Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.Friday, August 28, 2015
Economics of a Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Stock Market Crash
This month has seen something that happens not very often: it appears to be the early stages of a global stock market crash. For the moment investors are in shock, seeking reassurance and keenly intent on preserving their diminishing assets, instead of reflecting on the broader economic reasons behind it. To mainstream financial commentators, blame for a crash is always placed on remote factors, such as China’s financial crisis, and has little to do with events closer to home. Analysis of this sort is selective and badly misplaced. The purpose of this article is to provide an overview of the economic background to today’s markets as well as the likely consequences.
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Thursday, August 27, 2015
The Difference Between What Traders and Investors Should Do Now / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Alexander Green writes:Over the last couple of weeks, the market has rallied, plunged and rallied again.
Should you buy into this craziness right now? That depends on whether you consider yourself a trader or an investor.
There are a lot of opportunities out there right now for medium- to long-term investors. But it looks dicier for short-term traders.
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Thursday, August 27, 2015
Stock Market Trend & Trade Signal Of the Decade / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
U.S. stocks closed lower Tuesday after a failed attempt to rally from the Dow’s worst 3-day point decline. It’s something I have not seen since the 2008 GLOBAL financial crisis.
The market had its first rally of the downtrend yesterday but it would be a BIG mistake to get bullish for new long-term investments at this point. The major trend is down. The odds favor that this is to be only the first phase of the decline. Today’s rally could take us to 1965 – 2040 level on the SP500. I will be taking short positions in the US markets soon.
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Thursday, August 27, 2015
Stock Market Retracement Rally May be Over / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX appears to have completed its retracement just shy of the 50% retracement value at 1985.25. If so, it is due for the next decline. This may be point 7 of the Orthodox Broadening Top with point 8 being the crash bottom.
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Thursday, August 27, 2015
Why Stocks Could Fall 50% if the Fed Makes the Wrong Move / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By Justin Spittler
One of the most brilliant investors in the world just made a stunning call…
Ray Dalio is the founder of Bridgewater Associates, the world’s largest hedge fund. Dalio manages nearly $170 billion in assets. He has one of the best investing track records in the business. When he speaks, we listen.
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Thursday, August 27, 2015
Stock Market Relief Rally... End Of Pullback Or More To Come? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Today pretty much went as expected. Dramatically oversold conditions not seen in basically forever. A six-day down move that was historic in nature, and caused daily index-chart RSI's to get well below 20, which is extremely rare. The futures were up big yesterday into the same type of oversold conditions, but nearly five-hundred points worth of Dow gains ended the day with two-hundred points worth of losses.
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Thursday, August 27, 2015
China Stocks Bear Market Crash, Are We Near the Bottom Yet? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
China's stock market meltdown that began Mid June from a SSEC trading high of 5,200 had paused under the weight of heavy the Chinese government interventions that in total amount to over $400 billion thrown at the stock market in an attempt to bring the selling to a halt. However, all of that literally went up in smoke along with one of China's largest ports which literally exploded revealing behind the truth of what the Chinese economy is, a mere mirage of the picture of strength and stability that communist party propaganda has been successfully propagating.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Crash Black Wednesday Rally Crushes the Bears / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The mainstream financial press and blogosfear has been full of relentless stories all week painting a picture of doom and gloom. Even the usually buoyant CNBC air heads that usually sit smack middle on the fence, today had turned bearish with expectations at mid US trading today for the days stocks rally to soon run out of steam and reverse to a down close much as the Dow did yesterday. Instead what did the stock market do? It did CRASH, but it was to the UPSIDE! For if falls of 3.5% have been reported on in the press as a CRASH with headlines of Black Monday, then an greater upwards daily move of 619 points, 3.95% should surely be reported upon as a stock market crash to the upside!
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
VIX Shorts Being Squeezed While SPX Prepares for Another Decline / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
Today’s SPX managed to stay in the black, but it’s a Pivot day. This bounce is not a good omen for the market for that reason and the fact that it remains under the hourly Cycle Bottom resistance at 1923.36.
It gives us confirmation of the Wave structure illustrated on the chart. A Wave [iii] would continue to stay under Cycle Bottom resistance, while Wave [iv] may venture inside and Wave [v] ride above the Cycle Bottom until completion.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
China Stock Market Shanghai Composite Index Update... / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
The Chinese market is of interest to us not because we necessarily want to trade it, but because of its effect on other world markets. Its heavy drop on Monday morning contributed to the rout on Wall St later in the day. The Chinese economy is a massive Ponzi scheme that is threatening to implode, with grave implications for the world economy.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
How to Make a Quick 20% When the Stock Market Crashes / Stock-Markets / Financial Crash
Marc Lichtenfeld writes: Have you ever gotten into an argument or fight with someone who goes from calm and rational to nuclear in an instant? It’s scary.
In my life, the few scraps I’ve gotten into took the typical course. A heated debate leads to name-calling and threats. Finally, one guy pushes the other and it’s on.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
NYA Stocks Index Drops to Very Oversold Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
You probably recall that we we discussed the NYA's triangular pattern last week ... and then made comments about the market being in a very high risk condition and that investors should be careful.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Why We Can’t Handle A Stocks Bear Market - State Budgets Will Implode / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
Back when society’s balance sheet was reasonably solid, the occasional bear market was no big deal. A 20% drop in the average S&P 500 stock would scare investors and lead to slight declines in consumer spending and government capital gains tax revenue, but the overall economy would barely notice such a minor speed bump.
But that was then. Like a person with an impaired immune system, today’s developed world is so highly leveraged that a shock of any kind risks catastrophic complications. Which is why governments and central banks now meet every incipient crisis with quick infusions of newly-created cash and lower interest rates. We can’t risk letting markets be markets any more.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stocks Bear Market, Is This 1929 All Over Again? / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bear Market
The Dow has been smashed over the last week which has brought out the usual doom and gloomer’s predicting Armageddon once again. There are several so called experts now predicting a 1929 style bear market.
Admittedly, it is hard not to get caught up in the emotion of days where the market sees a 1000 point intraday drop. So, is this really 1929 all over again? Well, for those that can’t be bothered to read the analysis, the short answer is no. Not as far as I’m concerned anyway.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Start of Stock Market Third Wave / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
SPX nearly took out SPX’s Monday morning lows by mere ticks. This doesn’t bode well for the overnight session. It appears that wave [iii] of 3 or C has begun.
Potentially bad news out of China may set the stage for a much larger sell-off both in China and in the US.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Tanks In Last 15 Minutes; Correction Not Done? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
That was sudden. After soaring at the open and holding big gains all day, US equities fell off the table in the last 15 minutes of trading, ending over 500 DOW points below the day’s high. Guess the, um, uncertainty isn’t over.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
The One Trading Strategy You Needed for Stock Market Crash / Stock-Markets / Options & Warrants
MoneyMorning.com Tom Gentile writes: After yesterday – the worst trading day in recent memory – I want to get serious with you about risk.
If you get this right, you could have banked serious profits yesterday.
And I want to make sure you DO get it right.
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Wednesday, August 26, 2015
Stock Market Hybrid Lindsay Forecast for a Low / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
My July 28 commentary was the last time I gave an update on my Hybrid Lindsay model (a hybrid approach to the work of the late technician, George Lindsay). In that commentary I mentioned my forecast for a low in the period July 24-31 and that I felt the expected low was "very close and may have already been seen last Friday". As it turned out, the low was that Monday, July 27.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
CNBC Bimbos Stock Market Rebound Ecstasy / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
The CNBC bubble headed bimbos and brainless stock touting twits will be in ecstasy today as the ever predictable rebound is under way. The market will soar by over 500 points at the opening as the excuse of the day is China’s desperate interest rate cut to try and stem their downward spiraling economy and markets. The Wall Street captured boob tube brigade will tell their almost non-existent viewership that all is well. The terrifying plunge is in the past. The economy is great. Housing is strong. Stocks are now a bargain. It’s the best time to buy.
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Tuesday, August 25, 2015
China First - Stock Market Freefall. Then -- Panic. Now What? / Stock-Markets / Chinese Stock Market
How does the Chinese market meltdown fit into Asia BIG Elliott wave picture?Yes, China has crashed. But what about the big picture?
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