Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Thursday, September 17, 2015
Stock Market Short Interest Off The Charts...Fed On Deck.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
A new report came out this morning showing trader-short interest is at an all-time high. Nothing like fear to create a more bullish environment. The short interest here is at a greater level than at any time during the 2000-bear market or the 2009-bear market That's almost impossible to believe, but that's what the numbers are showing. Most folks know the rule of this crazy game with regards to following the herd. Never do it! If the masses get too bullish it's probably not a bad idea to start removing most of your long holdings. No different than when things get far too bearish. Right now the trading world is far too bearish, which tells me that over time it's more likely, though no guarantee, that we'll get through S&P 500 1993 before losing S&P 500 1867. Taking out 1993 would negate the bearish-bear flag pattern, and set things up more balanced between the two sides. Then it would be more about sentiment.
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Thursday, September 17, 2015
Refugee Crisis is a Far Bigger Risk to Your Money than the Fed or China / Stock-Markets / Refugee Crisis
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Today we’re going to talk about the 800 pound gorilla in the room. No politician will touch it and no citizen wants to acknowledge it in an era where political correctness has run amok.
But we have to.
“It” is Europe’s desperate refugee crisis, and “it” is by far the single biggest threat to your money today. You’re not hearing about this at the moment but you will in the months ahead.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2015
Jim Rogers on Timeless Investing Strategies You Can Use to Profit Today / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By Nick Giambruno
Recently I spoke with Jim Rogers about the most important investment lessons he has learned over the years.
Jim is a legendary investor and true international man. He’s always ahead of the game. Jim made a bundle by investing in commodities in the 1990s when they were out of favor with Wall Street. He’s also made large profits investing in crisis markets.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2015
Stock Market Sectors, Does Anyone Win With an Interest Rate Hike? / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
Matthew Carr writes: Editorial Note: It’s the big moment investors have been waiting for. As we write, the Fed is meeting to decide if it will raise interest rates for the first time since 2006. And while there won’t be any official announcement until Thursday, folks are understandably on edge. But should you be?
We asked Matthew Carr to do what he does best - to sift through decades of market data and uncover the real effect of rate hikes on stocks. We hope you enjoy his commentary. And afterward, if you’re still worried, click here to see how our Chief Investment Strategist Alexander Green is preparing Oxford Club Members for the end of the bull market.
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Wednesday, September 16, 2015
Stock Market Trend Forecast Sept to Dec 2015 - Video / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
U.S. Stocks: End of the Complacent Era? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Stock market bears have been conspicuously absent
August 20 was the third consecutive down day for the Dow Industrials as the index tumbled 358 points.
The U.S. stock market had managed to hover near record highs, even as other markets (oil, precious metals, housing) had long since fallen from old highs. The 34-year bull market in 30-year U.S. government bonds ended months ago.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Crashing: Is it Time to Panic? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
''Come to the edge,'' He said. They said, ''We are afraid.'' ''Come to the edge,'' He said. They came. He pushed them... and they flew. Guillaume ApollinaireThe answer to this plain question should always be a resounding no: it never pays to give into panic. The smartest option is to derail this emotion before it gains any traction. Once fear takes over, the end is nigh.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Triangle within a Triangle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Keeping in mind that the Minor Waves of Intermediate Wave (1) are in an [a]-[b]-[c] form, I had wondered how the next Wave [b] would look. Here’s our answer. It appears to be yet another Triangle with a smaller degree throw-over Wave (e). There is no guarantee that it is finished yet. We may have confirmation when we see a five-wave [c] emerge out of the bottom of the triangle at 1954.00. Note the very light volume in this ramp. Volume should pick up substantially on the decline. This has a similar feel
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
China Stock Market on the Edge. TNX Rising / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Good Morning!
All eyes turn to china as the Shanghai Index sits on a ledge of support at 3000.00. As ZeroHedge comments, “What, however, is dawning right now on traders is that China has once again lost control of its market, and days after crushing index futures trading by hiking margins to unprecedented levels, the SHCOMP resumed its old acrobatics tumbling as much as 4.2% in final hour of trading, and dropping below 3,000 for the first time since Aug. 27, before closing 3.5% lower at 3,005.172.”
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
The Rollercoaster Journey of the Global Stock Markets Today / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
As I walked through Lowe’s last weekend, I was struck by the presence of Halloween decorations. At the risk of sounding like a cranky old man, I couldn’t help but tell my wife: “It’s not even September yet!” And then I thought how 2015 seems to be flying by. Maybe I actually am a cranky, getting-old, man.I have the same take as I read through the financial papers. Things are moving at light speed. From crashing equity markets to falling commodity prices, there’s a lot to contemplate at one time.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
This Global Financial Crisis is Set To Continue…And Get Worse / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2015
I just landed in Vancouver for our third annual Irrational Economic Summit. Besides losing some luggage on the flight over and a few other hiccups along the way, I’m here, my team’s here, and we’re ready to kick off the event tomorrow.In the past we had only offered small, live conferences to members of our Dent Network. Back in 2013, we opened the doors to a wider audience.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stock Market Unwinding Without Price Appreciation.... Fed The Last Hope For The Bull / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
When a market is in a certain trend up or down you watch how the daily oscillators behave to understand what's likely next. When things are more bullish you can unwind overbought oscillators without too much price depreciation. When things are turning more bearish you can unwind oversold oscillators without too much price appreciation, and that's where we are right now. We're unwinding oversold oscillators over the past fifteen days when the bear flag first started to form, yet all we've done is remain well below key-resistance flag top at 1993 on the S&P 500.
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Tuesday, September 15, 2015
Stocks, Gold and Commodities Elliot Wave Theorist Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Dear reader,
With the market action during the last few weeks, many investors have been operating in panic mode; subscribers to Robert Prechter's Elliott Wave Theorist haven't. Why?
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Monday, September 14, 2015
All Investors Need To Diversify Their Investment Portfolio / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Most people that make financial investments understand how important it is to research before money is invested and see how hard it can be without diversifying an investment portfolio. This basically means that the money is put into different assets like property, money markets, bonds or equities. At the same time, international market investment is also included in diversification, meaning that the money is divided in different markets, not just one.In order to understand why an investment portfolio needs to be diversified, here are some facts you have to always remember.
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Monday, September 14, 2015
Stock Market Will It Or Won’t It? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend – SPX is in the midst of an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Stock Market Dow Trend Forecast for September to December 2015 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The 15% drop in average stock prices during the past month has galvanised a growing number of bears to once more dig out ancient text book reasons for why this is the time for the stocks bear market to finally begin, and not only that but keep making definitive statements for the expectations for market crash's that always fail to materialise for the obvious reason that a crash is a panic event that can only at best be discerned no earlier than during the preceding day. Even then the probability would favour the market ending higher on the so called crash day because market crashes are NOT common events.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
Why Are Stocks Going Berserk? It’s All About Expectations / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
If you’ve been following the markets for the last three weeks, you’ve probably figured out that something is wrong. The markets are no longer behaving the way they should, and that has people worried. Very worried. In the last 15 trading days, the Dow Jones has experienced an unprecedented 13 triple-digit days, which means that stocks have been sharply rising and falling without any rhyme or reason. The financial media has tried to explain-away the extreme volatility by pointing to slower growth in China, troubles in the Emerging Markets or various dismal data-points. But none of these adequately explain what’s going on.
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Sunday, September 13, 2015
How to Prevent Costly Losses During Big Market Panics / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Sunday, September 13, 2015
FED Induced Sharp Drop in Stock Market Coming! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The planets are coming together for the perfect storm on September 17th. First we have Mercury Retrograde, which often occurs at a top for the precious metals sector (and even the stock market). Then we have Jupiter opposing Neptune while Saturn enters into the sign of Sagittarius. Exaggerated hysteria or panic would be the best way to explain this astrological set up. My best guess is: the FED won't raise rates this time, but will hint strongly for the need to do so very soon (China may have nipped a September hike in the bud by devaluing the yuan). Everyone is expecting a retest of the August 24-25 lows anyway, so this is the perfect excuse to take it down. It also fits the pattern of an X wave of [B] bottom within an IMP (Irregular Megaphone Pattern -- discussed a few weeks ago). The big question is: will we fall just below the SPX cash price of 1867 near 1850 or below the SPY or S&P 500 futures price set the morning of August 24, 2015?
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Saturday, September 12, 2015
Stock Market Primary IV Continues / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The holiday shortened week started at SPX 1921. After a Tuesday morning, and Wednesday morning, gap up opening the SPX hit 1989. The market then declined to SPX 1937 by Thursday morning. Then the market rallied again to end the week at SPX 1961. For the week the SPX/DOW were +2.05%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.15%, and the DJ World index was +2.05%. Economic reports for the week were mostly negative. On the uptick: consumer credit, plus weekly jobless claims and the budget deficit improved. On the downtick: the WLEI, export/import prices, wholesale inventories, consumer sentiment and long term investor sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FOMC, Industrial production, and Options expiration.
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