Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Wednesday, September 30, 2015
What Could Reverse The Global Stock and Commodity Markets Decline? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
Falling stock and commodity prices around the world are underscoring a change of fortunes for the global economy. As the shockwaves from Europe, China and the developing markets spreads, there is a growing sense among investors that the U.S. might be the next casualty of the global slowdown.
Economists have already begun questioning what, if anything, the Federal Reserve might be able to do to stem the financial market selling pressure. Weakness has been broad-based and is visible in stocks, commodities as well as high-yield corporate bonds. Since the first bear market of the new millennium, the Fed has played an outsized role as a stimulator of equity markets and the economy.
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Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Are the Central Banks Attempting to Dam the Stock Market Waterfall? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The bounce to the hourly Cycle Bottom was spot-on. It remains to be seen whether there may be yet another bounce (Micro Wave c) to a higher position. I think not, but reserve the right to be wrong.
Today s day 8 of the decline from the Wave (B) peak. Unless there is some catalyst to speed things up, we may not see the decline end in 8.6 days (mid-day tomorrow). The next potential interval for a flash crash is 10.75 days, which would potentially give us a low on Friday (early afternoon).
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Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Stock Market It’s All Downhill From Here… / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Ed_Carlson
…well, down anyway. An emissions scandal at VW (the world’s largest auto maker), the announcement from Caterpillar that it is laying off 10,000 workers, a 5,000% price increase in a 62-year-old drug, the resignation of the US Speaker of the House, and Janet Yellen reaffirming a rate hike before the end of the year… what’s not to be bullish about?!
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Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Stocks: Why Following the Crowd is Usually a Big Mistake / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Millionaires show poor market timing
We've seen it time and again: The investment crowd often hops aboard a financial trend just as it's about to end.
Government itself is actually a case in point. Here's what the August 2007 Elliott Wave Financial Forecast said:
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Tuesday, September 29, 2015
This Stocks Bear is Just Waking from Hibernation / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: James_Quinn
“Every man has a right to his own opinion, but no man has a right to be wrong in his facts” ― Bernard M. Baruch
“The main purpose of the stock market is to make fools of as many men as possible.” ― Bernard M. Baruch
As the market drops 200 to 300 points daily on a fairly frequent basis these days, and has now dropped 13% in the last four months, John Hussman’s valuation analysis based upon historical facts is proving to be accurate. He’s not an “I told you so” type of person, but I am. The MSM stories follow the same old storyline – this is just a correction, time to buy the dip, stocks are undervalued, the Fed won’t let the market fall. We’ve been here before, twice in the last fifteen years. Wall Street and their media mouthpieces attempted to spread misinformation about the nature of the markets in 2000 and 2007, as epic bear markets were just getting underway. John Hussman cut through their crap then and he is cutting through it now.
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Tuesday, September 29, 2015
If Stocks Can't Hold These Levels, We'll Have a Bear Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: With no real positives to boost markets, important support levels had better hold… or it's over.
The lines I'm about to show you have to hold, or we'll test the Aug. 24, 2015, lows.
And if those lows don't hold, well, say hello to Mr. Big Bad Bear Market.
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Tuesday, September 29, 2015
Stock Market Flushing Lower... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
The market futures were down early in the evening on Sunday, only to recover nicely by the morning. It seemed as though the market was about to dodge another nasty move lower, but that wasn't the case at all as the futures dove, once again, before the market opened, cresting a decent gap lower by a little over a ten handle on the S&P 500. That was the good news for the bulls. The market slowly, but very gradually, began to weaken after the usual few attempts higher by the retail bulls.
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Monday, September 28, 2015
SPX Triggers a Amall Head & Shoulders Formation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has crossed the neckline of a Head & Shoulders formation and crossed beneath the September 1 low at 1903.07. This move greatly reduces the probability of a sideways or higher consolidation through the end of the month. Lower quarterly statements also imply further selling into the month of October, as investors receive their statements and pull the trigger.
Although the very early part of the window for a potential Master Cycle low begins October 1, day 258 arrives on October 19.
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Monday, September 28, 2015
Stock Market Week Begins On A Scary Note / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
The US markets awoke to news of several big, disturbing overseas events:
Glencore implodes. Think of Swiss commodities giant Glencore as a modern version of Enron, in the sense that it owns physical assets like mines and oil wells around the world and runs perhaps the biggest commodities derivatives trading desk. And — also like Enron — it’s apparently unprepared for extreme commodity price volatility. This morning its stock price plunged even further and its credit default swaps — the cost of insuring payment on its its bonds — blew out to record levels.
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Monday, September 28, 2015
Stock Market Bubble Balloons in Search of Needles / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
I love waterfalls. I’ve seen some of the world’s best, and they always have an impact. The big ones leave me awestruck at nature’s power. It was about 20 years ago that I did a boat trip on the upper Zambezi, ending at Victoria Falls. Such a placid river, full of game and hippopotamuses (and the occasional croc); and then you begin to hear the roar of the falls from miles away. Unbelievably majestic. From there the Zambezi River turns into a whitewater rafting dream, offering numerous class 5 thrills. Of course, you wouldn’t want to run them without a serious professional at the helm. When you’re looking at an 8-foot-high wall of water in front of you that you are going to have to go up (because it’s in the way); well, let’s just say it’s a rush.
Monday, September 28, 2015
Stock Market Negative Expectations Once Again - Will It Break Down? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, September 28, 2015
Whole Lotta Stocks Bear Markets Goin' On / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
The Dow and S&P 500 have fallen by around 10% since August, which in normal times would be hardly worth mentioning. But below the surface, in what used to be the market's hottest sectors, much more serious damage is taking place.
Biotech, which had an epic bull market during the era of QE and the Affordable Care Act, had begun to crater even before Hillary Clinton proposed price controls for pharmaceuticals. Last week it went straight down.
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Monday, September 28, 2015
Stock Market Testing Important Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
Markets Gone Mad / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Mike_Whitney
Imagine your doctor put you on a daily dose of oxycontin, phenobarbital and Quaaludes for six years straight. Then he suddenly cancelled your prescription.
Do you think your behavior might become a bit erratic?
This is what’s going on with the stock market. It’s trying to shake off six years of overmedication brought on by the Fed’s zero rates and liquidity injections.
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
Fed Custodial Gold Continues to Decline in the Post-Bretton Woods II Monetary Interregnum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
The avalanche of gold that fled the Second World War is going home.
This is a return to a more 'normal' currency regime, and a move towards monetary autonomy in the aftermath of the of Bretton Woods era.
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
Why I'm Thrilled Stocks Are Crashing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dan Ferris writes: I'm praying for another couple of months like August in the stock market.
Sunday, September 27, 2015
Why Stock Investors Should Be Praying for a Interest Rate Hike / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Investment_U
Bob Creed writes: A little over a week ago, the Fed announced it wasn’t raising rates. Our next chance of a hike is October... more likely, December.
Perhaps you breathed a sigh of relief when you heard the news. But we ask... Would an increase be so awful?
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
Stock Market Going Down, Gold Chop Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
Two weeks ago, I warned that September 17th would be a critical date: the perfect storm coming together with Mercury going retrograde and Jupiter opposing Neptune on the date that the FED announces its intents regarding interest rates. I also warned that gold stocks would take a dip into September 22/23.The stock market as measured by the S&P 500 made its low on Sept 24 falling over 111 points in one week (down over 5%) and gold stocks made their low on September 23 (down over 10%). Now we have Pluto going direct while the super moon eclipses on September 27. The set up is there for a huge rally in stocks on September 28 (to knock out the shorts) followed by a sharp drop into October 5th (especially after September 29/30). Gold stocks should rally into September 30 and then fall hard to new lows into October 5/6.
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
A Look At The Dow Jones Industrial Average - Hauntingly Familiar / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Joseph_Russo
Just as it did exactly 4-months following its print high in October of 2007, the Dow (within the few trading days remaining in September) is once again on path to breach its cyclical uptrend from a previous bear market low. Although the outcome may be better or worse this time around, the pattern unfolding is nonetheless hauntingly familiar.
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Sunday, September 27, 2015
Stock Market Primary Wave IV Inflection Point / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 1958. After a short-lived gap up opening on Monday to SPX 1980 the market headed lower into Thursday when hitting SPX 1909. Then after a morning low the market rallied into Thursday’s close and gapped up on Friday to hit SPX 1953. If that wasn’t enough, the market then dropped to SPX 1922 before rallying to close the week at 1932. For the week the SPX/DOW were -0.9%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.6%, and the DJ World index was -2.3%. On the economic front, reports for the week were mixed. On the uptick: Q2 GDP, consumer sentiment, the WLEI, new home sales and the FHFA. On the downtick: GDPN, durable goods, existing home sales and weekly jobless claims were higher. Next week, a busy schedule, will be highlighted by monthly Payrolls, the PCE and the Chicago PMI.