Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, September 10, 2015
Buy Gold, Sell the S&P / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: DeviantInvestor
Buy low, sell high! As of today, September 3, 2015, the better choices are buying gold and selling the S&P 500 Index and relevant stocks.
Why?
Examine the graph of the ratio of Gold to S&P 500 Index for the past 25 years. The ratio is low now and likely will correct higher. I think gold will move higher and the S&P will move lower.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Sentiment Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Sentiment
By: Gary_Tanashian
In the last 2 NFTRH editions, we noted extremely over bearish market sentiment conditions in Rydex bull/bear fund allocations and in Small Speculators’ net short positions. These sentiment indicators have been reset to traditional correction-ending, even bear market-ending levels. That’s the reality.
The latter especially, has been a reliable contrary indicator. Basically, the Small Specs have never been right at important market turns. For instance, they were heavily net short in the late 1990’s but by the time the market topped in 2000, they had covered and become net long. They have reliably been a contrary indicator all along the current bull market as well, going net short at each correction bottom, post 2009.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Something Happened This Morning / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
Prior to 6:00 am, the SPX futures were up to 1960.00, a near-50% retracement of yesterday’s decline. Then something happened. “S&P 500 e-mini futures have been halted twice (0551ET and 0612ET) in what one market observer exclaimed "looks like manipulation to me." So what exactly happened at 6:12am?”
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Stock Market Daily Charts Show A Strong Reversal Lower.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
Last night there was some actions taken by the heads in Japan. Their stock market rocked higher, which naturally caused Europe's futures to rock higher, and finally gave our futures a massive life higher. The intervention has to limit, it seems. One leader after another from all over the world are coming out with drastic actions to ensure good times for their economies. Every time the market tries to fall for a week, or so, we get the Government's kicking in to save mode. They won't allow those bears any love. No wonder markets usually go higher. It's just not an even playing field, but we have known that for more years than we can count, unfortunately. Regardless of how much the intervention may be inappropriate for the long term, action will be taken. They'll deal with the consequences later. Let someone else deal with it.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Amid Stock Market Turmoil, Investors Cling to Hope. Why? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
History shows that many investors will hold stocks all the way down
I was watching financial television as the Dow Industrials fell 400-plus points on Sept. 1.
Two market professionals were interviewed: Both said the big decline in recent weeks represented a buying opportunity.
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Thursday, September 10, 2015
Following Pandemonium in the Stock Market, What You Should Know Now ... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: EWI
Dear Investor,
With the chaotic market action that began in August, a lot of advice and theories about its "cause" have been floating around the financial media:
"Buy the dip!"
"Sell and fold!"
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Wednesday, September 09, 2015
Stock Market Paving the Way For the FOMC / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jesse
The Fed would very much like to see calm and stable markets as it considers its first interest rate increase off the zero bound on September 16-17 next week.
Let's see if they can get what they want, one way or another.
There was intraday commentary here that was prompted by the Consumer Metrics statement about the US that Among Major Economies, Only the Chinese Numbers Are More Suspect.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2015
Four Stock Market Black Monday Takeaways Wall Street Hopes ETF Investors Never Understand / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
By: ...
MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Exchange-traded funds – ETFs for short – are billed as among the most investor-friendly products ever created, thanks to low fees, intra-day pricing, and unprecedented flexibility versus the mutual funds they’ve ostensibly “replaced.”
In reality, ETFs are yet another Wall Street creation designed to separate you from your money.
Proponents will undoubtedly cry foul as will many Wall Street professionals when they read this. That’s understandable – they’ve got a lot to lose. According to Morningstar, there are more than 1,400 ETFs trading in U.S. markets, holding an estimated $3 trillion in assets. In 2005 that figure stood at $300 billion. In 1990 it stood at nothing.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2015
Stock Market Back to the Triangle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
If we are to believe the Premarket, SPX is now approaching mid-Cycle resistance at 1995.04. Of course, this is all in very light volume in the futures, but the only wave that has this capability and position is a (rogue) Wave E.
This has caused me to re-assess the Wave structure yet again. Wave D has 11 waves, which is corrective.
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Wednesday, September 09, 2015
September Stock Market Crash Cycle / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: BATR
All experienced stock market experts are proficient in the concept of economic cycles. While they may not always predict the future, their study of time relationships to trends and prices are important factors in reading the market. Just remember, markets are rigged so adherence to ridged oscillations for predicting the movement of financial instruments is not a pure science.
Wednesday, September 09, 2015
Stock Market Crash Sees the Fed Lost Half Its $4 Trillion Bet in 1 Week / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
By: Rodney_Johnson
Since the financial crisis, central banks have injected trillions of dollars into the global economy. Their goal: to offset the natural downturn from slowing demographic trends and the crushing debt loads of the greatest credit bubble in history.The Federal Reserve alone has created $4 trillion in QE since late 2008. They tried to solve an unprecedented debt crisis by adding more debt.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
When Stock Market Volatility Is Your Best Friend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Investment_U
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Most people who talked to me about the market last week were shaking their heads, trying to make sense of the extreme up-and-down moves. But a few smart investors simply shrugged their shoulders and said, “I don’t care. I’m selling the volatility, so it’s been great for me.”
What they mean is that they are selling options - calls and puts. And they’re not selling them to close positions. They’re starting new ones, but selling first and buying them back when they’re cheaper.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
One of the Best Opportunities When the Stock Market Recovers / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes: It's a scary time to buy stocks...
Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Stock Market Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Chris_Vermeulen
For some time now, I have been observing bearish “cracks” appearing within the stock markets. The speed of the market’s drop, during the month of August, came as no surprise to me.
The bear market rally ended last week, after it had a 50% retracement of its initial decline. By Friday, September 4th, 2015, the index was trying to hold on, so as to support that which was created by a critical short- term trend line that had already been violated. The DJIA weekly chart gives a good argument by expressing the view that a bear market may already have begun.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
Muddling Through Shanghai Stock Market and Chinese Economy / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
By: John_Mauldin
“He who knows when he can fight and when he cannot, will be victorious.” – Sun Tzu
A couple of weeks ago I was complaining about 47,000 China reports clogging my e-mail. The number now feels like it is well into six figures (perhaps a slight exaggeration). Maybe my memory is going, but there wasn’t nearly as much China talk on the way up. Funny how that works.
Is China collapsing? I think parts of China are under severe pressure if not outright recession, and clearly the stock market is a disaster. Anyone who bought Shanghai or Shenzhen stocks on margin this year is probably on the brink.
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Tuesday, September 08, 2015
7 Reasons the Stocks Bear Market Has Just Begun / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Michael_Pento
On March 10th 2009 the US stock market hit an intraday low and put in the now-famous “Haines bottom”--coined after my friend, the late great Mark Haines, who made one of the most prescient calls in market history. It should be noted by the time that fateful day arrived it was virtually impossible to find a single bull out of all the geniuses on Wall Street.
Monday, September 07, 2015
The Stock Market Wants to Rally, Gold Bottoming / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The SPX futures are rallying during this Labor Day Holiday. The chart below pretty much explains what I'm looking for this week. On the sentiment point, we have excessive bearishness: large specs short volatility, while the small specs are long volatility and high P/C ratios... this is fairly bullish, at least in the short term.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, September 07, 2015
If You Think That Was A Stock Market Crash…. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: James_Quinn
Last week’s volatility to the downside was entirely predictable, as the first leg down during this ongoing market crash reached the correction stage of 11%. The technical bounce was a given, as the 30 year old HFT MBAs on Wall Street have been trained like rats to BTFD. In their lemming like minds, it has worked for the last six years of this Federal Reserve created “bull market”, so why wouldn’t it work now. Last week was their first lesson in why it doesn’t work during bear markets, and we’ve entered a bear market. John Hussman seems amused at the shallowness of the arguments by Wall Street shills and CNBC cheerleaders about the future of the stock market in his weekly letter. After this modest pullback from all-time highs, the S&P 500 is still overvalued by 92%:
Monday, September 07, 2015
Bond Yields vs Stocks and The Fed / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Ashraf_Laidi
The widely anticipated US August jobs report headlined with a disappointing 173k increase in nonfarm payrolls (lowest since March). The silver lining was in the 44k upward revision of the previous two months and the decline in the unemployment rate to fresh seven-year lows of 5.1% from 5.3%. The decline 41K decrease in the labour force was too small to reduce the participation rate, which remained unchanged at 62.6%.
Monday, September 07, 2015
More Stock Market Selling Ahead / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?
Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction (at least).
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
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