Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, April 09, 2010
It’s Not So Simple, Witnessing a Stock Market Bull Trap / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The weekly chart below of the Dow Jones industrial Index (courtesy Bigcharts.com) shows rising prices on declining volume. Typically, this is bearish sign and should be treated as a serious warning.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
Armstrong Cyclical Stock Market Turning Point April 16th Approaches / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Martin Armstrong is the former chairman of Princeton Economics and the Foundation for the Study of Cycles. As a cyclical theorist and economist Armstrong has predicted a variety of economic events, in many cases to the very day, including the stock market crash of 1987 and the precise movements of gold throughout the 1970’s up until the very top of the market in the early 1980’s. His models are not based on just economic data points, but specific historical cycles going back over 2000 years.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market SPX Levitation Rally Act 2 / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In less than 8 weeks, the flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) has relentlessly powered 12.6% higher. This big run has been very unbalanced too, utterly dominated by long up-day streaks. And for the most part, the occasional down days have been trivial. The SPX simply continues to melt up day after day, its surreal levitation act making traders nervous.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market Forget About It Friday / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
What was all that worry this week - fuhgeddaboudit!
Nothing whitewashes a wall of worry like misdirection. Wave something shiny in front of investors - like gold going over $1,150 an ounce - and everything must be fine in the markets. What’s funny to a grumpy old fundamentalist like me is that gold is flying while the economy is "great" and the financials are in "great shape" and inflation is "tame" and crises in Greece, California, New York etc., etc. are nothing to worry about. So what exactly is the premise for buying gold?
Friday, April 09, 2010
Bye, Bye Silicon Valley — Hello, China / Stock-Markets / Tech Stocks
I talked about this in my March 20 video issue, but the impact is so important that I wanted to make sure that all of you — readers as well as listeners — know about it because it is going to forever change how to invest successfully in technology stocks.
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Friday, April 09, 2010
Stock Market Selloff Needs Catalyst / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
So what will it take for this market to fall is the real question. Set up to fall. Starts to fall. Doesn't fall! It doesn't fall for a variety of reasons, but first and clearly the biggest reason, being the fear of missing out on something big. People just don't want to be left out in the cold. They don't want to look back some day and said they missed the biggest opportunity of a life time. Every drop of selling immediately gets bought up. It feels like a bunch of little kids who got angry and refused to play with their friends. After seeing them have a good time, they don't want to miss the next play date. Folks are like the energizer bunny. When can I buy? When can I buy? Of course, when too many want in and no one wants out, it all comes collapsing down. We're not there yet so relax. Probably not close either. However, sentiment has to be watched very closely here.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Are Bonds Hinting the Rally in Stocks Will Continue? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
Stocks and bonds typically move in opposite directions. When bond prices go down stock prices go up. This is one of the reasons many financial advisors recommend that investors hold bonds and stocks, as they provide balance to their portfolio.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
The Engineering of a Financial Crisis / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
"Nothing is more common on earth than to deceive and be deceived." ~ Johann G. Seume, 1763-1810, German Theologist.
The Dow continues to put in new highs but our 3 moving averages of new highs are trading well off the highs they put in last year. The 20 day moving average (current reading = 640) of new highs would have to surge past the 2500 mark to have a chance of putting in a new high. Based on this week's readings it would have to surge 400% from its current reading. It is very strange and disturbing that a market that appears to be strong is actually not as strong as it appears to be when one examines its internal structure.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
How Might Gold, Silver and T-bonds Behave in a Bear Market? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Can precious metals and U.S. Treasury bonds fall together?
Enjoy this excerpt from Elliott Wave International's free Club EWI resource, Independent Investor eBook (Now With 6 New Chapters!). Please see details on how to read the entire eBook below.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Investing in Peru, South America’s Hidden Gem / Stock-Markets / Emerging Markets
Martin Hutchinson writes: When investing in the emerging markets, you need to cast your net beyond the obvious candidates. Granted, China, Brazil and India have emerged to become very attractive investment stories (I don't trust Russia, the fourth and final "BRIC" economy).
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Mario's Market Takes: The New Reality Random Nightmare / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
I have kept quiet for well over a week watching the threat of explosive upside frenzy boil and boil, listening to practically every very respected primary advisor I am in touch with suggest this explosive upside rally is very much possibly imminent..oh I love the wording. From 60 year cycles to "this is the inflationary response" which even I have said, to sneaky slow bull markets, the markets are only going up driven by obvious sovereign level strategy that the stock markets will indeed be the root of the recovery.Read full article... Read full article...
Thursday, April 08, 2010
New Stock Sector Leadership Ahead / Stock-Markets / Sector Analysis
We just added new tools to analyze sector allocation on our U.S. Economics Monthly research. As of March 2010, the four sectors with highest momentums are consumer discretionary, industrials, technology and financials but that last one is starting to lose some steam (1 to 4). Can we expect these market outperformers to keep being the winners of the next 12 months? What is history telling us?
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Predicting All Major Stock Market Crashes Since 1965! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Discovery
We unexpectedly discovered two sets of conditions preceding every major S&P 500 peak since 1965! We coined such signal the imminent Credit Complacency Crash - CCC. When these two sets occur, it always (so far) caused major stock market crashes. We define a crash as a decline of more than -15%.
Thursday, April 08, 2010
Stock Market Bullish Pullback Starting... / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
I truly believe that this market is only pulling back and setting up again for further gains. The selling should be sporadic. Nothing severe at all. So many stocks hit hugely overbought levels but for the first time many of them we're starting to flash negative divergences on their daily charts. When you add in negative divergences on many oscillators such as RSI, MACD and stochastic's, it's time to relax, take a deep breath and not feel any urgency to be buying any longer.
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Thursday, April 08, 2010
Stocks Bear Market Rally Update, Dissent with Authority / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
One of the most essential elements present at the very founding of America was that of well-reasoned and persistent dissent.
A healthy and aggressive dissent against proclamations of those in authority often results in clearer perspectives on matters of substantial import.
Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Has the Wall Street Journal Lost its Mind? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
In a recent piece from the Wall Street Journal titled “Stocks' Parallel Universe,” columnist Richard Barley paints a relatively rosy picture for an otherwise unexciting stock market. Using recent data and historical examples, Barley attempts to solidify the “soaring” (which is 5.2% year to date) returns of the stock market as a function of an improving economy and stock market. In our humble opinion, his analysis couldn't be further from the truth.
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Wednesday, April 07, 2010
Stock Market More and More Chum / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
The market can not blast higher but has been able to grind higher. There is a reason for this. When markets get full or mature short term only, they need some selling to unwind these overbought conditions. The bull keeps it grinding higher and we have been great beneficiaries of this, but the reality is, there can be no real blast off from here without some real selling first. You can feel the "fullness" of this market. It tried to overcome early morning selling and did its usual good job of doing so but all day was spent in grind mode. The rubber band will snap.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Stock Market Toppy Tuesday, LA City Runs Out of Money on June 30th? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Is Los Angeles unique or just the first?
City Controller Wendy Greuel declared an "urgent financial crisis" and said the only way to continue paying bills in the short term was to begin to drain the city’s already limited emergency reserve. Greuel said the city would need to pull money from its $191 million in reserve funds immediately to pay its bills next month. She expects the city to be out of money, and probably in the red, by June 30. Some officials fear that using that money would not only leave the city without reserves in case of emergencies, it would also probably trigger another downgrade in its Wall Street credit ratings.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Marc Faber Says Don't Buy Stocks, Euro Oversold / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2010
Marc Faber Again says Don't Buy Stocks, Says Equities to end lower this year, Does not expect Stocks to make new highs, and expects a 20% correction.
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Tuesday, April 06, 2010
Monday Stock Market Movement - Can We Go It Alone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2010
It’s lonely out there in Stock Land today.Everybody’s closed today except Japan and they are so thrilled with 94.5 Yen to the dollar that you can’t figure anything out by watching their market add another 53 points this morning to finish the day at 11,339 but it was well off the gap up open at 11,400. As I mentioned in the Weekend Wrap-Up, where we discussed our Super-Secret Strategy for making money off this nonsense - just because a rally is totally propped up BS doesn’t mean it isn’t, technically, a rally - does it?
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