year low and this implosion in the prices of commodities is suggesting that all is not well with the global economy.
The crux of the matter is that the world is severely over-indebted (debt to GDP ratio of 286%, Figure 1) and without fiscal measures, viable reforms and debt restructuring, we will probably remain stuck in this low growth environment for years. Unfortunately, you cannot solve a problem of too much debt by encouraging even more borrowing; yet policymakers are trying to fix this mess by lowering interest rates and injecting liquidity.
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Stock Market History Calling, Says Performance will be Crappy for Another ~10 years! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
I remember the first time I walked into Henry Blodget’s new startup, Business Insider, back in 2009. Twelve fresh-faced kids were crammed into a room about the size of my bedroom, pounding away on laptops, creating a new destination website. He took me over to a corner; we sat down in front of a few cameras; and he began shooting question after question at me, later turning the session into a series of interviews.
You walk into his office today and it’s still packed wall-to-wall with fresh-faced kids (the older I get the younger they look), but the offices are much larger, and it seemed to me last time that there had to be at least 150 people in them. But the interviews are still quick-paced, even if they’re now conducted in a special room, with upgraded equipment.
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Friday, October 09, 2015
Cycle Top Met in the SPX / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The final surge in SPX hit Cycle Top resistance at 2013.51 where it appears to be repelled. A cross beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 1994.49 puts SPX back on a confirmed sell signal.
SPX has a new bearish profile with an Orthodox Broadening Top formation. A final peak that is lower than the second peak of the formation elevates the probability of a negative outcome to over 80%. Once SPX declines beneath the lower trendline the chances of meeting its proposed target is elevated to as high as 96%.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
FOMC Minutes Fireworks / Stock-Markets / US Federal Reserve Bank
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has risen back to the 50-da Moving Average for the 5th time. I don’t like this action, but it seems that the market is waiting for the release of the FOMC Minutes at 2:00 pm.
Reuters reports, “U.S. stocks fell on Thursday as investors await the minutes of the Federal Reserve's September meeting to get an insight into the central bank's decision to keep interest rates steady.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
How to Profit from the Coming Stocks Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: MM
MoneyMorning.com By Shah Gilani, Everyone loves a bull market, and it seems that almost everyone fears a bear market.
Not me… I love them both.
In fact, I especially love it when stocks, or bonds, or commodities, or just about any asset class, goes down.
That's because I make what I call "easy money" (and a lot of it) by flipping the securities I trade and invest in when markets head south.
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
US Stocks: The [Trend]Line Between Bull and Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Our FREE report shows you just how invaluable trendlines are for anticipating major reversals
Last weekend, I went on a road trip with a friend and her two young sons. The second we left the driveway, the older boy placed a rubber pool noodle in between him and his brother and established the most important ground rule of all sibling driving trips:
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Thursday, October 08, 2015
Stock Market Pessimism Still Very High.....Bulls Enjoying The Negativity Off The Lows... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
When markets get overly optimistic, meaning too many bulls, they have a tendency to struggle, even if it takes a while before they go down appreciably. See how the market did nothing most of last year except to move laterally. Then we had the strong and powerful move lower that took the S&P 500 down 14%. Now we're dealing with the opposite effect. The bull-bears spread now at minus 4.2%, which is off last week's minus 10% reading, but still below 0, which is very good news for the bulls. The Rydex bear fund is also at three-year highs, which shows you the bears are still quite aggressive, which is a negative for them, of course. The market has shown a few gap ups here over the past couple of days, and may now be headed for a lateral bull-flag type of set up.
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Wednesday, October 07, 2015
Stock Market VERY IMPORTANT Turn Date / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
It appears that I was closer to the truth than I had imagined when I said that yesterday’s (today’s) Pivot was more important than that on September 17. The Elliott Wave pattern shows today’s Intermediate Wave (B) as the orthodox retracement top, but not the high in the corrective formation. This is an irregular pattern and gives the message that SPX may be ready for a larger decline than previously imagined.
Wednesday, October 07, 2015
Is Another Historic Stock Market Collapse Just Around the Corner? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
This morning’s Premarket shows SPX challenging yesterday’s high. With corporate quarterly earnings reports beginning en masse before the open, there is no telling if SPX opens higher or not.
ZeroHedge reports that the first four out of four earnings reports have been disappointing.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Stock Market Turn Appears to Have Been Made / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX peaked at 10:00, as suggested this morning. I had suggested that last Thursday might be the peak, due to an indication of a Primary Pivot there. However, it was not in the dominant Cycle. Today was day 43 of the dominant Cycle, that is, the one beginning on August 24.
One of the reasons for much of the confusion up to the July 20 high was the lack of dominant Cycles. That is why I had emphasized the July 7 low as being a probable flash crash, which it wasn’t, because it originated on October 15, 2014. Now that we are getting sorted out, it may be easier to follow the next series of declines and rallies.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
SPX Finishing its Retracement this Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX Premarket has eased down, but not impulsively. This suggests another probe higher at the open. The estimated target may be between 2000.00 and 2004.00.
ZeroHedge reports, “The best headline to summarize what happened in the early part of the overnight session was the following from Bloomberg: "Asian stocks extend global rally on stimulus bets."
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Stock Market European Surprise.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
One thing I've learned through the years is to expect the unexpected. The global-economic reports have been poor, and have been getting worse as time moves along. It doesn't matter what part of the globe we're speaking about, the news just keeps getting worse. Based on that reality, we've seen our markets struggle for quite some time now. Fundamentals are rising above fear. When you think about how intense fear is, it's pretty amazing that the bears can still win with poor fundamentals. That said, the unexpected good news hit out of nowhere, which is how it always occurs. The Euro Zone had their retail-sales report, and it came in better than expected, not only month over month, but year over year. The Euro Zone saw all of their markets rise on that news, and, in some cases, explosively so. There are so many shorts out there that it wouldn't take too much to get a decent rally.
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Tuesday, October 06, 2015
Stocks Bear Market Apocalypse Imminent Crash Gets Nuked Again / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The last 2 months have been increasingly witnessing ever louder market calls for the beginnings of a new stocks bear market and this not just from the usual suspects, the perma bears who call every correction of the past 6+ years as marking the start of a bear market. Lately an increasing number of those who had managed to remain 'mostly' bullish in the face of a relentless stocks bull market have been increasingly coming out pronouncements of stocks now being in a bear market .
Monday, October 05, 2015
Macrocosm Revisited / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
Here again is our representation of what a positive macro environment would look like for a bullish gold and gold mining stance. We created this theme in July for NFTRH 353.
This view comes off as repugnant to much of the gold “community”, but I cannot stress strongly enough how important it is to tune out the fairy stories about missing COMEX gold (and silver), love-inspired demand from China and India, ‘rising US employment drives interest rates, incentivizes banks to lend and creates inflation, driving people into gold and gold stocks’ or any other angle out there that does not focus on declining confidence in policy making and its ability to control economies and financial markets. Every single one of these supposed fundamentals have already been proven wrong.
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Monday, October 05, 2015
Positive Stock Market Expectations Following Last Week's Rebound / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, speculative long positions are favored (with stop-loss at 1,900, and profit target at 2,020, S&P 500 index)
Our intraday outlook is bullish, and our short-term outlook is bullish:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): bullish
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): bullish
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, October 05, 2015
Stock Market Correction Still in Force / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, October 04, 2015
More Selling for Stock Market, Gold? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Last week, I was looking for a counter trend rally and we finally got it starting September 30. The stock market formed an irregular bottom on September 29 no doubt due to Mars square Saturn on September 25th and the super-moon lunar eclipse of September 27th. On Friday, October 2nd the moon was in Gemini, which is ruled by Mercury, which is currently retrograde (think Bermuda Triangle). The employment report was negative, which caused gold and silver to skyrocket and stocks to plummet (subscribers were alerted the day before of a possible move of GDX to the 14.40-14.50 zone for Friday). When stocks sold off Friday morning, it caused a positive divergence in the momentum indicators (the trend was up) and the SPX went from a 30 point deficit to plus 27 points by day’s end. Read full article... Read full article...