Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Saturday, January 24, 2015
Financial Tsunamis Most Often Come Without Warning / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
On Thursday, January 15th, the Swiss National Bank (SNB) discontinued its three year effort to maintain its minimum currency floor of the Swiss franc. In a single day the move sent the Swiss Franc (SWF) climbing a massive 21% against the U.S. dollar and 41% against the euro. The move sent shockwaves of unprecedented ferocity through the massive foreign exchange (FX) market, which is by far the largest, and most highly levered, trading market in the world. The monetary tsunami threatened both FX participants and even their brokers. But more importantly, even as the rest of Europe looks to suffocate itself in a blanket of debased currency, the Swiss have opened a window of reality on the massive central bank scheme. Hopefully some of the fresh air will spread throughout the rest of the world.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, January 24, 2015
Goldman Sachs Blankfein - Regulation is Like Background Noise / Stock-Markets / Market Regulation
Lloyd Blankfein, CEO and Chairman of Goldman Sachs, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Blankfein discussed the performance of Goldman Sachs, the impact of regulation on the financial industry and the outlook for the industry.
On regulation, Blankfein said: "If you ask me how much time do I spend thinking about regulation, and rules and that kind of compliance, all the time. But it doesn't push out other things. It's like background noise. It's like music."
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2015
The Opportunity in This Market is “Eye-Opening” / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
Dr. Kent Moors writes: As we shift into the “post-oil age,” one thing is very clear: This is no longer a zero sum game.
While crude will continue to be the star, other sources of energy will start to gain market share.
A new energy balance will begin to take hold, and it will have less and less to do with crude.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2015
ECB and EU LTRO and QE for Dummies: Or, Make These Trades / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Shah Gilani writes: Pssst! Do you want to make some money trading some initials? Real easy money?
For real. I just made my subscribers 382% trading these initials. And we’re not done. After closing out our 382% gain, we’re in the same trade again, and we’re up 180% in just a few weeks – and still going.
We’re also in a conservative trade, trading the same initials mind you, and we’re up 41% there.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2015
Market Should Not Doubt' Mario Draghi ECB QE / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Larry Fink, CEO and Chairman of BlackRock, spoke with Bloomberg TV's Erik Schatzker and Stephanie Ruhle today at the World Economic Forum's annual meeting in Davos, Switzerland. Fink discussed the European Central Bank's asset-purchase plan and the outlook for the euro-dollar exchange rate, Federal Reserve policy and the U.S. economy. He also spoke about the Swiss National Bank's decision to abandon its currency cap.
Reacting to the ECB's quantitative easing announcement, Fink said: I think we've seen over the last few years you have to trust in Mario...the market should not doubt Mario. He's been able to pull this through...This monetary policy is going to keep the euro weak. And I think a weakened euro will allow European companies to improve. So I do think the European economies will be marginally better this year than last year."
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 23, 2015
Francs, Bonds, Barrels, and Bail-Ins / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
As recently as a few weeks ago, the European Union directed its member nations to draft their own independent legislation for dealing with the resolution of a failed G-SIFI (Globally Significant Financial Institution). At the same time, we have all sorts of seams opening in the currency, bond, and commodity markets. The Swiss Franc is now un-pegged from the Euro, there have been wild swings in the bond markets in Europe due to the aforementioned action, and oil is in an absolute free-fall. There are many geopolitical (and likely criminal) maneuverings behind all of these phenomena, however the chaos in the financial world thus far has been remarkable in that there hasn’t been much given everything going on.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2015
The Most Important Thing You Should Do to Make Money in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Last Thursday, the front page headline of the USA Today Money section read “Stock Plunge Digs Deeper.” Above it was a graphic showing that since December 31, 15 days earlier, the Dow Jones Industrials had fallen 2.2%.
Plunge?
The article went on to recount the prior day’s trading when the Dow fell 187 points, or 1.1%. A poor showing for sure, but hardly anything to get excited about.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Stock Market Indexes Remain Within Medium-Term Consolidation - Which Direction Is Next? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Stocks Bear Market Lessons from History / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Rajveer Rawlin writes: While the financial media is absolutely infatuated with stocks hitting new highs everyday, we would do well to pay attention to some ongoing bear markets:
1) Japanese stocks continue to languish under the effects of deflation following a well over 26 year old bear market, down over 50% from the highs set in 1989.
Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, January 22, 2015
Draghi Out Early..Intentional!...Desperation...Near Breakout..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
So the market was down fairly hard this morning. Not the action Fed Governors want to see ahead of their big report due out tomorrow from the Euro Zone on the amount and full extent of their new QE program. They don't like when markets can't make the breakout they so desperately want to see. Amazingly, and out of nowhere, suddenly the Euro Zone QE program is made public a day early. Shocking! Yeah, right! The market explodes. The S&P 500 reverses up twenty points in moments. It spends the entire day after that testing the breakout level of 2035. It doesn't break out in the end with any force, but it does spend the day trying at least. It prevented the day from being a bad one.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 21, 2015
Five Stock Market Questions Wall Street Hopes You’ll Never Ask / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: Last week I heard from long-time reader Ms. Florence D. A sharp 87-years young, she’s facing a situation that’s all too common for many investors who were seduced by Wall Street’s overreliance on the “never lose money” mantra.
Now she’s got a few money-losing commodity and financial stocks on hand (not ones I recommended, fortunately) and is wondering if it’s time to “hire advice on each dog.”
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 21, 2015
Investor implications of QE by the ECB / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
Is European Central Bank (ECB) head Draghi’s determination to purchase government bonds turning Europe into a banana republic? What are the implications not only for the euro and U.S. dollar, but gold, stocks and bonds? Our analysis shows that conventional wisdom may be proven wrong in more than one way.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, January 21, 2015
Messin' With My Financial Brain / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Why is it that unlike anything else we purchase in our daily life, our brains are naturally hardwired to believe that when investment prices move higher, we must make purchases or hold on rather than start selling and reducing our position? The higher price go, the stronger the belief they will continue rising.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Are Stock Market Buyouts Checking Out? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Two more key measures of optimism suddenly betray a diminishing appetite for stocks
Editor's note: With permission, this article was adapted from the January 2015 issue of The Elliott Wave Financial Forecast. For one week only, EWI is throwing open the doors to its big-picture U.S. outlook. Follow this link to read a lot more of their latest analysis, 100% free, by joining the State of the U.S. Markets Conference.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Are Stock Market Storm Clouds Massing? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Current position of the market
SPX: Long-term trend – Bull Market
Intermediate trend – Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
The Markets Have Just Issued a Major Warning / Stock-Markets / Cycles Analysis
Michael Campbell writes:
- The Swiss franc rose over 30% in a hour vs the Euro on Friday.
- Copper dropped 11% in three days last week
- Oil is down 56% since June
- Russian Ruble is down 70% in 3 weeks
- 7 European Countries have negative interest rates (i.e. buy a government bond and be guaranteed to get less money back)
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Swiss Say No to QE / Stock-Markets / Quantitative Easing
The markets have had an array of abrupt reactions to the Swiss National Bank’s (SNB) move to stop supporting the Swiss Franc against the euro from buying Swiss bonds.
The euro has crashed further, stocks have taken minor hits and gold has broken to the upside (as we expected near term).
But the biggest impact is likely to be on Mario Draghi’s up-and coming decision to ignite another heavily telegraphed round of quantitative easing (QE) to the tune of $1.2 trillion plus.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
The Truth About This Stock Market "Meltdown" Indicator / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
We talk about why you should always be in the stock market (and NOT for the same reasons Wall Street wants you in, either). That's because being in the markets allows you tap into the inevitable growth that comes from capitalism and, by implication, humanity's upside.
Lately, though, people are beginning to doubt the premise behind that Total Wealth tactic.
That's due partly to recent trading action (which is unsettling), and partly due to the hype surrounding various indicators that are almost "guaranteed" to show a looming meltdown (which is unnerving).
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Markets Restrain Bank Fraud, But Central Banks Enable It / Stock-Markets / Central Banks
Originally, paper money was not regarded as money but merely as a representation of a commodity (namely, gold). Various paper certificates represented claims on gold stored with the banks. Holders of paper certificates could convert them into gold whenever they deemed necessary. Because people found it more convenient to use paper certificates to exchange for goods and services, these certificates came to be regarded as money.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, January 20, 2015
Markets 2015 More Of The Same? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
BIG PICTURE – During the previous year, the stock markets of the developed world consolidated whereas the majority of the developing nations performed poorly.
In 2014, the European stock markets essentially traded sideways, Japan produced modest growth and unsurprisingly, Wall Street delivered the best returns. Over in the developing world, the commodities producing nations (Brazil and Russia) fared badly, whereas China, India, Philippines and Thailand produced decent growth.
Read full article... Read full article...