Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

Signs of Stock Market Insanity / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

As most people with a functioning brain cell already know, stock indices have become more manipulated than a marionette at a children’s show. Yes, stocks are now even more manipulated than even gold! Of course, we all know that the Federal Reserve Bank is the chief puppeteer. But as we close out January of 2015, I would even say that stock indices have gone a step further. They are now driven by insanity. Why do I say such? Read on for signs of insanity that should give us all pause.

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

How Low will Stock Market Go? Lindsay Long Cycle / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ed_Carlson

If the Dec high was point H of Lindsay’s long cycle (approximately 20 years) as suspected then we can examine past declines from H to I to get an idea as to how low this decline will go. Unfortunately, with only four previous long cycles to examine (since 1921) the sample size is less than “significant”.

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

FTSE Stock Market Triple Top - The Golden Age of QE and The Fiat Endgame... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Clive_Maund

As you are doubtless aware we are living in a new paradigm - the age of global QE has arrived. Amongst the major power blocs it started with the US, spread to Japan, which adopted it with a particular gusto, after suffering from deflation for decades, and just has been taken up by Europe in a big way, after waiting for half its young people in many constituent countries to become unemployed due to the ravages of deflation. Smaller countries will have to join in or their currencies will soar and they will become uncompetitive.

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

Portfolio Strategies 2015 for Investing in an Age of Divergence / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: John_Mauldin

With all the negative news out of Europe, how do you find a positive story? Is there a way to structure a portfolio that gives you permission to be more aggressive when there are danger signs all around? Everyone is worried about being blindsided by a significant downdraft in the markets when maybe we should be thinking about making sure we don’t miss a bull market somewhere. These and several dozen other topics were on the table when the Mauldin Economics writing team gathered here in Dallas for 3½ days of intensive talk, interviews, and planning. Today we’ll go over a few of the highlights of this last week, and I’ll share a few reasons to be optimistic about 2015.

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

Stock Market Reversal Up at The Dow 200's.... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

The market tried higher in the morning only to see the rally sell off quite fast. The usual market swings took place for the rest of the day until there was about forty-five minutes left in the session. From there the daily index charts all put in bottoming candles. Well, at least it seems as if they did, but who knows in this insane environment of massive whipsaw. What should be often is not but again, these should be very short-term bottoming sticks that if correct, isn't a message of hold on long term. It's an in and out market for now. The Dow was the very first index to challenge down to its 200-day, exponential moving average. That's because the multi-nationals have been hurt in the Dow-30 based on currencies.

Tuesday, February 03, 2015

Dow Stock Market Trend Forecast 2015 by Nadeem Walayat / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Nadeem_Walayat

The stock market has had wild roller coaster ride during January in the wake of the euro-zone crisis where one of the best days of the year (+275) is immediately followed by the worst day of the year (-335) the effect of which is to literally grind the strength out of the stocks bull market rally of 2014 with stomach churning moves that have been encouraging the perma-bears to literally scream at the top of their lungs that this time, THIS TIME the bull market really is over! Which has been regurgitated at length by the mainstream media and BlogosFear backed by supporting reasons coalescing around euro-zone collapse, end of Fed QE, and possible interest rate hikes being just around the corner, all of this despite the FACT that stocks actually do quite nicely during the early years of RATE hiking cycles! In fact its rate CUTS that stocks bulls need to worry about for they signal WEAKNESS ahead. Then there’s China weakness, Europe recession, ISIS and not forgetting EBOLA! So plenty of doom for the bears to play pick and mix with for reasons why Bull Market End Time is here!

Monday, February 02, 2015

More Euro-tragedy / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis

By: Alasdair_Macleod

Despite the uncertainties ahead of the Greek general election, the European Central Bank (ECB) went ahead and announced quantitative easing (QE) of €60bn per month from March to at least September 2016. What makes this interesting is the mounting evidence that QE does not bring about economic recovery. Even Jaime Caruana, General Manager of the Bank for International Settlements and who is the central bankers’ central banker, has publicly expressed deep reservations about QE. However, the ECB ploughs on regardless.

Monday, February 02, 2015

2015 Gold, Markets Outlook: What You Really Need to Know / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: Jeff_Clark

In the January issue of BIG GOLD, I interviewed 17 analysts, economists, and authors on what they expect for gold in 2015. Some of those included what we affectionately call our Casey Brain Trust—Doug Casey, Olivier Garret, Bud Conrad, David Galland, Marin Katusa, Louis James, and Terry Coxon. The issue was so popular that we decided to reprint this portion.

I think you’ll find some very insightful and useful reading here (click on a link to read his bio)…

Monday, February 02, 2015

Precarious Times for Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Bob_Loukas

It suddenly seems as though the good times in equities might be ending. Though my perspective is based only on “gut feel”, there seems to be an underlying level of fear that has crept into the markets. If so, it’s a real problem for equities. Any market trading at all-time highs and with a valuation far above historical averages requires a continued level of irrational excitement and speculative ignorance to remain sustainable. And fear is not consistent with irrational, speculative ignorance.

Monday, February 02, 2015

Stock Markets Mixed Expectations Following Friday's Move Down / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.

Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, February 02, 2015

Where to invest in 2015? / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015

By: Dhaval_Shah

Globally, Deflation ( declining demand and prices)has emerged as imminent threat. Developed economies (Govt and Central banks) have been attempting every possible option like –ve interest rates & debt to GDP raising in excess of 100%, to stimulate demand. But, it seems efforts are not paying targeted results and economies are sleeping into deflation.

Monday, February 02, 2015

Stock Market Challenging Important Support / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market

Intermediate trend - Is the 7-yr cycle sketching an intermediate top?

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Sunday, February 01, 2015

Australian Stock Market Index ASX200 Technical Analysis  / Stock-Markets / Austrailia

By: Austin_Galt

I have been calling for new rally highs in the Australian stock index, the ASX200, and nothing has changed my view on that. The only thing that has changed is my confidence - it has increased. Let’s find out why beginning with the weekly chart.

Saturday, January 31, 2015

Stock Market Major 4 or Primary IV Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

Gap openings continued to be the theme for January with four more this week, and 15 in 20 trading days. The market started the week at SPX 2052, bounced to 2058 on Monday, declined by Thursday to 1989, bounced, and then ended the week at 1995. For the week the SPX/DOW were -2.85%, the NDX/NAZ were -2.90%, and the DJ World index was -1.65%. On the economic front reports came in even. On the uptick: consumer confidence, new home sales, the Chicago PMI, the WLEI, and weekly jobless claims improved. On the downtick: durable goods, Case-Shiller, pending home sales, consumer sentiment and the GDP declined. Next week’s economic reports will be highlighted by Payrolls, ISM and the PCE.

Saturday, January 31, 2015

Stock Market Monthly Bifurcation...Volatility Explodes.....Neither Side Yet In Control / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

If you're trading this market it's quite likely you're struggling mightily. The degree of volatility is off the charts about as much as I've ever witnessed. The moves from day to day are intense, but even more so are the moves hour to hour, and sometimes less than that. In a twenty minutes span you can see the S&P 500 swing twenty or more points. This process gets repeated many times over the course of a single trading day. No one does well in this environment unless you're taking the highly risky chance of holding stocks in to their earnings report. I personally would never recommend that.

Friday, January 30, 2015

Hulbert on Interest Rate Hikes & Stock Market; a Response / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Gary_Tanashian

Mark Hulbert has a piece this morning at MarketWatch in which he de-correlates the first Fed interest rate hike from any supposedly corresponding stock market movements.  I agree with some but not all of what he writes.  Let’s take it a chunk at a time.

Friday, January 30, 2015

Stock Market Back to Back January Drops in SP500 Always Meant Danger / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Ashraf_Laidi

January will most likely be negative for US stock indices (S&P500), and will be the 2nd consecutive year of negative January performance.

While many are familiar with the old adage "As January goes, so goes the rest of the year", we had pointed to the fact that negative January performances in the S&P500 have always led to high profile volatility and/or double digit declines in a single month that year.

Friday, January 30, 2015

To Create Unlimited Market Liquidity or Not; That Is the Question / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble

By: Doug_Wakefield

"On October 15, 2014 between 9:33 and 9:45, liquidity evaporated in Treasury futures and prices skyrocketed (causing yields to plummet). Five minutes later, prices returned to 9:33 levels.

Friday, January 30, 2015

SPX completes a Leading Diagonal Wave [i] and [ii] / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

The overlap and in the Waves and the 47% retracement makes this more clearly a Minute (Leading Diagonal) Wave [i] and [ii] today. Wave [i] bounced off the hourly Cycle Bottom support at 1988.39 and completed what appears to be a 5-wave sub-Minute Wave (c) of Minute Wave [ii] at the close.

Tomorrow we may see a lesser degree iteration of sub-Minute Waves (i)-(ii), to start off Wave [iii] of3.

Friday, January 30, 2015

It’s Not Time to Sell Everything – Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Money_Morning

Shah Gilani writes: One of my favorite lines is “I’m not the kind of guy to say I told you so – but if I was, I’d sure be saying it now.”

As far as saying “I told you so,” back in the summer of 2008, in my “Friday Night Illumination” emails to my banker and trader friends, I screamed, “SELL EVERYTHING!”

People thought I was nuts. Literally, that I’d lost my mind. Sell everything – no one ever says that, ever.