Analysis Topic: Stock & Financial Markets
The analysis published under this topic are as follows.
Tuesday, January 06, 2015
How We’re Going to Get Rich in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Investing 2015
By: Money_Morning
Shah Gilani writes: Last week, while wishing my newsletter subscribers at Capital Wave Forecast and Short-Side Fortunes a happy New Year, I warned them that 2015 isn’t going to be a happy-go-lucky year.
The one prediction I emphasized over and over was that volatility would be extreme.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Gold and Mining Stocks Refuse to Decline Despite Soaring US Dollar / Stock-Markets / Gold and Silver Stocks 2015
By: P_Radomski_CFA
Briefly: In our opinion no speculative short positions in gold, silver and mining stocks are currently justified from the risk/reward perspective.
The USD Index soared much higher on Friday, well above the previous high. With the USD Index being so high, it seems odd that gold managed to close higher and the same went for mining stocks, which even outperformed the yellow metal. Is the rally in gold around the corner?
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Stock Market Confirmed Sell Signal / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Anthony_Cherniawski
SPX gapped down nearly 4 points, which was less than the decline at 9:00 am. So, despite the algos attempting to spike the open, SPX still opened down and is now beneath the 50-day Moving Average at 2039.84.
Monday, January 05, 2015
New Year Updates in Gold and SP500 Stocks Index / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: David_Banister
Our long term subscribers have been following the Gold and SP 500 markets with us for years, and for sure last year was full of volatility in both. Right now we are continuing to stay on the sidelines in Gold until we can see a confirmed close over $1232 per ounce (US Dollars). We like to keep it simple and avoid a lot of the noise that the charts on a daily basis can bring, as well as day to day and week to week volatility.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Economy and Markets Widespread Deceptions & Hall Of Mirrors / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Jim_Willie_CB
As 2014 leaves off and 2015 begins anew, the main theme seems to be the end of the American Empire, the demise of the Petro-Dollar, the blunt of USMilitary over-reach, and the global urgency of putting the King Dollar into a cement casing coffin. The global movement will gain strong momentum to end the dollarized terrorized nightmare. The entire world is coming to realize that the USDollar is wrecking the financial structures, ruining economies, forcing colossal debt abuses, while its defense is a grand threat to world peace. The extension of time before the execution has required pilferage of foreign adversary wealth and confiscation of foreign allied wealth. Shrouded in the entire grand transition is a myriad of deceptions, each playing a special role to maintain the system that favors the exceptional criminal and corrupt nation, the United States. The deceptions carry over into almost every aspect of financial and economic life and times. The hall of mirrors has become the American hallmark, soon to serve as the epitaph of fallen empire.
Monday, January 05, 2015
Stock Market Short-Term Uncertainty As Investors Take Profits Following December Rally / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Paul_Rejczak
Briefly: In our opinion, no speculative positions are justified.
Our intraday outlook remains neutral, and our short-term outlook is neutral:
Intraday (next 24 hours) outlook: neutral
Short-term (next 1-2 weeks) outlook: neutral
Medium-term (next 1-3 months) outlook: neutral
Long-term outlook (next year): bullish
Monday, January 05, 2015
Black Swans and White Noise 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Dr_Jeff_Lewis
The introduction of noise into a system can amplify the movement or efficiency of that system. Sometimes a little agitation helps to broaden a signal; this phenomenon of stochastic resonance has helped in understanding many nonlinear and complex systems - from medicine to diet.
The current financial system is a poster child for the non linear. Many nodes, endless connections. No way to parse all of the nodes and the connections. It hums along, based on confidence and dependent on an artificial type of intervention.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
15 Stocks, Financial, Commodity and Currency Market Surprises for 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Mauldin
It’s that time of year when people start thinking about New Year’s resolutions and investment planning for the future. It’s also the time of year when analysts feel more or less compelled to offer up forecasts. My friend Doug Kass turns the forecasting process on its head by offering 15 potential surprises for 2015 (plus 10 also-rans). But he does so with a healthy measure of humility, starting out with a quote from our mutual friend James Montier (now at GMO):
Monday, January 05, 2015
Financial Markets 2015 Outlook / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Money_Morning
Michael E. Lewitt writes: For the first time since 2008, stocks traded down on the last trading day of the year and the first trading day of the New Year.
Whether this will prove to be a mere statistical curiosity or a harbinger of troubles ahead remains to be seen, but there are enough headwinds facing investors to force them to don foul weather gear for the year ahead.
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Monday, January 05, 2015
Wow, They Really Are Tapering QE Money Printing / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: John_Rubino
In the sound-money community there is universal skepticism about the Fed's plan to stop monetizing the world's debt. Hardly anyone thinks they'll go through with it and absolutely no one thinks they'll succeed if they do.
But the Fed is acting like it's serious. Take a look at the monetary base, which is the amount of new currency that's been created and pumped into the banking system. The trajectory since the 2008 crash tells you all you need to know about the "recovery," which turned out to be just the Fed printing money and a few mostly rich people spending some of it. But check out the far right edge where the line turns negative. Not wildly negative, but still, the Fed does appear to have stopped adding and started subtracting. The money supply is falling.
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Sunday, January 04, 2015
Most Popular Financial Markets Analysis of 2014 - Stocks Bull Market Raged On! / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2014
By: Nadeem_Walayat
The stocks bull market raged on for another year to close at Dow 17,823 near the markets all time high set just a few days earlier at 18,103, this despite widespread calls of bear markets and even crashes that coalesced around a series of bad news events such as surrounding the US debt ceiling triggering a government shutdown and not forgetting Octobers end of QE apocalypse, with such doom calls always reaching their most vocal just at the end of every correction.
Sunday, January 04, 2015
World Stock Markets Continue to Separate from the U.S. / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Donald_W_Dony
Global equity markets typically trend in a cohesive path. They can separate for brief periods of time, but they ultimately will move as one unit.
The last time the markets separated was in 2008. Oil prices were soaring and three indexes (Canada, Russia and Brazil) all continued to advance while world markets fell.
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Saturday, January 03, 2015
This Stocks Bull Market Is NOT Over Yet / Stock-Markets / Stocks Bull Market
By: DailyWealth
Dr. Steve Sjuggerud writes:
The U.S. stock market boom is nearly six years old... But the fun ain't over yet!
Yesterday, I showed you how stocks could go much higher... even as interest rates finally rise. And today I'll show one more reason why this great bull market is NOT over yet...
This reason is extremely simple...
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Saturday, January 03, 2015
Stock Market Happy New Year / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Tony_Caldaro
The market started the week at SPX 2089. After hitting an all time high at SPX 2094 by noon Monday, the market traded lower for the rest of the week. For the week the SPX/DOW lost 1.35%, the NDX/NAZ lost 1.80%, and the DJ World index dropped 1.30%. Economics reports for the holiday week were sparse, and biased to the downside. On the downtick: construction spending, the Chicago PMI, ISM manufacturing and the WLEI. On the uptick: consumer confidence and the monetary base. Next week’s report will be highlighted by the FOMC minutes and the Payrolls report.
Saturday, January 03, 2015
Seasonal Sweet Spot for Small Stocks? / Stock-Markets / Seasonal Trends
By: Sy_Harding
Studies show that one of the most persistent patterns investors follow is
‘chasing performance’. It’s most prevalent at this time of year. Investors shop for next year’s winners from the lists of the best performing stocks or mutual funds of the previous year. They switch from the successful investment strategy they have been following to one that out-performed it over the previous period. Read full article... Read full article...
Friday, January 02, 2015
Fed Abandons Stock Markets / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2015
By: Zeal_LLC
The seemingly-invincible US stock markets powered higher again last year, still directly fueled by the Fed’s epic quantitative-easing money printing. But 2015 is shaping up to be radically different from the past couple years. The Fed effectively abandoned the stock markets when it terminated its bond buying late last year. So this year we will finally see if these lofty stock markets can remain afloat without the Fed.
Mainstream stock investors and speculators are certainly loving life these days. The flagship S&P 500 stock index enjoyed an excellent 2014, climbing 11.4%. And that followed 2013’s massive and amazing 29.6% blast higher! The last couple years were truly extraordinary and record-breaking on many fronts, with the US stock markets essentially doing nothing but rally to an endless streak of new nominal record highs.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Profit from Greece and the European Union Crisis in 2015 / Stock-Markets / Eurozone Debt Crisis
By: Money_Morning
Peter Krauth writes: Yet another Greek tragedy is playing out in economically distressed southern Europe.
Greek Prime Minister Antonis Samaras failed to win support for his presidential candidate.
So citizens will head to the polls again, this time 18 months ahead of schedule.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Welcome, Baby 2015 / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Tanashian
So Baby 2015 has slammed the book on wrinkled old 2014 (this imagery just cracks me up), a year that featured the continuation of existing macro trends like US stocks up, global stocks wobbling, precious metals weak and commodities weak to tanking.
Personally, I found the year revolting as an honest market participant, but thankfully made like a caveman and simply used my tools to help me avoid the pitfalls of my emotions and logical mind. I try very hard to tune down the Tin Foil Hat stuff, but I continue to be in awe of Policy Central and the depths of what looks to me like depravity that they will stoop to in order to keep up appearances. Reference Operation Twist and its “inflation sanitized” selling of short-term notes and buying of long-term bonds.
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Friday, January 02, 2015
Slow January for Stocks, Commodities and Dollar? / Stock-Markets / Financial Markets 2015
By: Gary_Savage
With the S&P losing support so early in a new daily cycle on Friday I’m afraid we’re probably set up for a choppy market in January.
Thursday, January 01, 2015
Stock Market Gappy New Year! / Stock-Markets / Stock Markets 2014
By: Gary_Tanashian
It looked like a few rats tried to jump ship as the bell rang on 2014. But it is hard to trust any one day or week as a guide during the holidays so we can just call it what it was, a down week within a general US market uptrend.
The strong uptrend however, is on the longer-term charts. Some dailies are in down trends kicked off by the pre-Santa correction (ref. the NDX below and the NYSE, as two examples). As we noted in NFTRH, the Russell 2000 was the first to go daily trend up into what is often ‘small cap season’. It has got a big fat gap though, and a test of the MA 50 seems in store.
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