Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Thursday, May 07, 2020
This Stock Market Makes No Sense / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Avi_Gilburt
The title to this update is likely the most repeated phrase you have heard over the last month from market participants and analysts alike. As more and more bad economic news is presented through the media, somehow, the market just keeps grinding higher.
I think this picture taken from one of Jim Cramer’s shows expresses the disconnect best:
Doesn’t the market understand what everyone else clearly “knows:” we are heading into the next Great Depression?
As I have always tried to make people understand, the stock market and the economy are not one and the same. Rather, there is a reason that the stock market is considered the best “leading indicator” for the economy. And, it is purely because market sentiment (the true underlying driver of the stock market) is seen in action much quicker within the stock market as relative to the fundamentals within the economy, which take time to catch up to the market action.
Read full article... Read full article...
Wednesday, May 06, 2020
SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: readtheticker
Early 2020 the fear was the human race 'David' may suffer terribly under a frightening new flu (COVID 19) 'Goliath', well after few short months it is now clear the human race will win this trial by combat.
Previous Post: SP500 Kitchin Cycle Review
In the previous post the blog said (part 1)
.."We must conclude the major 900 period low is now in, and we are now in a up swing, which may top out ate 2020 or late 2021. Any future top out may only generate a 10% to 20% correction, of course this can be deemed very mild. This is expected, but the expected does not always play out."...
Tuesday, May 05, 2020
Fed Cuts Equities Stimulus 86% This Week and Stocks Are Falling / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
What happens to the global markets when the US Fed begins to weaken stimulus activity and when the global markets must begin to function on their own? Are the global markets capable of sustaining current price levels without the Fed supporting them?
A recent news article suggests the US Fed has drastically slashed stimulus activity over the past 5+ days. From a peak level of nearly $600 Billion a week to current levels near $83 Billion per week – a -86% decrease. How will this reflect in the market’s ability to sustain current price levels in the face of disastrous Q2 expectations? Yup, markets are falling fast and hard going into the weekend as expected!
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 05, 2020
Stock Market Hit Resistance and Fell, Transportation Sector Forms Topping Pattern / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Recently, the Transportation Index and the S&P SPDR ETF setup topping patterns near the end of April 2020. In terms of technical triggers, these patterns need to see additional downside price confirmation before we can confirm the true potential for these setups. If they do confirm, we could be starting a new downside price trend fairly soon.
The recent market upside price move is dramatically different on the TRAN chart vs. the SPY chart. Even though the SPY price advance has mirrored the move in the ES and NQ, the TRAN upside price move has been more muted. This is because global economic activity has continued to stall and is not translating into active shipping and trucking activity. Remember, the Transportation Index helps us to understand the core levels of economic activity as parcels and products move around the globe.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, May 05, 2020
Stock Market Resuming the Major Downtrend? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX: Long-term trend – We are in an official bear market
Intermediate trend – resuming decline?
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discusses the course of longer market trends.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, May 04, 2020
Stock Market “Fundamentals ? It’s ALL in the Chartology” / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Rambus_Chartology
Before we look at tonight’s Precious Metals charts I would like to make a comment on the US stock markets. I will take some flack over some of the comments I’m going to make but that’s fine as it won’t be the first time nor the last.
Let me start by saying, “The only rule when it comes to trading the stock markets is, “There Are No Rules.” The other important rule that I live by is that, “the markets are always right regardless of what I think.” It’s interesting to hear comments like, the markets don’t trade like they used so its not any fun anymore. Even trading during the mania phase in the tech bubble parabolic rise wasn’t easy. Or the markets can’t keep going up because of no volume or interest rates are too high or countless other reasons that only make sense according to traditional investing.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, May 01, 2020
How To Reduce Trading Risks When Using CFDs / Stock-Markets / Risk Analysis
By: Submissions
...
Tuesday, April 28, 2020
This Major Stock Market Indicator is Flashing a HUGE Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
Here's what should happen during a bear-market rally as sentiment rises
A question was posed to Elliott Wave International President Robert Prechter for a classic Elliott Wave Theorist (Prechter's monthly publication about financial markets and social trends since 1979):
Under the Wave Principle, what is the most important thing to watch other than price?
Prechter answered:
Volume.
You see, high trading volume means that traders are displaying a great deal of conviction about a given market, whether the trend is up or down. Low trading volume means a lack of enthusiasm.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 27, 2020
We Don’t Have Markets Anymore / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Patrick_Watson
The novel coronavirus is destroying human lives: almost 170,000 worldwide as I write this, including 40,000+ in the United States.
These aren’t just numbers. They were people who were loved. Now they are gone. Next to that, all other effects are secondary.
But some are still serious. For one, government actions and consumer choices are pushing an already-weak economy into deep recession.
I said in a video interview last week (watch here) the world economy we knew three months ago won’t be back, ever. It is gone. After a transition period, we will find something different, whose contours are not yet known.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 27, 2020
Stock Market Re-testing the Recent High / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.
SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Sunday, April 26, 2020
Stocks Bears Hoping To Win Battle At Confluence Of Resistance / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
Tuesday’s session saw an immediate downside continuation based off of Monday’s double top/lower high setup. Essentially, the bears broke support and hit a quick homerun into the daily 20EMA 2718 target on the Emini S&P 500 (ES), and then buyers/bulls showed up to put a temporary floor in place. It was a fairly simple trend day to the downside that could be classified as a ‘gap down and go’ day given the fact that the majority of the losses occurred during the overnight globex hours.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 25, 2020
Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications and AI Mega-trend Stocks Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The Coronavirus trend trajectories for both the UK and US ARE IMPROVING! I.e. Targeting 36,000 US deaths and 10,000 UK deaths far below the likes of Dr Fauci have been bandying around of a minimum of 100,000 to 240,000 deaths. With some late to game so called Medical experts are getting carried away with projections running to 1 million plus for the US which is NOT reflected in the trend trajectory. So it looks like many people have become infected with EXTREME PESSIMISM which is what happens at major market bottoms, as I concluded last week that we have probably seen the bear market low at Dow 18,200 which this weeks coronavirus data is confirming.
Therefore this improving coronavirus trend 'should' resolve in relative stock market strength during the coming week.
Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, April 24, 2020
Stock Market 40 Year Cycle - 1980 Part 2? / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Submissions
We are tracking the 1980 correction in relation to the ongoing correction today. Thus far, the two have been shockingly similar.
1980 SHARE MARKET CHART 40 YEAR CYCLE
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 21, 2020
7 Stock Market Myths to Watch Out For / Stock-Markets / Investing 2020
By: Travis_Bard
There are a lot of myths and rumors floating around when it comes to investing. If you’re going to invest, it’s important that you know the difference between fact and fiction. To help you, here are seven of the biggest myths about investing and the stock market.
Read full article... Read full article...
Tuesday, April 21, 2020
The Fed Induced Stock Market Twilight-Zone / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
The past three weeks have been filled with intense drama, incredible highs and lows, political battles that continue to this day, and millions of questions from people throughout the world. Throughout this COVID-19 virus event and the collapse of the US and global markets, one continued belief has prevailed – the US Fed will attempt to rescue the global markets (again).
Late last week, President Trump announced a task force to evaluate how and when to reopen the US economy and more than US nine states have already committed to a staged reopening process. COVID-19 virus being what it is, the US is going to attempt to lead the way forward. This means every resource and every effort will be taken to engage in a proper process to protect our future while battling this virus outbreak.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 20, 2020
Gilead Drug May Cure COVID-19 But Won’t Save the Financial Markets / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2020
By: Chris_Vermeulen
Big news out today on CNBC about Gilead drug cured all 125 people from serious COVID-19 conditions within 5 days, This is amazing to hear, stocks are popping today up 3-5% which is to be expected for this type of news but the damage to the financial markets has already been done.
But early data recently published suggests the Banking and Finance sector may continue to get crushed under a massive weight of real losses and exposure to risk in the Derivatives Markets. As with the 2008-09 Credit Crisis, Derivatives losses extended compound risk factors by 10x to 20x or more for in some instances. We believe the banking and finance sector may be setting up for a massive implosion if global derivatives implode as leveraged accounts collapse.
Read full article... Read full article...
Monday, April 20, 2020
Stock Market End of Countertrend Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Andre_Gratian
Current Position of the Market
SPX Long-term trend: An “official” bear market has now been declared.
SPX Intermediate trend: Intermediate low mid-year.
Analysis of the short-term trend is done on a daily-basis with the help of hourly charts. It is an important adjunct to the analysis of daily and weekly charts which discuss longer market trends.
Daily market analysis of the short-term trend is reserved for subscribers. If you would like to sign up for a FREE 4-week trial period of daily comments, please let me know at anvi1962@cableone.net
Sunday, April 19, 2020
Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications, Global Recession and AI Stocks Buying Levels / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Nadeem_Walayat
Coronavirus Stock Market Trend Implications
Whilst the UK's trend trajectory appears to be stabilising, which offers some light at the end of Britains' dark coronavirus tunnel. However, the key driver for stock market trends, the US is still accelerating away which means more uncertainty that the stock markets are likely to seek to discount as the markets are seeking numbers that are first stabilising in the rate of increase and then to start decreasing on a daily basis, instead were still in the DOUBLING ever 2 to 3 days phase!
This implies to continue expect a bearish trend trajectory despite Fed panic actions, and the US sending $1200 checks to every american who earns under $75,000 per year, with likely several more payments over the coming months. Though Dr Fauci putting a number of 100k to 200k deaths may shock americans and the markets, especially given Trump's ramblings of how it will all be over by Easter. Nevertheless gives a number against which the general public and markets will be measuring relative strength and weakness. For instance the US is currently trending towards 38,000 deaths by the end April in the face of which the markets could out perform if the number of deaths is seen to far under achieve the bottom figure of 100k.
Read full article... Read full article...
Sunday, April 19, 2020
Stock Market Range-bound Price Action Awaiting Resolution / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: Ricky_Wen
Wednesday's session played out as a range day. Most of the downside action occurred during Tuesday night, and Wednesday’s regular trading hours were spent bouncing from our key support zone in the 2750 area back to the middle of the range towards 2785/2800 on the Emini S&P 500 (ES). As we demonstrated in real-time in our ES Trading Room at ElliottWaveTrader, it was just a textbook feedback loop squeeze setup given that bears/sellers kept failing to breakdown below our key 2750's support.
The main takeaway remains the same: Price action is still battling between our 4-hour white line and red line price projections. Price action is inside a range of 2840-2750 for the time being and trapping both sides, so traders need to be more patient in this area and wait for additional clues/edges.
Read full article... Read full article...
Saturday, April 18, 2020
In Every Stock Bear Market, One Asset Always Surges in Value / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2020
By: EWI
"The relative value of cash will necessarily zoom higher when stocks plunge."
A negative sentiment toward cash had been in place for quite some time.
Let's go back a little more than a year when our Feb. 2019 Elliott Wave Theorist showed this chart and said:
Read full article... Read full article...