Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Saturday, February 14, 2015
Nasdaq On Breakout...Greece On Deck / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Jack_Steiman
When you're either a few points above or below a critical area of resistance, not getting through doesn't mean you failed to make it and that things are heading south. On the other hand, if you clear resistance by just a few points it doesn't mean you're really made the breakout. You want to see a forceful failure or you want to see a forceful push through on the close. That tells you if things are bearish or bullish. So we'll just say the S&P 500 is real close to making a strong breakout and that could come on Tuesday if the news is just right on Monday. We'll talk about that later on in this letter. A close above today was good, but it's just not far enough above to call it a breakout in my world. I like at least half a percent, if not more on a closing basis. A nice day for the bulls as the oscillators stayed overbought on the short-term charts. Can you say froth? I think you can. It continues to rock on.
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Friday, February 13, 2015
Jim Rogers on Opportunities in Russia and Other Hated Markets / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Casey_Research
Nick Giambruno: Welcome, Jim. As you know, Doug Casey and I travel the world surveying crisis markets, and we always like to get your take on things. Today I want to talk to you about Russia, which is a very hated market right now. What are your thoughts on Russia in general and on Russian stocks in particular?
Jim Rogers: Well, I’m optimistic about the future of Russia. I was optimistic before this war started in Ukraine, which was instigated by the US, of course. But in any case, I bought more Russia during the Crimea incident, and I’m looking to buy still more.
Friday, February 13, 2015
This One Stock Investing Tool Made the Difference between Bankruptcy and $13 Million / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Money_Morning
Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: There’s an old joke that’s made its way around financial circles over the years. It goes something like this:
An investment banker walks into a room where his cohorts are in a meeting. “I’ve got good news and bad news,” he announces. “The bad news is, we’ve just lost $100 million. The good news is, it wasn’t ours.” An associate raises his hand. “What was the bad news again?”
It’s humor, but there’s more than a grain of truth to the story. Whether we’re talking about brokers, bankers, or even your most trusted financial advisor, you cannot rely on anyone else to care about your money and keep it safe.
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Friday, February 13, 2015
EuroStoxx May be Completing Stock Market Top Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
STOXX may have completed an Ending Diagonal Minor Wave C of Intermediate Wave (5) this morning on its 189th day of the current Master Cycle with a nominal new high this morning. This can be attributed to the European GDP positive surprise reported this morning.
However, Greek bank liquidity is deteriorating rapidly. About 12 billion Euros were withdrawn from Greek banks in January and probably even more so after the snap election. It appears that we are on the cusp of some major changes in Europe, starting today or this weekend.
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Friday, February 13, 2015
Stock Market Kicked Can May Have Bounced Against a Wall / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Here’s a new one. Micro Wave iii is 1.5 times the size of Micro Wave i. You would think that Micro Wave v would be 1.5 time the size of Micro Wave iii, but no…at 2089.04 Micro Wave v is 2X the size of Micro Wave iii! I have not seen such a combination before. Such is the life of an analyst in these times…full of surprises.
Thursday, February 12, 2015
Four Dangerous Paths: Wargaming The Greek Crisis From A Global Investment Perspective / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Dan_Amerman
Sharp-edged Risk with a capital "R" has returned to the financial world as a result of Greek voters in overwhelming numbers electing the far left Syriza party and installing Alexis Tsipras as the new prime minister.
The investment world had in some ways grown placid since 2012, the days when the financial woes of the heavily indebted and economically troubled PIIGS (Portugal, Italy, Ireland, Greece & Spain) dominated global financial headlines, and when a possible Greek default last threatened to bring down the financial world.
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Thursday, February 12, 2015
You Can’t Stop Progress, Supposedly / Stock-Markets / Technology
By: John_Mauldin
Jared Dillian writes: I am a sometimes gold bug and hard-money advocate, and a hard-core fiscal conservative. I have a pretty bearish outlook on the markets, I am generally skeptical of company management and especially journalists, and I think most investors, even the professional ones, are clueless.
I’m one of those hopeless romantics who pays down his debt (often ahead of schedule), would never ask for a bailout, and would be loath to sign up for unemployment benefits or even Social Security. If I looked hard enough, I could probably find a tinfoil hat that fits.
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Thursday, February 12, 2015
USDCAD and German DAX Elliott Wave Analysis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gregor_Horvat
USDCAD has turned nicely lowest recently, and seems like top for wave B) could already be in place. We however need a five wave decline from 1.2696 to confirm a change in trend. If market will stay bearish today and close somewhere beneath or around 1.2500 then we could be considering shorts soon.
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Thursday, February 12, 2015
Stock Market Positive Expectations Following Ukraine Cease-Fire Deal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Thursday, February 12, 2015
SPX Hanging on a Thread, Gold & Crude Resume their Decline / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
NDX has rallied marginally higher, turning the formation from January 6 low into a double zigzag formation. A regular correction is usually a single zigzag. We can infer from this action that the central banks are buying time, literally.
The thinking apparently is, “The more elevation, the lesser the decline.” Wrong!
The Cup with Handle formation is still intact.
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Wednesday, February 11, 2015
Stock Markets End of the 1-year Sideways Trend / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Clif_Droke
Investors are starting to feel numb by the lack of action in the broad market. Since December, the Dow and SPX have settled into sideways trading ranges. The NYSE Composite (NYA) has been range-bound since last summer while the Russell 2000 (RUT) has been stuck in a lateral ranges for the past year. While trading ranges don't necessarily result in the loss of capital, its effect on the minds of market participants tend to be significant. Trading ranges are frustrating. When trading ranges become established over a period of months the effects upon investor and mass psychology can even be devastating.
Wednesday, February 11, 2015
Casey Club - Unconventional Investing for Unconventional Times / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Marin_Katusa
What is Casey’s Club?
Let me first share the evolution of Casey Research and why I think if you’re a serious speculator, you need to be part of Casey’s Club.
A little over a decade ago, I was a Casey subscriber. At the time, there was only the International Speculator, and the firm was made up of only Doug Casey and David Galland.
But as I got to know the power players in the industry, I learned that the savvy speculators made their millions investing via private placements (PPs) and clip and collect warrants.
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Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Stock Market Pop-n-drop Tuesday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
Good Morning!
The [i] – [ii] Elliott Wave pattern appears to be nearing completion between 2056.00 and 2060.00. The Premarket is already geared up and USD/JPY has been summoned to help, completing a retracement to 119.44. Most of the currency pair’s strength comes from a brief surge in the USD, also this morning. It appears that the link between SPX performance and USD/JPY hasn’t broken yet. However, that may change as the Yen’s heretofore weak performance firms up.
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Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Syriza Defies Technocrats, US Pressures EU, Greeks Buy Gold / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: GoldCore
- Tsipras to push ahead with counter-reforms “in their entirety”
- Dijsselbloem tells Syriza it must comply with Troika this week or have funding cut from February 28th
- Varoufakis calls the Eurogroups bluff – does not believe EU would risk expelling Greece from Euro
- US apply pressure on EU to keep Greece in the fold, fears “Grexit” would push Greece into Russia’s arms
- Greeks buying gold as insurance against uncertainty
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Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Will the 1998 Russian Financial Meltdown Repeat Itself? / Stock-Markets / Russia
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
History never repeats itself exactly, but many similarities between the past and the current Russian crisis suggest that the eastern bear could significantly falter in the future:
- The collapse of the ruble and its scope (Graph 2). The ruble lost over two thirds of its value in 1998. In 2014 it has lost more than half of its value against the dollar. Also the ruble’s unusual one-day falls are similar: Russian currency plunged 22 percent December 15 and 16, 2014 -an echo of the 27 percent fall August 17, 1998.
Tuesday, February 10, 2015
Fourth Turning – The Shadow Of Crisis Has Not Passed / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2015
By: James_Quinn
“Imagine some national (and probably global) volcanic eruption, initially flowing along channels of distress that were created during the Unraveling era and further widened by the catalyst. Trying to foresee where the eruption will go once it bursts free of the channels is like trying to predict the exact fault line of an earthquake. All you know in advance is something about the molten ingredients of the climax, which could include the following:
Monday, February 09, 2015
What Has Been the SPY's Pattern During the Past 5 Years? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Marty_Chenard
This chart shows the SPY's action since 1995.
What can be seen on this chart?
First, is that the SPY has made a higher/high.
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Monday, February 09, 2015
What to Do When It’s Time to Sell Everything / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: My Jan. 29 column, “It’s Not Time to Sell Everything – Yet,” generated a lot of questions.
I’m answering most of them here – and also letting you know exactly what I’m going to do myself.
As to the timing of a possible crash and depression, that’s the bazillion-dollar question.
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Monday, February 09, 2015
Stock Markets Extend Their Medium-Term Fluctuations, No Clear Direction Yet / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, February 09, 2015
Which Companies and Markets Will Suffer Most from a Strong U.S. Dollar? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Since 2008 the U.S. dollar has risen against every important currency in the world.
Its steady ascent has been good for a lot of companies, economies, and investors.
But, if the trend continues, a strong U.S. dollar in 2015 will be bad news for some of those same companies, economies, and investors. Worse, it could trigger a global markets meltdown….
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