Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Performance in the Rising Coronavirus Fever / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
The bulls didn’t really get their act together yesterday, and the early gains evaporated a few hours into the session. As stocks closed near their daily lows, what chances of invalidating Tuesday’s breakdown below the important support do the buyers have?
Let’s briefly check what kind of progress the bears made yesterday on the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Stock Market SPY Breaks Below Fibonacci Bearish Trigger Level / Stock-Markets / Stock Index Trading
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Our research team wanted to share this chart with our friends and followers. This dramatic breakdown in price over the past 4+ days has resulted in a very clear bearish trigger which was confirmed by our Adaptive Fibonacci Price Modeling system. We believe this downside move will target the $251 level on the SPY over the next few weeks and months.
Some recent headline articles worth reading:
On January 29, 2020, we issued this research post about a potential WaterFall selloff
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Friday, February 28, 2020
Will CoronaVirus Pandemic Trigger Stocks Bear Market 2020? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stock market that had been an state of denial for several weeks has FINALLY woken up to the reality of the CORONAVIRUS PANDEMIC STORM that has triggered a series of waterfall drops this weeks, slicing through technical support levels as though they did not exist, catching most market commentators completely by surprise who had assumed that the virus would remain largely within China's borders. However, my Coronavirus analysis in a series of articles and videos starting late January increasingly warned to expect severe market consequences in response to the unfolding Global Pandemic.
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
Dow Long-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Triggering a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
- Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020
- QE4EVER
- As Goes January So Goes the Year
- Short-term Trend Analysis
- Long-term Trend Analysis
- ELLIOTT WAVES
- Formulating a Stock Market Trend Forecast
- Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
- TRADING THE DOW
- Will Trump Win US Presidential Election 2020?
TREND ANALYSIS
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
India's Nifty 50 Stocks: Does the Bad Jobs Outlook Spell Trouble for Stocks? / Stock-Markets / India
By: EWI
India's "employment outlook" just reached its lowest level in 14 years.
There are a lot of mouths to feed in India -- north of 1.3 billion.
That means a lot of jobs are required to put food on the table for a lot of people. But there's a problem: the jobs picture in the world's second most populous nation isn't pretty.
As far back as a year ago, the Washington Post said (Feb. 1, 2019):
**India's jobs crisis is worse than people thought ...
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Thursday, February 27, 2020
Has the Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past 5+ days, a very clear change in market direction has taken place in the US and global markets. Prior to this, the US markets were reacting to Q4 earnings data and minimizing the potential global pandemic of the Coronavirus. The continued “rally to the peak” process was taking place and was very impressive from a purely euphoric trader standpoint. Our researchers found it amazing that the markets continued to rally many weeks after the news of economic contraction and quarantines setup in China/Asia.
Make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before you continue reading this or you may miss our next special report!
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Fake Markets Are on Collision Course with Reality / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: MoneyMetals
Keeping up appearances is about to get a lot harder for the central planners trying to manage perceptions of the U.S. (and global) economy. The coronavirus is going to have a meaningful impact on global supply chains, even if stock market cheerleaders haven’t fully realized it yet.
This might be because the corporate media and ruling elites are burning a lot of what is left of their fading credibility trying to ignore or downplay the problem.
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Is This What Falling Through the Floor Looks Like in Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
While last week brought us higher stock prices, Thursday and Friday were bad days for the bulls. And little wonder, as the technical deterioration continues to play out. Looking at both the closing prices on Friday and today’s premarket action, how close to the end in this correction are we?
Let’s check yesterday’s price action in the weekly chart’s context (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
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Wednesday, February 26, 2020
Stock Market Correction Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend from the 2009 low continues.
SPX Intermediate trend: Uncertain. Need time to evaluate
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Tuesday, February 25, 2020
Has Stock Market Waterfall Event Started Or A Buying Opportunity? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Over the past 5+ days, a very clear change in market direction has taken place in the US and global markets. Prior to this, the US markets were reacting to Q4 earnings data and minimizing the potential global pandemic of the Coronavirus. The continued “rally to the peak” process was taking place and was very impressive from a purely euphoric trader standpoint. Our researchers found it amazing that the markets continued to rally many weeks after the news of economic contraction and quarantines setup in China/Asia.
Make sure to opt-in to our free market trend signals newsletter before you continue reading this or you may miss our next special report!
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Monday, February 24, 2020
Dow Short-term Trend Analysis - Coronavirus Trigger a Stocks Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
- Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020
- QE4EVER
- As Goes January So Goes the Year
- Short-term Trend Analysis
- Long-term Trend Analysis
- ELLIOTT WAVES
- Formulating a Stock Market Trend Forecast
- Dow Stock Market Forecast Conclusion
- TRADING THE DOW
- Will Trump Win US Presidential Election 2020?
TREND ANALYSIS
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
Stock Market Deviation from Overall Outlook for 2020 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
My analysis of 30th December 2019 (Stock Market Trend Forecast Outlook for 2020) concluded in an overall outlook for the stock market for 2020 to target a trend towards 30,750 to 31,000 for a gain of between 8% to 9% for the year. This acts as a road map against which to measure relative strength or weakness as the Dow charts it's trend through the year.
A linear trend to 31,000 by end of 2020 would price the Dow at 28,830 today, against the last close of 29,102 which shows +272 point deviation against the linear trend, despite early January's surge to +750 that many had taken to imply 30,000 was just around the corner, instead resolving in a -600 deviation.
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
The Shanghai Composite and Coronavirus: A Revealing Perspective / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
By: EWI
China's Shanghai Composite has been in a large-scale downtrend for about 13 years.
So, when the news of the coronavirus outbreak hit, it came as less of a shock to Elliott Wave International's global analysts.
You may ask, "What in the world does one have to do with the other?"
Our just-published February Global Market Perspective provides insight:
When a major infectious disease breaks out, we find that a stock market correction has usually preceded it. That observation is germane right now because China's Shanghai Composite has been tracing out a large-degree correction since its peak in 2007 and, not coincidentally, China has experienced numerous outbreaks of highly lethal infectious diseases over the 13-years-and-counting period.
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
Baltic Dry, Copper, Oil, Tech and China Continue Call for Stock Market Crash Soon / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
By: Clive_Maund
Technical analyst Clive Maund takes a hard look at various charts and sees an impending breakdown of commodity and tech markets.
In this update we are going to review a small but important range of commodities and lead indicators that strongly suggest the seemingly endless bull market in U.S. equities is living on borrowed time and will end sooner rather than later. Given how long it has lasted and how extremely overvalued the market has become, the downturn will likely start with a crash phase.
Regardless of what the eventual impact of the coronavirus epidemic is, U.S. stock markets, in particular, seem to be in a state of denial about the actual real-world consequences of the Chinese shutdown and its impact on the global supply chain and corporate profitability everywhere, and some elements even seem to be gloating about China's misfortune and predicament, completely oblivious to the fact that this is going to have a negative impact on almost everyone.
The following points were made by a reader, and while I don't necessarily concur with all he has written, I am open to the possibility that all or much of this may be correct, and if it is, we are looking at serious problems emerging before much longer.
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Saturday, February 22, 2020
Is The Technology Sector FANG Stocks Setting Up For A Market Crash? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
FANG stocks seem uniquely positioned for some extreme rotation over the next 6+ months. The continued capital shift that has taken place over the past 5+ years has driven investment and capital into the Technology sector – much like the DOT COM rally. The euphoric rally in the late 1990s seems quite similar to today.
The biggest difference this time is that global central banks have pushed an easy-money monetary policy since just after 2000. The policies and rallies that took place after 9/11 were a result of policies put in place by George W. Bush and Alan Greenspan. Our research team believes these policies set up a process where foreign markets gorged on cheap US Dollars to expand industry and manufacturing throughout the late 1990s and most of the early 2000s. This process sets up a scenario where the US pumped US Dollars into the global markets after the 9/11 terrorist attacks and foreign markets gobbled this capital up knowing they could expand infrastructure, industry, and manufacturing, then sell these products back to the US and other markets for profits. Multiple QE attempts by the US Fed continued to fuel this capital shift.
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Thursday, February 20, 2020
What Can Stop the Stocks Bull – Or At Least, Make It Pause? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Stocks are entering the holiday-shortened week on a strong note. There was no selloff on Friday, as has been the case three preceding weeks in a row. This weekend, there were no spooky coronavirus headlines. Stocks finished on Friday close to their yearly highs, and the beat goes on. In light of today’s premarket decline, the following question is in order. Does the beat really go on?
We’ll start the thorough examination with the weekly chart (charts courtesy of http://stockcharts.com).
Stocks built on last weeks’ gains, and keep trading farther and farther away from the upper border of the rising purple trend channel. While weekly volume doesn’t flash any warning signs of an impending reversal, what about the other indicators?
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Tuesday, February 18, 2020
Stock Market Potential Short-term top / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: Uptrend from the 2009 low continues.
SPX Intermediate trend:
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Monday, February 17, 2020
Financial Markets News Report: February 17, 2020 - February 21, 2020 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Paul_Rejczak
The financial markets continued trading in a risk-on mode last week, as China virus fears were easing and economic data was supporting Fed’s easy monetary policy. This week we will have another series of quite important economic data releases. Let’s take a look at the details.
The week behind
The corona virus fears have almost disappeared last week, as investors’ sentiment has been improving following record-breaking U.S. stock market rally. Tuesday’s-Wednesday’s Testimony from the Fed’s Jerome Powell reassured global financial markets that easy monetary policy will be continued in the future. And we highlighted it in our last week’s Market News Report. Thursday’s Consumer Price Index came in as expected, so inflation remains very low. However, Friday’s Retail Sales number wasn’t that good. And the price of gold remained within a short-term uptrend last week.
Monday, February 17, 2020
Stock Market Bubble - No One Gets Out Of Here Alive! / Stock-Markets / Liquidity Bubble
By: James_Quinn
“The seasons of time offer no guarantees. For modern societies, no less than for all forms of life, transformative change is discontinuous. For what seems an eternity, history goes nowhere – and then it suddenly flings us forward across some vast chaos that defies any mortal effort to plan our way there. The Fourth Turning will try our souls – and the saecular rhythm tells us that much will depend on how we face up to that trial. The saeculum does not reveal whether the story will have a happy ending, but it does tell us how and when our choices will make a difference.” – Strauss & Howe – The Fourth Turning
As we wander through the fog of history in the making, unsure who is lying and who is telling the truth, seemingly blind to what comes next, I look to previous Fourth Turnings for a map of what might materialize during the 2nd half of this current Fourth Turning. After a tumultuous, harrowing inception to this Crisis in 2008/2009, we have been told all is well and are in the midst of an eleven-year economic expansion, with the stock market hitting all-time highs.
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Saturday, February 15, 2020
Is The Technology Stocks Sector Setting Up For A Crash? / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
By: Chris_Vermeulen
One thing that continues to amaze our research team is the total scale and scope of the Capital Shift which is taking place across the globe. For almost 5+ years, foreign investors have been piling into the US stock market chasing the stronger US dollar and continued advancement of US share prices. It is almost like there is no other place on the planet that will allow investors to pool capital into such a variety of strong assets while protecting against foreign capital risks. Yet the one big question remains – when will a price reversion event hit the US stock market?
So many researchers, even our team of researchers, believe we have found the keys to unlocking when the price reversion event will take place. Time-honored technical analysis techniques have set up very clear triggers that were negated by higher prices and continued upside trending. What is certain at this point is that the Capital Shift is going to continue until it stops – at some point in the future.
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