Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets

The analysis published under this topic are as follows.

Monday, August 31, 2015

Stock Market Calls Fed’s Bluff / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Michael_Pento

As the Fed nears its proposed first rate hike in nine years the stock market is becoming frantic.  The Dow Jones Industrial Average is down around 10% on the year, as markets digest the troubling reality that our central bank may be raising interest rates into an emerging worldwide deflationary collapse.

The Fed normally raises rates when inflation is becoming intractable and robust growth is sending long-term rates spiking. However, this proposed rate hike cycle is occurring within the context of anemic growth and deflationary forces that are causing long-term U.S. Treasury rates to fall.

Monday, August 31, 2015

Stock Market - Is The Worst Over? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Paul_Rejczak

Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified

Our intraday outlook is neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:

Intraday outlook (next 24 hours): neutral
Short-term outlook (next 1-2 weeks): neutral
Medium-term outlook (next 1-3 months): bearish
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish

Monday, August 31, 2015

Why Some ETFs Led the Stock Markets Down Last Week / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Shah Gilani writes: Of all the scary things that happened last Monday when the Dow Jones Industrial Average fell more than 1,000 points, nothing was scarier than what happened with exchange-traded funds (ETFs).

They crashed and exacerbated the market sell-off. They're not all a bad risk, and there are some we like to recommend that are quite safe – even essential – during a market reversal.

Monday, August 31, 2015

Stock Market Collapse - Take The Opportunity To Bail Before It’s Too Late! / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: James_Quinn

Last week ended with the cackling hens on CNBC and the spokesmodels on Bloomberg bloviating about the temporary pothole on the road to riches. They assured their few thousand remaining viewers the 11% plunge in the stock market was caused by China and the communist government’s direct intervention in their stock market, arrest of a brokerage CEO, and threat to prosecute sellers surely cured what ails their market. The Fed and their Plunge Protection Team co-conspirators reversed the free fall, manipulating derivatives and creating a short seller covering rally back to previous week levels. The moneyed interests are desperate to retain the appearance of normality and stability, as their debt saturated system teeters on the verge of collapse.

Monday, August 31, 2015

Blame the Federal Reserve, Not China, for Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Dr_Ron_Paul

Following Monday's historic stock market downturn, many politicians and so-called economic experts rushed to the microphones to explain why the market crashed and to propose "solutions" to our economic woes. Not surprisingly, most of those commenting not only failed to give the right answers, they failed to ask the right questions.

Monday, August 31, 2015

Stock Market 50% Retracement / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Andre_Gratian

Current Position of the Market

SPX: Long-term trend - Bull Market?

Intermediate trend - SPX has started an intermediate correction (at least).

Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.

Monday, August 31, 2015

Stock Market Crash Red Alert for 2nd Downwave... / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash

By: Clive_Maund

We are believed to be at an excellent juncture right now to short the broad stockmarket (or buy bear ETFs and Puts). As we know, we did just that before the dramatic plunge early last week, and are now "sitting pretty". Now is the time to add to positions, or if you haven't any and are looking for the right shorting opportunity, this is it.

Sunday, August 30, 2015

The Day the Stock Market Shook the Earth: Takeaways From the Dow’s 1,000-Point Drop / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Investment_U

Matthew Carr writes: I was working from home that day.

My wife had just had surgery, and I was caring for her as she recovered. I was sitting in our main floor living room, answering emails. My wife was on the couch downstairs, watching TV.

All of a sudden, our dog Chloe came running into the room. She jumped up on the couch next to me and started licking my face. Seconds later, the house started shaking.

Sunday, August 30, 2015

Stock Market, GDX Rally Expected, Now What? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Brad_Gudgeon

Last time I wrote, I was expecting an important top in the stock market by the 28th and a minimum of 1985 SPX. We closed at 1988 Friday after tagging 1993. Gold stocks began to rally strongly Thursday into Friday as we hit the 8 TD/3 week low Wednesday at new lows. Now what?

We have the 12/13 TD low due Monday along with a 4 TD 1 TD low max; also a TLC low due then. My expectation is for a quick 57 point SPX drop possible early Monday down to 1930 (see chart below). This should bring down the mining stocks with it, but it should all be temporary. GDX could come down into the mid $13 area, but I expect we may see $17 by Sept 2. As for the stock market, I believe we may have one more up wave left to perhaps the 2014 SPX area pre-Labor Day.

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Aging Stocks Bull Market / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Tony_Caldaro

The week started off at SPX 1971. On Monday, due to overnight selling, there was a huge gap down at the open to SPX 1875. Then after hitting SPX 1867 in the opening minutes the market rallied to 1954 into the early afternoon, and then headed lower again. Tuesday was quite volatile and ended at Monday’s low. Then the market gapped up on Wednesday and Thursday, closing the week’s 100 point opening gap and hitting SPX 1990. On Friday the SPX hit 1993, then ended the week at 1989. For the week the SPX/DOW were +1.00%, the NDX/NAZ were +2.85%, and the DJ World index was +0.30%. On the economic front positive reports outnumbered negative ones 11 to 3. On the uptick: Case-Shiller, the FHFA, new/pending home sales, consumer confidence, durable goods, Q2 GDP, personal income/spending, the PCE, plus weekly jobless claims were lower. On the downtick: the WLEI, the GDPN and consumer sentiment. Next week will be highlighted by the FED’s beige book, Payrolls and the ISMs. Best to your week!

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Economic Destabilization, Financial Meltdown and the Rigging of the Shanghai Stock Market? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market

By: Michel_Chossudovsky

The dramatic collapse of the Shanghai stock exchange has been presented to public opinion as the result of a spontaneous “market mechanism”, triggered by weaknesses in China’s economy.

The Western media consensus in chorus (WSJ, Bloomberg, Financial Times) portend that Chinese stocks tumbled due to “uncertainty” in response to recent data “suggesting a downturn in the world’s second-largest economy”.  

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Casino Capitalism - What’s ahead for China and the US / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015

By: LewRockwell

Eric Margolis writes: My father, a New York financier, used to call dubious stocks or bonds, “Chinese paper.” Last week, we saw a blizzard of Chinese paper, both in China and around the world.

As manager of a sizeable investment portfolio (an unwelcome second job from my main work, journalism), I watched last week’s near death experience on world markets with a mixture of cynicism and alarm.

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Why Monday’s Stock Market Mayhem Was No Surprise / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Investment_U

Anthony Summers writes: After a week of steady declines, investors woke up Monday morning to a huge sell-off as both the S&P and Dow dropped hugely in the early minutes of trading.

The Dow plummeted nearly 4% before seeing its largest intraday point swing ever. The spread between the high and low of the day? An astonishing 1,089 points.

Saturday, August 29, 2015

Stock Market New Range?.....Please Say It Isn't So / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Jack_Steiman

Is everyone's nightmare about to realize yet again? Unfortunately, that may be the case. We may have seen the elevator move down one flight after nearly a year of being stuck on the same floor. The repair man finally got to work, but it seems he left the building a bit too soon. He thought he fixed the problem, but after a quick fix it didn't hold. We're possibly on, yet, another broken elevator to nowhere. The old boring-to-nowhere range was understood to be at 2134 down to 2040. Now the new range may be S&P 50 1900, or thereabouts, to 2040.

Friday, August 28, 2015

Stocks Bear Markets and Interest Rate Hikes, Oh My! / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market

By: Barry_M_Ferguson

The latest bear market has arrived and the Fed will raise the fed funds rate in September. There. It is written.

The conventional ‘bear market’ assumes two things. First, the major stock indices fall 20% from their recent highs. Two, there is a market. Both of these adages are now false in the new era.

Friday, August 28, 2015

Stocks Go Nuts But the Question Remains – Will the Rally Stick? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: ...

MoneyMorning.com Keith Fitz-Gerald writes: On the heels of Monday’s vicious 1,000+ point “dip” and Wednesday’s subsequent 619 point “rip ” higher, many investors are asking one question – will the rally stick?

The media certainly seems to think so:

…Relief Descends on US Stock Market with Best Rally Since 2011 – Bloomberg

…Dow, S&P Enjoy Biggest Percentage Gains in Four Years – MarketWatch

…Chinese Stock Index Jumps 5.3% as Asian Stocks Rise – Yahoo!Finance

Friday, August 28, 2015

Fed’s Stock Market Levitation is Failing / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Zeal_LLC

The US stock markets just suffered an extraordinary plunge, shocking traders out of their complacency psychosis.  This cast the foundational premise behind recent years’ incredible stock-market levitation into serious doubt.  Traders are finally starting to question whether central banks can indeed manipulate stock markets higher indefinitely.  Any wavering in this faith has very bearish implications for stock prices.

Less than two weeks ago, the US’s flagship S&P 500 stock index (SPX) was up above 2100.  It finished August’s middle trading day just 1.3% below the latest record highs from late May.  At the time, the Wall Street analysts were overwhelmingly bullish and saw nothing but clear sailing ahead.  Predictions for the SPX ending this year above 2250 were ubiquitous, and retail investors were urged to aggressively buy stocks.

Friday, August 28, 2015

The Eight Energy Systems Driving The Stock Market Rout / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Dan_Amerman

The energy systems which drove the global stock market rout have been building for months and years, and by the spring of this year, the danger flags were clearly flying. Indeed, as I wrote in May of 2015 in an analysis titled "A Financial "Perfect Storm" May Be Brewing" (link here):

"In the financial world at this very moment, we have eight different "weather systems" that are all developing in real time.

... if several of the more powerful components were to converge – and reinforce each other – then we could very rapidly reach the point of greatest financial instability that the world has seen since 2008."

Friday, August 28, 2015

Dow Theory Transports Daily Chart Positive Development / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Marty_Chenard

For the Dow Theory enthusiast, below is a daily Transport chart as of yesterday's close. Note that it closed higher yesterday and it was above its 7700 resistance level. That was a positive.

Friday, August 28, 2015

Stock Market Margin Calls Mount / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015

By: Anthony_Cherniawski

I have been busy aligning the Wave structures among the various Indexes that we are following. Starting with the SPX, I believe that we are seeing a larger degree wave structure on the decline than on the way up. Because SPX has broken the 4-year trendline, it is possible that Primary Wave [1] or [A] may reach its target at 1650. Diamond and Broadening Top formations usually indicate targets for Wave (C) or (3). In this case there is not enough time for a fifth Intermediate Wave, I am becoming more certain that we will see an (A)-(B)-(C) Wave of Primary Wave [A] ending next week. After a 2-3 week retracement we may see a 5-Wave Primary [C] of Cycle Wave I ending in March, 2016.