Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, May 16, 2008
S&P Developing Bullish Pattern, While Crude Oil Still Refuses to Rest / Stock-Markets / Exchange Traded Funds
Thursday morning I posted a weekly S&P 500 chart for subscribers noting: "Although we still have two trading days remaining this week, a very interesting and potentially extremely bullish pattern has developed since the end of April. Let's notice that the cash SPX is poised to thrust out of a 3-week bullish consolidation pattern if the price structure climbs and sustains above 1422.72." Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Credit Crisis Investment Round Table- There's Still Life After Sub-prime / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
IS the earthquake that shook the world's leading financial markets last autumn over, or are there still damaging aftershocks to come - in the markets themselves and in the macro economy? This is the question that The Business Times put to a group of international investment experts and the responses in general were encouraging for investors. There is money to be made even in the immediate aftermath of the crisis, not least in commodities. But investment strategies need to be thought out even more carefully than usual at a time such as this. Our four experts set out their thinking - and their model portfolios - for the benefit of BT readers.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 14, 2008
Nasdaq Hits Upside Trendline Channel / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) continue to stair-step higher towards the top of the March-May channel at 50.00/20, which should provide the next serious challenge to the powerful 8-week advance. My overall technical work is warning me to be prepared for another attempt by the bears to reverse the direction of the Q's, which if successful should press prices back towards the 48.30/00 support zone. This should not be construed as a call to short the Q's -- at least not yet anyway.Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 13, 2008
Institutional Selling Warns of Stock Market Weakness / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Which index will be right ... the Dow Jones Industrials or the Institutional index with their "core holdings"?
Chart 1 is a 2003-2008 graph of the Dow Jones Industrial Average. Note how it has had a 5 year up channel. The channel broke to the downside ... but then the DOW moved back into the channel.
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Monday, May 12, 2008
Triage In Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Credit Crunch
Global financial markets are in extreme triage following the credit contraction of August 2007. It is believed central bankers are trying to restore markets to help the economy. In truth, they are like life insurance companies fighting to keep a wealthy patient alive so the high premiums will continue to be paid and the large death payout will be postponed.Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, May 11, 2008
Stock Market Seasonal Trend Analysis / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
The good news is: The secondaries held up better than the blue chips in last weeks decline.
Short Term - The secondaries lead both up and down. Although all of the major indices declined last week the S&P 500 (SPX) was down 1.81% while the Russell 2000 (R2K) was down only 0.78%.
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Sunday, May 11, 2008
A Stealthy Stock Market You Shouldn't Ignore / Stock-Markets / Japanese Stock Market
Ahead of the vote for Russian prime minister, Vladimir Putin set forth plans for a robust macroeconomic financial policy, reigniting the stock market to 2,280--a 3 percent gain--crossing the 2,200 mark for the first time since January as investor confidence swelled. Putin's primary goal: Reduce the tax burden on the oil sector to stimulate production and crude oil refining and lower inflation to single digits within the next few years.Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, May 10, 2008
Financial Markets Spring Break-Down / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Financial Sphere & Fed Gone Wild / cost, well over $500 Trillion in notional derivativesWith no apparent end in sight to their omnipotent magical power, as you watched our fascist-like fed usurp ever-more control over the financial sphere, were you impressed enough to trade-long shortly following their lead in contriving the spasmodically incessant rally from the March lows?
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Friday, May 09, 2008
The Hard Facts of Manipulated Economic Statistics / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
The debasement of the economic indicators by our federal government is finally getting some attention from the public media . All of the indicators, including the money supply, the unemployment statistics and inflation are being “doctored” to make thing appear better than they are.Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 09, 2008
Investment View From China: The Secret Path to Profits / Stock-Markets / China Economy
BEIJING, CHINA - Whether you're trying to invest profitably in the region here, or are just trying to understand what's going on, there's a single secret that will virtually guarantee your long-term success.
And I'm going to tell you what that secret is.
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Friday, May 09, 2008
Your Latest Credit Crisis Road Map / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
Mike Larson writes: New developments in the credit and bond markets are happening fast and furiously. This week, I'm going to give you my latest take on the most significant news unfolding.
I'll tell you what I'm seeing, why it matters, and what it means to you as an investor. Here goes ...
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Friday, May 09, 2008
The Falling US Dollar is No Friend to the US Financials / Stock-Markets / Banking Stocks
The affects of the declining U.S. currency goes beyond simply providing inflationary pressures, stronger foreign currencies and high gold prices, it also has a direct impact on how portfolios should be weighted. Since the beginning of the waterfall drop of the world's reserve currency, funds have rotated into energy stocks and out of financials. And this action is never favourable for the S&P 500.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Stock Market Trend Analysis for May 2008 / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
To make money in the stock market it is important to follow the trend. It is best to begin with the big picture in mind and then work our way down to weekly and then daily views of the charts. You will notice that the chart and the value of the indicators change as we move from a monthly to a weekly and then a daily chart. This is a normal part of the technical analysis.
Let's start with the long term view of the S&P 500. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) seems to be a good indicator of the cyclical bull and bear markets. In addition, the 78-week Exponential Moving Average (EMA) acts as support in a bull market and resistance in a bear market.
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Thursday, May 08, 2008
Euro/Dollar Topping, S&P 500 Stocks Index Bottoming? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets
Two very significant technical breakouts could be approaching at the moment that will confirm a near-term top in the Euro/Dollar and an intermediate-term bottom in the cash S&P 500.
As we speak (Wednesday, May 7) the Euro/$ is pressing towards a test of key
support at 1.5360/40, while the cash SPX appears to be poised to thrust
above its 7-month resistance line in the vicinity of 1421. Should these
breaks occur, the Euro points to 1.5000 next, while the SPX points to 1460.
Thursday, May 08, 2008
Dow Jones Bearish Wedge Time Frames Analysis- Yorba TV Show / Stock-Markets / US Stock Markets
Today I would like to talk about charting in different time frames so that the trader may get a different persspective on the market he or she is trading.
The first picture is an hourly chart on the Dow Jones Industrials. On the far right it shows the reversal we had in the last week. Remember I had said that the markets were in a topping process and you asked whether I would go short on Friday? My answer was that I would go short when the market tells me.
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Thursday, May 08, 2008
Stocks Bear Market Relief Rally is Weaker than Expected / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The only thing remarkable about the recent rally in U.S. equities is how unremarkable it has been. To be sure, you would think that with the ‘worst' being ‘over' stocks would be able to mount a significant bounce. This hasn't been the case, at least not yet.Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Your Essential Chinese Investing Toolbox / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
If you read my Money and Markets column on a regular basis, you're probably interested in the lucrative investment opportunities that can be found in Asia and particularly China.
One of the most common questions I receive from readers is HOW to research both the Asian economies and individual companies. The language barriers and lack of media coverage in the U.S. lead many investors to believe the task is daunting. But it's a lot easier than you think ... if you know where to look!
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Wednesday, May 07, 2008
Top 10 Global Investment Trends to Follow for the Next 18 Months / Stock-Markets / Investing
There's an old Wall Street adage that tells us that "the trend is your friend." And there's a witty bit of wisdom we've developed here at Money Morning to help guide our readers and us that says: "Go global or go home."
Combine those two and you'll discover that you've got yourself one very strong investing strategy - if you choose the right trends, that is.
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Tuesday, May 06, 2008
Nasdaq Q's Correction Ends / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
I have very preliminary signals that the decline from Friday's high at 49.29 in the Q's (NASDAQ: QQQQ) ended this morning at 48.14. If accurate then the Q's should NOT violate 48.14 on any ensuing weakness and instead should continue higher towards a retest of last Friday's high at 49.27 on the way to new multi-month recovery highs projected into the 50.00/40 target zone.Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 05, 2008
Delusional Stock Investors and Credit Crisis Vultures / Stock-Markets / Credit Crisis 2008
The actions of Central Banks over the past six weeks have helped global markets rebound from their mid-March troughs. Markets that were down 20%-40% from their peaks of last year have now rebounded 8%-10%. So are we now about to launch into a new bull market or are we merely experiencing a counter-trend rally in a bear market?
A Reuters article (28th April, 2008) ran the headline... “Feasting vultures say market may have bottomed ... The allure of rotting mortgage bonds has grown so strong that Wall Street's vultures have begun picking over the carcasses... these intrepid investors have begun betting billions on a hunch that mortgage security prices have fallen enough.”
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