Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, March 19, 2020
Uncharted Market Territory? No - complimentary webinar from EWI / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2020
By: EWI
Hi,
There's a lot of misinformation in the financial news right now.
You have questions. Now get answers.
On Friday, March 20, at 1pm ET, our friends at Elliott Wave International will present a special webinar by their Global Markets Strategist, Brian Whitmer. Brian will present indicators that have stood the test of time and are critically important to investors at a time like this.
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Thursday, March 19, 2020
How COVID-19 Leads to 2008-Style Bank Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Crisis 2020
By: Patrick_Watson
The COVID-19 virus is pushing an economy that was already approaching a cliff. Will it go over the edge?
Probably. And the Federal Reserve lifeline is wearing thin.
I have to admit, I didn’t foresee this. Six weeks ago, I said 2020 would probably bring continued low growth. Then I noted several brewing crises that could cause major problems. A pandemic wasn’t on my list.
But then, using the impeachment trial as an example, I added…
Wednesday, March 18, 2020
The Chartology of Coronavirus Deflationary Event / Stock-Markets / Deflation
By: Rambus_Chartology
The great debate on whether we’re going to see inflation or deflation has been answered in spades. For years some of the greatest minds of our time have discussed this issue in great detail with each side giving probable reasons as to why we’ll see either inflation or deflation. Both sides can make great points to their arguments but in the end only one side will win the battle that has been raging on for years. While the fundamentalist argue their points I’m going to show you from a Chartology perspective the true story of what is taking place in this great debate.
In this Weekend Report we’ll look at some short, intermediate and long term charts for the US dollar and some commodities indexes to paint a picture of what millions of investors, from around the world are actually doing with their money. These investors leave their mark on a chart that show up as short term battles to longer term wars that can last for years. These battles and wars create chart patterns that define the winner and looser of each encounter.
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Wednesday, March 18, 2020
The Stocks Bear Market Is Upon Us... Or Not / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
I have to tell you that the last 6 months in this market have been the most unusual of my career as a public analyst. And I tried warning many of you of the potential, yet most chose to deride my perspective, as many got suckered into the biggest fake-out I have ever seen in the market.
In my analysis published on emerging markets back in early February entitled “Sentiment Speaks: Emerging Markets Look Sick,” I warned that EEM presented us with a chart that looked truly bearish for 2020. Moreover, I had been warning members of ElliottWaveTrader.net that IWM has not confirmed the breakout we saw in the SPX for several months. It was for this reason that I was unwilling to aggressively play the long side in the equity market, at least until IWM proved otherwise.
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Monday, March 16, 2020
Stock Market Trend Forecast Number Crunching / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
This is one of those articles that are packed with resources showing your what to expect for various assets both long-term and short-term and will guide you through these volatile times and this year.
Our friends and followers continue to contact us asking what to expect and what should they be doing with their assets and trades? Our research and analysis have been very clear up to this point; we warned of a Zombie Rally in early November and early December 2019, we warned that Oil would fall below $40 on November 15, 2019, and we warned of a global Black Swan event on January 26, 2020.
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Monday, March 16, 2020
This Will Signal the Stocks Bear Market's Halfway Point / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
On March 12, the date the DJIA closed lower more than 2350 points, the U.S. chief equity strategist for a major financial firm appeared on Bloomberg after the market close and opined that "90% of the damage has been done."
He went on to affirm that if an investor's time horizon is longer than two weeks, then yes, the stock market plunge represents a good buying opportunity.
Well, if that's the sentiment after the DJIA had shed more than 28% (through March 12), then the downturn may have ways more to go than just another 10%. In other words, such financial confidence is usually not the prevailing sentiment near the end of a bear market.
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Monday, March 16, 2020
New Coronavirus Warnings of Stock Market Shutdown, Martial Law / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
As cancellations, emergency restrictions, and panic selling of assets spreads, the global economy is at risk of grinding to a halt. We are already in the throes of the worst market mayhem since 2008.
If the news on the coronavirus front gets any worse from here, we will be facing a once in a century financial crisis – and a possible Great Depression ahead.
That said, there are at least some reasons to be hopeful. The number of coronavirus cases in China and Korea appears to have plateaued. Warmer weather in the weeks ahead and more aggressive containment strategies may begin to inhibit the spread of the deadly infection in the U.S. and Europe.
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Sunday, March 15, 2020
Dow Stock Market Crash Watch Update / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: readtheticker
As expected reality was to knock on the door of everything priced to perfection, but is the panic selling done yet?
Sunday, March 15, 2020
Stocks Keep Plunging Like There’s No Tomorrow / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Arkadiusz_Sieron
If you think that yesterday’s session in stocks was a bloodbath, don’t look at today’s overnight trading. It would be an understatement to say that the markets didn’t buy into stimulus package contours or the 30-day Europe flights ban. What about today’s ECB monetary policy statement, can that really lift the bulls? Enjoy the wild ride and despair not, as we’re profiting on it.
Let’s jump right into the weekly chart to see the shape of the week-in-progress (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Sunday, March 15, 2020
Crashing Markets and the Threat of Deflation Will Lead to the Next Great Inflation / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
As the coronavirus spreads fear, sickness, and death, a specter haunts investors – the specter of deflation.
Despite central bankers’ attempts to push inflation rates higher, equity and commodity markets are collapsing. Inflation expectations as reflected in tanking U.S. Treasury yields, meanwhile, appear headed toward zero – and perhaps even below.
“I think that we have a real danger of deflation in the economy right now,” former Trump economic advisor Stephen Moore told Fox Business’ Maria Bartiromo last weekend.
Clearly, symptoms of deflation and leading indicators of economic contraction are now manifesting in dramatic ways:
Sunday, March 15, 2020
Small Cap Stocks Hold The Key To The Rest Of 2020 And Beyond / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
Right before I had to undergo a surgery at the end of the first week of February, I began to pen an article regarding the potential bearish set up in IWM as a follow up to the bearish analysis I posted about EEM earlier that week entitled “Sentiment Speaks: Emerging Markets Look Sick.”
In fact, I have used the same title in this article which was intended for the bearish article I began writing in early February about IWM. Unfortunately, I got too busy to complete that article, but needless to say, the structure in IWM remained quite troubling as long as it maintained below 174.
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Sunday, March 15, 2020
Is This A Bear Market When Stocks Crash 20% and Bonds Spike 30% / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It is another blood bath in the markets with everything down, including TLT (bonds) and gold. Safe havens falling with stocks is not a good sign as people are not comfortable owning anything, even the safe havens, and this to me is a very bearish sign.
Now, with that said, this is one day one of this type of price action and one day does not constitute a new trend or change the game, but if we start seeing more of this happen, we could be on the verge of the bear market we have all been expecting to show it ugly face.
The SP500 (SPY) is down 19.5% from the all-time high we saw just three weeks ago, and the general bias for most people is once the market is down 20% that is a new bear market. I can’t entirely agree with that general rule. Still, a lot of damage is happening to the charts. If price lingers down here or trades sideways for a few months I will see it as a new bear market consolidation before it heads lower, and we start what could be very deep market selloff and test 2100 on the SP500 index (SPY $210) for the next leg down looking forward several months.
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Friday, March 13, 2020
Coronavirus Impact: Financial Markets Meltdown / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Submissions
WHO declared coronavirus outbreak pandemic as confirmed cases top 124k globally. Meanwhile almost 4,600 are dead. Germany’s Merkel says 60-70% of population potentially at risk. Italy closes most stores. US has restricted non-essential travel from Europe.
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Thursday, March 12, 2020
Is This A Bear Market When Stocks Crash 20% and Bonds Spike 30% / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
It is another blood bath in the markets with everything down, including TLT (bonds) and gold. Safe havens falling with stocks is not a good sign as people are not comfortable owning anything, even the safe havens, and this to me is a very bearish sign.
Now, with that said, this is one day one of this type of price action and one day does not constitute a new trend or change the game, but if we start seeing more of this happen, we could be on the verge of the bear market we have all been expecting to show it ugly face.
The SP500 (SPY) is down 19.5% from the all-time high we saw just three weeks ago, and the general bias for most people is once the market is down 20% that is a new bear market. I can’t entirely agree with that general rule. Still, a lot of damage is happening to the charts. If price lingers down here or trades sideways for a few months I will see it as a new bear market consolidation before it heads lower, and we start what could be very deep market selloff and test 2100 on the SP500 index (SPY $210) for the next leg down looking forward several months.
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Thursday, March 12, 2020
Stock Market Elliott Wave Trend Forecast / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Dear Reader,
Our friends at Elliott Wave International have been guiding investors through bull and bear markets since 1979. From that long experience, they know that at certain market junctures, they can help the most by giving everyone their latest analysis free.
Now is one of those market junctures.
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Thursday, March 12, 2020
Markets, Mania, and Meltdown - a Brief Synopsis of the Past Month / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Andy_Sutton
The past month has been one of nearly continuous turmoil in the financial markets”. That might well be the understatement of this still fairly new century. Keep in mind that during the past 20 years, we’ve had 2 significant recessions (according to the Bureau of Economic Analysis), a complete meltdown of the .com mania, the inflation of a real-estate bubble and its subsequent bursting, the halving of US financial indexes, and the bankruptcy of names like Lehman Brothers, and AIG to name a few. Throw in a massive bailout, a fusillade of rescue programs like TARP, TSLF and the resulting blowout of the federal reserve’s balance sheet. This is within the first 10 years. Keep that in mind.
The second ten years have featured D-E-B-T – on all levels. Governments of the world, states and provinces, local municipalities and parishes, students, consumers, homeowners. In short? Pretty much everyone. That debt has driven the economy for the past decade. Globally. Many will think this is just an American problem. It’s not. Misery loves company, right? Not so fast. In this brave new world of interlocking economies and financial systems, a failure on the other side of the world can cause problems in our own back yards.
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Wednesday, March 11, 2020
As Virus Stirs Panic, Financial Doomsday Scenario Looms – Are YOU Prepared? / Stock-Markets / Pandemic
By: Money_Metals
We appear to be entering the sort of scenario that doomsday preppers have been warning about for years. A pandemic is spreading death and panic around the world. Markets are crashing. Store shelves are emptying…
How long will it be before the economy grinds to a halt completely? How long will it be before the heavily leveraged financial system simply freezes up?
Emergency rate cuts by the Federal Reserve won’t necessarily keep the banks open. Central bankers won’t necessarily keep grocery stores supplied with food. And they won’t necessarily help you and your family survive the present crisis.
Wednesday, March 11, 2020
Coronavirus Stocks Bear Market March and April 2020 Trend Forecast - Part1 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
This analysis continues from (How Deadly is the Coronavirus - Case Fatality Rate (CFR) Analysis) that seeks to conclude in a probable trend forecast for the unfolding Coronavirus stocks bear market that has caught most market participants by surprise, one where the formulaic mainstream financial press see's a bottom in EVERY BOUNCE! Well the Dow's latest plunge Friday makes a mockery of such expectations of barely a few trading days ago! For as I try and point out from time to time that technical analysis on it's own is NOT enough! Which is why I try and keep my antenna's focused on any outside market influencing factors that could drive stock prices at some point in the future where we have the usual drivers such as population growth, climate change, governments printing money that resulted in driving the Dow from a 1930's low of 40 to the recent high of 29,600. Without money printing there would be no exponential stocks bull market as the indices rotate in new rising corps and eject old dieing corps. Likewise, way back in January when most were shrugging their shoulders to "corona what?" my antenna was focused on what was taking place in Hubei China that was sending alarm bell rings despite art the time the Dow was was busy making a series of new all time highs.
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Wednesday, March 11, 2020
The Fed’s Baffling Response to the Coronavirus Explained / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Ellen_Brown
When the World Health Organization announced on Feb. 24 that it was time to prepare for a global pandemic, the stock market plummeted. Over the following week, the Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped by more than 3,500 points, or 10%. In an attempt to contain the damage, the Federal Reserve on March 3 slashed the fed funds rate from 1.5% to 1.0%, in its first emergency rate move and biggest one-time cut since the 2008 financial crisis. But rather than reassuring investors, the move fueled another panic sell-off.
Exasperated commentators on CNBC wondered what the Fed was thinking. They said a half-point rate cut would not stop the spread of the coronavirus or fix the broken Chinese supply chains that are driving U.S. companies to the brink. A new report by corporate data analytics firm Dun & Bradstreet calculates that some 51,000 companies around the world have one or more direct suppliers in Wuhan, the epicenter of the virus. At least 5 million companies globally have one or more tier-two suppliers in the region, meaning that their suppliers get their supplies there; and 938 of the Fortune 1,000 companies have tier-one or tier-two suppliers there. Moreover, fully 80% of U.S. pharmaceuticals are made in China. A break in the supply chain can grind businesses to a halt.
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Wednesday, March 11, 2020
The DSI Says Gold and Bonds Are About to Tank / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: The_Gold_Report
Bob Moriarty of 321gold explains why he believes gold needs a correction.
In military aviation pilots are taught about an important concept called being on the Back Side of the Power Curve. For every aircraft and altitude there is a speed and power curve. Until the aircraft gets too slow things work just fine. A lot like the Fed. But when the aircraft flies too slow and drag gets too high, the addition of more power makes the situation worse. The aircraft stalls no matter how much power the pilot applies. A lot like the Fed.
On Tuesday the 3rd of March the Fed surprised the market with a 50 basis point drop in interest rates. The move was intended to reassure the market that the Fed had things under control. The market in turn surprised the Fed by doing the opposite of what those investing using the rear view mirror believed.
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