Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, April 29, 2016
Ugly Day for Wall Street / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a very rough day today. The day started out with a nice rally in the morning, they rolled over just after the lunch hour, and got hammered hard into the close, finishing as one of the worst days of the year.
Net on the day, the Dow was down 210.79 at 17,830.76, more than 200 points off the high. The S&P 500 was 19.34 at 2075.81, 24 points off its high. The Nasdaq 100 was down 52.64 at 4363.99, 93 points off the high.
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Thursday, April 28, 2016
The Sad Truth About the State of the Financial System Today / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Graham_Summers
For seven years, the world has operated under a complete delusion that Central Banks somehow fixed the 2008 Crisis.
All of the arguments claiming this defied common sense. A 5th grader would tell you that you cannot solve a debt problem by issuing more debt. If the below chart was a problem BEFORE 2008… there is no way that things are better now. After all, we’ve just added another $20 trillion in debt to the US system.
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Thursday, April 28, 2016
Will Stock Market Crash 24% in the Next Three Months? / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
By: Graham_Summers
Will stocks collapse 24% (a Crash) in the next three months?
For the first time since the 2009 bottom, Earnings Per Share (EPS) have diverged sharply to the downside from stocks.
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Thursday, April 28, 2016
Stock Market Uncertainty Following Economic Data, Earnings Releases - SP500 Still Close To 2,100 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Thursday, April 28, 2016
Stock Market Mixed, Very Interesting, Volatile FOMC Day / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session and a very interesting volatile day. The day started out with a gap lower on Apple Inc. (AAPL) earnings, went down very sharply on the Nasdaq 100, dropping from 4450 down to 4380, about 70 points from top to bottom, they rallied back to 4409, pulled back to retest the low, made higher lows, went back to the highs again, but couldn’t get back through the 4410 range, and back off. Post FOMC they spurted up toward a retest. A pullback did about a .618 Fibonacci retracement, and they ran right back up to the gap, only to pullback right at the close. The S&P 500 actually pulled through the 4-day resistance highs, and made a nominal new high near 2100 today before falling back to 2095.
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Thursday, April 28, 2016
Fed Doesn't Budge On US Interest Rates..... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The long awaited move towards higher rates still isn't happening any time soon as we heard from our fearless leader, Ms. Yellen, who said that rates will be data dependent. We've heard that line month after month, and what it really means is she's not going to be raising rates any time soon. She doesn't want to spoil the good tidings she has created with her actions over the past several years, which started with fed Bernanke. Keep the ship moving along by keeping rates low enough not to offer any alternatives for folks. So today there were folks out there who thought she would change to a more hawkish stance regarding rates, but they were once again let down by her ruling of "forget about it, it's not happening any time soon" speech. You get the feeling she wants to do it, but you know her hands are tied.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
FOMC statement and the Stock Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
The algos have taken over after the FOMC release. ZeroHedge reports, “ The kneejerk - USD up, stocks down, bonds down - reaction has faded and with The Fed statement pitching its dovish tent back in domestic concerns while keeping a hawkish eye on global developments. The Long bond is back in the green but it appears machines are busier running oil stops higher and dumping gold.”
Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market Preliminary Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX has broken its rally trendline and is challenging Short-term support at 2083.50. It may retest the trendline again before going lower.
SPX is now on an aggressive sell signal.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market Mixed Close with Good Technicals / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Harry_Boxer
The stock market indices had a mixed session today. After an early morning pop, they came down hard, bounced late morning, and then stair-stepped their way lower, with the Nasdaq 100 constantly making lower-lows until they reached the low from last Friday, and held at 4440 Nasdaq 100. The S&P 500 refused to break as well and held 2086. In the last half an hour, or so, they bounced back nicely to end mixed on the session.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Stock Market - That’s all Folks! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Ed_Carlson
We continue to expect this election year to see a decline from April to June and believe that last week’s 6 month cycle high marked that high. Equity markets in Presidential election years have a nasty habit of dropping during this period and the eighth year of a Presidential term sees nothing more than a temporary bounce in June before a decline to new lows.
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Wednesday, April 27, 2016
Why Investors Should be Skeptical of Anyone in Power / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2016
By: Rodney_Johnson
Don’t lie, cheat, or steal. Those seem like pretty good rules to live by. Most of us learned these values as children. We watched our parents and, when we strayed from the straight and narrow, suffered through a variety of consequences. The message doesn’t get through to everyone, of course, so we still need prisons for criminals.But there’s a group of people who exist in the gray area, that shadowy space between upstanding citizens and outright thieves.
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Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Cyber Fraud At SWIFT – $81 Million Stolen From Central Bank, Digital Gold / Stock-Markets / Cyber Crime
By: GoldCore
Swift, the vital global financial network that western financial services companies, institutions and banks use for all payments and transfer billions of dollars every day, warned its customers yesterday evening that it was aware of cyber fraud and a number of recent “cyber incidents” where attackers had sent fraudulent messages over its system and $81 million was apparently stolen from a central bank.
Tuesday, April 26, 2016
Stock Market Holding Up...Bears Simply Have Nothing.....Fed On Deck... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Jack_Steiman
The market tried once again to sell today, but again the selling was nothing to talk about. The market was down decently during the trading day, but the buyers, as usual, stepped back in with authority and kept the losses quite small. The market is trying to unwind overbought oscillators with the normal, no-price depreciation set-up, which is basically all we ever see. That's classic bull-market behavior. Seven year's worth for the most part. Nothing has changed. It really is the same old. In fact, this newsletter is the same old. There's never really anything new or interesting to talk about. Any time we try to swell, the buyers come in, etc. No sustained selling other than very brief periods for seven full years with no end on the horizon. Buyers are trained to step in and buy every time we sell some.
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Monday, April 25, 2016
Parameters for a Stock Market Sell Signal-in-the-making / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX bounced off both Short-term support and the rally trendline. At the time of the bounce, support was at 2077.37. There appears to be one more probe, possibly to 2088.00 to complete the retracement from today’s decline.
Friday’s bounce appears to be a 37.7% retracement of Wave (i). I wonder what happened to those 80-90% retracements?
An aggressive sell signal may be given once the trendline and Short-term support, now at 2078.20 are crossed. Further confirmation may be had at the mid-cycle support line at 2072.14.
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Monday, April 25, 2016
Is July 5th the Next Stock Market Bottom? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Brad_Gudgeon
The chart below shows a repeating pattern of 115 trading day tops on the S&P 500 virtually shadowing the 100 trading day cycle to cycle lows. The 100 TD lows can run anywhere between 85 and 115 trading days. This low is commonly referred to as the 20-week low. The 20-week low is half of the dominant 9-month low that usually runs about 40 weeks .
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Monday, April 25, 2016
Stock Market S&P 500 Below 2,100 Mark - Uptrend Reversal Or Just Correction? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral. Our medium-term outlook remains bearish, as the S&P 500 index extends its lower highs, lower lows sequence:
Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): neutral
Monday, April 25, 2016
Stock Market Dangerous Divergence / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: James_Quinn
The chart below would appear to be in conflict with the results of a recent Gallup poll regarding stock ownership by Americans. The ratio of household equities to money market fund assets is near a record high, 60% above the 2007 high and 30% above the 1999 internet bubble high. The chart would appear to prove irrational exuberance among the general populace.
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Sunday, April 24, 2016
Stock Market Upside Objective Reached / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: The beginning of a lengthy correction may be underway!
SPX Intermediate trend: Potential rally top.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
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Sunday, April 24, 2016
The Dow Jones is a Catalyst for Misplaced Stock Market Optimism / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Dylan_Waller
The Curious Recovery of the Dow Jones
After delivering stellar gains after America’s economic recovery in 2008, the Dow Jones Industrial Average has stalled, with a 1 year decline of 0.19%. A further examination of the components of the Dow Jones, and most importantly how stronger performing components have replaced some of the sub par links, reveals that its strong benchmark of success after 2008 has been a catalyst for misplaced optimism for America’s stock market. Its current mediocre performance is further troublesome, as one can holistically examine a flurry of sell offs this year in multiple sectors, such as the energy, biotechnology, and banking sectors. The Dow Jones stands as a misleading rosy shaded picture of how America, and most specifically its stock market, has recovered and continues to prevail. Weak fundamentals can easily be seen by examining areas of America’s economy, particularly areas the middle class is most vulnerable to, as well as the stock price losses experienced in other crucial sectors of America’s economy. A list of 30 companies is certainly too small of a sample size to holistically represent America’s stock market, yet I think the modifications and strategic exclusion of vulnerable areas makes the impact of its distortion of reality much stronger than one would initially assume.
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Saturday, April 23, 2016
Stocks Bull or Bear Market Rally? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2016
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2081. On Monday it dipped down to SPX 2074 and then started to rally to new uptrend highs. By late Wednesday the SPX hit 2111, and then started to decline. By Friday morning the SPX hit 2081, then bounced to end the week at 2092. For the week the SPX/DOW were +0.55%, the NDX/NAZ were -1.10%, and the DJ World index gained 0.70%. Economic reports for the week were mostly positive. On the downtick: building permits, housing starts and the Philly FED. On the uptick: existing home sales, the FHFA index, leading indicators, the WLEI and weekly jobless claims improved. Next week’s reports will be highlighted by the FOMC meeting, Q1 GDP and the PCE. Best to your weekend and week!