Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Thursday, September 24, 2015

US Stock Bubble Bursts As The US Fed Begins To Shrink Its Balance Sheet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: I_M_Vronsky

All serious students of economics well know there are several factors that can inflate stock values…and even cause them to soar beyond common sense and corresponding fundamentals. However, there is one factor that dwarfs all others in its disproportionate material effect on pumping up stock prices beyond all historical and reasonable metrics:  AND THAT IS EXCESSIVE GROWTH IN THE FED’S BALANCE SHEET. 

Thursday, September 24, 2015

The Big Nasty Deflation Word Is Here  / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Doug_Wakefield

Nomi Prins latest book, All the Presidents Bankers, allows the reader a glimpse into the comments and actions of those sitting at the highest levels of finance on Wall Street since the open of the 20^th century. As I look at where America and the world markets stand today, coming off the top of the 29^th financial bubble in history, I believe that a quick examination of two Wall Street bankers from two past market tops is a worthy place to start.

The first individual was Albert Wiggin, President of one of the Big Six Banks in America at the time, Chase National Bank. Wiggins’ start in banking was most certainly a rise to the top at an early age. In 1892, at age 24 he was married; became the assistant cashier to the Third National Bank of Boston at age 26; at age 31 became the vice president of the New York National Park Bank, and by age 36, was the youngest vice president ever of the powerful Chase National Bank.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Stock Market Decline May Begin Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Mornoing!

SPX Premarket is flat. It closed beneath its daily Cycle Bottom at 1962.59. I had thought that it might go back for a retest this morning, but it doesn’t seem to have the energy.

In a nutshell, SPX may begin to sell off without further warning.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

Stock Market Trading Bands are Being Squeezed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I like to observe the indices from all degrees of trend, from hourly to monthly and even yearly. The charts can tell you a lot. I am using the hourly charts less these days, because the moves in the market often require a larger perspective. However, the hourly charts caught my eye and, thanks to Roy, a subscriber, his nudge prompted me to view all the pertinent charts.

Wednesday, September 23, 2015

U.S. Stocks: Volume, Volatility -- and What Should Come Next / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

We should soon see more "all or nothing" days in the stock market

Bespoke Investment Group uses an interesting term to describe recent stock market action: "all or nothing." In the stock market, "all or nothing" days occur when at least 80% of the stocks in the S&P 500 index advance or decline.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

The Great Deflation Will Destroy All Bubbles – These Too / Stock-Markets / Deflation

By: Harry_Dent

It’s not enough that jobs are less stable, or that the ones we’re adding are increasingly more part-time…

It’s not enough that rapidly growing student loan costs are plaguing more young echo boomers and millennials…

It’s not enough that the high costs of education are increasing the inequality gap and making upward mobility impossible…

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

NYSE Margin Debt Raise Stock Market Key Questions / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

It's happening again. The amount of margin debt balances at New York Stock Exchange member firms fell to $473,412 billion in August, down 2.9% from September. It is the 2nd consecutive monthly decline and the first back-to-back monthly drop since December-January.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Stock Market Plunge Begins / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

The SPX Premarket is down over 30 points as I write. There is another hour left before the cash market opens, so the probability of a “limit down” at the open or during the trading session is rising. If such a circuit breaker is reached, the market is halted for 15 minutes. The triggers are set at 7%, 13% and 20%.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Steps from a Deep October Stock Market Selloff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

For some reason there was a late flurry of expectations that the FED was going to raise rates this past week. Many in the media would like us to believe that we've finally transitioned out of an economic intensive care and that the economy is ready to stand on its own two feet. Evidence to support the idea is the employment picture, which when taken on the surface provides the illusions that we're in a healthy and thriving economy.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

What to Expect from Stocks into 2016 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com D.R. Barton writes: We're living in the proverbial interesting times.

As a technical trader, it's intriguing to me that all the headline-generating volatility – and U.S. Federal Reserve inaction – we've seen lately really hasn't made the market nosedive or skyrocket for any significant length of time.

And so investors, who need to know what's coming next, are looking in some strange places to find the answer.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

Stock Market Fear Versus Fundamentals....No Winner For Now.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

A horrible market environment exists when there are have two opposing forces battling it out, each with a great weapon on their side. The bulls have a very powerful weapon in the form of fear. The masses are very fearful here. Pessimism is ramping. The bears also have a strong weapon on their side. A weakening, global, economic environment. Two powerful market forces fighting it out every single day. Since sentiment is such a strong force all the time in the market it's going to be nearly impossible to break forcefully below 1867 on a closing basis. Not impossible, of course, but very difficult. It would take some really bad news to make that a reality.

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

World Enters Twilight Zone Where Markets Demand Higher Interest Rates / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: John_Rubino

So the Fed decides not to raise rates, and global stocks tank. Then they trot out their in-house PR staffer Jim Bullard to proclaim that rates will go up next month — and US stocks rally. What’s going on here?

Tuesday, September 22, 2015

"Interest Rates Drive Stocks"? See 4 Charts That Tell You the Truth / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: EWI

These 4 charts show why you should be careful with this common investment "wisdom"

Robert Prechter's monthly Elliott Wave Theorist once published a ten-part study explaining why traditional financial models failed to foresee the 2007-2009 financial crisis -- and, more importantly, why they are doomed to fail again (and again).

Monday, September 21, 2015

Citibank Calls for Helicopter Money Drops across the Globe / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing

By: MoneyMetals

Stefan Gleason writes: A quietly panicking Janet Yellen and the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided the U.S. economy still isn’t ready for an interest rate hike last week and left the Fed funds rate at essentially zero – the same level to which the Fed’s credibility has now sunk.

After incessantly hyping the notion an economic recovery would allow the “normalization” of interest rates, the decision not to act suggests the economy is much weaker than they have attempted to persuade us.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Stock Market Just Formed a “Death Cross” - Should You Worry? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Casey_Research

By Justin Spittler

The world economy appears to be stalling…

Yesterday, we got news that South Korea’s exports dropped 14.7% since last August...their largest decline since the financial crisis. It’s far worse than the 5.9% drop economists were expecting.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Liquidity May be Leaving the Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

Good Morning!

SPX appears to have completed its first impulse from the high on Thursday. This morning’s Premarket shows SPX up about 12 points, and may go as high as the lower trendline of the Flag or Wedge formation at 1980.00. That would constitute a 34% retracement, which would be average for this position. But the futures are already showing weakness, so there are no assurances of that target being met.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Stocks Bear Markets, Recessions and the Bewildered Fed / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Michael_Pento

A popular Wall Street myth is that bear markets are caused by recessions. The contention is as long as the economy isn't in a recession stock prices won't drop by more than 20 percent. And since the cheerleaders who dominate Wall Street never predict a recession, it should come as no surprise they never foresee the bear market that always precedes two negative quarters of GDP growth. The truth is Bear markets and recessions do not occur simultaneously, bear markets both predict and help engender a recession to occur.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Stock Market New Downtrend Or Some More Short-Term Sideways Action? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: P_Radomski_CFA

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, September 21, 2015

Stock Market Intermediate Downtrend (Phase II) / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?

Intermediate trend - SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Monday, September 21, 2015

Stock Market NYSE A/D Line “Death Crossover” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Christopher_Quigley

Last month we wrote the following:
“The chart of the % of stocks above the 200 Price Moving Average (PMA) finally shows the 100 Daily Moving Average (white line) crossing the 200 DMA (green line). This is a technical “death-cross” The only indicator not in bearish agreement is the NYSE Advance/Decline line. When this indicator shows a similar 100/200 DMA crossover, I believe it will only be a matter of time, based on historic precedent, before an “official” bear market will be declared”.